Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Tuesday 15 July 2025
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Newcastle. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Malbork Castle presents as the top selection with consistent recent form, including two wins from his last three starts. His soft track record is impressive, and he's dropping significantly in class. The inside barrier draw is advantageous for this track and distance. While stepping up to 2200m for the first time, his racing pattern suggests he should handle the distance.
Coto De Caza is a consistent performer with a good record at the distance. He's dropping slightly in class and has drawn well. The main concern is his poor record on soft tracks, which tempers confidence. However, his overall consistency and ability to carry weight make him a strong contender.
Fighting Magnus boasts an impressive soft track record and consistent recent form. The significant weight relief is a major positive, and he should be well-suited by the likely moderate tempo. While facing a slight class rise, his overall profile suggests he's capable of being competitive in this field.
Her soft track record is excellent, and she's been consistently placing in recent starts. The significant weight advantage and potential improvement from the gear change (winkers off) make her an interesting prospect. While untested at 2200m, her racing pattern suggests she may handle the step up in distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Whetu | 2 | Benjamin Osmond | R D Collett | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Coto De Caza | 5 | K S Latham | J G Sargent | 61.5kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 7 | Sound And Vision | 9 | Madeline Owen | Ms K Owen | 52kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Whisker To Whisker | 8 | Brock Ryan | John Thompson | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 9 | Savant De Lune | 6 | Jessica Taylor | Gregory Minns | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Fighting Magnus | 4 | Shae Wilkes | B G Lawrence | 54.5kg | $4.80 |
| 7th | 8 | Threw | 3 | Molly Bourke | Ms W Haynes | 53.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Devine Outcast | 7 | Ashley Morgan | R & L Price | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Malbork Castle | 1 | Tom Sherry | Richard Litt | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
The colt has shown consistency in form and has experience on soft tracks. While yet to win, the combination of factors suggests a breakthrough is imminent.
The gelding carries a suitable weight and has experienced jockey Jay Ford aboard. However, the wide barrier and declining form trend are concerns. The horse presents as a solid each-way prospect.
The gelding is fresh after a 140-day break and has drawn the advantageous barrier 1. While yet to win and with low track condition suitability, the combination of factors makes Firework a strong contender.
Positive gear changes could spark improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Hillier | 2 | Tom Sherry | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 4 | Harry''s Evidence | 10 | Jay Ford | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Vin Santo | 3 | K S Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Cellarmaster | 8 | A Adkins | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Sunburnt Country | 7 | Ashley Morgan | James Cummings | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Demmo Dermy | 5 | Brock Ryan | Edward Cummings | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 1 | California Comets | 4 | Reece Jones | Peter Snowden | 59kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Firework | 1 | Aaron Bullock | Sara Ryan | 59kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Duke Atreides | 6 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Escargoes | 11 | Brad Widdup | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Watson | 9 | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56.5kg |
While yet to win, the filly has shown steady improvement and appears well-placed to break through in this field.
Samarelle draws an advantageous barrier and has gear changes that could signal improvement. The strong stable combination is a positive, but the lack of form data and unproven soft track ability introduce some risk.
Say Yes, from the Chris Waller stable, is an intriguing prospect. The gear changes suggest potential improvement, and the weight is favorable. However, the lack of form data introduces some uncertainty.
Easiest Choice carries top weight, suggesting some ability, and the gear changes could lead to improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Samarelle | 4 | A Adkins | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 55.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 6 | The Stars | 2 | Rory Hutchings | C J Waller | 58kg | $1.45 |
| 3rd | 1 | Easiest Choice | 7 | Jay Ford | David Pfieffer | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Organics | 3 | Ashley Morgan | James Cummings | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Tulou | 5 | Alysha Collett | Brad Widdup | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Stormzino | 1 | Ms C Keatings | G Portelli | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Gun Control | 6 | O A Dalton | G M Brown | 55kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Keinbah''s Gift | 8 | Damien Smith | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Say Yes | 9 | Braith Nock | C J Waller | 56.5kg |
The significant class drop from last start is a major positive, and as a likely leader, the soft track should suit. While yet to win, the combination of factors suggests this could be his breakthrough performance.
