Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Thursday 24 July 2025
Our top pick won 1 of 7 races at Cairns. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Tekopo presents as the most reliable option with consistent form and an ideal barrier draw. The inside barrier (3) aligns perfectly with soft track bias, and her record of placings in all starts suggests she'll be competitive. The long spell is a concern, but her consistent form pattern and tactical advantage make her the top selection.
Gem Of Scots showed significant improvement last start with a strong second at this exact track and distance. The drop from Open to Maiden company is substantial, and despite the wide barrier, her recent form and class drop make her a strong winning chance.
Overwatch has the class and soft track form to be competitive, but the extremely long spell is a major concern.
Two seconds from three starts demonstrates reliability, and the good barrier draw suits soft track conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Gem Of Scots | 8 | Jackson Murphy | Scott Cooper | 54.5kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 2 | Asteride | 1 | Nathan Thomas | Scott Cooper | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Tekopo | 3 | L Morrison | Clinton Taylor | 56kg | $2.70 |
| 4th | 7 | Music Girl | 2 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 54.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Overwatch | 5 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 56kg | $3.10 |
| 6th | 9 | Sheza Barbarossa | 6 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 54.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Love Wrap | 7 | Wanderson D''Avila | R J Miller | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Lichfield Angel | 4 | Chris Meehan | A G Malliff | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Proper Bender | 9 | Rachel Shred | A G Malliff | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
Stadium Of Light stands out as the clear top selection with his exceptional Cairns record and proven ability at today's distance. His last start victory and strong soft track credentials make him ideally suited to these conditions. The class rise is a concern but his track specialization and form momentum provide strong confidence.
The lack of success at Cairns is concerning but his raw ability suggests he can overcome this.
Vincenzo brings metropolitan class and consistent recent form to this provincial contest. His barrier 1 draw is ideal for soft conditions and the weight relief provides a significant advantage. The class drop from his usual level should see him competitive despite limited local experience.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Vincenzo | 1 | Ty Wheeler | Allan Holmes | 52.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Stadium Of Light | 3 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 54kg | $2.30 |
| 3rd | 3 | Choir Boy | 4 | Ivo Fry | Ms J Ryan | 54.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Mr Maestro | 5 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 62.5kg | $3.10 |
| 5th | 4 | Fifth Position | 2 | Nathan Thomas | S Massingham | 54.5kg | $7.50 |
| Scr | 2 | Smart Legend | 6 | Chris Meehan | S Massingham | 57kg |
Perovic is the standout selection based on dominant recent form including two wins from his last three starts, both on similar tracks and conditions. His soft track record of 3 wins from 11 starts is solid, and he's proven at Cairns with 2 wins from 3 starts. The step up to 2100m suits his staying style, and despite the wide draw, his class edge should prevail.
Bold Feeling represents solid each-way value with consistent recent form including a third at Cairns last start. His soft track record shows he can handle the conditions, and the step up in distance may suit his staying style. The barrier and weight combination is favorable, making him a strong place chance.
Medal offers some value despite his poor soft track record. His inside barrier is a significant advantage, and he's proven at the distance. Recent form shows consistency with regular placings, and the weight drop to 57.5kg helps. However, his 0 wins from 25 soft track starts is a major concern that limits confidence.
His recent Mareeba win shows current form, and the significant class drop gives him a genuine chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Olympic Korchnoi | 6 | Lauren Guernier | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Bold Feeling | 5 | Nathan Thomas | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Medal | 1 | Ivo Fry | Stephen Bush | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Perovic | 7 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 60kg | $1.35 |
| 5th | 7 | Merry Old Soul | 4 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 54kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Major Artie | 2 | Aidan Holt | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 61kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Redwood Shadow | 3 | Ryan Wiggins | L J Hatch | 59kg |
Moegreen presents as the standout selection with a dominant last start win at this track and excellent soft track credentials.
Blue Steel brings excellent soft track credentials with 2 wins from 4 starts and a last start victory at Cairns.
Seventies Hit brings solid recent form with a dominant win at Ingham and consistent placing record. While his soft track record shows 1 win from 7 starts, he's proven at the distance and carries a reasonable weight. The wide barrier is a concern but his consistent form makes him a place chance.
