★ Top pick3rd
10Explicit
Progressive 2YO dropping significantly in class after competitive 4th in Open company. Gets weight relief and maps to get perfect run from barrier 5.
New South Wales · Saturday 17 May 2025
Kembla Grange tips and results
Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
Top pick won4/850%
Any tip won5/863%
Top pick placed7/888%
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Pacific Plan Management Midway Mdn Plate
12:00 local1600mMaiden$4,500,012,100,028,000,000,000,000,000,000
Winner6. RhegionSP $9.50
2nd pick4th
4Navy Buoy
Consistent performer who has been hitting the line strongly. The step up to 1600m looks ideal and the gear change to visors could spark improvement. Should get a good run from barrier 3 and be strong late.
3rd pickWon
6Rhegion
Progressive type from leading Ryan/Alexiou stable showing steady improvement. Last start 3rd in similar grade was solid and the step up to 1600m looks suitable.
Value pick7th
2Kickstart
Last start 5th was solid in heavy conditions and natural improvement expected.
- 1st6RhegionGrant Buckley$9.50
- 2nd3MarebelloL P Beuzelin$15.00
- 3rd10ExplicitMitchell Bell$1.60
- 4th4Navy BuoyA J Calder$5.50
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Rhegion | 2 | Grant Buckley | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Marebello | 8 | L P Beuzelin | Fabio Martino | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Explicit | 5 | Mitchell Bell | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 56.5kg | $1.60 |
| 4th | 4 | Navy Buoy | 3 | A J Calder | R D Collett | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Prized Gesture | 4 | Q Krogh | Paul Murray | 59kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Flying Betty | 10 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Kickstart | 9 | K S Latham | R & L Price | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Think Of One | 7 | Serg Lisnyy | T J Bartley | 59kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Donington | 1 | Jean Van Overmeire | Ross McConville | 59kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Khant Fail | 6 | Madeline Owen | J G Sargent | 54kg |
Moretti Constructions Mdn Hcp
12:35 local1200mMaiden$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner2. Pick Up The TabSP $2.45
★ Top pickWon
2Pick Up The Tab
Brings the strongest form references through city grade maidens and drops significantly in class. Last start runner-up at this track showed ability to handle conditions. Maps to get perfect run just off speed.
2nd pick6th
7Hetzendorf
Well-bred Godolphin debutant who has shown ability in trials. The stable rarely debuts runners without expectation and gear addition suggests professional approach. Van Overmeire booking a positive and should get good run midfield with cover.
3rd pick3rd
5Homeric
Lightly-raced Snowden runner who showed promise in initial preparation. Gets significant weight relief and drawn to get good run. Stable having strong season with maidens and likely to be well-schooled for return. Will need genuine tempo to produce best.
Value pick4th
4Western Lane
Ryan/Alexiou stable excels with progressive types and likely to have derived benefit from initial outing.
- 1st2Pick Up The TabR Downey$2.45
- 2nd9Steel RainL P Beuzelin$11.00
- 3rd5HomericMitchell Bell$3.40
- 4th4Western LaneChad Lever$21.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Pick Up The Tab | 5 | R Downey | Bjorn Baker | 59kg | $2.45 |
| 2nd | 9 | Steel Rain | 6 | L P Beuzelin | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Homeric | 9 | Mitchell Bell | Peter Snowden | 58kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 4 | Western Lane | 3 | Chad Lever | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Jamarni | 8 | H Van Der Hoven | R & L Price | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Hetzendorf | 7 | Jean Van Overmeire | James Cummings | 56.5kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Cifonelli | 2 | Grant Buckley | G Portelli | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Li''l Grug | 1 | Shaun Guymer | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 58kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Carnegie Hill | 4 | K S Latham | Michael Freedman | 58.5kg |
Happy 70th Tony Bagnall Mdn Hcp
13:10 local1200mMaiden$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner1. Winner Of KowloonSP $1.55
★ Top pickWon
1Winner Of Kowloon
Maps to get perfect run from barrier 3 and should be ready to peak third-up. The soft track is the query but breeding suggests should handle it. Clear top pick with natural improvement expected.
2nd pick4th
7Miles Of Glory
Inside draw a big plus and breeding suggests will handle conditions. Main danger to favorite if professional on debut.
3rd pick3rd
6Cuban Rain
Consistent mare with good track experience and fresh legs after break. Has shown ability to sprint well fresh and drops nicely in weight. Each-way claims if handles soft track.
