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New South Wales · Saturday 21 June 2025

Kembla Grange tips and results

Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Good 4Rail +6m EntireFineKembla Grange track guide ›
Top pick won3/838%
Any tip won5/863%
Top pick placed5/863%
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R1

Celly Off The Blocks Mdn Plate

11:50 local1600mMaiden$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner3. So Long FarewellSP $1.75
★ Top pickWon
3So Long Farewell

Our price $2.20 · SP $1.75 · R Downey

So Long Farewell presents as the top selection with consistent form, including a recent 2nd place finish.

2nd pick5th
4Why Why Why

Our price $4.00 · SP $9.50 · Ryan Bradley

Why Why Why shows an improving form trend and carries a significant weight advantage over the top selection. The inside barrier draw is favorable, and there's potential for further improvement.

3rd pick3rd
5Arduous

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.40 · L P Beuzelin

The favorable barrier draw is a plus, but the filly remains unplaced in all starts and is stepping up in distance. This combination of factors places Arduous as the third selection.

Value pick4th
8Zeema

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.00 · Chad Lever

A significant class drop and the booking of experienced jockey Chad Lever add to the appeal.

  1. 1st3So Long FarewellR Downey$1.75
  2. 2nd7GrainneMitchell Bell$12.00
  3. 3rd5ArduousL P Beuzelin$4.40
  4. 4th8ZeemaChad Lever$7.00
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3So Long Farewell3R DowneyC Maher59kg$1.75
2nd7Grainne5Mitchell BellL J Bridge57kg$12.00
3rd5Arduous2L P BeuzelinG Waterhouse & A Bott57kg$4.40
4th8Zeema4Chad LeverR & L Price57kg$7.00
5th4Why Why Why1Ryan BradleyK J Parker55kg$9.50
6th1Dear Frank8C E Conners59kg$17.00
Scr2Jamarni6R & L Price59kg
Scr6Audenzia7Ms D Poidevin-Laine57kg
R2

GM3 Dendrobium Mine Mdn Plate

12:30 local1000mMaiden$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner10. LullSP $5.50
★ Top pick2nd
3Gambler

Our price $2.20 · SP $2.45

Likely to lead or be prominent early, which suits the track and distance. The long break is a slight concern, but the stable is adept at having horses ready first-up.

2nd pickWon
10Lull

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Mitchell Bell

Lull has drawn perfectly and should get an economical run. The slight drop back in distance and better track should suit.

3rd pick5th
11Mimi''s

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.00 · L P Beuzelin

Mimi's lacks exposed form but comes from a top stable known for having their horses ready to win on debut. However, the lack of form data adds uncertainty.

Value pick4th
8In Limbo

Our price $10.00 · SP $12.00

  1. 1st10LullMitchell Bell$5.50
  2. 2nd3Gambler$2.45
  3. 3rd5Commanding BelleBrock Ryan$21.00
  4. 4th8In Limbo$12.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Lull1Mitchell BellJames Cummings55kg$5.50
2nd3Gambler3Peter Snowden57kg$2.45
3rd5Commanding Belle12Brock RyanR & L Price55kg$21.00
4th8In Limbo2G Ryan & S Alexiou55kg$12.00
5th11Mimi''s5L P BeuzelinG Waterhouse & A Bott55kg$6.00
6th2Codename7Christian ReithBrad Widdup57kg$18.00
7th4Shredded6Chad LeverMichael Freedman57kg$3.90
8th7First Prize8A J CalderP & M Cave55kg$61.00
Scr1Aligned4Peter Snowden57kg
Scr6Cosmic Eagle11W F PinnG Ryan & S Alexiou55kg
Scr9Lady Talea10J C Coyle55kg
Scr12Who I Think I Am9C Maher55kg
R3

Liam Tomlinson Nexus Mining Provincial Hcp (C1)

13:05 local1400mClass 1$4,500,012,100,028,000,000,000,000,000,000
Winner5. Butterfly StyleSP $5.00
★ Top pick4th
3Cuban Rain

Our price $2.50 · SP $2.40 · Brock Ryan

Has a strong record at the track and distance, and carries a competitive weight. The class rise is a concern, but the improving form suggests she can handle it.

