Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Monday 26 May 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 7 races at Mornington. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Only 15 days between runs suggests he's come through his first start well. Has natural speed and should improve significantly second-up. The wide barrier is a concern but the fast tempo should allow him to find a position. Craig Newitt is a positive jockey booking.
The favorable barrier draw (4) should allow for a positive position in running. The application of a tongue tie first-up suggests connections are optimizing breathing.
Filly who has shown ability without winning from 8 starts. The 1.5kg claim from apprentice Logan Bates is advantageous. Has placed at this track previously and should get a good run from barrier 5. Main concern is her tendency to find one or two better.
Experienced gelding who has shown ability without winning. The barrier draw is favorable and he should get a good run in midfield.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Stahnado | 5 | Logan Bates | John McArdle | 56kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 6 | Party Benefits | 8 | Zac Spain | M J Mehegan | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Discreet Point | 11 | Craig Newitt | Scott Cameron | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Dynasty Reward | 2 | Paul Gatt | Jason Warren | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 2 | El Calafate | 1 | Jamie Mott | A & S Freedman | 59.5kg | $4.60 |
| 6th | 4 | Echuca Moama | 3 | Liam Riordan | Richard Laming | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Heartattack Jack | 6 | Teodore Nugent | D J Walkley | 59.5kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Bimballa | 4 | Paul Gatt | Clayton Douglas | 55kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Kobi Kiss | 7 | Remi Tremsal | Peter Ioannou | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Brazenly | 9 | Eliza Lloyd | Jack Laing | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | After Sunset | 10 | Luke Cartwright | Mark C Webb | 55.5kg |
Team Heist brings solid form credentials with placings in 2 of her last 3 starts. She's been racing over longer trips recently and the drop back to 1500m should suit her running style. With Joe Bowditch aboard, she should be finishing strongly.
Dual Award has only had one career start but gets the services of experienced jockey Jamie Mott from an ideal barrier 1 draw. The removal of blinkers suggests connections are looking to improve his racing manners. With natural improvement expected second-up and a good draw to utilize, he should be competitive in this field.
Royal Egyptian has shown clear improvement across her three career starts, culminating in a close 2nd last start over 1300m. With Daniel Moor aboard and natural progression expected, she appears well-placed to break through in this maiden field.
Daniel Boone represents the powerful Hayes stable and looks ready to improve third-up. The addition of a tongue tie suggests connections are addressing an issue, and the step up to 1500m should suit based on his racing pattern.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Dual Award | 1 | Jamie Mott | Clayton Douglas | 59.5kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Mr Zeus | 5 | Jacob Noonan | Alexander Rae | 59.5kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 12 | Team Heist | 7 | Joe Bowditch | John McArdle | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Jirachi | 4 | Craig Newitt | Ms C Alderson | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Jai Sung Ma | 12 | Remi Tremsal | T T Walsh | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Glissenz | 6 | Nadia Daniels | Mark Stephenson | 54.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Hudson Bay | 2 | Adam Mc Cabe | I M Pankhurst | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Harrata | 11 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Nunniong | 13 | Jason Maskiell | Andrew Perdon | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Set For Success | 10 | Jade Da Rose | Benjamin Buckley | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Rich Curves | 8 | Patrick Moloney | David & Coral Feek | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Royal Egyptian | 3 | Daniel Moor | Ms W Kelly | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Daniel Boone | 9 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg |
Larkin showed significant ability on debut with a strong second at Kyneton on similar soft ground. The wide barrier is somewhat offset by his forward racing style, and Ben Allen retains the ride.
Chocolate Box returns from a spell with some promising form, including a solid fourth at Sale over 1400m. The middle barrier suits her racing pattern, and she should be ready to fire fresh.
Zoucat is a well-bred filly from the powerful Ciaron Maher stable who showed ability on debut despite finishing fourth. The step up to 1200m looks suitable, and barrier 8 gives options.
