Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Thursday 3 July 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Ipswich. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Lune D''excellence brings the strongest recent form into this race, with two close seconds in her last two starts. The soft track should suit based on her previous performances, and the experienced Damien Thornton in the saddle is a significant positive.
Lady Thinkabell comes into this race off a strong second place finish and has shown consistency in her limited starts. The inside barrier draw should allow her to take up a good position early. While yet to win, she appears to be improving and is well-placed to break through.
Top Level has been knocking on the door with consistent placings in recent starts. She has valuable experience over similar distances and a good record at this track. The soft track conditions should suit based on her previous performances. While yet to break through for a win, her consistency and track/distance suitability make her a solid each-way prospect.
The addition of winkers for the first time could spark further improvement, and the step up in distance may suit based on his running style.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Xtra La Vita | 11 | Angela Jones | R L Heathcote | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Six Of Wands | 8 | Nikita Mc Lean | Matthew Hoysted | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Top Level | 4 | P Hamblin | Desleigh Forster | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Evade The Game | 6 | Jai Williams | P P Jenkins | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Lady Thinkabell | 5 | R Dolan | J G Symons & S Laxon | 58kg | $2.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Lune D''excellence | 10 | Damien Thornton | K A Lees | 58.5kg | $2.45 |
| 7th | 1 | Kalamia King | 3 | B Wheeler | J W Zielke | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Lady Lazarus | 1 | James Baker | P M Kalinowski | 55.5kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Mishani Reactor | 2 | Jason Taylor | Donna Stanbridge | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 2 | French Empire | 12 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Manhattanhenge | 7 | Ruby Chatterton | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Proven Record | 9 | B Lerena | S B Laming | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Bambino Di Vino | 13 | Ashtyn Reedy | 55kg |
First Empire presents as the standout selection with strong recent form, proven heavy track ability, and a significant class drop. The gelding's adaptability and consistent performances, coupled with a favorable barrier draw, make him well-positioned to break through for a maiden win in this company.
The class drop and good barrier draw enhance her chances. While unproven on heavy tracks, her overall profile suggests she could make significant improvement in this race.
Go Maro presents as a solid each-way prospect with consistent form and a favorable barrier draw. While unproven on heavy tracks, his overall profile and recent performances suggest he could be competitive in this field. The gelding's improving form is a positive sign.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | First Empire | 5 | Damien Thornton | K M Schweida | 58kg | $1.60 |
| 2nd | 12 | Saveur | 3 | B Wheeler | C J Waller | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Spot The Aussie | 11 | Luke Dempsey | David Vandyke | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Nelsons Bay | 9 | Nikita Mc Lean | Donna Stanbridge | 56kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Go Maro | 6 | Nozi Tomizawa | K R Kemp | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 5 | Rapid Ready | 2 | Angela Jones | Tony & Maddysen Sears | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Five Of Us | 1 | Ms G Cartwright | S J Morrisey | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 13 | Umaiza | 10 | R Dolan | David Vandyke | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Ed I Am | 12 | Dan Mc Gillivray | Gregory Cornish | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Rascal Boi | 4 | P Hamblin | Louise White | 58kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Chance De Lune | 8 | Ms J Aitkenhead | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Sudden Strike | 14 | Allan Chau | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Insain Lady | 13 | A & D Simpson | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Happy Coffee | 7 | James Moore | 56kg |
The weight relief and suitable barrier for soft conditions are significant advantages.
The inside barrier is advantageous on soft going, and the class drop is favorable. However, the lack of soft track form and first-up status introduce some uncertainty.
The good barrier and gear change (winkers first time) could spark improvement. However, recent form has been poor, making this a speculative selection.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Runaway Tycoon | 10 | Damien Thornton | K M Schweida | 59.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 4 | Raging | 3 | Jade Metcalfe | W P Nugent | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 15 | Elroy | 2 | M R Du Plessis | K C Anderson | 54kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Ionaceltic | 1 | Angela Jones | Jack Bruce | 59.5kg | $4.60 |
| 5th | 2 | Up The Creek | 9 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | David Vandyke | 60kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Alarming | 17 | Nikita Mc Lean | Matthew Hoysted | 60kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 13 | Mister Sweet | 13 | Olivia Kendal | Vic Heading | 53.5kg | $201.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Red Hussy | 6 | Ms G Cartwright | Brooke Ainsworth | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 19 | Phoenix Storm | 5 | Wayne O''Connell | D & G Lane | 56kg | $201.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Chance De Lune | 4 | R Dolan | Ms J Aitkenhead | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 9 | O''reilly''s Shout | 16 | Corey Sutherland | B & M Costello | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 14 | Chiaro Di Luna | 7 | T Marshall | Louie Peoples | 54kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Ihaveseenthelight | 18 | R L Heathcote | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Argerich | 12 | R L Heathcote | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Saturdays Girl | 14 | C J Waller | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Ejay''s Firefox | 8 | P J Wallace | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Preachabull | 11 | Stephanie Sixtus | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Magical Eye | 15 | B A Gentle | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Supido Rose | 19 | L J Gough | 55kg |
Goodes presents as the top selection due to his strong recent form, including a win in similar heavy conditions last start. The significant class drop from his recent runs is a major positive, and his proven ability on heavy tracks is crucial. While the wide barrier and top weight are concerns, his early speed should allow him to overcome the draw and settle in a favorable position.
