Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Saturday 10 May 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
High class filly dropping significantly in grade after competing well in Group races. Has strong form around the distance with multiple placings and comes from a leading stable. Well drawn and gets conditions to suit despite fresh run.
Consistent galloper from leading Waller yard who has been knocking on the door. Should be suited by tempo and looks ready to break through.
Progressive filly who showed good improvement last start when placing. Gets conditions to suit and looks ready for this trip.
Progressive filly who placed last start and gets key gear change with blinkers coming off. Well drawn and should get a good run. Untried at trip but breeding suggests will suit.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Bella Montagna | 3 | L P Beuzelin | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $1.40 |
| 2nd | 7 | Diamond Show | 5 | Mitch Stapleford | Brad Widdup | 54kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Chief Of Staff | 1 | Jean Van Overmeire | C J Waller | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Highland Hustle | 8 | Chad Lever | David Payne | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Reverberates | 4 | Grant Buckley | Brad Widdup | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Banxi | 2 | Jeff Penza | C J Waller | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Tempestry | 7 | Mitchell Bell | C J Waller | 59kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Buckenara | 9 | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Covert Thinking | 6 | Ms L Day | C Maher | 57kg |
Progressive filly showing strong form with consecutive placings. Gets in well at the weights and maps to get an ideal run from barrier 3.
Returns gelded which should see improvement. The wide barrier is a concern but likely to be ridden quietly and finish strongly.
First starter from leading Ryan/Alexiou stable with Jeff Penza booked. Drawn well and likely to show natural speed.
Fresh up from strong stable with positive gear change. Previous form was moderate but likely to improve significantly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Pierolite | 8 | Ms C Keatings | G Portelli | 55.5kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Columbia Blue | 7 | A J Calder | Joseph Pride | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Noble Ruby | 3 | K S Latham | R & L Price | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Grand Carousel | 9 | Ms L Day | Mitchell Beer | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 1 | City Gold Field | 10 | Mitchell Bell | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Firepop | 2 | Jeff Penza | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Queen Of Thorns | 6 | Emma Ly | Blake Ryan | 53kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Redoute''s Girl | 11 | Chad Lever | G Portelli | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Loblolly | 5 | Jean Van Overmeire | James Cummings | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Wild Annie | 4 | Shaun Guymer | A & S Freedman | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 4 | Playful Puzzle | 1 | Joseph Ible | 57kg |
Progressive type who has shown natural speed and strong finishing ability in recent starts. Well-drawn to utilize tactical speed and proven on soft going. Looks perfectly placed to continue winning form.
Consistent performer with strong form credentials and proven ability on soft tracks. The weight is a concern but compensated by proven class. Likely to settle prominently and should be strong through the line.
Consistent mare who has been racing well at this level. The soft track is some query but draws to get a nice run just off the speed.
The gear changes are significant and she maps to get a nice trail midfield with cover. Strong provincial form and weight relief make her an attractive each-way proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Inoue | 5 | Mitchell Bell | Peter Snowden | 59kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 2 | King''s Secret | 4 | A J Calder | Joseph Pride | 59kg | $2.30 |
| 3rd | 6 | Runranirun | 9 | K S Latham | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Itszarbaby | 6 | Ms C Keatings | G Portelli | 52kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Love And Light | 7 | Chad Lever | D Wagstaff | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Capital Dancer | 2 | Jessica Taylor | G McFarlane | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Tears For Fears | 1 | Ms L Day | Mitchell Beer | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Lady Zodiac | 3 | Jean Van Overmeire | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 57kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Natural Laws | 8 | Peter Snowden | 59kg |
Highly consistent performer who has been racing in stronger company. The gear change suggests connections are trying something different to break through for a win. Maps to get perfect run behind leaders and looks well placed to break maiden status.
Showed good ability on debut running third in stronger company at Kensington. Maps to control race from front and breeding suggests will handle step up in trip. Main danger to favorite.
Made a promising debut when second at Newcastle and should improve. Gets the services of Mitchell Bell and stable going well. Maps to get good run midfield and should be strong late.
Showed ability when second last start at Newcastle in similar grade. Gets weight relief and proven at trip. Maps back but will be running on strongly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Monte Veebee | 2 | Grant Buckley | R & L Price | 59kg | $1.55 |
| 2nd | 10 | Glitterscript | 4 | Chad Lever | R & L Price | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Semibreve | 9 | Jessica Taylor | J C Coyle | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Stonegate Lane | 12 | Holly Durnan | B M Lazzarini | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Bohemian Art | 7 | Mitchell Bell | Nathan Doyle | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 6th | 5 | Proclivity | 8 | A J Calder | C E Conners | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Asmussen | 1 | Shaun Guymer | Robert Quinn | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Caoilfhionn | 11 | K S Latham | John Thompson | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Flyghtville | 3 | Jeff Penza | G M Brown | 59kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Charleroi | 5 | Sara Ryan | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Vetwelve | 10 | J G Sargent | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Marcantonio | 6 | Ms L Day | David Payne | 56.5kg |
Well drawn to utilize tactical speed and proven on soft tracks. The weight is no concern and stable is in good form. Looks ready to break through.
