Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Tuesday 8 July 2025
Our top pick won 1 of 7 races at Ballarat Synthetic. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Spirited Defence presents as the standout selection with consistent recent form, including two wins from his last three starts. The inside barrier draw should allow for an ideal run, offsetting the slight class rise and top weight.
Claymore Mine comes into this race with solid recent form, including a win at this track and distance. The slight class drop from her last start is advantageous, and her consistency makes her a strong contender. While carrying more weight than ideal, her proven ability at the track compensates for this.
The weight advantage is significant, potentially offsetting the class rise. While unproven on synthetic tracks, his overall form suggests he could adapt well to the surface. His lack of experience compared to the top two picks is a minor concern.
While rising in class and facing stronger competition, the gelding is well-weighted and has a favorable barrier draw.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Claymore Mine | 7 | Jake Duffy | Craig Weeding | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Spirited Defence | 1 | John Allen | Andrew Noblet | 58kg | $1.24 |
| 3rd | 4 | Super Trooper | 6 | Rose Hammond | A & S Freedman | 55.5kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Lovin'' Laughs | 5 | Neil Farley | M Sell | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Pentegra | 2 | Alana Kelly | Thomas Conlan | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Almighty Will | 3 | Cian Macredmond | V L Malady | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Thoughts''n''prayers | 4 | Christopher Pang | Tony Romeo | 52.5kg | $151.00 |
Supervise presents as the top selection with strong recent form, winning its last start convincingly. Despite facing a class rise, the gelding's lightly raced profile suggests potential for improvement. The inside barrier draw is advantageous on this track, and its front-running style should suit the likely race dynamics.
Fugacity is a solid second pick, showing consistent form with recent placings. The gelding has experience at the track and distance, which is a significant advantage. While the barrier draw is slightly unfavorable, Fugacity's versatile running style and competitive weight make it a strong contender in this field.
Showies Best Shot is the third selection, benefiting from a significant class drop. The mare has a strong record at the track and distance, which is crucial. While carrying top weight is a concern, the likely on-pace position and class relief make her a genuine contender if she can overcome the long break since her last run.
The lightweight and potential for improvement make Frose an interesting longshot, especially if able to replicate her best form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Frose | 4 | Amy Herrmann | Jamie Barry | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Supervise | 1 | Sheridan Clarke | Carly Thomas | 59kg | $2.10 |
| 3rd | 8 | Spinhof | 2 | Mikaela Lawrence | Shay Keating | 54kg | $101.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Monsoon Reins | 6 | Neil Farley | Dwayne Reid | 54.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Fugacity | 7 | Milos Bunjevac | Rodney Foster | 56kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 4 | Legendary Diva | 3 | Anthony Darmanin | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Showies Best Shot | 5 | Jake Duffy | J E & C Ledger | 59kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Deep Joy | 8 | E J Walsh | C Maher | 54kg |
The midfield running style should suit the likely fast tempo. While yet to win, the filly has experience at the distance and looks ready to break through.
Miss Kasei comes in fresh with a strong trainer/jockey combination of Moody/Coleman and Linda Meech. The weight relief and good barrier draw are positives.
Blue Moon Summit looks well-placed to lead from barrier 7. The Hayes stable and Harry Coffey combination is strong. First-time lugging bit suggests potential improvement.
The filly has consistent form and is dropping significantly in class. While yet to win and drawn wide, the class drop could be the key to a breakthrough performance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Toyz In Zouland | 5 | Anthony Darmanin | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | $1.45 |
| 2nd | 4 | Sedna | 4 | Christopher Pang | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Miss Kasei | 3 | Linda Meech | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 55kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 3 | Hand Crafted | 9 | Cian Macredmond | Ann-Jeanette Tindale | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Watching Over Us | 8 | Sheridan Clarke | J F Moloney | 57.5kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Peep Show | 2 | Thomas Spillane | Anthony Cosgriff | 53kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Blue Moon Summit | 7 | Harry Coffey | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Platinum Executive | 6 | Jake Duffy | Matt Ivill | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Sooby Rose | 1 | Adam Mc Cabe | Logan McGill | 57.5kg |
Succaforyou shows the most promise of the exposed runners. Her last start 3rd on synthetic suggests she'll handle this surface, and the inside draw should allow her to take up a prominent position. The quick backup and natural improvement make her the one to beat.
The McEvoy stable excels with debutants, and the gear changes suggest they mean business.
Parak has been gelded since his only start, which could spark significant improvement. The Moody stable is always respected, and he's likely to be up on the speed.
Her debut run was inconclusive, but the inside draw gives her options.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Volkano | 5 | Harry Coffey | T & C McEvoy | 58kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 5 | Costalotta | 4 | Will Price | Archie Alexander | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Succaforyou | 2 | Lachlan King | L Smith | 56kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Sweet But Sassy | 8 | Cian Macredmond | Lucinda Boyd | 56kg | $19.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Parak | 7 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Princess Of Sol | 9 | Fred W Kersley | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Frosted Gold | 3 | E J Walsh | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 56kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Angel''s Gathering | 1 | Anthony Darmanin | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Galactic Force | 6 | Patrick Moloney | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg |
Nordic presents as the standout selection with strong recent form, including a win last start. Boasts an excellent track and distance record, well-suited by the conditions. The inside barrier draw should allow for an ideal run in transit. While carrying top weight, the horse's consistency and proven ability at this track make it a confident top pick.