Bad Forest is a strong contender with the ideal inside barrier draw for heavy conditions. His perfect record at the track and distance, combined with proven heavy track form, are significant positives. The weight relief from the claim helps offset the class rise. While the long break between runs is a concern, his overall profile suggests he's well-placed to perform strongly in these conditions.
Don't Be Dramatic offers appeal with his consistent recent form and favorable weight. The class drop is a significant positive, and his early speed should allow him to overcome the wider draw. While unproven on heavy tracks, his overall profile suggests he could adapt. The main concern is his lack of wins beyond 1000m, but the shorter 800m trip here could suit.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Don''t Be Dramatic | 3 | Jai Williams | Dan Morgan | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 10 | Mawsons Expedition | 5 | Nikita Mc Lean | Samantha McGuren | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | Albion Square | 10 | T Marshall | B A Gentle | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Hokusai | 6 | Olivia Kendal | Caitlin Johnstone | 56.5kg | $20.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Bad Forest | 1 | Corey Sutherland | Jesse Townsend | 58.5kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 14 | On The Target | 12 | Angela Jones | K M Schweida | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Riva D''amor | 7 | Jason Taylor | Leanne Hartley | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Goodes | 13 | Anthony Allen | Emma Fouchard | 60.5kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Giggy | 4 | Ms K Lenton | H R Richardson | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| 10th | 7 | Russian Pins | 2 | Cobi Vitler | S J Morrisey | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Li''l Rex | 9 | Ms G Cartwright | David Murphy | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 5 | Calmer Karma | 15 | Amy Graham | Warren Munro | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 13th | 3 | Revalene | 8 | Emily Lang | T J Gollan | 60.5kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Super Zamboni | 11 | S P Ryan | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Bun In The Oven | 14 | Stephanie Sixtus | 54kg |
The filly's weight of 56kg is ideal for the conditions, and her recent performances suggest she's ready to break through for a maiden win. The slight class rise is offset by her consistent placings against similar opposition.
While yet to win, the gelding has been consistent with multiple placings. The lack of extensive soft track experience is a concern, but the weight and recent form suggest potential for a breakthrough performance.
Shaque D''amour offers value with consistent recent form and proven soft track ability. While yet to win and carrying a higher weight, the consistent performances and soft track experience make Shaque D''amour an intriguing value proposition in this field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Divine Source | 11 | Justin Huxtable | Chris & Corey Munce | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 14 | Miss Wanted | 8 | Montanna Savva | Michael Frappell | 56kg | $81.00 |
| 3rd | 15 | French Guy | 1 | Montana Philpot | Alan Boyd | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 17 | Lady Encrypteau | 5 | Ms G Cartwright | Tony & Maddysen Sears | 56kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Barberry Spur | 9 | L J Mayfield-Smith | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Brazen Act | 14 | K M Schweida | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Cryptology | 16 | D J Hansen | 58kg | ||
| 4 | Haz Styles | 12 | Emily Lang | T J Gollan | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Heroic Rebel | 3 | T J Gollan | 58kg | ||
| 6 | Shaque D''amour | 6 | M R Du Plessis | Ms T Cotsiopoulos | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Tarmac | 4 | Chris Anderson | 58kg | ||
| 8 | Zouchase | 7 | Tiffani Brooker | Natalie McCall | 58kg | ||
| 10 | Fast Fun | 2 | Nikita Mc Lean | Matthew Hoysted | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Seaphira | 17 | G R Duncan | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Shanidar | 13 | R L Heathcote | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Bella Spirito | 10 | Ms O Cairns | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Torque Ti Amo | 15 | M J Dunn | 56kg |
Trump Card brings the strongest recent form into this race, with a last-start 4th in stronger company. The step up in distance looks suitable based on his racing pattern.
