Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Thursday 7 August 2025
Our top pick won 5 of 9 races at Tamworth. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Nugget Smart presents as the top selection with consistent form, including a recent 3rd place finish. Well-weighted for this class, the step up in distance is the main query but overall profile suggests a strong winning chance.
Sipping Shamus showed promise with a strong 2nd place finish on debut. The gelding has soft track experience and potential for improvement as a lightly raced runner. The booking of Daniel Northey is a positive, though limited race experience is a minor concern.
Real Housewives brings consistent form, including a recent 2nd place finish. The mare is a proven performer over this distance and draws well in barrier 1. The significant class drop is a major positive, though the lack of a win to date is a concern.
Airwalker presents as a value option with consistent form at this level. The gear change (cross-over nose band off) could spark improvement, and the light weight is advantageous.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Nugget Smart | 2 | Aaron Bullock | Ben Blay | 59kg | $2.40 |
| 2nd | 6 | Sipping Shamus | 8 | Daniel A Northey | R P Northam | 59kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 9 | Real Housewives | 1 | Kody Nestor | Sally Torrens | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Airwalker | 9 | Anna Roper | T S Howlett | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Show Us Ya Texts | 7 | Leeshelle Small | Lyle Chandler | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Plunketstown | 4 | S I Singleton | 59kg | $17.00 | |
| 7th | 7 | Tigermoth | 6 | Luke Rolls | J A Sylvester | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Armoury | 10 | Shae Wilkes | Gavin Groth | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Frosty The Showman | 5 | Siena Grima | Ms S Grills | 59kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Hanoverian | 3 | Billy Cray | Melanie O''Gorman | 59kg |
See You Then presents as the most likely winner with consistent placings, proven soft track ability, and a weight advantage. While yet to win, her overall profile suggests she's ready to take the next step.
Jagerschnitzel has shown consistent form recently and performs well on soft tracks. However, the top weight and wide barrier are concerns. Still, his overall profile suggests he'll be competitive and is a strong place chance.
While yet to win, the mare has soft track experience and is drawn well. The weight is a slight concern on soft going, but overall she presents as a solid each-way prospect in this field.
While yet to win, the mare has been consistently placing and has soft track experience. The weight relief is advantageous on soft going.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | See You Then | 1 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 55kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 3 | Jagerschnitzel | 10 | Aaron Bullock | Cameron Crockett | 59kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 11 | Tampa Bay | 2 | Anna Roper | P M Perry | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Wanavan | 11 | Ms M Weir | S I Singleton | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Parissident | 7 | Kody Nestor | Sally Torrens | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 5 | William''s Smile | 3 | Ms G Mc Donnell | John Bannister | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Hot Chestnut | 4 | Shannen Llewellyn | Justin Bowen | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Rockadeel | 8 | Grant Buckley | R P Northam | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Rubilicious | 6 | Jenny Duggan | Troy O''Neile | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Sunday Scaries | 5 | Shae Wilkes | Gavin Groth | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Fast Blue | 9 | T J Bartley | 59kg |
Has performed well on soft tracks and gets weight relief. The wide barrier is a concern, but her running style should allow her to overcome it. Best chance in a moderate field.
Be Guided comes off a placing and draws well. The gear change could spark improvement. Carries top weight but gets weight-for-age advantage. Lacks the consistency of top pick but has potential to improve.
Apache Jack benefits from a significant class drop and has been a consistent place getter. Has soft track experience which is crucial. Midfield running style suits the likely race shape. Lacks a winning edge but should be competitive.
Has shown consistent form and performs well on soft tracks. Gets weight relief which is advantageous. Wide barrier is a concern, but could improve at this trip. Represents each-way value in an open race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Apache Jack | 8 | Serg Lisnyy | Ben Lees | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 10 | It''s A Written | 12 | Ms M Weir | C R Clegg | 56kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 1 | Be Guided | 5 | Aaron Bullock | Ben Blay | 58kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 3 | Ropewalker | 7 | Siena Grima | Troy O''Neile | 57kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Hard Knock Life | 2 | Kody Nestor | Ms R Dunn | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Barrieanna | 9 | Leeshelle Small | Gavin Groth | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Heartfelt Award | 10 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Gavin Groth | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Pride Of Nations | 6 | Wendy Peel | Ms S Grills | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Sorutal | 3 | Ben Looker | Ms S Grills | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Diablo Dancer | 4 | Anna Roper | S J Gleeson | 56kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Alchemena | 1 | Shannen Llewellyn | John Bannister | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Kickoff | 13 | T J Bartley | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Rubilicious | 11 | Troy O''Neile | 56kg |
Pindorama shows significant potential with a strong win last start and consistent improvement. While untested at 1600m, her running style suggests she should handle the step up in distance. The class rise is a concern, but her rapid improvement indicates she may be up to the task.
Ghaznavi comes off a strong win and has been consistently improving. The gelding faces a significant class rise and increase in weight, which are concerns. However, his recent form suggests he could be up to the task.
Casino Stage is a consistent performer with experience at the track and distance. He handles soft tracks well and has a solid record of placings. The top weight is a concern, as is the wide barrier, but his experience and ability to handle the conditions make him a solid contender.
