Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Sunday 29 June 2025
Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Casterton. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Raise The Note presents as the top selection with consistent form over jumps, including a close second in a similar race last start. The mare carries a favorable weight and has shown ability on soft tracks. While yet to win over jumps, her recent performances suggest she's ready to break through.
Flood And Fire has been knocking on the door with consistent placings in recent jumps starts. The gelding has proven stamina over the distance and benefits from the experience of top jumps jockey Steven Pateman. While yet to win over jumps, his form suggests he's a strong contender in this field.
Teewaters has shown consistent form in recent starts and has proven ability over the distance. The gelding benefits from the experience of jumps trainer Annie Alexander and the addition of a nasal strip for the first time could lead to improvement. While yet to win over jumps, his recent performances suggest he's a strong contender.
The gelding has consistent recent form and benefits from the experience of jumps jockey Fergus Gregory.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Golden Garden | 8 | Dean Parker | Symon Wilde | 69.5kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Teewaters | 7 | W Gordon | Annie Alexander | 69.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Flood And Fire | 5 | Steven Pateman | Andrew Bobbin | 69.5kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Bignight Rebel | 4 | Conor Brassil | Shane Jackson | 69.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Whiskey Jack | 6 | Martin Kelly | Amy McDonald | 69.5kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Manzala | 10 | Fergus Gregory | Jessica Pateman | 69.5kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Raise The Note | 2 | Tom Ryan | Shane Jackson | 67.5kg | $3.20 |
| 2 | Buoyant | 1 | Jordan Ratcliffe | Carly Cook | 69.5kg | ||
| 5 | Mana Combat | 9 | Arron Lynch | S B Laming | 69.5kg | ||
| 8 | Wayed To Go | 3 | B R Small | Q J Scott | 69.5kg |
The significant class drop from her last start positions her well in this field.
Bazini brings solid credentials to this race with proven ability at the distance and track. His consistency and experience over jumps make him a strong contender. While carrying top weight, his soft track form and overall record suggest he's well-placed to challenge for the win or place.
The class drop is significant and the addition of a nasal strip could lead to further improvement. While untested at this distance and with limited soft track form, his overall profile suggests he's capable of featuring in the finish.
Gambu represents value in this field with improving form over jumps and competitiveness at similar distances. While unproven at this exact trip and with limited soft track success, his recent performances suggest potential for further improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Gambu | 1 | Martin Kelly | E V Musgrove | 66.5kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Enchanted Elle | 4 | W Gordon | Symon Wilde | 66.5kg | $1.55 |
| 3rd | 6 | Topspin | 5 | Jordan Hart | Joanne Mugavin | 65kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Bazini | 2 | Dean Parker | Symon Wilde | 69.5kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Dr Dependable | 6 | Cillin Leonard | E V Musgrove | 68kg | $51.00 |
| 5 | Chimed | 3 | David Mulcahy | Annie Alexander | 65kg |
The Mighty Spar comes into this race with excellent form, having won its last two starts including over this course and distance. The slight class drop and experienced jockey further enhance its chances. While carrying top weight, the overall form suggests it's the one to beat.
Count Zero is a seasoned jumper with a solid record on soft tracks and at this course. While carrying top weight, its experience and ability to handle the conditions make it a strong contender. The recent good run suggests it's coming back to form, but the weight and age are slight concerns.
Carnamah shows improving form with recent placings in jumps races. The light weight is advantageous, and it handles soft tracks well. While yet to win over jumps, the consistent form and weight advantage make it a solid place chance. The step up in distance is a query but could suit its running style.
While yet to win over jumps, it has been consistent in the discipline and performs well on soft tracks. The recent placing over a similar distance is encouraging, and the experienced jockey is a plus.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | The Mighty Spar | 5 | Steven Pateman | M W Walker | 74.5kg | $1.55 |
| 2nd | 5 | Pressfal | 3 | Martin Kelly | S B Laming | 65kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Carnamah | 4 | Arron Lynch | Rachael Cunningham | 66.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Not Usual Dream | 6 | Dean Parker | Rachael Cunningham | 66.5kg | $11.00 |
| 1 | Count Zero | 2 | W Gordon | Symon Wilde | 75.5kg | ||
| 6 | Aquileon | 1 | Cillin Leonard | Amy McDonald | 65kg |
Manifest The Milli shows consistent form with strong placings and is dropping significantly in class. While untested at 1400m, the soft track should suit based on past performances. The wide barrier is a concern, but early speed could mitigate this.