Has proven ability at this class level and distance. The slightly awkward barrier and top weight are concerns, but overall profile suggests a strong chance to finish in the placings.
Podargoni is a lightly-raced 3yo showing progressive form. The significant class rise is a concern, but the lightweight and scope for improvement make this horse an interesting prospect.
Showing consistent form in recent starts and well-weighted for this assignment.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Podargoni | 4 | W Gordon | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | La Narradora | 6 | Linda Meech | Tom Dabernig | 55kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Cash Converter | 7 | Jason Maskiell | Carly Thomas | 59kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 4 | Flux | 3 | Milos Bunjevac | Rodney Foster | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Nordic | 1 | Neil Farley | Andrew Noblet | 59kg | $3.20 |
| 6th | 8 | Red Sparks | 2 | Alana Kelly | Thomas Conlan | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Brazen Brando | 8 | Will Price | Dan O''Sullivan | 55.5kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Short Reply | 5 | Anthony Darmanin | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 55kg |
Despite being yet to win, his two 3rd place finishes indicate he's knocking on the door. Well-weighted and suited to the distance, he should get a good run from midfield and finish strongly. The slight class rise is offset by his potential for improvement.
Grundy Three Votes brings solid experience and consistency to this race. His recent 2nd place at this track and distance is a strong form reference. Likely to lead or be on-pace, which could be advantageous. While yet to break through for a win, his consistency and familiarity with conditions make him a strong contender.
Well-weighted and likely to get a good run from midfield, he has the potential to finish strongly. The main query is his first attempt on a synthetic surface, but his overall form suggests he should handle it.
Spot The Grey represents value based on his recent form improvement and advantageous barrier draw. His last start 2nd place finish suggests he may be ready to break through.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Grundy Three Votes | 4 | Ryan Hurdle | Robert Hickmott | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Spot The Grey | 1 | E J Walsh | Anthony Cosgriff | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | The Boss Man | 7 | Fred W Kersley | L Smith | 59.5kg | $1.75 |
| 4th | 1 | Dance And Shout | 8 | S V Brown | S Fliedner | 59.5kg | $81.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Lady Dexterous | 6 | Neil Farley | Tom Dabernig | 57.5kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Phoenician | 5 | Nadia Daniels | E W Ewert | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 5 | Reward The Crown | 2 | John Keating | Brian Lawlor | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Presagio | 3 | John Allen | Henry Dwyer | 59.5kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Touch Me Toes | 9 | Adam Mc Cabe | Simone Walker | 57.5kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Weekend Lover | 10 | Cian Macredmond | Ms P Reeve | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Sungazer | 11 | Harry Coffey | T & C McEvoy | 57kg |
Queen Beira presents as the top selection with improving form and a significant class drop. Her strong record at the distance (3 wins from 7 starts) and high place rate are positive indicators. While carrying top weight is a concern, the class relief should offset this. The synthetic surface is an unknown factor but her adaptability across conditions is encouraging.
Life Sentence has a strong record on synthetic tracks and consistent recent form. The weight advantage over the top pick is significant. While drawn wide, his synthetic track experience should help overcome this. The slight class rise is a minor concern, but his overall profile suggests he's well-placed to be competitive in this race.
Savamoon is showing an improving form trend and gets significant weight relief in this race. The good barrier draw should allow for a positive position in running. While unproven at the distance and with limited synthetic track experience, the weight advantage and improving form make him a strong contender.
Her recent good form and strong record on synthetic tracks are positive indicators. The likely fast tempo should suit her running style.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Life Sentence | 11 | E J Walsh | Matthew Cumani | 62kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 8 | Savamoon | 2 | Emily Pozman | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 3 | Nuts ''n'' Bolts | 17 | John Allen | C Maher | 62kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 15 | Dismount | 3 | Rhys Archard | 58kg | $26.00 | |
| 5th | 5 | Vidocq | 12 | Ryan Hurdle | Robert Hickmott | 62kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Seacryption | 9 | Lachlan King | Mitchell Freedman | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Flower Moon | 8 | Harry Coffey | Toby Lake | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Typhoon Tony | 14 | Jason Maskiell | Simone Walker | 60kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Wild Vitality | 16 | Milos Bunjevac | Rodney Foster | 58.5kg | $201.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Queen Beira | 6 | Beau Treloar | David & Coral Feek | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Hrungnir | 4 | W Gordon | Joanne Mugavin | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 12th | 6 | Noble Legend | 13 | Sheridan Clarke | Carly Thomas | 60.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Shockstar | 10 | M M Laurie | 62kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Ex Machina | 15 | E J Walsh | Matthew Cumani | 60kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Summer Night | 7 | S V Brown | S Fliedner | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Poetic Whisper | 5 | Nadia Daniels | Thomas Sadler | 52kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Penny Bazaar | 1 | Chelsea Jokic | Sean Mott | 55kg | |
| Scr | 18 | Firm As A Rock | 18 | G L Donaldson | 55kg |
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