Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Friday 1 August 2025
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Zeljko has been knocking on the door with consistent placings and looks well-placed to break through. Strong heavy track form, proven at the distance, and a good barrier draw make her the top selection. The Maher/Collett combination adds further confidence.
Le Chocolat has been racing consistently in stronger company and drops significantly in class here. The Waller/Lloyd combination is a strong positive, and the good barrier draw should allow for a positive position. Main concern is lack of heavy track form.
Hot Luci is showing an improving form trend and comes off a strong last start performance. While unproven on heavy tracks, she has shown ability on soft going. The Waterhouse & Bott stable is in good form, but the wider barrier is a slight concern.
The heavy track is a query, but the value is there.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Zeljko | 1 | Jason Collett | C Maher | 57kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 6 | Faye Runaway | 6 | Brock Ryan | K J Parker | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Le Chocolat | 2 | Zac Lloyd | C J Waller | 59kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Pour Benn | 7 | Tom Sherry | David Payne | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 5 | Torpedo Ted | 8 | K S Latham | T & P Vigouroux | 59kg | $151.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Highland Lad | 5 | Winona Costin | James Ponsonby | 59kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Hot Luci | 4 | Adam Hyeronimus | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $9.50 |
| Scr | 3 | Legris | 3 | Chad Lever | T & P Vigouroux | 59kg |
Arduous presents as the top selection with a recent heavy track win and consistent form. Well-weighted and drawn favorably, the mare should handle the conditions and distance. The class rise is offset by her proven wet track ability and strong connections.
While yet to win beyond maiden class, the mare's soft track form and favorable draw make her a strong contender. The step up in class is a concern, but her recent performances indicate she's capable of handling it.
Casablanca Express brings consistency and strong track form to this race. While well-weighted and with experienced connections, the heavy track is a question mark. Recent form is solid but not as impressive as the top two selections, making him a solid place chance.
While unproven on heavy tracks, the gelding's consistent form at similar distances suggests potential.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Super Sugoi | 8 | O A Dalton | Matthew Smith | 54kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Gwendie | 3 | Brock Ryan | Ross McConville | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Casablanca Express | 5 | K S Latham | David Payne | 58kg | $3.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Devils Daughter | 1 | A J Calder | P & M Cave | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Arduous | 7 | Jean Van Overmeire | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $4.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Lucky Bay | 2 | Holly Durnan | R & L Price | 53kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Think Romance | 6 | Jeff Penza | Lee & Cherie Curtis | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Teepee Princess | 4 | Ms L Day | Joseph Ible | 56kg | $21.00 |
Likely to lead and control the race tempo, which is advantageous on a heavy track. Main concern is lack of heavy track experience.
Aura brings the most experience to the race with consistent form and a proven record at track and distance. The soft track placing is a positive, but the wide barrier and top weight are concerns on heavy going.
Cellarmaster offers a solid proposition with recent racing experience and proven soft track form. The weight advantage and good barrier draw are positives for heavy going. Could improve with the step up in distance.
The inside barrier is advantageous on heavy going. While unplaced in all starts, the class drop could see significant improvement. Main concerns are lack of heavy track form and overall inconsistency.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Ninja | 7 | A Adkins | Michael Freedman | 57kg | $1.30 |
| 2nd | 6 | Menshevik | 2 | Tom Sherry | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 10 | Lucky Monkey | 1 | L P Beuzelin | Ms K Outtrim | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Fast ''n'' Fancy | 6 | Winona Costin | M & D Kearney | 55kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Ridgeback | 3 | Adam Hyeronimus | Edward O''Rourke | 59kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Aura | 10 | Dylan Gibbons | M, W & J Hawkes | 57kg | |
| Scr | 4 | All Saints | 8 | R & L Price | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Keep It Real | 9 | Chad Schofield | A & S Freedman | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Ocean Mariner | 4 | Jason Collett | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Cellarmaster | 5 | Zac Lloyd | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56kg |
Has wet track experience and a suitable weight/barrier combination. The main query is stepping up to 1300m for the first time, but overall profile suggests she's ready for the challenge.
Well drawn to take up a forward position, which should suit the likely race pattern. Main query is heavy track form, but soft track ability suggests potential to handle conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Spiritualistic | 2 | Rory Hutchings | Mitchell Beer | 56kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Ridgeback | 6 | Adam Hyeronimus | Edward O''Rourke | 59kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 9 | Headstream | 4 | A Adkins | Blake Ryan | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Miss Steffi | 11 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 55kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 13 | Tulou | 3 | Dylan Gibbons | Brad Widdup | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 4 | All Saints | 5 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 56.5kg | $3.50 |
| Scr | 2 | Vin Santo | 9 | Alysha Collett | Richard & Will Freedman | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Easiest Choice | 13 | Jay Ford | David Pfieffer | 57kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Hell Island | 12 | Zac Lloyd | Richard & Will Freedman | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Initiate | 1 | Christian Reith | Brad Widdup | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Miss Peony | 7 | Molly Bourke | P & M Cave | 55kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Heraion | 8 | Tom Sherry | Jason Attard | 55kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Prefer Diamonds | 10 | Winona Costin | Jason Attard | 55kg |
The significant class drop and inside barrier draw are major positives. While unproven on heavy tracks, the overall form and advantages make this horse the top selection.
