Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Thursday 8 May 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 9 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Progressive mare coming off impressive win at Geelong over 2460m. Gets perfect run from barrier 2 with top jockey Mark Zahra aboard. Form lines through stronger races suggest she's well placed here despite the class rise.
Consistent mare with strong credentials at this distance range. Blake Shinn booking suggests connections are confident. Despite wide barrier, has tactical speed to get across. Recent form solid without winning but ready to peak third-up.
Ultra-consistent mare who rarely runs a bad race. Excellent place record suggests she'll be in the finish again. Well drawn to get perfect run just off pace. Weight relief helps and Craig Newitt knows her well.
Last start win was strong and she's drawn to get perfect run. While untested at 2000m, breeding suggests she'll handle it. Getting weight from main rivals makes her an attractive value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Morrissette | 7 | Jye Mc Neil | Reece Goodwin | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Tarvue | 2 | Mark Zahra | J D Sadler | 59kg | $2.45 |
| 3rd | 7 | She Said | 3 | Beau Mertens | Liam Howley | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 1 | The Devil In Her | 4 | Billy Egan | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 60.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Broadhurst | 8 | Thomas Prebble | Liam Howley | 53.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Star Croupier | 1 | John Allen | T Busuttin & N Young | 56kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Sun Gift | 12 | Blake Shinn | D T O''Brien | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 9 | Ginger Sweet | 5 | Craig Newitt | Peter Gelagotis | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 9th | 6 | Real Alliance | 11 | Daniel Moor | Luke Oliver | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 5 | In Your Hands | 10 | Jamie Mott | Andrea Leek | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Sweet Liaison | 9 | Nathan Punch | N J Harnett | 55kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Cool Star | 6 | Tetyana Furdetska | 55kg |
The booking of Blake Shinn and professional gear changes suggest a well-educated first starter. Should get an ideal run from barrier 1 with tactical options.
Gets weight relief and retains services of John Allen. Drawn to get a good run and should improve second-up. Main danger to top selection.
Consistent improver from the O'Brien yard showing steady progression. Last start fourth was solid and the step up in trip looks ideal. Wide draw the main concern but has tactical speed to overcome it.
Better bred than most and should improve sharply on moderate debut run. The addition of tongue tie is significant and stable knows how to improve them.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Gabor | 3 | John Allen | E & D Browne | 56kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 2 | Crespiano | 9 | Thomas Stockdale | P Stokes | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Caelius | 4 | Craig Newitt | Peter Gelagotis | 58kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 5 | The Better Husband | 7 | Daniel Moor | T Busuttin & N Young | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Zentorno | 5 | Billy Egan | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Regal Visions | 1 | Blake Shinn | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $3.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Rumble Town | 10 | Jordan Childs | D T O''Brien | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Babushka''s Pride | 6 | Beau Mertens | D T O''Brien | 56kg | $20.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Mortal Peak | 8 | Adam Mc Cabe | S C Bottomley | 58kg | $201.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Pacific Pixie | 2 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 54kg | $41.00 |
Seasoned campaigner in career-best form with strong recent wins. Well suited under these conditions and proven at the class level. Despite the wide barrier, has tactical versatility to overcome it and should get a good run in transit. The weight is offset by his strong form.
Very consistent performer who rarely runs a bad race. While this represents a class rise, his recent form suggests he can measure up. Well drawn and should get a good run in transit.
Strong staying type who should appreciate the likely solid tempo. Well drawn to get a good position and has been racing consistently. The fresh start is a slight query but previous fresh form is solid.
While this represents a class rise, she has been racing well and gets in well at the weights. The wide barrier is a concern but she has tactical speed to overcome it. Represents good each-way value.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Sacra | 5 | Melinda McDonald | Jason Evans | 63kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Retrospection | 1 | Jack Virgona | J W Bridgman | 63kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 8 | Anything But | 3 | Unknown | R C Manning | 63kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Rushford | 9 | Shaun Cooper | Andrew Dale | 69kg | $2.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Street Swagger | 11 | Mr R Douglas | T Kilgower | 63kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Pine Valley | 8 | Dani Walker | D P Dwyer | 63kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Hawkestone | 2 | Sophie Clayfield | Neville Aulich | 63kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Achaeus | 6 | Angela Bence | Susie Wells | 63kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 6 | High Ferocity | 13 | L Taylor | T Kilgower | 63kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Eight Shout''s | 10 | S Galea | T Kilgower | 63kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 11 | Citaleon | 7 | Rowan Cox | Simone Manne | 60kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Shez Steamin'' | 14 | Ms M Morris | Reece Goodwin | 63kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Chaichna | 4 | Miss Jasmine Trenwith | Martin Gray | 63kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Laststrikeyourout | 12 | Nicole Dickson | 63kg |
Progressive gelding showing excellent consistency with 3 seconds from 5 starts. Gets an ideal run from barrier 2 with Blake Shinn aboard and should be perfectly suited at the mile. Recent form suggests ready to break through.
