Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Friday 13 June 2025
Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Ballarat Synthetic. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Night Flash stands out with consistent form, including two thirds from three starts. The significant class drop from Open company to Maiden level is a major positive. While unproven on synthetic, overall form suggests adaptability.
You Count, while lacking race experience, shows promise as a first starter from the Thomas Sadler stable. The addition of a cross-over nose band is a positive gear change. The wide barrier is a concern, but the unknown potential and trainer form make this a solid second pick.
Next Step Iowa, another first starter, benefits from the addition of a barrier blanket. While lacking race experience and drawn slightly wide, the unknown potential and gear change make this a solid third pick in a race with several unraced runners.
With 2 seconds and 2 thirds from 8 starts, including strong form at this distance, the mare shows consistency. While unproven on synthetic and carrying 57.5kg, her overall form and fresh legs make her an attractive value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Night Flash | 8 | Harry Coffey | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $1.55 |
| 2nd | 1 | Better Shape Up | 5 | Declan Bates | Archie Alexander | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Next Step Iowa | 10 | M M Laurie | 57.5kg | $9.00 | |
| 4th | 10 | You Count | 13 | Rhys Mc Leod | Thomas Sadler | 57.5kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 2 | More Give It | 1 | Neil Farley | Heath Chalmers | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Evil Lover | 3 | Patrick Moloney | S P Nichols | 57.5kg | $4.80 |
| 7th | 14 | Brave Apache | 2 | Jake Duffy | Chris Calthorpe | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Mahi Mahi | 7 | Carleen Hefel | Erin Maher | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Twin Fox | 6 | Sheridan Clarke | Ms W Kelly | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Hand Crafted | 9 | Cian Macredmond | Ann-Jeanette Tindale | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Gamadale Curly | 4 | E J Walsh | Heath Chalmers | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Cartier Island | 14 | Joe Bowditch | L Kennewell & L Yeomans | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Kamigamo | 12 | T Busuttin & N Young | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Garfield | 11 | Craig Atkinson | Ms H White | 59.5kg |
Mercurial Lady presents as the top selection with strong recent form, placing in both career starts. The filly carries a significant weight advantage at 56kg and has drawn the inside barrier, which should provide tactical options.
Renege shows consistent form with recent placings and is dropping in class for this race. While drawn wider and carrying more weight than some rivals, his class and consistency make him a strong contender.
The gear changes (blinkers off, tongue tie on) could lead to improvement. While carrying top weight and drawn wide, the experienced jockey Harry Coffey could navigate these challenges. The long break is a concern but may be offset by the horse's natural ability.
While lightly raced with only one start, there's potential for significant improvement. The filly carries a weight advantage and has a strong jockey booking in Declan Bates.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Mercurial Lady | 1 | Carleen Hefel | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $1.45 |
| 2nd | 3 | Dynasty Reward | 5 | Rhys Mc Leod | Jason Warren | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Immortal One | 15 | Cian Macredmond | Tyler Donaldson-Aitken | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Bella Gisella | 8 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 13 | Cappa Grande | 4 | Harry Grace | Tom Dabernig | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Blue Jean Queen | 3 | Melissa Julius | Daniel Kelly | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Renege | 10 | Alana Kelly | Thomas Conlan | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 14 | Kalkee | 13 | Daniel Moor | R G Symons | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Dubai Countess | 7 | E J Walsh | Matthew Cumani | 56kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Acantilado | 6 | Jake Duffy | Craig Weeding | 58kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Deccan Odyssey | 14 | Harry Coffey | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | The Village Fox | 12 | Milos Bunjevac | Craig Weeding | 58kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Vidocq | 9 | Ryan Hurdle | Robert Hickmott | 58kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Rambling | 11 | Teodore Nugent | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 56kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Clarapatra | 2 | A R McGregor | 56kg |
Well-suited to the distance and carries a favorable weight. The inside barrier draw should allow for a positive position in running. While yet to break through for a win, all signs point to a breakthrough performance.
Well-drawn in barrier 2, which should allow for a good run. Proven performer at this distance. While carrying slightly more weight, the overall form suggests a strong showing is likely.
Carries a light weight which is advantageous. The wide barrier is a concern, but the consistent performances suggest the ability to overcome this. Unproven at the track but overall form is solid.