Fantastic Beast represents value based on his recent improvement and strong performance at the distance. The wide barrier and class rise are concerns, as is limited soft track form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Casino Stage | 9 | Grant Buckley | R P Northam | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Pindorama | 5 | Aaron Bullock | P Messara & L Gavranich | 57kg | $1.75 |
| 3rd | 6 | Dash By | 8 | Leeshelle Small | S I Singleton | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Shoot''em Up | 4 | Ben Looker | Ben Lees | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Ngunnawal | 7 | Anna Roper | P M Perry | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Ghaznavi | 6 | Cameron Crockett | 59kg | $9.50 | |
| 7th | 2 | Eject | 12 | Luke Rolls | Stirling Osland | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Fantastic Beast | 11 | Siena Grima | Melanie O''Gorman | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Ichika | 2 | Kody Nestor | Ms S Grills | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Really Motivated | 3 | Jenny Duggan | D Lane | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Deja Zou | 1 | Shannen Llewellyn | Sally Torrens | 56.5kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 12 | Aleishka | 10 | Lou Mary | 55kg |
The lightweight and soft track form are significant positives, though the wide barrier is a concern. Her improving profile suggests she's ready to break through for a maiden win.
Final Impact brings strong soft track credentials and a class edge to this race. While the top weight is a concern, his consistency and proven ability in similar conditions make him a strong contender. The long break between runs is the main query, but if fit, he should be fighting out the finish.
Ju Two has been knocking on the door with consistent place performances. While yet to win, his recent form and soft track experience make him a genuine contender. The lightweight and improving profile are positives, but the wide barrier and unproven stamina at 1600m are concerns.
The lightweight and soft track placing are positives, but the wide barrier and lack of winning form are concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Another Peach | 6 | Leeshelle Small | S I Singleton | 55kg | $2.05 |
| 2nd | 2 | Final Impact | 2 | Katherine Bell | M R Mulholland | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Ju Two | 10 | Jenny Duggan | Lyle Chandler | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Oakfield Echidna | 1 | Aaron Bullock | D Lane | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Cascan | 8 | Ms M Weir | C R Clegg | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Vence | 7 | Ben Looker | Stirling Osland | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Hell''s Vixen | 12 | Grant Buckley | Sally Torrens | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Code Of Silence | 4 | Wendy Peel | Ms T Bell | 56.5kg | $91.00 |
| 9th | 9 | My Gem | 11 | Ms G Mc Donnell | Philip Duffy | 57kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Crown Legend | 3 | M D Griffith | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Major Lightning | 5 | J R Gask | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Akauwheo | 9 | Shannen Llewellyn | G A O''Brien | 57kg |
While drawn wide, his midfield running style should allow him to find cover and finish strongly. The likely fast tempo suits, and he's proven on soft going. The weight is a slight concern, but overall he presents as a strong winning chance.
She's drawn well and has a strong record at this track and distance. The class rise is a concern, but her recent form suggests she's ready for the challenge. Her soft track record isn't outstanding but is adequate for consideration.
Great Idea is a lightly raced gelding coming off a last-start win on heavy going. While facing a significant class rise, he's well-weighted and has potential for improvement. His midfield running style should be suited by the likely fast tempo. The main concern is his lack of experience on soft tracks and at this class level.
While drawn wide and facing a slight class rise, his weight is favorable.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Great Idea | 8 | Aaron Bullock | Ben Blay | 59kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 11 | Saintly Sands | 14 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Gold Smiles | 9 | Shannen Llewellyn | Sally Torrens | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Foxwell | 6 | Jordan Quince | M R Mulholland | 60kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Major Makeover | 3 | Ms M Weir | C R Clegg | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Lesgo Don | 10 | Bronte Simpson | Ridge Wilson | 55.5kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Hot Wok | 12 | Justin Bowen | 55kg | $26.00 | |
| 8th | 4 | Smart Jazz | 11 | Jenny Duggan | J A Sylvester | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
| 9th | 12 | Halle Bee | 7 | Siena Grima | C K Martin | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 10th | 6 | Crackhorn | 4 | Shae Wilkes | Gavin Groth | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Princess Mary | 5 | Luke Rolls | J A Sylvester | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 12th | 3 | Avalicious | 2 | Wendy Peel | C Lundholm | 60kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Taipan Legend | 13 | Cameron Crockett | 62kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | St Roy | 15 | Michelle Fleming | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Indian Thunder | 1 | K T Dixon | 55kg |
Solitario presents as the top selection with a strong win rate, consistent recent form, and suitability for the soft track. The gelding carries a favorable weight and has drawn well. While facing a class rise, his overall profile suggests he's well-positioned to overcome this challenge.
Jason Darren shows promising form improvement and high suitability for the soft track. With a favorable weight and strong place rate, he's well-positioned for a top finish. The class rise and long break between runs are concerns, but his overall profile suggests he can overcome these challenges.
Lightning Speed demonstrates consistent form and impressive win/place rates. However, the long break since her last run and the significant class rise present challenges. Despite these, her overall profile suggests she's capable of a top-three finish.
