Nullarbor Jane presents as the top selection due to a significant class drop from Group 2 to Maiden level. The inside barrier is advantageous on a soft track, and the booking of experienced jockey Jeff Penza is a positive.
New South Wales · Saturday 12 July 2025
Newcastle tips and results
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Newcastle. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Club Charlestown Midway Mdn Hcp
Trainer R J Quinton has a good record with debutants, and the lightweight of 55kg is advantageous. The soft track conditions are likely to suit, though the wide barrier is a concern.
The Warrior carries top weight, indicating class, and the addition of blinkers for the first time could sharpen performance. Likely to lead in the speed map, which can be advantageous at Newcastle. Trainer P M Perry has a good record at the track, but the lack of race experience and unproven soft track form are concerns.
The inside barrier is advantageous, especially on a soft track.
- 1st10Pewter PearlHolly Durnan$7.50
- 2nd8LuskintyreMs L Day$8.50
- 3rd4ZoodooA J Calder$51.00
- 4th9Nullarbor JaneJeff Penza$1.85
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Pewter Pearl | 4 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Beer | 52kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Luskintyre | 10 | Ms L Day | R J Quinton | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Zoodoo | 1 | A J Calder | G Portelli | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Nullarbor Jane | 2 | Jeff Penza | J G Sargent | 55kg | $1.85 |
| 5th | 1 | The Warrior | 6 | Mitchell Bell | P M Perry | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Ishikari | 7 | Chad Lever | Fabio Martino | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Infant Warrior | 3 | Deanne Panya | M C Conners | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Kingdom Heart | 8 | Brock Ryan | David Pfieffer | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Smooth Red | 9 | Shaun Guymer | C Karakatsanis | 56.5kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Lady Talea | 5 | J C Coyle | 55kg |
Mex Club Super Mdn Plate
Trainer Michael Freedman's success with debutants and the favorable weight allocation make her a top contender. The soft track is a minor concern, but her overall profile suggests readiness for a strong debut performance.
The light weight is advantageous, and despite a slightly wide draw, early speed is anticipated. While lacking race experience, the overall profile suggests a strong chance of a successful debut.
Lady Talea benefits from a significant class drop and shows an improving form trend. While yet to place and unproven on soft tracks, the easier company could see her make a significant form reversal.
While yet to win and carrying top weight from a wide barrier, his experience edge and potential for third-up improvement make him an intriguing value proposition in a race with many unknowns.
- 1st12Southern HeiressK S Latham$3.00
- 2nd8Lady TaleaJessica Taylor$15.00
- 3rd1Blue Suede HoovesChad Lever$14.00
- 4th9Magical StarOlivia Chambers$1.80
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Southern Heiress | 6 | K S Latham | Michael Freedman | 55kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Lady Talea | 3 | Jessica Taylor | J C Coyle | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Blue Suede Hooves | 8 | Chad Lever | Ms K Waugh | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Magical Star | 9 | Olivia Chambers | Bjorn Baker | 53kg | $1.80 |
| 5th | 10 | Mediterra | 7 | Ms L Day | C Maher | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Bella Madonna | 5 | Emma Ly | Alexandre Lemarie | 52kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Jigadee | 4 | Jenny Duggan | Scott Aspery | 59kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Zoodoo | 2 | G Portelli | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Ishikari | 10 | Fabio Martino | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Monte Out''n''about | 12 | Mollie Fitzgerald | N Mayfield-Smith | 55kg | |
| Scr | 6 | She Swings | 11 | Brock Ryan | David Pfieffer | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Nullarbor Jane | 1 | J G Sargent | 55kg |
The Wests Group Mdn Plate
Black Bugatti shows the most consistent form in the field with multiple placings. The significant class drop from metropolitan to provincial grade is a major positive. Has performed well on soft tracks and draws ideally in barrier 3. While yet to break through for a win, this looks an excellent opportunity.
