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New South Wales · Saturday 12 July 2025

Newcastle tips and results

Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Newcastle. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Soft 5Rail TrueFineNewcastle track guide ›
Top pick won3/838%
Any tip won5/863%
Top pick placed5/863%
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R1

Club Charlestown Midway Mdn Hcp

12:00 local900mMaiden$4,500,012,100,028,000,000,000,000,000,000
Winner10. Pewter PearlSP $7.50
★ Top pick4th
9Nullarbor Jane

Our price $2.20 · SP $1.85 · Jeff Penza

Nullarbor Jane presents as the top selection due to a significant class drop from Group 2 to Maiden level. The inside barrier is advantageous on a soft track, and the booking of experienced jockey Jeff Penza is a positive.

2nd pick2nd
8Luskintyre

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.50 · Ms L Day

Trainer R J Quinton has a good record with debutants, and the lightweight of 55kg is advantageous. The soft track conditions are likely to suit, though the wide barrier is a concern.

3rd pick5th
1The Warrior

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.00 · Mitchell Bell

The Warrior carries top weight, indicating class, and the addition of blinkers for the first time could sharpen performance. Likely to lead in the speed map, which can be advantageous at Newcastle. Trainer P M Perry has a good record at the track, but the lack of race experience and unproven soft track form are concerns.

Value pick3rd
4Zoodoo

Our price $51.00 · SP $51.00 · A J Calder

The inside barrier is advantageous, especially on a soft track.

  1. 1st10Pewter PearlHolly Durnan$7.50
  2. 2nd8LuskintyreMs L Day$8.50
  3. 3rd4ZoodooA J Calder$51.00
  4. 4th9Nullarbor JaneJeff Penza$1.85
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Pewter Pearl4Holly DurnanMitchell Beer52kg$7.50
2nd8Luskintyre10Ms L DayR J Quinton55kg$8.50
3rd4Zoodoo1A J CalderG Portelli56.5kg$51.00
4th9Nullarbor Jane2Jeff PenzaJ G Sargent55kg$1.85
5th1The Warrior6Mitchell BellP M Perry59kg$7.00
6th2Ishikari7Chad LeverFabio Martino57kg$11.00
7th5Infant Warrior3Deanne PanyaM C Conners55kg$11.00
8th6Kingdom Heart8Brock RyanDavid Pfieffer55kg$19.00
9th3Smooth Red9Shaun GuymerC Karakatsanis56.5kg$71.00
Scr7Lady Talea5J C Coyle55kg
R2

Mex Club Super Mdn Plate

12:40 local900mMaiden$60,000,128,400,210,350,000,000,000,000,000
Winner12. Southern HeiressSP $3.00
★ Top pickWon
12Southern Heiress

Our price $2.00 · SP $3.00 · K S Latham

Trainer Michael Freedman's success with debutants and the favorable weight allocation make her a top contender. The soft track is a minor concern, but her overall profile suggests readiness for a strong debut performance.

2nd pick4th
9Magical Star

Our price $2.40 · SP $1.80 · Olivia Chambers

The light weight is advantageous, and despite a slightly wide draw, early speed is anticipated. While lacking race experience, the overall profile suggests a strong chance of a successful debut.

3rd pick2nd
8Lady Talea

Our price $10.00 · SP $15.00 · Jessica Taylor

Lady Talea benefits from a significant class drop and shows an improving form trend. While yet to place and unproven on soft tracks, the easier company could see her make a significant form reversal.

Value pick3rd
1Blue Suede Hooves

Our price $12.00 · SP $14.00 · Chad Lever

While yet to win and carrying top weight from a wide barrier, his experience edge and potential for third-up improvement make him an intriguing value proposition in a race with many unknowns.