Frosty Night is showing an improving form trend and has experience on soft tracks. The inside barrier draw is advantageous at Casterton. While yet to win, the significant class drop and recent form suggest a strong chance.
Has performed well on soft tracks and drawn a good barrier. However, inexperience and lack of 1400m form are concerns. Recent 3rd place finish on a heavy track suggests potential for further improvement.
The reapplication of the Hanoverian nose band could spark improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 14 | Royal Inference | 8 | Daniel Small | P A Chow | 69.5kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Manifest The Milli | 15 | W Gordon | D T O''Brien | 69.5kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 8 | Frosty Night | 5 | Dean Parker | Jamie Barry | 67.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 13 | Back Of The Boat | 9 | Steven Pateman | Jessica Pateman | 69.5kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 10 | La Moma | 6 | Arron Lynch | Alexander Rae | 67.5kg | $3.60 |
| 6th | 4 | Play Bouzouki | 10 | P Hamblin | P A Preusker | 69.5kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Miss Maverick | 13 | Conor Brassil | Andrew Bobbin | 67.5kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Dukey | 16 | Tom Ryan | Shane Jackson | 69.5kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Miss Gossip Girl | 7 | B R Small | Jamie Edwards | 67.5kg | $10.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Joannabea | 3 | William Mc Carthy | W Morrissey | 67.5kg | $51.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Ready Set Fly | 11 | Martin Kelly | Brooke Verwey-Mitchell | 69.5kg | $41.00 |
| 12th | 6 | Asterope | 1 | Jordan Hart | M A Townsend | 67.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Don''t Share Shamus | 12 | Fergus Gregory | C Maher | 69.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Danzana | 14 | Cillin Leonard | Tom Dabernig | 67.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Russian Dynasty | 2 | Jordan Hart | N H Richards | 67.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Dunleer Lad | 4 | B R Small | Amy Small | 69.5kg |
Piglet presents as the top selection with consistent form, including a recent win and multiple placings. The mare has shown ability on soft tracks and receives a significant weight advantage. While stepping up in class, her improving profile as a 4yo suggests potential for further progression. The inside barrier draw is favorable for soft track conditions.
Gusty Way brings the strongest class credentials and consistent form to this race. While carrying top weight is a concern, he has proven soft track form and should be competitive despite the wider draw.
Bell's Bighouse enters this race off a strong win and has a solid record on soft tracks. The mare's consistent placing record suggests reliability, and she's well-weighted for this contest. While facing a slight class rise and drawn wide, her recent form indicates she's capable of being competitive in this field.
While facing a class rise, he has been consistent in his performances and has experience over this distance range.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Piglet | 3 | W Gordon | Andrew Bobbin | 67kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 1 | Gusty Way | 5 | Dean Parker | S & J Jaensch | 70kg | $2.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Bull Dust | 10 | B R Small | Q J Scott | 67.5kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Bell''s Bighouse | 8 | Cillin Leonard | J Rowe | 68kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Detnaw | 6 | Conor Brassil | Bob & Kane Post | 69kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Bomber''s Kiss | 9 | Tom Ryan | Matt & Louise Cooper | 65kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Don''tcallmechamp | 4 | P Hamblin | P A Preusker | 68.5kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Penwortham | 2 | Martin Kelly | B Olson | 65kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Zeehak | 1 | Jordan Ratcliffe | M R Sharp | 65kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Up To Me | 7 | Arron Lynch | Jaymee Cockram | 65kg |
Born To Shine presents as the top selection with consistent recent form and a strong record on soft tracks. Well-weighted for a mare and with a proven ability to handle the conditions, she looks well-placed to overcome the wide barrier and class rise.
Alpinova comes into this race with strong recent form and a good record on soft tracks. The quick 7-day backup suggests fitness won't be an issue, and her proven ability at the distance is a plus. While rising in class and carrying a hefty 66kg, her consistency and soft track prowess make her a solid second choice.
The Last Flash enters this race off a strong win on a heavy track, suggesting good form on rain-affected going. Her lightweight and advantageous barrier draw are positives, but she faces a significant class rise.