Entitlement is lightly raced but showing improvement with each run. Carries a light weight which is advantageous on soft ground. Has placed twice on soft tracks, suggesting suitability to conditions. Good barrier draw should allow a positive position. Main query is inexperience against some more seasoned rivals.
Pierro's Girl has been knocking on the door with consistent form. Particularly effective on soft tracks with a place strike rate of 33% in these conditions. Should appreciate the step up in distance based on recent runs. Main concerns are the lack of a win to date and a slightly awkward barrier draw.
Has placed on soft tracks previously and draws well. Main negatives are inconsistent overall form and the fact he's yet to win.
- 1st5HappinessJeff Penza$7.00
- 2nd3Black BugattiMs C Keatings$2.60
- 3rd7EntitlementOlivia Chambers$3.80
- 4th9Pierro''s GirlMitchell Bell$6.50
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Happiness | 2 | Jeff Penza | C J Waller | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Black Bugatti | 3 | Ms C Keatings | G Portelli | 55kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 7 | Entitlement | 4 | Olivia Chambers | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $3.80 |
| 4th | 9 | Pierro''s Girl | 7 | Mitchell Bell | C J Waller | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 8 | Pharoah Queen | 9 | Ms L Day | C Maher | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Descartes | 1 | K S Latham | J G Sargent | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Kaval | 8 | Chad Lever | Mark Cross | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 2 | No Questions Asked | 6 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Ms A Turner | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Hargraves Lookout | 5 | Brock Ryan | J G Sargent | 58kg | $21.00 |
East Maitland Bowling Club (Bm64)
Her recent form is solid, including a win on a heavy track last start. While facing a class rise, she's well-weighted for the conditions and has shown adaptability to different tracks.
Pratt brings strong recent form and a proven ability on soft tracks. While facing a slight class rise and drawn wider, his consistent performances and suitability to the track condition make him a strong contender. The weight is favorable for soft track conditions.
Zoe Shark has a strong record at this track and consistently places. The barrier draw is advantageous, and the weight is suitable for soft track conditions. However, the long break since her last run and lack of heavy track form introduce some uncertainty.
She's highly suited to soft tracks and could improve further. The class rise is a concern, but her potential and track suitability make her an interesting value proposition.
- 1st6Prima BellaRebecca Bronett Prag$3.70
- 2nd2Curl CurlK S Latham$5.00
- 3rd5Wave BreakerMitchell Bell$11.00
- 4th4Zoe SharkMollie Fitzgerald$6.50
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Prima Bella | 5 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | Matthew Smith | 56kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Curl Curl | 11 | K S Latham | P M Perry | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Wave Breaker | 6 | Mitchell Bell | Peter Snowden | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Zoe Shark | 7 | Mollie Fitzgerald | P M Perry | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 1 | No Statement | 10 | Siena Grima | M F Van Gestel | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Take The Jackpot | 2 | Shae Wilkes | B G Lawrence | 52kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Miss Backchat | 3 | Brock Ryan | G Portelli | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Jamakin Money | 1 | Chad Lever | D Lane | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Pratt | 9 | Aaron Bullock | M S Minervini | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Vancouver''s Crown | 4 | Leeshelle Small | N M Lewis | 52kg | $151.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Kev''s Girl | 12 | Emma Ly | Marc Chevalier | 54.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Rockbarton Max | 13 | D I Atkins | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Hoku | 8 | Jeff Penza | L K Roberts | 55kg |
Toronto Workers Club Mdn Hcp
Despite the wide barrier, the colt's soft track ability and weight advantage make it well-positioned to overcome the draw.
Duke Atreides is an intriguing prospect from an advantageous barrier with a top jockey. While lacking race experience, the favorable draw and potential for first-up improvement make it a strong contender in this maiden field.
Bella Wahine, from the Chris Waller stable, is expected to lead and could improve with the gear change. While inexperienced, the combination of a top trainer and front-running style makes it a legitimate contender in this maiden event.