  1. 1st12Southern HeiressK S Latham$3.00
  2. 2nd8Lady TaleaJessica Taylor$15.00
  3. 3rd1Blue Suede HoovesChad Lever$14.00
  4. 4th9Magical StarOlivia Chambers$1.80
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st12Southern Heiress6K S LathamMichael Freedman55kg$3.00
2nd8Lady Talea3Jessica TaylorJ C Coyle55kg$15.00
3rd1Blue Suede Hooves8Chad LeverMs K Waugh59kg$14.00
4th9Magical Star9Olivia ChambersBjorn Baker53kg$1.80
5th10Mediterra7Ms L DayC Maher55kg$14.00
6th7Bella Madonna5Emma LyAlexandre Lemarie52kg$101.00
7th2Jigadee4Jenny DugganScott Aspery59kg$13.00
Scr3Zoodoo2G Portelli59kg
Scr4Ishikari10Fabio Martino57kg
Scr5Monte Out''n''about12Mollie FitzgeraldN Mayfield-Smith55kg
Scr6She Swings11Brock RyanDavid Pfieffer57kg
Scr11Nullarbor Jane1J G Sargent55kg
R3

The Wests Group Mdn Plate

13:15 local1850mMaiden$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner5. HappinessSP $7.00
★ Top pick2nd
3Black Bugatti

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.60 · Ms C Keatings

Black Bugatti shows the most consistent form in the field with multiple placings. The significant class drop from metropolitan to provincial grade is a major positive. Has performed well on soft tracks and draws ideally in barrier 3. While yet to break through for a win, this looks an excellent opportunity.

2nd pick3rd
7Entitlement

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.80 · Olivia Chambers

Entitlement is lightly raced but showing improvement with each run. Carries a light weight which is advantageous on soft ground. Has placed twice on soft tracks, suggesting suitability to conditions. Good barrier draw should allow a positive position. Main query is inexperience against some more seasoned rivals.

3rd pick4th
9Pierro''s Girl

Our price $4.20 · SP $6.50 · Mitchell Bell

Pierro's Girl has been knocking on the door with consistent form. Particularly effective on soft tracks with a place strike rate of 33% in these conditions. Should appreciate the step up in distance based on recent runs. Main concerns are the lack of a win to date and a slightly awkward barrier draw.

Value pick8th
2No Questions Asked

Our price $8.00 · SP $14.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Has placed on soft tracks previously and draws well. Main negatives are inconsistent overall form and the fact he's yet to win.

  1. 1st5HappinessJeff Penza$7.00
  2. 2nd3Black BugattiMs C Keatings$2.60
  3. 3rd7EntitlementOlivia Chambers$3.80
  4. 4th9Pierro''s GirlMitchell Bell$6.50
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Happiness2Jeff PenzaC J Waller58kg$7.00
2nd3Black Bugatti3Ms C KeatingsG Portelli55kg$2.60
3rd7Entitlement4Olivia ChambersG Waterhouse & A Bott55kg$3.80
4th9Pierro''s Girl7Mitchell BellC J Waller56kg$6.50
5th8Pharoah Queen9Ms L DayC Maher56kg$41.00
6th4Descartes1K S LathamJ G Sargent58kg$10.00
7th1Kaval8Chad LeverMark Cross59kg$41.00
8th2No Questions Asked6Mollie FitzgeraldMs A Turner57kg$14.00
9th6Hargraves Lookout5Brock RyanJ G Sargent58kg$21.00
R4

East Maitland Bowling Club (Bm64)

13:50 local900mBenchmark 64$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner6. Prima BellaSP $3.70
★ Top pickWon
6Prima Bella

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.70 · Rebecca Bronett Prag

Her recent form is solid, including a win on a heavy track last start. While facing a class rise, she's well-weighted for the conditions and has shown adaptability to different tracks.

2nd pick9th
3Pratt

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00 · Aaron Bullock

Pratt brings strong recent form and a proven ability on soft tracks. While facing a slight class rise and drawn wider, his consistent performances and suitability to the track condition make him a strong contender. The weight is favorable for soft track conditions.

3rd pick4th
4Zoe Shark

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.50 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Zoe Shark has a strong record at this track and consistently places. The barrier draw is advantageous, and the weight is suitable for soft track conditions. However, the long break since her last run and lack of heavy track form introduce some uncertainty.