Progressive filly from leading stable showing good ability in recent starts. Drawn to get good run with tactical speed. Main danger to top selection.
Consistent galloper who handles soft tracks and has good tactical speed. Well weighted and from stable in form but may be looking for slightly further. Place prospects look strong.
Well weighted and from strong stable but will need luck from inside draw.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Mother Goose | 11 | Mitchell Bell | James Cummings | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Maid Of Moolah | 7 | Shaun Guymer | Peter Snowden | 58kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 8 | Zo Frilling | 6 | K S Latham | Matthew Smith | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Excess Capital | 9 | H Van Der Hoven | G Portelli | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Zeema | 10 | Chad Lever | R & L Price | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Prince Harrison | 4 | Deanne Panya | M C Conners | 60.5kg | $4.20 |
| 7th | 2 | Captain Eagle | 3 | Grant Buckley | Brad Widdup | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Mind Bender | 5 | A J Calder | Joseph Pride | 56.5kg | $9.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Babyfaced Assassin | 2 | L P Beuzelin | G Portelli | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Miss Bugatti | 8 | Jean Van Overmeire | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Castaway Coral | 1 | Jessica Taylor | J C Coyle | 55kg | $201.00 |
Lightly raced gelding showing excellent progression through grades. Gets perfect run from barrier 3 and carries a manageable weight.
Talented front-runner who performs well fresh. Should control race from inside gate and proven performer in similar grade. Recent trial work suggests ready to fire first-up.
Mare dropping sharply in grade after competing in much stronger races. Fresh record is solid and proven performer on soft tracks. Should get suitable pace setup to finish strongly.
Mare with strong credentials on soft tracks who gets in well at the weights after claim. Fresh record suggests ready to run well and should get perfect midfield position from good draw.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | She Conquers | 8 | Grant Buckley | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Lyles | 3 | K S Latham | Matthew Smith | 60.5kg | $1.80 |
| 3rd | 8 | Callistemon | 6 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Shehasattitude | 4 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Beer | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Metallic Ruler | 9 | Olivia Chambers | Bjorn Baker | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Mural Crown | 1 | Mitch Stapleford | James Cummings | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 7 | Zarni | 2 | Ms C Keatings | Paul Murray | 56kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Power Ballard | 5 | L P Beuzelin | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Ellipsis | 7 | Mitchell Bell | Bjorn Baker | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Mercantilist | 10 | Sara Ryan | 56.5kg |
Progressive filly showing strong form through tougher races. Gets in well at the weights and has tactical versatility. Main concern is wide draw but should get cover midfield.
Reliable galloper coming off strong placing. Handles wet tracks and has tactical speed to overcome draw. Main query is weight but offset by strong jockey booking and proven class.
Has strong track statistics and gets significant weight relief. Form is solid without winning and drawn to get good run. Main queries are class rise and wet track form.
Impressive debut winner who could improve sharply. Gets in light and drawn to get good run. While facing much tougher grade, has scope for significant improvement and stable confident.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Hyperbolic | 10 | Grant Buckley | Brad Widdup | 56.5kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 3 | Invade And Conquer | 9 | Holly Durnan | R & L Price | 55.5kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 2 | Presides | 8 | Ms L Day | Mitchell Beer | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Miss Hvar | 2 | K S Latham | R & L Price | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Bonus Tempus | 1 | H Van Der Hoven | B M Lazzarini | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Equilibrist | 5 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Twin Turbo | 7 | Emma Ly | Edward O''Rourke | 53kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Miss Checkoni | 6 | Olivia Chambers | Nick Mitchell | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Brazil | 4 | Jeff Penza | Mitchell Beer | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Jacob''s Time | 3 | Jean Van Overmeire | Anthony Mountney | 59kg | $12.00 |
Progressive type who maps to get a perfect midfield trail from barrier 3. Has strong form through similar races and proven ability at the distance. The soft track is some query but has performed on affected going before. Well weighted and should be strong late.
Lightly-raced filly on the up who gets in well at the weights. Inside draw should allow her to find a good position and she's shown ability on soft tracks. The step up in distance is the query but breeding suggests she'll handle it.
Genuine performer who brings strong form credentials. Has to carry top weight but has done it before successfully. Barrier makes it tricky but should get a good run midfield. The soft track won't be an issue based on past performances.
The wide barrier is a concern but she has tactical speed to overcome it. Well weighted and should handle the soft track based on previous performances.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Incantation | 11 | Jean Van Overmeire | James Cummings | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Line Of Fire | 2 | R Downey | Bjorn Baker | 61.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Hooligan Tommy | 3 | Mitch Stapleford | J G Sargent | 57.5kg | $3.60 |
| 4th | 7 | Hell''s Itch | 6 | L P Beuzelin | John Thompson | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 4 | Blazerro | 5 | Ms C Keatings | Joseph Ible | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Skiing | 4 | Jeff Penza | Robert Quinn | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Fast Track | 1 | K S Latham | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $4.40 |
| Scr | 1 | Artful Persuasion | 8 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Beer | 59kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Empress Of Japan | 9 | Mitchell Bell | Michael Freedman | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Twin Turbo | 10 | Edward O''Rourke | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Elivina | 7 | K J Parker | 56.5kg |
Before the races, not after
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