The soft track experience is a plus in these conditions.
- 1st15San GiovanniK S Latham$7.00
- 2nd8Bella WahineJeff Penza$3.60
- 3rd19WatsonOlivia Chambers$8.00
- 4th16Duke AtreidesAaron Bullock$3.50
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 15 | San Giovanni | 5 | K S Latham | Michael Freedman | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Bella Wahine | 2 | Jeff Penza | C J Waller | 55kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 19 | Watson | 9 | Olivia Chambers | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 54.5kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 16 | Duke Atreides | 4 | Aaron Bullock | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 5th | 14 | Soliciting | 7 | C J Waller | 55kg | $31.00 | |
| 6th | 17 | Bellevue | 13 | Grant Buckley | Sara Ryan | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Escargoes | 18 | W F Pinn | Brad Widdup | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 8th | 10 | Cool Themis | 6 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Alexandre Lemarie | 53kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Front Rank | 3 | Andrew Gibbons | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Pictor | 12 | Chad Lever | C J Waller | 57kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Precise Star | 14 | Christian Reith | C J Waller | 57kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Sixties | 16 | Jessica Taylor | C J Waller | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Royal Air Force | 15 | C J Waller | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Sunburnt Country | 19 | Mitchell Bell | James Cummings | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Commanding Belle | 10 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 55kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Crimson Wings | 11 | Richard & Will Freedman | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Panova | 17 | C J Waller | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Samarelle | 1 | Ms L Day | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 55kg | |
| Scr | 18 | Cellarmaster | 20 | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Tulou | 8 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 55kg |
Beresfield Bowling Club (Bm64)
Hooligan Tommy presents as a strong top selection with consistent form, proven ability on soft tracks, and a solid record at the track and distance. Despite the wide draw, his tactical versatility and weight-carrying ability make him well-suited to the conditions.
Surreal I Am shows improving form and a liking for soft tracks, making him a solid second pick. The good barrier draw should allow for a positive position in running. The slight weight rise is the main concern but is manageable given his current form.
Scholl Deep presents as a solid third pick with consistent recent form and proven ability on rain-affected tracks. Her recent heavy track win demonstrates her suitability for today's conditions. The slight class rise is the main query, but her overall form suggests she can be competitive.
- 1st1Hooligan TommyHolly Durnan$3.20
- 2nd19Tip Top Timing$16.00
- 3rd9Empire Of ArtK S Latham$4.60
- 4th15Uncle HarryJeff Penza$8.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Hooligan Tommy | 9 | Holly Durnan | J G Sargent | 60kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 19 | Tip Top Timing | 4 | C E Conners | 56.5kg | $16.00 | |
| 3rd | 9 | Empire Of Art | 7 | K S Latham | C J Waller | 58kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 15 | Uncle Harry | 1 | Jeff Penza | P M Perry | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Owen County | 5 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Nathan Doyle | 60kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 17 | Yorikiri | 6 | Deanne Panya | P M Perry | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Surreal I Am | 3 | Andrew Gibbons | K A Lees | 60kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Scholl Deep | 17 | Christian Reith | D I Atkins | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Tom Cruising | 2 | Jessica Taylor | K J Parker | 57kg | $9.50 |
| 10th | 20 | Montgomery | 19 | Brock Ryan | John Thompson | 56kg | $71.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Ocean Diva | 12 | Ms L Day | J G Sargent | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Oakfield Waratah | 8 | Grant Buckley | Ms K Buchanan | 58kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 3 | This Is The Moment | 10 | Mitchell Beer | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Tomba | 13 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Autumn Dream | 16 | Aaron Bullock | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Marsabit | 11 | D A Williams | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Okami Star | 18 | H Van Der Hoven | C E Conners | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Wealthy Investor | 15 | D Lane | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Shutter | 14 | Lou Mary | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Outcast Girl | 21 | M C Conners | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 21 | Annulus | 20 | Jenny Duggan | Scott Aspery | 56kg |
Belmont 16''s (HBCF Pink Race Day Cup) Provincial (Bm64)
River Pat shows strong consistent form with a high place rate and performs well on soft tracks. The mare has drawn well and carries a suitable weight. While facing a slight class rise, the overall form and conditions suggest a strong winning chance.