Value pick7th
3Mackinaw Peach
- 1st1Winner Of KowloonR Downey$1.55
- 2nd2CuestaOlivia Chambers$7.50
- 3rd6Cuban RainGrant Buckley$7.00
- 4th7Miles Of GloryMitchell Bell$6.50
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Winner Of Kowloon | 3 | R Downey | Bjorn Baker | 59.5kg | $1.55 |
| 2nd | 2 | Cuesta | 9 | Olivia Chambers | Bjorn Baker | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Cuban Rain | 2 | Grant Buckley | R & L Price | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Miles Of Glory | 1 | Mitchell Bell | Michael Freedman | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 8 | Erotas | 7 | Deanne Panya | R S Englebrecht | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Quill Ambition | 5 | Ms L Day | C Maher | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Mackinaw Peach | 4 | K S Latham | David Pfieffer | 58kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Zoucat | 6 | Jean Van Overmeire | C Maher | 58kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Valorizada | 8 | Serg Lisnyy | T J Bartley | 55kg |
Country To Coast Western Wear Hcp (C1)
13:45 local1200mClass 1$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner1. Miss SpacegirlSP $2.10
★ Top pickWon
1Miss Spacegirl
Drops significantly in class after competitive performances in stronger races. Well positioned on speed map and gets every chance from good draw. Represents clear top selection with strong winning credentials.
2nd pick3rd
2Orthies
Progressive type showing strong improvement with each run. Main query is class rise but racing like one ready for the challenge.
3rd pick2nd
5Tango Queen
Gets perfect run from inside draw and weight relief helps. While class rise is a query, racing like one ready to peak.
Value pick6th
3Dealt
Impressive maiden winner who gets in well at the weights. While class rise is significant, showed enough raw ability to suggest can measure up.
- 1st1Miss SpacegirlK S Latham$2.10
- 2nd5Tango QueenH Van Der Hoven$5.50
- 3rd2OrthiesA J Calder$3.20
- 4th7Dapper DancerOlivia Chambers$21.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Miss Spacegirl | 2 | K S Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 58kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 5 | Tango Queen | 1 | H Van Der Hoven | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Orthies | 8 | A J Calder | R D Collett | 58kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 7 | Dapper Dancer | 7 | Olivia Chambers | R T Leemon | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Beluga Express | 3 | Grant Buckley | Mick Attard | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Dealt | 9 | Ms L Day | C Maher | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Pariah Engagement | 5 | Jean Van Overmeire | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Hell Of A Fox | 4 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | Luke Pepper | 53kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Media Coverage | 6 | Greg Stephens | 56kg |
Madi Chatham Noronha Memorial Provincial (Bm68)
14:20 local1200mBenchmark 68$4,500,012,100,028,000,000,000,000,000,000
Winner7. EquilibristSP $19.00
★ Top pick2nd
5Titanium Miss
Mare dropping significantly in class after competing well in stronger company. Has strong form on soft tracks and should get a perfect run midfield with good cover. The likely strong tempo up front will suit her finishing burst.
2nd pick8th
2Apollo Mission
Consistent galloper with excellent track statistics. Though carrying top weight, has shown ability to handle it in similar company. Should be able to take up forward position and prove hard to run down.
3rd pick7th
1Flying Sultan
Talented sprinter who performs well fresh and has strong statistics at the trip. Though not ideally suited by soft track, the class drop and good draw give strong place claims.
Value pick6th
4Los Padres
Well weighted and should handle conditions.
- 1st7EquilibristChad Lever$19.00
- 2nd5Titanium MissMitchell Bell$4.20
- 3rd3Victory LaneK S Latham$4.20
- 4th6KyeemaGrant Buckley$6.50
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Equilibrist | 9 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Titanium Miss | 8 | Mitchell Bell | T J Bartley | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 3 | Victory Lane | 7 | K S Latham | R & L Price | 61.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 6 | Kyeema | 3 | Grant Buckley | Sara Ryan | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 8 | Killer Kerr | 5 | Olivia Chambers | Peter D Green | 53kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Los Padres | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Flying Sultan | 4 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Beer | 60.5kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Apollo Mission | 6 | Ms L Day | Mitchell Beer | 61.5kg | $4.40 |
| Scr | 9 | Red Cobra | 1 | D Lane | 55kg |
Cracker Developments (Bm64)
14:55 local1000mBenchmark 64$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner3. ZaragozaSP $2.00
★ Top pickWon
3Zaragoza
Strong credentials with perfect track/distance statistics and excellent recent form. Last start 2nd indicates fitness and has proven ability at this level. Well weighted and drawn to get perfect run behind speed. Represents clear top selection with strong winning chance.
2nd pick3rd
1Mr Rock It
Consistent performer dropping notably in class with strong track statistics. Recent form solid and handles all conditions. Slightly awkward draw but has tactical speed to overcome. Clear second pick with strong place claims.
3rd pickScratched
2Oceans One
Has tactical speed to overcome inside draw and recent placing suggests fitness. Solid each-way chance at the weights.
Value pick6th
8Ranuncula
Fresh specialist with strong distance record getting significant weight relief.