Aussie Adaptor makes his return with significant gear changes (ear muffs pre-race and tongue tie) which suggests improvement. His only start produced a reasonable time despite finishing well back, and the Jason Warren stable knows how to prepare a horse. The 1.5kg claim helps offset the wide barrier.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Chocolate Box | 7 | Jamie Mott | Ms W Kelly | 57.5kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 10 | Shezadente | 15 | Matthew Cartwright | C Vidotto & C Beasy | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | Zoucat | 8 | Celine Gaudry | C Maher | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Strum | 2 | Paul Gatt | Dennis Julius | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Kalashani Queen | 3 | Remi Tremsal | T T Walsh | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Kentucky Women | 5 | Lauren Burke | S P Nichols | 54.5kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Magnardo | 4 | Liam Riordan | Robert Palm | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Montana Rose | 13 | Jacob Noonan | Mick Nolan | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Aussie Adaptor | 14 | Logan Bates | Jason Warren | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Larkin | 12 | Ben Allen | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 59.5kg | $3.10 |
| 11th | 4 | Triginta | 1 | Ms B Schreuder | 59.5kg | $151.00 | |
| 12th | 2 | Stevland | 9 | Adam Mc Cabe | I M Pankhurst | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Mauna Kea Miss | 10 | Melea Castle | Rory Hunter | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Tsarina Diamonds | 6 | Zac Spain | S P Nichols | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Launceston | 11 | Jacob Noonan | Clayton Douglas | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | La Moma | 16 | Daniel Moor | Alexander Rae | 57.5kg |
Lightly-raced 3YO filly with perfect place record at the distance and proven soft track ability. Coming off a strong maiden win at Moe on similar conditions 13 days ago. The class rise is offset by her progressive profile and weight advantage. Ideally positioned in midfield with the right tactical speed for this very fast tempo.
Consistent 3YO filly with excellent place record at this distance and track. Last start 5th at Pakenham was better than it looks on paper. Tactical versatility allows her to settle midfield and finish strongly in this fast-tempo race. Jamie Mott knows the horse well and should give her every chance.
Consistent mare with solid track/distance credentials and proven soft track ability. Last start 3rd at Kyneton showed she's holding form, and the 3kg claim from Lauren Burke is valuable. Drawn to get a perfect run from barrier 3 and should be finishing strongly. While she often finds one or two better, she's reliable for the minor placings and could surprise if the favorites underperform.
While she hasn't won at this distance, she has placed 3 times from 11 attempts. Craig Newitt is a significant jockey booking who knows Mornington well. The inside barrier is tricky but could be advantageous if she jumps cleanly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Sun Setting | 2 | Ms D Keane | M M Laurie | 58kg | $1.70 |
| 2nd | 4 | Give Faith | 7 | Jamie Mott | John McArdle | 59kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 2 | Pianist | 1 | Craig Newitt | S B Laming | 60.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Fullproof | 9 | Nadia Daniels | Ms V Chapple Fahler | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Dreamnt Enough | 8 | Remi Tremsal | Ms B Schreuder | 54kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Highland Beauty | 5 | Matthew Cartwright | M T Binney | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Innocent Enuff | 4 | Jordyn Weatherley | Logan McGill | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Sibel | 3 | Lauren Burke | R W Harrison | 55kg | $8.50 |
| Scr | 6 | Free To Play | 6 | Daniel Moor | Melanie Bullard | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Per Ivy | 10 | Hannah Edgley | Colin Scott | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Bleuet De France | 11 | Ebony Tucker | 54kg |
Affluential brings the strongest form credentials into this race with a recent win at Flemington over 2500m. His excellent record on soft tracks (6 wins from 13 starts) is a significant advantage given conditions. While carrying top weight, he's proven his ability to handle it previously. The combination of strong recent form, proven staying ability, and top jockey engagement makes him the clear standout.
Gypsy Cove is an improving young stayer who finished a solid second last start over this distance. While he's facing a class rise here, his light weight (55.5kg) and good barrier draw are positives. His soft track record is a concern, but his recent form suggests he's ready to take the next step. Could surprise if the race is run to suit.
Sing For Peace is a progressive stayer who's showing improvement with each run. His recent hurdle win demonstrates his stamina reserves, which will be crucial over this 3000m journey. While this represents a class rise, his soft track record and staying prowess suggest he can be competitive. Likely to be running on strongly late if the pace is genuine.