The mare has a strong record at both the track and distance, and performs well on soft going. While carrying slightly more weight and drawn wider, the overall form and ability to handle the conditions make her a strong contender.
Flying Argyle has been consistently placing and performs well on soft tracks. While yet to win at this track and facing a class rise, the overall form and conditions suggest a solid chance for a place finish.
Cuban Rain shows improving form with a recent win two starts back. The filly performs well on soft tracks and carries a light weight. The addition of a tongue tie could lead to further improvement.
- 1st4Just In TimeAaron Bullock$1.90
- 2nd3Flying ArgyleMitchell Bell$9.50
- 3rd11BenameraR Downey$26.00
- 4th1Contributingfactor$12.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Just In Time | 6 | Aaron Bullock | J C Deamer | 60kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 3 | Flying Argyle | 1 | Mitchell Bell | P M Perry | 60kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Benamera | 5 | R Downey | Stephen O''Halloran | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Contributingfactor | 7 | D I Atkins | 61kg | $12.00 | |
| 5th | 9 | River Pat | 4 | K S Latham | Ms K Waugh | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Princess Cruizer | 16 | Jeff Penza | P M Perry | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Cuban Rain | 11 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Happy Saturday | 8 | Ms L Day | K J Parker | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Dubai Gold | 9 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Nathan Doyle | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Powerful Peg | 12 | Andrew Gibbons | K A Lees | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Swift Gun | 14 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 58kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Mr Rock It | 15 | Holly Durnan | R & L Price | 58kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Miss Checkoni | 13 | Leeshelle Small | Nick Mitchell | 55kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Montigo Bay | 3 | Chad Lever | Ross McConville | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Your Not The Boss | 2 | Grant Buckley | Mitchell Beer | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Lounerse | 10 | D I Atkins | 59kg |
Club Macquarie Conditional (Bm68)
California Secret enters this race with impressive momentum, boasting three consecutive wins. The inside barrier, while typically advantageous, may be less ideal on a soft track at Newcastle.
Audrey's Lane presents a compelling case with her consistency and soft track prowess. While stepping up in class, her form suggests she's ready for the challenge. The neutral barrier shouldn't significantly impact her chances.
His experience at the distance and suitable weight are positives. However, a declining form trend and the class rise present challenges. His ability to handle soft tracks is a question mark, but his overall profile suggests he could surprise.
Lady Savannah represents good value with her improving form and strong soft track record.
- 1st6Audrey''s LaneChad Lever$1.60
- 2nd1California SecretMitchell Bell$6.50
- 3rd3How Much BetterGrant Buckley$8.50
- 4th11LowlandsMs L Day$9.50
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Audrey''s Lane | 7 | Chad Lever | Brad Widdup | 57kg | $1.60 |
| 2nd | 1 | California Secret | 1 | Mitchell Bell | Peter Snowden | 60.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | How Much Better | 6 | Grant Buckley | Sara Ryan | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 11 | Lowlands | 8 | Ms L Day | C Maher | 55kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Lounerse | 2 | Christian Reith | D I Atkins | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Lady Savannah | 3 | K S Latham | Jake Hull | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Vis I Do | 5 | Ryan Bradley | Anthony Mountney | 51.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Brok Cafe | 9 | Aaron Bullock | P Messara & L Gavranich | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Contributingfactor | 10 | D I Atkins | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Smoke On The Water | 12 | James Dobie | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Pensativa | 4 | Lou Mary | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Cheeky Dancer | 11 | Brock Ryan | C Maher | 55kg |
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