Value pick7th
10Miss Backchat

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Brock Ryan

She's highly suited to soft tracks and could improve further. The class rise is a concern, but her potential and track suitability make her an interesting value proposition.

  1. 1st6Prima BellaRebecca Bronett Prag$3.70
  2. 2nd2Curl CurlK S Latham$5.00
  3. 3rd5Wave BreakerMitchell Bell$11.00
  4. 4th4Zoe SharkMollie Fitzgerald$6.50
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Prima Bella5Rebecca Bronett PragMatthew Smith56kg$3.70
2nd2Curl Curl11K S LathamP M Perry60.5kg$5.00
3rd5Wave Breaker6Mitchell BellPeter Snowden59.5kg$11.00
4th4Zoe Shark7Mollie FitzgeraldP M Perry58.5kg$6.50
5th1No Statement10Siena GrimaM F Van Gestel58kg$16.00
6th12Take The Jackpot2Shae WilkesB G Lawrence52kg$17.00
7th10Miss Backchat3Brock RyanG Portelli57kg$10.00
8th8Jamakin Money1Chad LeverD Lane58kg$17.00
9th3Pratt9Aaron BullockM S Minervini60.5kg$5.00
10th13Vancouver''s Crown4Leeshelle SmallN M Lewis52kg$151.00
11th9Kev''s Girl12Emma LyMarc Chevalier54.5kg$61.00
Scr7Rockbarton Max13D I Atkins59kg
Scr11Hoku8Jeff PenzaL K Roberts55kg
R5

Toronto Workers Club Mdn Hcp

14:25 local1200mMaiden$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner15. San GiovanniSP $7.00
★ Top pick7th
1Escargoes

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.20 · W F Pinn

Despite the wide barrier, the colt's soft track ability and weight advantage make it well-positioned to overcome the draw.

2nd pick4th
16Duke Atreides

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.50 · Aaron Bullock

Duke Atreides is an intriguing prospect from an advantageous barrier with a top jockey. While lacking race experience, the favorable draw and potential for first-up improvement make it a strong contender in this maiden field.

3rd pick2nd
8Bella Wahine

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.60 · Jeff Penza

Bella Wahine, from the Chris Waller stable, is expected to lead and could improve with the gear change. While inexperienced, the combination of a top trainer and front-running style makes it a legitimate contender in this maiden event.

Value pick3rd
19Watson

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · Olivia Chambers

The soft track experience is a plus in these conditions.

  1. 1st15San GiovanniK S Latham$7.00
  2. 2nd8Bella WahineJeff Penza$3.60
  3. 3rd19WatsonOlivia Chambers$8.00
  4. 4th16Duke AtreidesAaron Bullock$3.50
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st15San Giovanni5K S LathamMichael Freedman57kg$7.00
2nd8Bella Wahine2Jeff PenzaC J Waller55kg$3.60
3rd19Watson9Olivia ChambersG Waterhouse & A Bott54.5kg$8.00
4th16Duke Atreides4Aaron BullockAnnabel & Rob Archibald57kg$3.50
5th14Soliciting7C J Waller55kg$31.00
6th17Bellevue13Grant BuckleySara Ryan57kg$11.00
7th1Escargoes18W F PinnBrad Widdup58kg$4.20
8th10Cool Themis6Mollie FitzgeraldAlexandre Lemarie53kg$81.00
Scr2Front Rank3Andrew GibbonsG Waterhouse & A Bott57kg
Scr3Pictor12Chad LeverC J Waller57kg
Scr4Precise Star14Christian ReithC J Waller57kg
Scr5Sixties16Jessica TaylorC J Waller56.5kg
Scr6Royal Air Force15C J Waller56kg
Scr7Sunburnt Country19Mitchell BellJames Cummings55.5kg
Scr9Commanding Belle10Brock RyanR & L Price55kg
Scr11Crimson Wings11Richard & Will Freedman55kg
Scr12Panova17C J Waller55kg
Scr13Samarelle1Ms L DayJohn O''Shea & Tom Charlton55kg
Scr18Cellarmaster20John O''Shea & Tom Charlton57kg
Scr20Tulou8Christian ReithBrad Widdup55kg
R6

Beresfield Bowling Club (Bm64)

15:05 local1600mBenchmark 64$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner1. Hooligan TommySP $3.20
★ Top pickWon
1Hooligan Tommy

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.20 · Holly Durnan

Hooligan Tommy presents as a strong top selection with consistent form, proven ability on soft tracks, and a solid record at the track and distance. Despite the wide draw, his tactical versatility and weight-carrying ability make him well-suited to the conditions.

