Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Sunday 27 July 2025
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Casterton. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Flood And Fire brings the strongest recent form into this race, with consistent placings and a significant class drop. Has proven ability over the distance and on soft tracks, which is crucial for today's conditions.
Luckyheleft has been knocking on the door with consistent placings and shows good form on soft tracks. While yet to win over jumps, the horse's form suggests it's ready to break through.
Topspin is showing improvement over jumps with a recent placing in a maiden hurdle. Handles soft tracks well and carries a light weight, which could be advantageous over this distance. While overall record is inconsistent, recent form suggests potential for a strong showing.
While recent form is poor, the horse has a good overall win rate and could surprise if recapturing best form. The jump to hurdles is a concern, but the soft track should suit.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Flood And Fire | 4 | Steven Pateman | Andrew Bobbin | 69.5kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 7 | Topspin | 7 | Jordan Hart | Joanne Mugavin | 69.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Luckyheleft | 1 | W Gordon | Rachael Cunningham | 69.5kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 4 | Mungerannie | 5 | David Mulcahy | Amy McDonald | 69.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Oz Legend | 2 | Martin Kelly | E V Musgrove | 69.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Mr Lincoln | 6 | Cillin Leonard | C P Ryan | 69.5kg | $5.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Slomo | 3 | Symon Wilde | 69.5kg |
Golden Garden presents as the top selection with improving form, including a win and second place in recent starts. Has proven soft track ability and carries a weight advantage over main rivals.
Enchanted Elle shows consistent form over hurdles with a win and second place in recent starts. Boasts a strong record at track and distance, and performs well on soft going. Receives weight relief from last start, enhancing chances in this field.
Gambu brings consistent recent form and a strong track and distance record to this race. The experienced jumps jockey is a plus, but the higher weight and less proven soft track form place it behind the top two selections.
An experienced jumper with a strong soft track record and proven ability to carry weight. Likely to be on pace which could be advantageous.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Enchanted Elle | 4 | W Gordon | Symon Wilde | 65kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 3 | Golden Garden | 3 | William Mc Carthy | Symon Wilde | 66kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 1 | Count Zero | 5 | Jordan Hart | Symon Wilde | 75kg | $11.00 |
| 2 | Gambu | 2 | Martin Kelly | E V Musgrove | 66.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Pearlman | 1 | Amy McDonald | 65kg |
The 330-day break is a concern, but the trainer's adjustments and weight advantage make this lightly raced 3yo a top prospect for improvement on soft going.
Mallee Gold presents as a solid contender with consistent recent form and a favorable barrier draw. The quick backup and soft track suitability enhance its chances. While yet to win, this improving 3yo shows promise and could break through in this company.
While yet to win, its adaptability to different track conditions and current fitness level make it a strong contender. The wider barrier is a slight concern on soft going.
The long layoff and wide barrier are concerns, but the class drop makes it an intriguing longshot.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Mallee Gold | 1 | Tom Ryan | Andrew Bobbin | 69.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Grugnito | 8 | William Mc Carthy | Symon Wilde | 69.5kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 4 | Fox Strike | 12 | Jordan Hart | Joanne Mugavin | 69.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 1 | Back Of The Boat | 13 | Steven Pateman | Jessica Pateman | 69.5kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 6 | Infer | 7 | Cillin Leonard | Tammy Birnie | 69.5kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Dunleer Lad | 4 | R O''Sullivan | Amy Small | 69.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Starchino | 5 | Jordan Ratcliffe | Ricky Pike | 67.5kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Keepy Uppy | 2 | David Mulcahy | Clint Marshall | 69.5kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Boulder Gold | 3 | Gary Walsh | T Cottier | 69.5kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Ready Set Fly | 9 | Martin Kelly | Brooke Verwey-Mitchell | 69.5kg | $81.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Reel Blessed | 10 | Luca Remondet | Tammy Birnie | 69.5kg | $31.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Our Gold Claim | 6 | W Gordon | Simon Ryan | 69.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 13 | The Noble Steed | 11 | P R Gray | 69.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Buzzaroon | 14 | Aaron Purcell | 69.5kg |
The Mighty Spar stands out with recent winning form, excellent track/distance record, and proven ability in soft conditions. While carrying top weight, the horse has shown capacity to handle it. The combination of form, experience, and suitability for conditions makes it a strong favorite.
While facing a slight class rise, the weight advantage over the top pick and proven jumping ability make it a strong contender. The horse's adaptability to soft tracks is also a positive factor.
Pressfal shows promise with consistent recent form and a significant weight advantage. While less experienced over jumps and facing a class rise, the horse's improving performances and light weight make it a contender. The soft track should not be a major concern based on past performances.
While recent form is not as strong as the top picks, the horse's experience over jumps and decent track record make it an interesting prospect. The soft track could suit, and there's potential for improvement, making it a speculative value selection.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | The Mighty Spar | 2 | Steven Pateman | M W Walker | 75kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 2 | Fabalot | 5 | William Mc Carthy | Symon Wilde | 72.5kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 3 | Carnamah | 3 | W Gordon | Rachael Cunningham | 66kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Dr Dependable | 4 | Martin Kelly | E V Musgrove | 65kg | $31.00 |
| 4 | Pressfal | 1 | Tom Ryan | S B Laming | 65kg |
Alpinova presents as the top selection with consistent recent form, including 3 placings from last 4 starts. Excellent soft track record and weight suitability give her a significant advantage. Martin Kelly's booking adds further confidence. The slight class rise is offset by her strong form and track preferences.