The break since last run could see a fresh performance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Tell Us Toll | 2 | Declan Bates | Mitchell Freedman | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Flux | 11 | Neil Farley | Rodney Foster | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Moaksun | 14 | Mr M Aitken | Henry Dwyer | 59.5kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Runchickenrun | 13 | Alana Kelly | P Koumis | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 1 | Bravue | 4 | W Gordon | A R Coffey | 59.5kg | $91.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Figurante | 10 | Harry Coffey | K G McCartin | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Infer | 9 | Milos Bunjevac | Tammy Birnie | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 4 | Lightning Joey | 7 | Jacob Noonan | J P Salanitri | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Starchino | 5 | Patrick Moloney | Pat Carey & Harris Walker | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Shimazy | 1 | Ms J Kennedy | Paul A Jones | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Timely Tom | 3 | Carleen Hefel | David & Coral Feek | 59.5kg | $4.00 |
| 12th | 7 | Bogie Miss | 8 | John Keating | M Sell | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Stealing Souls | 6 | Jason Maskiell | D Meagher | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Sizzano | 12 | Melissa Julius | Jessie Constantine | 57.5kg |
Mrs Harris shows promising form with a last-start placing over 1500m. The step up to 2100m should suit her progressive profile, and she gets in well at the weights. Harry Coffey is a strong jockey booking, and from barrier 8, she should get a good run. While inexperienced, her upside potential makes her the top selection.
Obstructionist brings consistent form to this race, including a last-start placing over 1600m. The step up to 2100m looks ideal, and he's well drawn in barrier 2. While yet to break through for a win, his consistency and suitability for this trip make him a strong contender. The top weight is a slight concern, but he should be in the finish.
Triora showed promise with a last-start second over this distance. The good barrier draw should allow her to settle in a forward position. While still relatively inexperienced and unproven on synthetic, her last run suggests she has the potential to be competitive at this trip. The slight rise in class is a concern, but she could improve further.
While yet to place in 8 starts, his recent runs indicate potential for further improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Draw Attention | 14 | Will Price | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57.5kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 4 | Obstructionist | 2 | W Gordon | P Kearney | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Honeyjoy | 1 | Neil Farley | Aaron Purcell | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Battle Point | 11 | Cian Macredmond | Julie Scott | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Triora | 5 | E J Walsh | C Maher | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 11 | Mrs Harris | 8 | Harry Coffey | T & C McEvoy | 57.5kg | $3.70 |
| 7th | 10 | I Am Smiling | 9 | Ms J Kennedy | Matthew Cumani | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Girlpower | 4 | Sheridan Clarke | S A Lake | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Le Plus Rapide | 3 | Milos Bunjevac | Ann-Jeanette Tindale | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Wet ''n'' Dry | 15 | Teodore Nugent | Shay Keating | 59.5kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Vibranium | 13 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 12th | 2 | Flying Shelby | 6 | Jason Maskiell | Paul A Jones | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Grey Sabre | 17 | Joe Bowditch | D M Noonan | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Ocean Symphony | 10 | Carleen Hefel | C Maher | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Reward The Crown | 16 | Ms J Kennedy | Brian Lawlor | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Our Swan Song | 12 | Ryan Houston | P J Roche | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Phoenician | 7 | Carleen Hefel | E W Ewert | 59.5kg |
Albanian Star presents as the top selection with consistent recent form, a significant weight drop, and a favorable barrier draw. The mare should get an ideal run just off the pace, which suits her racing pattern. While unproven on synthetic, her adaptability to various track conditions is a positive.
She Mogul is a consistent performer who should be well-suited by the conditions. The filly has strong form references and the Hayes stable is in good form. While the top weight is a concern, her class should see her competitive in this field.
Pure Rain has been racing consistently and gets in well at the weights. The mare has shown improvement in recent starts and should be suited by the 1400m distance.
Radstar offers value in this field given her strong record at Ballarat and good fresh form. While the long spell is a concern, the mare has performed well when fresh in the past.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Albanian Star | 1 | Jacob Noonan | Reece Goodwin | 57kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 4 | Pure Rain | 5 | Alana Kelly | S A Beani | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | She Mogul | 8 | Harry Coffey | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 61kg | $3.50 |
| 4th | 8 | Dandino Belle | 2 | Teodore Nugent | Dane Smith | 54kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Midivani | 7 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | Brooke Verwey-Mitchell | 51kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Lady Of Steel | 3 | Ms J Kennedy | Shay Keating | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Radstar | 10 | E J Walsh | Thomas Carberry | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Elaborate Ruse | 6 | Amy Herrmann | Deanne Taylor | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Lady Prancelot | 4 | Jordyn Weatherley | Tom Dabernig | 60kg | $5.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Coomoroo Lady | 9 | Jake Duffy | Craig Weeding | 56.5kg |
Winning Toast shows a clear improving trend with strong recent form. The light weight of 55.5kg is a significant advantage, and the improving form suggests he's ready to handle the step up in class.
Montjeuify presents as a solid contender with consistent form and proven ability at the distance. The gelding's suitability for synthetic surfaces and advantageous barrier draw offset the challenge of carrying top weight. Recent form suggests he's capable of a strong performance despite the slightly longer break between runs.
Roadie brings solid credentials with consistent form and a proven record at the track. The mare's suitable weight and good performance at similar distances make her a strong contender. While the slightly longer break between runs is a minor concern, her overall profile suggests she can be competitive in this field.