2nd pick7th
4Surreal I Am

Our price $6.50 · SP $14.00 · Andrew Gibbons

Surreal I Am shows improving form and a liking for soft tracks, making him a solid second pick. The good barrier draw should allow for a positive position in running. The slight weight rise is the main concern but is manageable given his current form.

3rd pick8th
6Scholl Deep

Our price $8.50 · SP $8.00 · Christian Reith

Scholl Deep presents as a solid third pick with consistent recent form and proven ability on rain-affected tracks. Her recent heavy track win demonstrates her suitability for today's conditions. The slight class rise is the main query, but her overall form suggests she can be competitive.

Value pick4th
15Uncle Harry

Our price $10.00 · SP $8.00 · Jeff Penza

  1. 1st1Hooligan TommyHolly Durnan$3.20
  2. 2nd19Tip Top Timing$16.00
  3. 3rd9Empire Of ArtK S Latham$4.60
  4. 4th15Uncle HarryJeff Penza$8.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Hooligan Tommy9Holly DurnanJ G Sargent60kg$3.20
2nd19Tip Top Timing4C E Conners56.5kg$16.00
3rd9Empire Of Art7K S LathamC J Waller58kg$4.60
4th15Uncle Harry1Jeff PenzaP M Perry57kg$8.00
5th2Owen County5Mollie FitzgeraldNathan Doyle60kg$18.00
6th17Yorikiri6Deanne PanyaP M Perry57kg$41.00
7th4Surreal I Am3Andrew GibbonsK A Lees60kg$14.00
8th6Scholl Deep17Christian ReithD I Atkins59kg$8.00
9th14Tom Cruising2Jessica TaylorK J Parker57kg$9.50
10th20Montgomery19Brock RyanJohn Thompson56kg$71.00
11th13Ocean Diva12Ms L DayJ G Sargent57kg$26.00
12th10Oakfield Waratah8Grant BuckleyMs K Buchanan58kg$19.00
Scr3This Is The Moment10Mitchell Beer61kg
Scr5Tomba13Annabel & Rob Archibald60kg
Scr7Autumn Dream16Aaron BullockAnnabel & Rob Archibald58.5kg
Scr8Marsabit11D A Williams58.5kg
Scr11Okami Star18H Van Der HovenC E Conners57.5kg
Scr12Wealthy Investor15D Lane57.5kg
Scr16Shutter14Lou Mary56.5kg
Scr18Outcast Girl21M C Conners55kg
Scr21Annulus20Jenny DugganScott Aspery56kg
R7

Belmont 16''s (HBCF Pink Race Day Cup) Provincial (Bm64)

15:45 local1300mBenchmark 64$4,500,012,100,028,000,000,000,000,000,000
Winner4. Just In TimeSP $1.90
★ Top pick5th
9River Pat

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.00 · K S Latham

River Pat shows strong consistent form with a high place rate and performs well on soft tracks. The mare has drawn well and carries a suitable weight. While facing a slight class rise, the overall form and conditions suggest a strong winning chance.

2nd pickWon
4Just In Time

Our price $3.20 · SP $1.90 · Aaron Bullock

The mare has a strong record at both the track and distance, and performs well on soft going. While carrying slightly more weight and drawn wider, the overall form and ability to handle the conditions make her a strong contender.

3rd pick2nd
3Flying Argyle

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.50 · Mitchell Bell

Flying Argyle has been consistently placing and performs well on soft tracks. While yet to win at this track and facing a class rise, the overall form and conditions suggest a solid chance for a place finish.