Lord Porchester offers value as a consistent placer with a strong record on soft tracks. While rising in class and coming off a 21-day break, his soft track prowess and consistency make him an intriguing value proposition in this field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Born To Shine | 9 | W Gordon | Tom Dabernig | 67.5kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 10 | Alpinova | 2 | Martin Kelly | Brooke Verwey-Mitchell | 66kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 2 | Budjik Boy | 7 | Cillin Leonard | P A Preusker | 69.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 9 | State Of Maine | 8 | Gary Walsh | Charlotte Parker | 67.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 6 | The Silent Sermon | 5 | Arron Lynch | Ms M Ballantine | 68.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 7 | The Last Flash | 4 | Dean Parker | S & J Jaensch | 68kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Bromfield | 1 | Jordan Hart | Peter Lafferty | 69kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Lord Porchester | 6 | William Mc Carthy | W Morrissey | 69kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 5 | Celtic Knot | 3 | P Hamblin | P A Preusker | 68.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Surfy Pete | 10 | Tom Ryan | Andrew Bobbin | 70kg |
Idon''tgetit stands out with strong credentials, including an excellent track/distance record and consistent recent form. The significant class drop is a major positive, and he's well-positioned to capitalize on the likely race tempo. While the top weight is a concern, his overall profile suggests he's the one to beat.
Pulveriser brings solid credentials to this race with consistent form and a good record on soft tracks. While yet to win at this distance, his tactical versatility should allow him to adapt to the race tempo. The class drop is significant and could be the key to a breakthrough performance at this trip.
French Graffiti presents as a strong contender with consistent form and the potential to lead and control the race. The weight relief is significant, and the booking of William Mc Carthy is a positive. However, the lack of experience at this track and distance, along with a questionable soft track record, tempers enthusiasm slightly.
The significant class drop and addition of winkers for the first time could lead to a much-improved performance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Idon''tgetit | 6 | Daniel Small | P A Chow | 71kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 10 | Black Autumn | 11 | P Hamblin | D J Cannon | 68kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | French Graffiti | 9 | William Mc Carthy | C Maher | 71kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Matthew Mark | 2 | B R Small | Ms C Graesser | 71kg | $3.40 |
| 5th | 1 | Oceanic Flash | 3 | W Gordon | Andrew Payne | 75kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Maritorious | 1 | Dean Parker | Symon Wilde | 69.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Mystic High | 7 | Jordan Hart | A H Parker | 66kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Pulveriser | 4 | Tom Ryan | Andrew Bobbin | 71kg | $8.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Ready By Design | 12 | Martin Kelly | Sharni Julian | 69.5kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 11 | The Octopus | 5 | Conor Brassil | L Smith | 67.5kg | $18.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Asternishing | 10 | Arron Lynch | Rachael Cunningham | 68.5kg | $6.00 |
| 12th | 13 | Mustang Harry | 13 | Cillin Leonard | Kaye Edwards | 65kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Max Mercury | 8 | Fergus Gregory | Andrew Bobbin | 71kg |
Initial Moment brings strong consistent form into this race, with three consecutive placings. While stepping up to 2000m for the first time, her soft track record and well-suited weight of 58.5kg are significant positives. The wide barrier is a concern, but her tactical versatility should allow her to find a good position midfield.
Khant Bee comes off a strong win over 1800m and has been consistently placing in recent starts. While the 70kg top weight is a concern, his soft track record and tactical speed are significant advantages. The step up to 2000m is a query, but his recent form suggests he should handle it.
Mangione boasts an impressive track and distance record, which is a significant advantage in this field. While his recent form has been inconsistent, his proven ability at this class level and on soft tracks makes him a strong contender. The wide barrier and high weight are concerns, but his experience and tactical versatility could overcome these obstacles.
The favorable barrier draw and manageable weight are positives, though the class rise and average soft track record are slight concerns. Overall, she represents good each-way value in this field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Mangione | 13 | Jordan Ratcliffe | Nell Carter | 70.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Khant Bee | 5 | W Gordon | Andrew Bobbin | 70kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 1 | Baltic Way | 4 | Conor Brassil | Peter Lafferty | 71kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Ahab | 2 | William Mc Carthy | C Maher | 69.5kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 8 | No Matter What | 7 | Jordan Hart | P A Chow | 69kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 10 | Mash And Gravy | 3 | Gary Walsh | D J Cannon | 67.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Sabre Athena | 1 | Dean Parker | M W Greig | 65kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Initial Moment | 10 | Tom Ryan | Shane Jackson | 68.5kg | $5.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Amarantz | 6 | Steven Pateman | Jessica Pateman | 70kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Moveen | 11 | Cillin Leonard | Samantha Jeffreys | 69.5kg | $151.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Americain Miss | 12 | Jordan Ratcliffe | Kaye Edwards | 66.5kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Pearlman | 8 | David Mulcahy | Amy McDonald | 70kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Tomboulder | 9 | Carly Cook | 65kg |
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