Bitoftheblarney is a consistent performer with a strong record at this track and distance. Likely to lead from the wide barrier, which suits the track pattern. While carrying top weight, he's proven capable at this level and should be prominent throughout.
While winless for some time, he's a consistent placegetter with a strong record at this distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Bitoftheblarney | 14 | Kyle Wilson-Taylor | C J Waller | 59kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Trump Card | 9 | Angela Jones | David Vandyke | 57.5kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 5 | Thebarberofseville | 12 | Ms K Lenton | M A Kropp | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Demarcay | 4 | B Wheeler | C J Waller | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 14 | Dance Babe | 7 | Ms G Cartwright | Jay Bellamy | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Mingardos | 2 | Tiffani Brooker | Ryan Tyrell | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Papal Miss | 5 | Dan Mc Gillivray | Vishan Venkaya | 58kg | $19.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Katerini | 3 | Ron Stewart | C J Waller | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Classique Gal | 8 | Nikita Mc Lean | B W Brown | 54kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Kneze | 6 | Amanda Park | 61.5kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Around The Buoy | 1 | Chris & Corey Munce | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Jungle Jet | 10 | David Vandyke | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Aboveforty | 11 | C J Waller | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | December Diamond | 13 | James Moore | 54kg |
Dubious Six presents a strong case with consistent recent form and a proven ability on soft tracks. The low weight is a significant advantage in heavy conditions. While facing a class rise, the gelding's improving form and good barrier draw position it well for this race. The main concern is the untested distance, but the conditions may suit.
The gelding's consistent recent form is promising, but the lack of heavy track experience and class rise are concerns.
While untested on heavy going, the gelding's consistent place record and improving form trend suggest adaptability. The wide barrier is a concern, but Emily Lang's skill on wet tracks could mitigate this. The low weight and strong finishing ability are significant advantages in these conditions.
A speculative selection with potential for a surprise performance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Dubious Six | 12 | Ms K Lenton | Nick Keal | 52.5kg | $2.40 |
| 2nd | 9 | Bokuden | 6 | Montana Philpot | Gregory Cornish | 53kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | April | 13 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Tony & Maddysen Sears | 57kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 6 | Best Coffee | 1 | B Lerena | James Moore | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Gunboat | 5 | Olivia Webb | P J Wallace | 54.5kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 14 | Deloris | 15 | Jade Metcalfe | D & G Lane | 51kg | $151.00 |
| 7th | 15 | Divine Rendezvous | 2 | Ms G Cartwright | Stephanie Sixtus | 54kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Noble Decree | 11 | David Vandyke | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Facundo | 4 | K M Schweida | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Powerful Eagle | 3 | S Hardy | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Nagamie | 10 | Emily Lang | S B Laming | 58kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Fireforce | 8 | K M Schweida | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Spirit Of Storm | 7 | S & A Barling | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Good Philly | 14 | Vic Heading | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Suenito | 9 | Vishan Venkaya | 54kg |
Consistent form with 4 placings in last 5 starts and a proven heavy track winner. Well-weighted and should handle the conditions better than most.
Detrimental drops significantly in class and has been consistent at higher levels. The inside barrier draw is advantageous on a heavy track. While carrying top weight, has shown ability to handle it.
The lightweight gives an advantage, but the wider barrier and lack of heavy track form are concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Holy Flash | 14 | Jai Williams | P P Jenkins | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Araminta | 6 | Kyle Wilson-Taylor | Chris & Corey Munce | 55.5kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 2 | Cho Oyu | 10 | Luke Dempsey | B J Lockwood | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Lumens Lenny | 3 | Ms G Cartwright | S J Morrisey | 59.5kg | $3.20 |
| 5th | 1 | Detrimental | 5 | Angela Jones | K M Schweida | 60kg | $3.80 |
| 6th | 11 | Aristella | 2 | Anthony Allen | D J Bougoure | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Mentalia | 1 | Jason Taylor | Stephanie Sixtus | 54kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Armstrong Bay | 15 | Olivia Webb | Jesse Townsend | 52.5kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 15 | Star Chance | 7 | Nikita Mc Lean | Ms J Aitkenhead | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Calvary | 4 | Cobi Vitler | M J Dunn | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Cailin Alainn | 12 | T Marshall | Louie Peoples | 54kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Lietuva | 13 | Desleigh Forster | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Little Jeanie | 9 | Jack Bruce | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Fourandahalf | 8 | R L Heathcote | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Better Strings | 11 | P J Lindeberg | 54kg |
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