Prosperous Dragon shows consistent form and has proven ability on soft tracks. The strong win rate and weight-for-age advantage are positives. However, the outside barrier and long break between runs are concerns. Still, the overall profile suggests a strong chance.
The recent racing experience is a plus.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Can''t Touch This | 6 | Jeff Penza | Matthew Smith | 55kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 8 | Lightly Sparkled | 5 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Beer | 52kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Telling | 1 | Dylan Gibbons | Peter Snowden | 55.5kg | $2.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Prosperous Dragon | 8 | Jean Van Overmeire | Jake Hull | 58.5kg | $4.20 |
| Scr | 1 | Zounaka | 7 | Chad Schofield | John Thompson | 59kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Frostfire | 4 | K S Latham | Michael Freedman | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Our Little Star | 3 | Jason Collett | David Pfieffer | 55kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Girls Weekend | 2 | Mitch Stapleford | Mitchell Beer | 53kg |
Anarchist presents as the top selection despite some concerns. The Waterhouse & Bott stable's good form and the horse's likely on-pace position in a moderate-fast tempo race further enhance its chances. However, the wide barrier and lack of heavy track experience are notable negatives.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Johnny | 6 | A Adkins | Peter Snowden | 57kg | $1.60 |
| 2nd | 7 | Charlina | 17 | Winona Costin | Jason Attard | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Zousari | 12 | Tom Sherry | J C Coyle | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 18 | Anarchist | 18 | Adam Hyeronimus | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 14 | Palazzo Dama | 7 | Jeff Penza | Fabio Martino | 55kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Billund | 9 | Dylan Gibbons | M, W & J Hawkes | 57kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Cuban Cigar | 1 | Jay Ford | T J Bartley | 57kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Feared | 16 | Tommy Berry | A & S Freedman | 57kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Blinked | 3 | Zac Lloyd | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 55kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Choceclair | 8 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 55kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Eagerly Awaits | 14 | Mitchell Beer | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Ho Aloha | 10 | David Pfieffer | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Lady Talea | 15 | J C Coyle | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Luskintyre | 13 | Ms L Day | R J Quinton | 55kg | |
| Scr | 13 | My Malibu Barbie | 2 | Chad Lever | T & P Vigouroux | 55kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Guardsman | 5 | Jason Collett | Michael Freedman | 57kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Vivian''s Express | 4 | Alysha Collett | Richard & Will Freedman | 55kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Party Boss | 11 | G J Colvin | 57kg |
Mafia stands out as the top selection with strong heavy track credentials and consistent recent form. The wide barrier is a concern, but his wet track ability should compensate.
As a proven fresh performer, the long break is less concerning. However, the significant class rise and limited heavy track experience introduce uncertainty. Still, overall profile suggests competitiveness in this field.
Killer Kerr presents as a strong contender with an impressive wet track record and consistent recent form. The slight class rise and wide barrier are concerns, but overall profile suits the race conditions well.
While recent form has been inconsistent, the return to heavy conditions and favorable barrier draw could spark improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Los Padres | 5 | Rory Hutchings | Mitchell Beer | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Cryptonic | 9 | Tom Sherry | Jason Attard | 58kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 3 | Mr Rock It | 8 | Jason Collett | R & L Price | 60.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Mafia | 3 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Beer | 60kg | $3.40 |
| 5th | 6 | Cani Cancan | 7 | Jean Van Overmeire | Paul Murray | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Smart Serenade | 11 | Molly Bourke | Nick Mitchell | 53.5kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Prince Aurelius | 6 | Ryan Bradley | T Coyle | 52kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 2 | C''mon Mate | 2 | Ms C Keatings | Ross McConville | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Killer Kerr | 10 | Ms L Day | Peter D Green | 55kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Pretty Sassy | 4 | Brock Ryan | Joseph Ible | 55kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Party Doll | 1 | Alysha Collett | Brad Widdup | 55kg |
Clubman presents as the top selection with consistent form and a perfect record on soft tracks. As a likely leader with a weight advantage, he's well-positioned to handle the heavy conditions. While untested on heavy going, his soft track prowess and front-running style should be advantageous.
Exceed Perfection shows consistent recent form and has performed well on soft tracks. While unproven on heavy going, his ability to handle soft conditions and strong jockey booking make him a solid contender. The midfield settling position may be a slight concern given the likely race pattern.
While his form has been inconsistent, he has won on soft tracks and could improve on heavy going.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Kirkuk | 12 | Molly Bourke | J & G Lee | 54.5kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Exceed Perfection | 4 | Adam Hyeronimus | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Irish Bliss | 13 | Brock Ryan | K J Parker | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Clubman | 9 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 11 | Call Me Magnifique | 5 | Zac Lloyd | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 5 | Your Not The Boss | 11 | Holly Durnan | Mitchell Beer | 54.5kg | $3.40 |
| Scr | 1 | Super Extreme | 10 | Jason Collett | Luke Pepper | 61kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Fun Sponge | 7 | Dylan Gibbons | J C Coyle | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Stage Legend | 6 | Reece Jones | L J Bridge | 57kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Vieste | 2 | Chad Lever | K J Parker | 57kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Forbidden Riff | 8 | Jay Ford | Richard & Will Freedman | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Bluff ''n'' Bluster | 3 | Alysha Collett | J C Coyle | 56kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Samarelle | 1 | A Adkins | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56kg |
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