Filly showing good improvement with strong second last start. Gets every chance from barrier 1 with Mark Zahra taking the ride. Should get perfect run in transit and looks ready to peak fourth-up.
Consistent gelding from top stable showing good staying potential. Freshened after solid form over longer trips. Gear changes suggest ready to improve and should be strong late.
Mare showing good ability with strong second on debut. Gets perfect run from barrier 3 with Beau Mertens continuing association. Light weight and natural improvement make her an attractive each-way proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Dark Simba | 2 | Blake Shinn | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $1.60 |
| 2nd | 8 | Draw Attention | 8 | Will Price | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Thinking Gold | 5 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59.5kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Bolshie | 9 | Patrick Moloney | C C Parry | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Ghazi | 10 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Madam Griselda | 1 | Mark Zahra | J D Sadler | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Avonbeg | 3 | Beau Mertens | Ms N Burke | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 8th | 5 | The King And I | 7 | Logan Bates | K & G Mayberry | 58kg | $301.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Tuscanado | 4 | Jamie Mott | John McArdle | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Gold Moon | 6 | Adam Mc Cabe | Brooke Verwey-Mitchell | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Windy Peak | 11 | G Eurell | 57.5kg |
Barrier 1 ideal for debut and gear additions suggest professional preparation. Thomas Stockdale booking a strong pointer and stable's first starters typically well-educated.
Consistent performer showing good progression through three starts. Well-suited at 1400m based on previous efforts.
Fresh performer with strong first-up record and weight advantage. John Allen booking significant and previous track experience helpful. Distance query but racing pattern suggests should handle 1400m.
Blinkers first time suggests professional preparation and Jamie Mott booking a positive.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | South Hoba | 5 | John Allen | Gavin Bedggood | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Knobelas | 1 | Thomas Stockdale | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57.5kg | $2.20 |
| 3rd | 2 | Il Cielo | 6 | Mark Zahra | C Maher | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Harrata | 2 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Prince Magnetite | 7 | M, W & J Hawkes | 59.5kg | $6.50 | |
| 6th | 8 | Bay Of Joy | 4 | Melea Castle | K & K Keys | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Titan''s Spirit | 8 | Beau Mertens | Ms N Burke | 59.5kg | $19.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Launceston | 10 | Jamie Mott | Clayton Douglas | 59.5kg | $20.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Silent Fox | 3 | Daniel Moor | Susie Wells | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Marbastion | 9 | Koby Jennings | Michael Huglin | 59.5kg |
Two seconds from three attempts at this distance and gets every chance from barrier 1 with Blake Shinn aboard. Recent form solid and should get perfect run in transit.
Returns in much easier grade with key gear changes. Well-bred Zoustar filly who should have natural improvement. Drawn to get good run.
Daniel Moor booking a positive and drawn to get clear running. Stable can ready them for debut but taking on trust without exposed form.
Showed improvement last start when placing at Cranbourne. Gets perfect run from barrier 3 and proven at the trip.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Just Remember It | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | Carly Thomas | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Zoubelle | 4 | Carleen Hefel | J R Welsh | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Too Darn Cold | 10 | Billy Egan | Dominic Sutton | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Three Point Turn | 11 | Daniel Moor | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 59.5kg | $3.40 |
| 5th | 7 | Nile Crocodile | 2 | Remi Tremsal | Ms M Wells | 57.5kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Hellacious | 5 | Jamie Mott | Luke Oliver | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 1 | El Fortress | 1 | Blake Shinn | L Kennewell & L Yeomans | 59.5kg | $3.30 |
| 8th | 9 | Upinthecity | 8 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 57.5kg | $201.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Party Benefits | 3 | Zac Spain | M J Mehegan | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Waylona Girl | 6 | Michael Huglin | 57.5kg | $31.00 | |
| Scr | 6 | Areyoureadyforit | 9 | John Allen | Archie Alexander | 57.5kg |
Faces a class rise and carries top weight from a wide gate, but appears to have plenty of upside as a progressive 3yo from a leading stable.