His recent performances have been consistent, and he's well-suited by the soft track conditions. Worth including in exotics at the very least.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Affluential | 6 | Jye Mc Neil | J Leek Jnr | 62kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 6 | Heir To The Throne | 4 | Teodore Nugent | Andrea Leek | 54.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Holly''s Star | 8 | Jett Stanley | E & D Browne | 54kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Gypsy Cove | 3 | Craig Newitt | Ms C Alderson | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Right Now | 9 | Jamie Mott | S B Laming | 58kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 8 | Not Usual Dream | 2 | Paul Gatt | Rachael Cunningham | 54kg | $151.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Leaderboard | 5 | Sage Duric | M W Walker | 58kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Sing For Peace | 7 | Jacob Noonan | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Wambeen | 1 | T J Andrews | 54kg |
Despite the wide barrier, his ability to settle midfield should mitigate this disadvantage. Has performed well at Mornington previously with two seconds and a third from three attempts. Jamie Mott is a significant positive and the horse appears well-placed despite the weight.
Five Star King brings solid recent form with a 3rd place finish at this track and class level last start. The drop in weight is beneficial, and while his soft track record is limited, he appears to be in career-best form currently.
Her inside barrier should allow her to find a good position in running, and she has proven soft track ability with a win on similar going. While facing a class rise, her recent 3rd at this track suggests she's capable of handling the step up.
The combination with experienced jockey Teodore Nugent is a significant positive.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Second Fix | 16 | Jamie Mott | A & S Freedman | 60.5kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 10 | Bencouver | 6 | Zac Spain | M J Mehegan | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 13 | Auckland | 3 | Teodore Nugent | Simone Walker | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 12 | Soho Princess | 2 | Melea Castle | Pat Carey & Harris Walker | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 14 | Hazard A Guess | 1 | Liam Riordan | D P Blackshaw | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Aminatu | 14 | Hannah Edgley | Reece Goodwin | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Count Of Toulouse | 13 | Tianni Chapman | Dale Short | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Five Star King | 9 | Luke Cartwright | J D Sadler | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 8 | Mawhera | 4 | Lauren Burke | Mick Nolan | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Tidal Force | 11 | Jordyn Weatherley | Logan McGill | 60.5kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Finance Shogun | 12 | Joe Bowditch | Shea Eden | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Acheter | 10 | Jacob Noonan | A W Noonan | 60kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Don''t Russia | 15 | Jason Maskiell | Craig Blackshaw | 59kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Cheeky Blinders | 5 | T Ladd | Daniel Williams | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Moose Jaw | 7 | Sally Wynne | Ms S L Wynne | 54kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Darra Linen | 8 | K T Bourke | 54kg |
The 3kg claim helps offset the top weight, and he's proven capable of carrying big weights to victory. Clearly the one to beat.
Queen Beira brings solid credentials with excellent distance form and consistent recent performances. The class drop is significant after racing well in stronger company. While she's yet to win on soft going, she has placed on soft tracks. Jamie Mott is a positive jockey booking, and from barrier 2 she should get an economical run in a forward position.
Lava Delta is a progressive 3yo filly who won impressively last start at this track over the same distance. The wide barrier is a concern, but her progressive profile suggests further improvement.
Futatsu represents excellent value with a remarkable place record (8 from 10 starts) and proven soft track ability. While she's stepping up in class, her consistency is outstanding with 5 seconds and 3 thirds from 10 starts.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Queen Beira | 2 | Jamie Mott | David & Coral Feek | 60.5kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Master Polanski | 4 | Patrick Moloney | David & Coral Feek | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Lava Delta | 12 | Adam Mc Cabe | C W McDonald | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Outcaster | 9 | Jason Maskiell | Rachael Cunningham | 60kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 4 | Futatsu | 7 | Luke Cartwright | Clayton Douglas | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Williamstown | 3 | Beau Treloar | R J Blacker | 62.5kg | $4.40 |
| 7th | 11 | Tight Grip | 14 | Zac Spain | N G Eades | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Vibrant Angel | 6 | Liam Riordan | D P Blackshaw | 59kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Well Crafted | 5 | Matthew Cartwright | Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 15 | Mrs Gossip | 8 | Ms D Keane | A W Noonan | 53kg | $19.00 |
| 11th | 16 | Jamesarelli | 13 | Ms B Schreuder | 54kg | $151.00 | |
| Scr | 6 | Jakk''s Fortune | 15 | Sally Wynne | Adam Hanley | 59kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Universally | 1 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 59kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Faberge Tzar | 16 | Sheridan Clarke | Andrew Perdon | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Master Right | 10 | Jett Stanley | Shannon Roughan | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Laugh With Me | 11 | Joseph Waldron | 55kg |
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