Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Friday 8 August 2025
Our top pick won 5 of 8 races at Geelong. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Lapland brings strong consistent form to this maiden, with two second-place finishes from two starts. While yet to win, the horse has shown ability on soft tracks and carries an advantageous weight. The improving trend in recent performances suggests potential for a breakthrough win.
The inside barrier draw is advantageous, and the experienced jockey adds confidence. While yet to win, the horse's recent performances suggest it's ready to be competitive in this field.
Ring My Bell offers value as an improving runner second up from a spell. With a recent fourth-place finish and a lightweight chance, there's potential for further improvement. The experienced jockey is a plus, but the wide barrier and lack of wins are concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Trapdoor | 3 | Blake Shinn | M, W & J Hawkes | 58kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 7 | Matsuda | 9 | M J Dee | C Maher | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Lapland | 7 | Jamie Mott | John McArdle | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 5 | Imaginate | 1 | Ben Allen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 15 | Ring My Bell | 8 | Jye Mc Neil | A & S Freedman | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Punic War | 5 | Jacob Noonan | S J Richards | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Hotspur Reale | 11 | Luke Currie | Brian McGrath | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Obvious | 2 | Jordan Childs | G Eurell | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Brave Danza | 4 | E J Walsh | Matthew Cumani | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 10th | 14 | Naraghi | 15 | Logan Bates | Liam Howley | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 17 | First Fifteen | 6 | C Maher | 56kg | $21.00 | |
| 12th | 19 | Lord Coda | 10 | C Maher | 58kg | $61.00 | |
| Scr | 2 | Danzsin | 17 | Tom Dabernig | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Humble Trader | 14 | Ethan Brown | G Eurell | 58kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Victorious Spirit | 19 | Emily Pozman | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Wise Inlaw | 12 | Patrick Moloney | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Marellity | 13 | Luke Cartwright | Lee & Shannon Hope | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Bama Slama | 18 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | |
| Scr | 18 | Panelli | 16 | Lachlan Neindorf | S P Nichols | 58kg |
Tears Are Flowing, despite the lack of form data, presents as a strong contender based on connections and race setup. The Symon Wilde-trained runner has a top jockey in Damian Lane and is well-weighted. The likely fast tempo should suit, and barrier 10 allows flexibility in running position.
Blue Moon Summit brings solid recent form, finishing 6th last start. The Ben, Will & JD Hayes-trained gelding is well-suited to the Good 4 track and has proven ability at the track and distance. With M J Dee in the saddle and likely improvement second-up, he's a strong contender despite the top weight.
The Mitchell Freedman-trained mare is well-drawn in barrier 2 with top jockey Jye McNeil aboard.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 14 | Tears Are Flowing | 10 | Damian Lane | Symon Wilde | 57.5kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 16 | Blue Moon Summit | 9 | M J Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Darth Invader | 4 | Patrick Moloney | S P Nichols | 59.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Well I''ll Be | 6 | Ben Allen | J W Price | 59.5kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 15 | Trinity''s D''oro | 7 | Neil Farley | Brian McGrath | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Legacy Bel | 16 | Lauren Burke | R W Harrison | 54.5kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Adiuro | 8 | Jacob Noonan | R J Besanko | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 19 | Paltrow | 13 | Michael Jones | 59.5kg | $101.00 | |
| 9th | 9 | Don''t Look Away | 11 | Teodore Nugent | Michele Denham | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Seeing Red | 5 | E Jusufovic | 59.5kg | $5.00 | |
| 11th | 11 | Lady''s Job Is Done | 15 | Craig Newitt | D E Coombes | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 17 | Mr Rude | 3 | Jarrod Fry | Mark Thomas | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Absolute Power | 19 | Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Vadar | 18 | Thomas Stockdale | Aaron Laing | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Brutalism | 17 | Lachlan Neindorf | S P Nichols | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Castelli In Aria | 12 | Carleen Hefel | E Jusufovic | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Dragon Girl | 14 | Ethan Brown | C Maher | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Silver Springs | 20 | Luke Currie | Thomas Sadler | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 18 | Gina''s A Star | 2 | Jye Mc Neil | Mitchell Freedman | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 20 | Night Beauty | 1 | Jason Evans | 57.5kg |
Hot Too Go presents as the top selection with a strong place rate and consistent form. The significant class drop from previous starts is a major advantage. The Good 4 track suits, with 0 wins from 10 starts on good tracks indicating potential for improvement.