The weight advantage and good barrier draw are significant positives. While inexperienced and unproven at the distance, there's potential for improvement second-up. The soft track shouldn't be an issue based on her debut performance.
Starry Desert brings consistent form and a significant class drop to this race. As a first-up performer drawn to an inside barrier, he has tactical advantages. The long break and lack of soft track experience are concerns, but the overall profile suggests he can be competitive in this field.
With multiple placings and proven soft track form, she has the credentials to perform well.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Starry Desert | 1 | Braith Nock | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 14 | Skirmish | 6 | Ashley Morgan | C Maher | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Zo Frilling | 8 | A Adkins | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Le Chocolat | 4 | Rory Hutchings | C J Waller | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 10 | Shanoni | 7 | Tom Sherry | C J Waller | 57kg | $4.60 |
| 6th | 13 | Mind Over Matter | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Western Lane | 11 | William Stanley | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Indigo Star | 13 | C J Waller | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Kikoira | 12 | Molly Bourke | C J Waller | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Rebel Rhapsody | 9 | K S Latham | Sara Ryan | 59kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Invisible Magic | 3 | Ms L Day | C Maher | 57kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Mackinaw Peach | 5 | Alysha Collett | David Pfieffer | 57kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Rach | 10 | Benjamin Osmond | C J Waller | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Frankie''s Boy | 14 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56.5kg |
Has placed in 3 of 5 soft track starts and gets in light at 53.5kg. The wide barrier is a concern, but her closing speed should allow her to overcome it.
Dollars has been knocking on the door with consistent place finishes and should be prominent from the outset.
Hidden Mogul drops significantly in class and carries a light weight, which could see improvement. Has placed consistently throughout career and has experience on soft tracks.
Has placed in soft going and the distance is ideal. While yet to break through for a win, her consistency suggests she's ready to peak, making her an attractive each-way proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Ngunnawal | 2 | Anna Roper | P M Perry | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Dollars | 3 | Braith Nock | J C Deamer | 55.5kg | $2.25 |
| 3rd | 12 | Turning Circle | 11 | Benjamin Osmond | Nathan Doyle | 53.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 4 | North Terrace | 9 | Aaron Bullock | Edward Cummings | 57kg | $4.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Himeros | 5 | Winona Costin | James Ponsonby | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Luna Cruiser | 4 | Jean Van Overmeire | Jay Hopkins | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 11 | The Final Say | 1 | Ms L Day | K A Lees | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Legris | 7 | Ms C Keatings | T & P Vigouroux | 52kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Zeema | 6 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Suncone | 8 | Alysha Collett | Edward Cummings | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Hidden Mogul | 12 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Marc Chevalier | 53kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Tod | 10 | Rory Hutchings | Mitchell Beer | 59kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Tambeloa | 13 | Ms K Buchanan | 56.5kg |
Well-suited by the soft track and advantageous barrier draw, the filly appears primed for a winning performance despite a slight rise in class.
Cluedo shows consistent form and a strong track record, making her a solid second pick. Well-weighted and with a proven ability to handle soft tracks, she's capable of challenging the top selection despite the class rise and wider barrier.
Butterfly Style boasts an impressive win rate and is well-suited to the soft track conditions. The light weight is a significant advantage, but the filly faces a steep class rise and has limited overall experience. Still, her potential makes her a worthy third selection.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Zielle | 10 | Molly Bourke | G R Nickson | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Spaceballs | 4 | Braith Nock | C Maher | 59.5kg | $2.25 |
| 3rd | 6 | Stage Legend | 6 | Reece Jones | L J Bridge | 59kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Butterfly Style | 3 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Beer | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 12 | Mon Amore | 1 | Anna Roper | P M Perry | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Cluedo | 8 | Aaron Bullock | Paul Snowden | 60kg | $3.40 |
| 7th | 10 | Calyx Rose | 12 | Grant Buckley | Brad Widdup | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Without You | 2 | A Adkins | Marc Chevalier | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Just In Time | 9 | J C Deamer | 62kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Lounerse | 5 | Benjamin Osmond | D I Atkins | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Cheeky Dancer | 11 | Brock Ryan | C Maher | 59kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Lowlands | 7 | C Maher | 58.5kg |
Cold Brew presents as the standout selection with strong recent form, including a dominant last-start win. While facing a class rise, his overall profile and consistency suggest he's ready for the challenge.