Value pick7th
13Cuban Rain

Our price $7.00 · SP $21.00 · Brock Ryan

Cuban Rain shows improving form with a recent win two starts back. The filly performs well on soft tracks and carries a light weight. The addition of a tongue tie could lead to further improvement.

  1. 1st4Just In TimeAaron Bullock$1.90
  2. 2nd3Flying ArgyleMitchell Bell$9.50
  3. 3rd11BenameraR Downey$26.00
  4. 4th1Contributingfactor$12.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Just In Time6Aaron BullockJ C Deamer60kg$1.90
2nd3Flying Argyle1Mitchell BellP M Perry60kg$9.50
3rd11Benamera5R DowneyStephen O''Halloran57kg$26.00
4th1Contributingfactor7D I Atkins61kg$12.00
5th9River Pat4K S LathamMs K Waugh58kg$8.00
6th6Princess Cruizer16Jeff PenzaP M Perry60kg$31.00
7th13Cuban Rain11Brock RyanR & L Price56kg$21.00
8th7Happy Saturday8Ms L DayK J Parker58kg$18.00
9th12Dubai Gold9Mollie FitzgeraldNathan Doyle55kg$8.00
10th5Powerful Peg12Andrew GibbonsK A Lees60kg$31.00
11th10Swift Gun14Christian ReithBrad Widdup58kg$31.00
Scr2Mr Rock It15Holly DurnanR & L Price58kg
Scr8Miss Checkoni13Leeshelle SmallNick Mitchell55kg
Scr14Montigo Bay3Chad LeverRoss McConville55.5kg
Scr15Your Not The Boss2Grant BuckleyMitchell Beer55.5kg
Scr16Lounerse10D I Atkins59kg
R8

Club Macquarie Conditional (Bm68)

16:20 local1400mBenchmark 68$4,200,012,055,027,450,600,000,000,000,000
Winner6. Audrey''s LaneSP $1.60
★ Top pick2nd
1California Secret

Our price $3.20 · SP $6.50 · Mitchell Bell

California Secret enters this race with impressive momentum, boasting three consecutive wins. The inside barrier, while typically advantageous, may be less ideal on a soft track at Newcastle.

2nd pickWon
6Audrey''s Lane

Our price $3.00 · SP $1.60 · Chad Lever

Audrey's Lane presents a compelling case with her consistency and soft track prowess. While stepping up in class, her form suggests she's ready for the challenge. The neutral barrier shouldn't significantly impact her chances.

3rd pick3rd
3How Much Better

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Grant Buckley

His experience at the distance and suitable weight are positives. However, a declining form trend and the class rise present challenges. His ability to handle soft tracks is a question mark, but his overall profile suggests he could surprise.

Value pick6th
12Lady Savannah

Our price $8.00 · SP $14.00 · K S Latham

Lady Savannah represents good value with her improving form and strong soft track record.

  1. 1st6Audrey''s LaneChad Lever$1.60
  2. 2nd1California SecretMitchell Bell$6.50
  3. 3rd3How Much BetterGrant Buckley$8.50
  4. 4th11LowlandsMs L Day$9.50
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Audrey''s Lane7Chad LeverBrad Widdup57kg$1.60
2nd1California Secret1Mitchell BellPeter Snowden60.5kg$6.50
3rd3How Much Better6Grant BuckleySara Ryan59kg$8.50
4th11Lowlands8Ms L DayC Maher55kg$9.50
5th7Lounerse2Christian ReithD I Atkins57kg$26.00
6th12Lady Savannah3K S LathamJake Hull55kg$14.00
7th9Vis I Do5Ryan BradleyAnthony Mountney51.5kg$31.00
8th5Brok Cafe9Aaron BullockP Messara & L Gavranich57.5kg$14.00
Scr2Contributingfactor10D I Atkins59kg
Scr4Smoke On The Water12James Dobie58.5kg
Scr8Pensativa4Lou Mary57kg
Scr10Cheeky Dancer11Brock RyanC Maher55kg

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