2nd pick2nd
8Tears For Fears

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00

The class drop is a significant advantage, and the quick backup suggests maintained fitness. While yet to win at this distance, her form suggests she's capable of a strong performance.

3rd pickWon
5Butterfly Style

Our price $3.50 · SP $5.00

Butterfly Style is a recent winner showing progressive form. The lightweight and inside barrier are significant advantages. However, the class rise and limited experience at this level are concerns.

Value pick7th
2Jared

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00

His experience at the distance and track is a plus.

  1. 1st5Butterfly Style$5.00
  2. 2nd8Tears For Fears$5.00
  3. 3rd6Crusader RazorChad Lever$16.00
  4. 4th3Cuban RainBrock Ryan$2.40
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Butterfly Style1Mitchell Beer56kg$5.00
2nd8Tears For Fears7Mitchell Beer56kg$5.00
3rd6Crusader Razor3Chad LeverNikki Hodgson56kg$16.00
4th3Cuban Rain5Brock RyanR & L Price57.5kg$2.40
5th4Cosmos Factory4Ryan BradleyK J Parker52.5kg$21.00
6th7Machination8Ms T Bateup56kg$91.00
7th2Jared6Ms K Waugh58kg$7.00
8th1Hippy Dreams2Mitchell BellEdward Cummings58kg$8.00
R4

Jamie Layt Memorial Hcp (C1)

13:40 local1200mClass 1$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner1. ZouripperSP $4.40
★ Top pickWon
1Zouripper

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.40 · Brock Ryan

Shalaa's Moment brings strong recent form and a proven track/distance record. The step up in class is offset by its current form and suitability for the conditions.

2nd pick5th
4Stage Legend

Our price $3.80 · SP $26.00

Tycoon Hallie presents as a strong contender with consistent form and a weight advantage. The jockey/trainer combination's high strike rate adds confidence.

3rd pick6th
2Hippolyte Rock

Our price $5.50 · SP $13.00 · Jeff Penza

Satin And Silk shows promise with a recent strong performance in similar class and a good distance record. The addition of blinkers and a favorable barrier draw enhance its chances. However, an inconsistent track record and increased weight temper expectations slightly.

Value pick7th
7Hellaine

Our price $9.00 · SP $11.00

Tavi Time represents value with improving form and significant weight relief. The trainer's strong record with improving types adds confidence.

  1. 1st1ZouripperBrock Ryan$4.40
  2. 2nd5Moonlight DreamMitch Stapleford$6.50
  3. 3rd3Spaceballs$2.90
  4. 4th6Point ScoreMollie Fitzgerald$4.40
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Zouripper3Brock RyanJohn Thompson60kg$4.40
2nd5Moonlight Dream7Mitch StaplefordJoseph Pride53.5kg$6.50
3rd3Spaceballs4C Maher59kg$2.90
4th6Point Score5Mollie FitzgeraldMs A Turner54.5kg$4.40
5th4Stage Legend6L J Bridge57kg$26.00
6th2Hippolyte Rock1Jeff PenzaC J Waller59kg$13.00
7th7Hellaine2John Thompson55.5kg$11.00
8th8Heron8Chad LeverBlake Ryan55kg$26.00
R5

Absolute Towing Midway Mdn Hcp

14:15 local1200mMaiden$4,500,012,100,028,000,000,000,000,000,000
Winner10. Girls WeekendSP $31.00
★ Top pick4th
4Painted Wings

Our price $4.00 · SP $18.00

Snitzel's Pride has been knocking on the door with consistent placings and looks ready to break through. The step up to 1200m should suit based on recent finishing efforts. Well drawn and with a proven record on good tracks, expect a strong finishing burst.

2nd pickScratched
1Wild Thoughts

Our price $3.20 · Grant Buckley

Asgard's Sword brings strong recent form and a proven track/distance record to this race. The gelding's last start win under similar conditions and consistent jockey/trainer combination give confidence. Well-weighted and likely to be prominent from the outset, he looks the one to beat.