Smoke On The Water offers a solid proposition with consistent recent form and proven ability at the distance. Drawn well and carrying a suitable weight, he's well-positioned to challenge. While facing a slight class rise, his overall profile suggests he's capable of handling it.
Carnegie Hill shows promise with improving form and a good record on soft tracks. While facing a class rise and drawn wide, his current form trajectory indicates potential for a strong showing.
Iceman presents as an intriguing value proposition. While facing a significant class rise and lacking a strong win record, his current form and lightweight status make him an interesting longshot.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Cold Brew | 1 | Rory Hutchings | Richard & Will Freedman | 60.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 12 | Iceman | 10 | Benjamin Osmond | C E Conners | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Homeric | 7 | Tom Sherry | Peter Snowden | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Carnegie Hill | 4 | K S Latham | Michael Freedman | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Smoke On The Water | 8 | Aaron Bullock | James Dobie | 60.5kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Cosmic Lad | 5 | Ashley Morgan | Joseph Pride | 60.5kg | $3.20 |
| 7th | 7 | Fun Sponge | 6 | Reece Jones | J C Coyle | 58.5kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 15 | Annulus | 14 | Jenny Duggan | Scott Aspery | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 16 | Dapper Dancer | 9 | A J Calder | R T Leemon | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 10 | War Star | 3 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 58.5kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Contributingfactor | 12 | William Stanley | D I Atkins | 59kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Prince Harrison | 13 | Mollie Fitzgerald | M C Conners | 57kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Hippolyte Rock | 16 | C J Waller | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Rockbarton Icon | 2 | Ms L Day | D I Atkins | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Swift Gun | 15 | Brad Widdup | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Bluff ''n'' Bluster | 11 | J C Coyle | 56.5kg |
Expido presents as the top selection with a strong win rate, improving form, and suitability for soft conditions. The gelding carries a favorable weight and is likely to settle midfield, offering tactical advantages. While facing a class rise, the overall form and conditions align well for a strong performance.
The Grey offers a solid proposition as the second selection. The class drop is advantageous, though the top weight and wide barrier present challenges. Overall, a strong contender with proven ability.
Oakfield Neptune impresses as the third selection, boasting an unbeaten record and proven heavy track ability. Well-weighted and likely to improve second-up, this filly has potential. However, inexperience and a class rise present risks. The wide barrier is a concern, but overall form and conditions suggest a competitive run.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Tickle Me Pink | 11 | Luke Rolls | M S Minervini | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Expido | 2 | Andrew Gibbons | Angela Davies | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Oakfield Neptune | 12 | Aaron Bullock | Ms K Buchanan | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 12 | Montigo Bay | 4 | Brock Ryan | Ross McConville | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Our Little Star | 6 | Braith Nock | David Pfieffer | 54.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 1 | The Grey | 9 | Alysha Collett | Brad Widdup | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 3 | The Pacific | 1 | Ashley Morgan | Sara Ryan | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Ready To Rocket | 13 | K S Latham | J C Deamer | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 2 | The New Sinatra | 5 | Reece Jones | Marc Chevalier | 59kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Capital Jicinta | 7 | William Stanley | Wayne Seelin | 55kg | |
| Scr | 7 | La Bella Bondi | 17 | K J Parker | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Red Spector | 8 | Mitchell Bell | Jake Hull | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Cuban Rain | 15 | R & L Price | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Girls Weekend | 10 | Jean Van Overmeire | Mitchell Beer | 55kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Forbidden Riff | 16 | A Adkins | Richard & Will Freedman | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Lightly Sparkled | 14 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Beer | 52kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Cifonelli | 3 | Ms C Keatings | G Portelli | 53kg |
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