The advantageous barrier draw and recent strong finish add to his appeal. While his low win rate and weight concerns are notable, the overall profile indicates he could outperform expectations.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Lightning Speed | 10 | Cameron Crockett | 56kg | $5.50 | |
| 2nd | 4 | Solitario | 5 | Aaron Bullock | P Messara & L Gavranich | 59.5kg | $2.25 |
| 3rd | 3 | Eighty Eight Stars | 3 | Siena Grima | Ms S Grills | 60.5kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 8 | He''s My Warrior | 13 | Kody Nestor | C K Martin | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 7 | So Country | 8 | Ms M Weir | Wayne Brown | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Jason Darren | 11 | Shannen Llewellyn | John Bannister | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 11 | Winged | 6 | Grant Buckley | Melissa Dennett | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Macleay | 1 | Bronte Simpson | Ms J Clement | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Nights Inferno | 4 | Ben Looker | Patrick Cleave | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Autumn Song | 7 | Luke Rolls | M R Mulholland | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Just Jacky | 12 | Anna Roper | Theresa Stair | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 2 | Accrue | 9 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Gavin Groth | 61kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 13 | Gold Smiles | 2 | Sally Torrens | 55kg |
Savoca presents as the top selection with consistent recent form, including a strong 2nd place finish last start. Has a proven record at the distance and performs well on soft tracks. Well drawn in barrier 5 and should get an ideal run. The slight class rise is offset by its proven ability at this level.
Capicella comes off a last-start win and has a strong record on soft tracks. Consistent performer with a good place strike rate. Carries 2kg less than top pick Savoca, which could be crucial. The wide barrier is a concern, but with early speed, it could overcome this disadvantage.
Cotton Sox is an improving mare coming off a strong 2nd place finish last start. Carries a light weight which is advantageous on soft ground. Has shown ability on soft tracks and is on an upward form trend. The wide barrier is a concern, but with her light weight, she could overcome this disadvantage.
Performs well on soft tracks with 4 placings from 9 starts.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Savoca | 5 | Anna Roper | P M Perry | 59kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 10 | Just One Look | 8 | Grant Buckley | J D Cooper | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Sharpen The Knives | 1 | Ms G Mc Donnell | Ms T Bell | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Freedom To Roam | 13 | Siena Grima | Holly Williams | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Rembroy | 10 | Kody Nestor | C R Clegg | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Nay Pee Cee | 2 | Aaron Bullock | G McFarlane | 60kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Injair | 11 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Gavin Groth | 56.5kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Lord Protector | 3 | Shannen Llewellyn | C K Martin | 61.5kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Capicella | 15 | Dan Subramaniam | S I Singleton | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 10th | 13 | The Light Fandango | 16 | Jordan Quince | Nicole Shields | 52kg | $51.00 |
| 11th | 5 | Blazed Prince | 7 | Ms M Weir | C R Clegg | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Bethsheba | 18 | Nikki Hodgson | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Cotton Sox | 17 | Jenny Duggan | Ms S Grills | 56kg | |
| Scr | 14 | En Primeur | 12 | Wendy Peel | Philip Duffy | 55kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Pee Dee | 14 | Ms J Bowen | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Geewiz Johnny | 4 | G McFarlane | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Master Of Rewards | 9 | J A Sylvester | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Fort Jefferson | 6 | Gavin Groth | 55kg |
Durova presents as the standout selection with strong recent form, including two wins from her last four starts. The mare has proven ability on soft tracks and is dropping significantly in class, which should give her a distinct advantage.
Edge Of Midnight has shown consistent form with two placings from his last three starts. The gelding has drawn well in barrier 1, which should be advantageous on this track. While facing a slight class rise, his recent performances and suitability to soft tracks make him a strong contender.
Not Written Off shows an improving form trend with a win and a place from her last three starts. The mare has proven ability on soft tracks and carries a favorable weight. While facing a slight class rise, her recent performances and suitability to the conditions make her a solid contender.
Catchy Tunes presents as an intriguing value selection, coming off a 201-day spell. The significant gear changes (lugging bit on, tongue tie on) could spark improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Durova | 11 | Aaron Bullock | Cameron Crockett | 60kg | $2.05 |
| 2nd | 4 | Not Written Off | 10 | Cameron Crockett | 58kg | $6.00 | |
| 3rd | 8 | Singing Star | 8 | Anna Roper | D Lane | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Edge Of Midnight | 1 | Jenny Duggan | P M Perry | 56kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Our Emily | 7 | Shannen Llewellyn | John Bannister | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Bottom Bar | 9 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | David J Smith | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Carribean King | 5 | Ms G Mc Donnell | Ms T Bell | 59.5kg | $20.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Pelette | 3 | Grant Buckley | Ms J Bowen | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Big Short | 6 | Ms M Weir | Wayne Brown | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Brutal Love | 13 | Kody Nestor | C Lundholm | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Catchy Tunes | 2 | Luke Rolls | G McFarlane | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 12th | 13 | War Wings | 4 | Ben Looker | T E Ollerton | 55kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 10 | La Pelago | 12 | D Lane | 55kg |
Before the races, not after
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