Gusmao is a strong second pick with solid recent form and a good soft track record. Likely to lead from barrier 1, which suits the track bias. The main concern is the heavy weight, but his consistency at this class level and ability on soft tracks make him a serious contender.
What A Flirt offers value as the third selection. Her soft track form and weight advantage are significant positives. The advantageous barrier draw and strong jockey booking further enhance her chances. The long break between runs is a concern, but her overall profile suggests she can be competitive in this field.
Experienced at the distance with multiple wins, he could outperform expectations. The wide barrier is a concern, but his overall profile and recent form make him an interesting value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Tauri | 12 | Tom Ryan | Q J Scott | 66.5kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | What A Flirt | 5 | Luca Remondet | S V Gebert | 67.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Brazen Brando | 11 | Cillin Leonard | Dan O''Sullivan | 68kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Crackle ''n'' Burn | 3 | Ricky Pike | 69kg | $8.50 | |
| 5th | 3 | Gusmao | 1 | W Gordon | Mitchell Freedman | 69kg | $3.10 |
| 6th | 7 | Fall Of Rome | 6 | David Mulcahy | Lisa Jones | 68kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Sky Royale | 4 | R O''Sullivan | Daniel Kelly | 68.5kg | $71.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Alpinova | 9 | Martin Kelly | Brooke Verwey-Mitchell | 65.5kg | $3.90 |
| 9th | 8 | Royal Telephone | 2 | Jordan Ratcliffe | Vicki O''Connell | 67.5kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Thunderanlightning | 8 | Jordan Hart | K M Elford | 69kg | $10.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Penwortham | 10 | Gary Walsh | B Olson | 65kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Digari | 7 | Andrew Bobbin | 70kg |
Gusty Way stands out with consistent form, including a recent 2nd place at this track and distance. While carrying top weight, has shown ability to handle it. The wide barrier is a concern but likely has the class to overcome it.
Shooter Mcgavin comes off a recent win and has a good record at this track and distance. The inside barrier draw is advantageous, especially on a soft track. While facing a slight class rise, the consistent form suggests ability to compete. Main concern is lack of proven form on heavy tracks if conditions deteriorate.
Bell's Bighouse is showing improving form and excels on soft tracks, which is crucial for today's conditions. Carries a good weight and has drawn a suitable barrier. The main concerns are the class rise and overall inconsistent record. However, the soft track specialization could be the equalizer in this field.
Has shown consistent recent form and a good record at this track. The weight is suitable for today's conditions. The soft track record is average but not a major deterrent.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Shooter Mcgavin | 3 | Tom Ryan | Shane Jackson | 69.5kg | $2.25 |
| 2nd | 1 | Gusty Way | 10 | W Gordon | S & J Jaensch | 70kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 6 | Bell''s Bighouse | 6 | Cillin Leonard | J Rowe | 68kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 9 | Bull Dust | 8 | Jordan Ratcliffe | Q J Scott | 66.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 3 | The Silent Sermon | 7 | Martin Kelly | Ms M Ballantine | 69kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Alia Asahi | 5 | R O''Sullivan | S A Beani | 67kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Bomber''s Kiss | 1 | Gary Walsh | Matt & Louise Cooper | 65kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Womanizer | 12 | Brandon Clark | M J O''Connor | 69kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Zeehak | 9 | Luca Remondet | M R Sharp | 65kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Saventino | 2 | Stacey Kirkpatrick | 68.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Quizlet | 11 | Lucinda Boyd | 68kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Dudance | 4 | Nathan McPherson | 66.5kg |
Pulveriser stands out as the top selection with strong recent form, including a win at this track and distance. His soft track record is impressive, and he's dropping in class from his last start.
Feargal presents as a strong second pick with consistent form and a good record on soft tracks. While he hasn't won at Casterton, his weight advantage over Pulveriser and likely front-running position make him a serious contender.
Bright Legend comes off a strong win on a heavy track and receives significant weight relief here. The mare's recent form suggests she's ready for this challenge.
Rippa Buddy offers excellent value given his strong soft track record and consistency. While drawn wide, he's proven at the distance and has been racing well.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Feargal | 8 | Tom Ryan | Shane Jackson | 69kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Rippa Buddy | 11 | R O''Sullivan | D J Cannon | 67kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Pulveriser | 10 | W Gordon | Andrew Bobbin | 70kg | $3.50 |
| 4th | 10 | Delcoff | 1 | Luca Remondet | M W Greig | 65kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Knuckle | 5 | Martin Kelly | E V Musgrove | 69kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 8 | A Blue Star | 3 | Gary Walsh | P D Graesser | 65kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Bright Legend | 7 | Jordan Hart | Joanne Mugavin | 66kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 9 | Moorak Miss | 6 | Jordan Ratcliffe | Robert Schultz | 65kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Dollar Bucks | 4 | David Mulcahy | T Cottier | 65kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Calvi | 2 | E V Musgrove | 70kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Ahab | 9 | C Maher | 69.5kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.