- 1st3ZaragozaK S Latham$2.00
- 2nd6Calgary KingEmma Ly$10.00
- 3rd1Mr Rock ItHolly Durnan$3.70
- 4th5Flying RaniMs L Day$5.00
Full result · 6 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Zaragoza | 1 | K S Latham | R & L Price | 60kg | $2.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Calgary King | 8 | Emma Ly | Blake Ryan | 53kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Mr Rock It | 7 | Holly Durnan | R & L Price | 58kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 5 | Flying Rani | 3 | Ms L Day | Matthew Smith | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Just One Look | 9 | H Van Der Hoven | J D Cooper | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Ranuncula | 6 | A J Calder | P L Boyd | 55kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Oceans One | 2 | Olivia Chambers | Edward O''Rourke | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Extreme Diva | 5 | William Stanley | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Discreet Miss | 4 | Michelle Ritchie | 55.5kg |
Go Hire The Event People Super Mdn Plate
15:35 local1400mMaiden$60,000,128,400,210,350,000,000,000,000,000
Winner12. Twilight EleganceSP $16.00
★ Top pick3rd
13Swag
Gets conditions to suit from good draw and should handle step up in trip based on finishing strength. Professional stable and has more upside than most rivals.
2nd pick4th
4West Head
Reliable type who has been knocking on the door. Maps to get good run despite wide gate and should be strong through line. Main danger to top pick but slight concern about track conditions.
3rd pickScratched
3Strassman
Coming off encouraging placing and should appreciate step up in trip. Gear change suggests stable confidence and proven on soft tracks. Wide gate a concern but likely to get genuine tempo which suits.
Value pick5th
8Haberfield
Progressive filly who has shown ability in limited starts. Gets perfect run from good draw and weight relief helps.
- 1st12Twilight EleganceR Downey$16.00
- 2nd5AudenziaPierre Boudvillain$14.00
- 3rd13SwagK S Latham$1.90
- 4th4West HeadGrant Buckley$3.50
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Twilight Elegance | 7 | R Downey | C Maher | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Audenzia | 9 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 13 | Swag | 3 | K S Latham | Michael Freedman | 56.5kg | $1.90 |
| 4th | 4 | West Head | 12 | Grant Buckley | Brad Widdup | 59kg | $3.50 |
| 5th | 8 | Haberfield | 5 | Ms L Day | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 6 | Fairhead | 1 | H Van Der Hoven | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Glitterscript | 2 | Chad Lever | R & L Price | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Rubilace | 10 | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | $41.00 | |
| 9th | 1 | Kurrajong | 8 | Q Krogh | Paul Murray | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Pharoah Queen | 13 | Jean Van Overmeire | C Maher | 57kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Rhegion | 4 | Mitchell Bell | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 59kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Strassman | 11 | Mitchell Beer | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Kitty Okay | 6 | Ms T Bateup | 57kg |
Mitch Beer Racing (Bm64)
16:15 local1500mBenchmark 64$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner7. City LimitsSP $8.00
★ Top pick6th
8Euromaster
Gets significant weight relief and draws perfectly for the anticipated tempo. Recent form suggests ready for this distance and class rise. Strong each-way credentials.
2nd pick7th
3Linwood
Well-performed mare from strong stable adding blinkers. Should get perfect run just off pace and proven at this level. Barrier somewhat awkward but tactical speed to overcome. Strong winning chance.
3rd pick3rd
12November Air
Lightly-raced filly on upward trajectory getting in light. Drawn to get perfect run and should handle conditions. Class rise but scope for improvement and strong recent form suggests ready for this level.
Value pick8th
4Pioneer Lass
Seasoned mare dropping significantly in class with strong track statistics.
- 1st7City LimitsPierre Boudvillain$8.00
- 2nd9Tip Top TimingDeanne Panya$31.00
- 3rd12November AirMadeline Owen$7.50
- 4th2This Is The MomentR Downey$3.50
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | City Limits | 10 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Tip Top Timing | 8 | Deanne Panya | C E Conners | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | November Air | 4 | Madeline Owen | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 52kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 2 | This Is The Moment | 5 | R Downey | Mitchell Beer | 61.5kg | $3.50 |
| 5th | 13 | Airliner | 2 | Grant Buckley | T J Robinson | 55kg | $20.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Euromaster | 3 | Olivia Chambers | R T Leemon | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 7th | 3 | Linwood | 9 | Ms L Day | C Maher | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Pioneer Lass | 7 | Jean Van Overmeire | Matthew Smith | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Lucky Bay | 6 | L P Beuzelin | R & L Price | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Artful Persuasion | 13 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Beer | 59kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Pelosa | 12 | Mitchell Bell | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 58kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Tact | 1 | K S Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 58kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Heir Jordan | 11 | Chad Lever | Luke Musson | 56.5kg |
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