The lack of synthetic track experience is a risk, but the class relief could spark a return to form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Winning Toast | 11 | Teodore Nugent | C A Conron | 55.5kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 7 | Roadie | 5 | Declan Bates | Andrew Noblet | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Montjeuify | 3 | Ms J Kennedy | Matthew Cumani | 60.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Capulet | 6 | Harry Coffey | T & C McEvoy | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Hennessy Lad | 2 | Carleen Hefel | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Oceanic Flash | 8 | Alana Kelly | Andrew Payne | 59.5kg | $91.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Arden Green | 4 | Nadia Daniels | David Brideoake & Matt Jenkins | 51.5kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Estrapaz | 7 | S V Brown | David & Coral Feek | 60.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Crackle ''n'' Burn | 9 | Jordyn Weatherley | Tom Dabernig | 52.5kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Intuitu | 1 | Jacob Noonan | Alexander Rae | 60kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Showmara | 10 | Lauren Burke | S P Nichols | 55kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Wats Normal | 12 | Jake Duffy | T & C McEvoy | 57kg |
Strike Gold presents as the top selection with strong recent form, including a win last start. The class drop from BM64 to BM70 is favorable, and his impressive synthetic track record (4 wins from 6 starts) is a significant advantage.
Lim's Bighorn has a strong overall record and excellent synthetic track form. The class drop from BM84 to BM70 is significant, and the 3kg claim helps offset the top weight. While the wide barrier and poor last start are concerns, the horse's proven ability on synthetic surfaces makes it a strong contender.
Santastico shows consistent recent form with 3 top-3 finishes in his last 4 starts. While facing a slight class rise, the good barrier draw and consistent form make Santastico a solid contender in this field.
The weight relief to 58.5kg is favorable, and the experienced jockey is a plus.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Toompine | 6 | Jake Duffy | V L Malady | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Lim''s Bighorn | 12 | Nadia Daniels | D Meagher | 61kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Highland Son | 13 | Carleen Hefel | Anthony Chibnall | 58.5kg | $51.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Santastico | 8 | Ryan Hurdle | M J Seyers | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Ranakye | 2 | Jake Duffy | David Brideoake & Matt Jenkins | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Layeruponlayer | 10 | W Gordon | Mathew Smerdon | 61kg | $4.20 |
| 7th | 2 | Strike Gold | 11 | Harry Coffey | T Fitzsimmons | 61.5kg | $3.60 |
| 8th | 8 | Lulu Darling | 3 | Emily Pozman | Michael Huglin | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 9th | 9 | Lady Dumont | 9 | Declan Bates | Andrew Noblet | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Eugenius | 4 | Lauren Burke | S P Nichols | 58.5kg | $4.60 |
| Scr | 11 | The Viking | 7 | Patrick Moloney | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 55kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Miss Mahjong | 1 | Cian Macredmond | Matthew Cumani | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Harpalee | 5 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56.5kg |
Omaha Dawn presents as a strong contender with a good win rate and proven ability on synthetic tracks. The weight advantage and potential for improvement as a lightly raced 3-year-old are significant positives. The long break is a concern, but first-up form is solid.
Attaboom is a consistent performer with a strong place record. The good barrier draw and recent strong performance on synthetic are positives. While the win rate is a concern, the horse's consistency and suitability for the track conditions make it a solid place chance.
The significant class drop from his last start win is a major positive. While the wide barrier and top weight are concerns, his ability to overcome challenges and perform at this distance makes him the top selection.
Sontay offers value with a strong record on synthetic tracks and consistent recent form. The weight relief and potential for improvement are positives. While the long break and limited win record are concerns, the horse's ability on this surface makes it an interesting value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | In Love | 2 | Ryan Hurdle | M J Seyers | 57.5kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | El Pibe De Oro | 5 | Rhys Mc Leod | Nick Ryan | 61.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Sontay | 6 | Jason Maskiell | Mitchell Freedman | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 5 | El Salto | 15 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | L E Robertson | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Roo Dash One | 1 | Tianni Chapman | Brittany Raymond | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 6 | A Good Yarn | 4 | Melissa Julius | M J McKenzie | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 14 | First Division | 9 | Ryan Houston | Ms H Burns | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Omaha Dawn | 10 | Harry Coffey | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $3.90 |
| 9th | 10 | Limb Runner | 8 | Alana Kelly | P Koumis | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Laminar | 12 | Emily Pozman | Michael Huglin | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Attaboom | 3 | E J Walsh | Anthony Cosgriff | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 12th | 4 | Aminatu | 7 | Jacob Noonan | Reece Goodwin | 60.5kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Tochka | 14 | Nadia Daniels | T & C McEvoy | 60kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Supervise | 11 | Sheridan Clarke | Carly Thomas | 62kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Raging Monkey | 13 | L E Robertson | 54.5kg |
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