3rd pickScratched
7Better Breakout

Our price $5.50

Rapid Fire impressed with a strong maiden win last start and looks set to improve second-up. The light weight and versatile racing style give options from the middle barrier. While stepping up to provincial grade, the natural improvement expected makes him a genuine contender.

Value pick5th
9Border Town

Our price $9.00 · SP $4.40 · Mollie Fitzgerald

The significant weight drop and strong track record are positives, while the inside draw should ensure a economical run.

  1. 1st10Girls Weekend$31.00
  2. 2nd2Western Lane$7.50
  3. 3rd11Mackinaw Peach$26.00
  4. 4th4Painted Wings$18.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Girls Weekend7Mitchell Beer55kg$31.00
2nd2Western Lane4G Ryan & S Alexiou58kg$7.50
3rd11Mackinaw Peach10David Pfieffer55kg$26.00
4th4Painted Wings3Edward Cummings57kg$18.00
5th9Border Town8Mollie FitzgeraldMs A Turner53.5kg$4.40
6th6Convert6Chad LeverR & L Price56.5kg$6.50
7th13Thaibeefsalade2Ross McConville55kg$26.00
8th3Rainbow Goddess9Brock RyanJohn Thompson57.5kg$1.85
Scr1Wild Thoughts11Grant BuckleyK J Parker59kg
Scr5Smart Cry12J C Coyle57kg
Scr7Better Breakout5Lee & Cherie Curtis56kg
Scr8Lightly Sparkled13Mitchell Beer56kg
Scr12Playful Puzzle1Joseph Ible55kg
R6

Moretti Constructions (Bm64)

14:50 local2000mBenchmark 64$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner5. AntSP $2.80
★ Top pick2nd
2Coto De Caza

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.40 · Mitch Stapleford

Toomuchtobear brings strong credentials to this race with consistent form over the distance and a good record at Kembla Grange. Well-weighted despite carrying 59kg, he should get a nice run midfield and finish strongly. The Good track suits and his recent form suggests he's ready to win.

2nd pick3rd
1Up And Under

Our price $3.80 · SP $6.50

Zouologist drops in class and should appreciate the return to provincial grade. With a good barrier and strong jockey booking, he's likely to be prominent throughout. The 60kg is a concern, but his class edge and proven ability at the trip make him a serious contender.

3rd pick7th
4Piplup

Our price $5.50 · SP $10.00 · Christian Reith

Tavi L'amour is an improving type who looks well-placed in this race. Well-weighted and drawn to get a good run, she should appreciate the Good track. While yet to win at 2000m, her recent form suggests she's ready for the step up in trip and class.

Value pick4th
7Heir Jordan

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.00 · Chad Lever

Dropping significantly in weight and proven at the distance, she should appreciate a genuine tempo. While her recent form is only fair, the conditions look suitable for a improved showing.

  1. 1st5Ant$2.80
  2. 2nd2Coto De CazaMitch Stapleford$4.40
  3. 3rd1Up And Under$6.50
  4. 4th7Heir JordanChad Lever$8.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Ant2C J Waller57.5kg$2.80
2nd2Coto De Caza3Mitch StaplefordJ G Sargent58.5kg$4.40
3rd1Up And Under6C J Waller64.5kg$6.50
4th7Heir Jordan5Chad LeverLuke Musson56kg$8.00
5th9Devine Outcast9Brock RyanR & L Price55kg$19.00
6th8Avion Fury8Grant BuckleyPeter D Green55.5kg$14.00
7th4Piplup4Christian ReithBrad Widdup58.5kg$10.00
8th6Demarcay7C J Waller56.5kg$11.00
9th3Rico Suave1Mitchell BellStephen O''Halloran59.5kg$26.00
R7

Daz''s Dash Conditional (Bm68)

15:30 local1600mBenchmark 68$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner3. SatnessSP $4.40
★ Top pick5th
1Artful Persuasion

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.20

Toomuchtobear brings the strongest form to this race, with a consistent record at the track and distance. Well-weighted despite carrying 59kg, and drawn to get an ideal run. The Waller/McEvoy combination adds further confidence. Looks the one to beat.