Strong record at the track with 3 wins and drops in class. Recent form has been consistent without winning and maps to get a good run despite wide gate. Can improve sharply back to this level.
Recent form better than it looks on paper and drops slightly in class. Maps to get a good run with tactical speed.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | No Fooling | 12 | Beau Mertens | C Maher | 62.5kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 8 | Zoomed | 8 | Jye Mc Neil | R D Griffiths | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Hidden Comfort | 10 | Koby Jennings | Michael Huglin | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Mislead | 11 | Billy Egan | Ms R Frost | 60kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Clean Reef | 2 | Blake Shinn | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 61kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 9 | Soobooma | 7 | R J Besanko | 58.5kg | $61.00 | |
| 7th | 3 | Justin Timberprawn | 5 | Jamie Mott | Luke Oliver | 61.5kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Wunambal | 9 | Jade Da Rose | R Gillahan | 55kg | $301.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Midivani | 1 | Carleen Hefel | Brooke Verwey-Mitchell | 55kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Tidal Force | 4 | Logan McGill | 62.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Back To The Future | 6 | Ms N Burke | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Reservoir Dog | 3 | Logan McGill | 59.5kg |
Well weighted with 58kg and gets Blake Shinn aboard. Racing pattern suits this track and distance perfectly. Recent form suggests ready to peak third-up.
Consistent performer with excellent win strike rate and strong record at this distance. Well weighted and drawn to get good cover midfield. Recent form suggests ready to produce best and has strong finishing burst.
Mare in good form who maps to get perfect run from barrier 1. Gets weight relief and should appreciate predicted strong tempo.
Well weighted and should get good position midfield. Fresh record is solid and stable in good form. John Allen booking a positive.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Roadcone | 9 | Blake Shinn | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 8 | Nodachi | 1 | Billy Egan | Dominic Sutton | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Lavish Thinker | 6 | Paul Gatt | P Stokes | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Promised Land | 4 | Thomas Prebble | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Maui Man | 15 | Thomas Stockdale | Thomas Nikolic | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 10 | Lulu Darling | 3 | Koby Jennings | Michael Huglin | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 4 | He''s Handsome | 2 | Emily Pozman | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Sacramental | 7 | John Allen | Mitchell Freedman | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 2 | Titan Of Choice | 10 | Jye Mc Neil | Peter Gelagotis | 61.5kg | $18.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Bavicia | 12 | Carleen Hefel | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Quantum Impact | 5 | Jordan Childs | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 12th | 15 | Flying Knee | 11 | Nathan Punch | D P Dwyer | 55kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Outta Compton | 13 | Luke Cartwright | Mark C Webb | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Tacito | 14 | Celine Gaudry | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 61kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Queen Of Tuscany | 8 | Logan Bates | R D Griffiths | 55.5kg |
Gets all favors from barrier 1 with a light weight and top jockey booking. Recent form suggests ready to peak and the expected strong tempo should suit her racing pattern.
Gets in well at the weights and should get a nice run from barrier 9. The expected strong tempo will suit her finishing burst.
Jamie Mott booking a positive and gets in well at the weights. Wide barrier the main concern but has the tactical speed to overcome it.
Fresh up specialist who can run well despite top weight.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Cora Lynn | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | C Maher | 58kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 9 | Laura''s Gold | 2 | Logan Bates | Mitchell Leek | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Express Yo''self | 12 | Jamie Mott | Amy & Ash Yargi | 57.5kg | $3.80 |
| 4th | 4 | Bonnie Amore | 1 | Blake Shinn | G Eurell | 58kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Give Faith | 9 | Jordan Childs | John McArdle | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Missed The Mark | 8 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 60kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Count Of Toulouse | 4 | Tianni Chapman | Dale Short | 55.5kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Cesar Bessan | 11 | Nathan Punch | D P Dwyer | 55kg | $201.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Doctor Coto | 10 | Jade Da Rose | R Gillahan | 55kg | $201.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Arroance | 3 | R C Manning | 55kg | $81.00 | |
| 11th | 2 | Godwits | 6 | E P Francese | 59kg | $51.00 | |
| Scr | 6 | Pianist | 5 | S B Laming | 58kg |
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