His consistent placing record and favorable barrier draw from 4 makes him an attractive each-way proposition. The gelding has been competitive in recent starts and the class rise may not stop him.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Seventies Hit | 8 | L Morrison | Bodine Bailey | 62.5kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Blue Steel | 6 | Ms A Thomson | A R Bailey | 59kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 7 | Superstitions | 4 | Nathan Thomas | R T Moller | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Moegreen | 3 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 63.5kg | $3.70 |
| 5th | 3 | Eagle Warrior | 9 | Ryan Wiggins | S J Royes | 63kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Deal An Ace | 7 | Lauren Guernier | Athol Ryan | 59.5kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Irish Mist | 5 | Wanderson D''Avila | Troy Clive | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Wong Way | 1 | Ty Wheeler | M A Dale | 52.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Mission House | 2 | Matthew McGuire | 64kg |
Hartshorn stands out as the top selection with a strong track/distance record and consistent recent form. The gelding is well-weighted, drawn favorably, and has proven soft track ability. While facing a slight class rise, his overall profile and suitability for conditions make him the most likely winner.
Injada comes off a last-start win and has been racing consistently. The gelding has a good barrier draw and suitable weight, which should offset the class rise. While lacking the track/distance experience of Hartshorn, his improving form and recent performances make him a strong contender.
Cullivel carries a featherweight and is well-drawn, which should allow for a positive run. While the long break between runs and limited soft track experience are concerns, her weight advantage and potential for improvement make her a legitimate threat.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Injada | 6 | L Morrison | Bodine Bailey | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 7 | Gamadale Nip | 8 | Rachel Shred | A G Malliff | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Bloomin'' Ripper | 11 | Tyler Leslight | Sharlee Hoffman | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Hartshorn | 7 | Ryan Wiggins | S J Royes | 60kg | $3.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Better Be Slick | 3 | Ms A Thomson | A R Bailey | 62.5kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Sowilo Siren | 1 | Nathan Thomas | Sharlee Hoffman | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Racatoon | 10 | Lauren Guernier | Athol Ryan | 56.5kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Midas Star | 9 | Ivo Fry | Stephen Bush | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Neveton | 2 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 59kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Cullivel | 5 | Ty Wheeler | Matey Taylor | 52kg | |
| Scr | 11 | So Yes It Is | 4 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 54.5kg |
Stats presents as the top selection with a combination of consistent form, proven soft track ability, and class. Despite the wider draw, his early speed should allow him to overcome this disadvantage. His soft track record is superior to the other selections, and he's proven at this level. The weight is a slight concern, but his overall profile suggests he's well-equipped to handle it.
Highbar is a strong contender with impressive recent form and an excellent track/distance record. The weight advantage and good barrier draw are significant positives. However, the class rise and some uncertainty about soft track performance slightly temper enthusiasm.
Crowning Moment offers consistency and a solid soft track record. However, the tendency to get back in running could be problematic if the pace is strong. While a genuine place chance, he lacks the winning form of the top two selections at this level.
Valenki represents value in this field given his improving form and advantageous weight and barrier draw. While he's yet to win at this track and distance, his last-start placing in similar company suggests he's ready to peak. However, he lacks the proven class of the top selections.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Valenki | 2 | Jackson Murphy | O Chillemi | 54kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Stats | 10 | Ryan Wiggins | S Massingham | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 7 | Crowning Moment | 5 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Listentozou | 6 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Highbar | 4 | L Morrison | O Chillemi | 54kg | $2.05 |
| 6th | 3 | Armour Force | 3 | Nathan Thomas | S Massingham | 54.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Inching Closer | 8 | Chris Meehan | M A Dale | 61kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Turn Bird | 1 | Jason Taylor | S J Royes | 54kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Devil Kick | 7 | Rachel Shred | A G Malliff | 54kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Loud Noise | 9 | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 54kg |
Targeted stands out as the top selection due to its improving form, significant class drop, and ideal barrier draw. While unproven on soft tracks, the overall form and race setup strongly favor this runner.
Ellie's Dream presents a strong case with consistent form and proven soft track ability. The class drop is beneficial, and it's a proven weight carrier. While the barrier is less ideal than Targeted, its overall profile makes it a solid contender.
Super Art offers strong credentials, particularly as a soft track specialist with consistent form. The recent close second and experienced jockey are positives. While carrying more weight and drawn wider than the top two picks, its soft track ability keeps it in strong contention.
The good barrier and light weight enhance its chances.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Targeted | 1 | Jackson Murphy | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 59.5kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 3 | Ellie''s Dream | 6 | Sean Cormack | F J Wieland | 61kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Gazza''s Diamond | 7 | Jason Taylor | R Baker | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Ceasar | 10 | Ryan Wiggins | S J Royes | 63kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 10 | The Home Team | 3 | Ms A Thomson | A R Bailey | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Find My Calm | 2 | Krysten Swaffer | Trevor & Peter Rowe | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Majestic Blaze | 4 | Chris Meehan | A G Malliff | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Super Art | 8 | Mitch Goring | A R Bailey | 60.5kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Sir Maximus | 5 | Matthew McGuire | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Lucky Jim | 9 | Ty Wheeler | M A Dale | 54.5kg |
Before the races, not after
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