2nd pick8th
2Toes In The Water

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.80 · Ms C Keatings

Tavi L'amour comes into this race in excellent form, with two strong wins from her last three starts. Well-drawn in barrier 2 and should get a good run. The step up in class is the main query, but she appears ready for the challenge.

3rd pick2nd
4This Is The Moment

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.50 · Holly Durnan

Loch Eagle is a consistent performer who should be well-suited by this race. Has a strong record at the 1600m distance and is well-weighted with 57kg. The wide barrier is a concern, but if he can get cover early, he should be finishing strongly.

Value pick6th
7Allegro Miss

Our price $12.00 · SP $9.00 · Jeff Penza

While recent form has been modest, there's potential for improvement third-up.

  1. 1st3SatnessBrock Ryan$4.40
  2. 2nd4This Is The MomentHolly Durnan$6.50
  3. 3rd5City LimitsPierre Boudvillain$15.00
  4. 4th9Tom CruisingChad Lever$12.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Satness4Brock RyanR & L Price59kg$4.40
2nd4This Is The Moment5Holly DurnanMitchell Beer56kg$6.50
3rd5City Limits7Pierre BoudvillainMs D Poidevin-Laine58kg$15.00
4th9Tom Cruising3Chad LeverK J Parker55kg$12.00
5th1Artful Persuasion8Mitchell Beer60kg$4.20
6th7Allegro Miss6Jeff PenzaC Karakatsanis55kg$9.00
7th6Diamond Show1W F PinnBrad Widdup57kg$11.00
8th2Toes In The Water9Ms C KeatingsN J Olive56.5kg$4.80
9th8Ceremonious2Jean Van OvermeireB Joseph & P & M Jones55kg$31.00
R8

Flicket Ticketing Super Mdn Plate

16:05 local1400mMaiden$60,000,128,400,210,350,000,000,000,000,000
Winner4. Prince HarrisonSP $6.50
★ Top pickWon
4Prince Harrison

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.50

Zoustar Lass has been knocking on the door with three placings from four starts. She's well-weighted and drawn to get an ideal run just off the pace. The slight step up in distance is a query, but she looks ready to break through for a maiden win in this company.

2nd pickScratched
1Dear Frank

Our price $3.20

Asgard's Sword brings the strongest recent form into this race with two wins from his last three starts. He's a proven performer at Kembla Grange over 1400m and boasts a 50% place strike rate. The booking of James McDonald is a significant positive, though he'll need to overcome a wide draw and top weight.

3rd pickScratched
7The Big Blue

Our price $5.50

He's lightly-raced and open to further improvement. The step up to 1400m is a question mark, but his running style suggests he should handle it. Represents a stable in good form.

Value pick3rd
9Audenzia

Our price $9.00 · SP $3.20 · Pierre Boudvillain

Exceed And Excel Filly showed promise on debut, finishing fourth in a similar race. As a well-bred filly, she's likely to improve second-up and the step up in distance should suit. Carries a light weight which is advantageous.

  1. 1st4Prince Harrison$6.50
  2. 1st10Cheeky Dancer$8.50
  3. 3rd9AudenziaPierre Boudvillain$3.20
  4. 4th13Reveillon$16.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Prince Harrison1M C Conners59kg$6.50
1st10Cheeky Dancer7C Maher57kg$8.50
3rd9Audenzia5Pierre BoudvillainMs D Poidevin-Laine57kg$3.20
4th13Reveillon2C J Waller57kg$16.00
5th8Walk Like A Man4C Maher59kg$5.00
6th12Nambi Ghima6J C Coyle57kg$51.00
7th3Pirrip11C J Waller59kg$6.50
8th6Steel Rain9L P BeuzelinG Waterhouse & A Bott59kg$9.50
9th5Septimus8Chad LeverMatthew Smith59kg$15.00
10th11Lunar Fantasy3Joseph Ible57kg$31.00
Scr1Dear Frank10C E Conners59kg
Scr2Le Chocolat12C J Waller59kg
Scr7The Big Blue13John O''Shea & Tom Charlton59kg

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