Merimbula, while lightly raced, shows potential for improvement. The inside barrier draw and weight relief compared to the top selection are significant advantages. Jamie Mott's booking adds confidence. However, limited race experience and being unproven at the track and distance introduce some uncertainty. The soft track record of 0 wins from 1 start is a minor concern.
Yule Point presents as a solid third pick, being second up from a spell with potential for improvement. The significant class drop and advantageous barrier draw are positives. Damian Lane's booking is a strong indicator. However, the horse is yet to place in 2 starts and is unproven at the track and distance.
The mare's improving form, highlighted by a recent second place, is promising.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Hot Too Go | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | D T O''Brien | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 15 | Isalot | 3 | Jacob Noonan | Dylan Dunn | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Kazza Joy | 15 | John Allen | Dan O''Sullivan | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Grinding Away | 10 | Teodore Nugent | Michele Denham | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Merimbula | 1 | Jamie Mott | M M Laurie | 57kg | $3.30 |
| 6th | 10 | Midnight In Minori | 8 | M J Dee | Clayton Douglas | 57.5kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 14 | Yule Point | 4 | Damian Lane | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | $2.80 |
| 8th | 1 | Gratification | 2 | Ethan Brown | C Maher | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 19 | Kissing Heart | 19 | David Prior | 59.5kg | $201.00 | |
| 10th | 16 | Highland Storm | 16 | Lauren Burke | Brett Scott | 54.5kg | $201.00 |
| 11th | 18 | He''saraider | 6 | Ms R Mangan | 59.5kg | $151.00 | |
| Scr | 4 | Smother | 14 | C Maher | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Terrortorian | 5 | Declan Bates | Nick Ryan | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Bangalow Road | 18 | Luke Currie | Thomas Sadler | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | First Chorus | 13 | Luke Cartwright | L Smith | 56kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Lexy Rose | 17 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Sunburnt Country | 11 | Lachlan Neindorf | A & S Freedman | 57kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Vortistar | 7 | Jye Mc Neil | Nathan Dunn | 57kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Shameful | 12 | A H Parker | 57.5kg |
Three Reel Roses shows the most consistent recent form, finishing 2nd last start over 2600m. The slight drop back in distance should suit, and the inside barrier draw is advantageous. While yet to win, the mare has shown ability on soft tracks and is well-positioned to break through in this field.
Ocean Symphony is showing improving form, finishing 2nd last start over 2000m. The step up in distance should suit based on recent performances. While the wide barrier is a concern, the gelding's improving form and potential for further progress make him a strong contender in this field.
Ranselot has been consistent in recent starts, including a 3rd place finish over 2200m. The mare carries a light weight and has the services of a strong jockey. While the wide barrier is a concern, her consistent form and weight advantage make her a solid chance in this field.
The addition of blinkers for the first time could spark improvement, and the good barrier draw is advantageous. While yet to place, the gelding is lightly raced and has potential for significant improvement. The strong jockey booking adds further appeal.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Coorong | 8 | Luke Currie | Thomas Sadler | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 2nd | 13 | Three Reel Roses | 3 | Neil Farley | Henry Dwyer | 57.5kg | $2.40 |
| 3rd | 12 | Ranselot | 13 | Ethan Brown | C Maher | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 1 | Bernie Beel | 1 | Adam Mc Cabe | Allan Peterson | 59.5kg | $91.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Outspeed | 5 | Teodore Nugent | Amy McDonald | 59.5kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Ocean Symphony | 12 | Declan Bates | C Maher | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Lord Chapel | 11 | J Webb | R A Hockley | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Last Card Louie | 4 | Beau Treloar | Denis Pagan | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Liberation Day | 2 | Daniel Moor | K & K Keys | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Charlie Messy Hair | 6 | E J Walsh | Jessica Pateman | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 4 | Gauthier | 10 | Nadia Daniels | Ms R Mangan | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Rang A Round Up | 9 | Thomas Stockdale | Jason Warren | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Tulchan | 7 | John Allen | Archie Alexander | 59.5kg |
Despite the wide barrier, the horse's improving trend and suitability to the track condition make it a strong contender. The slight class rise is offset by a favorable weight and the partnership with in-form jockey Declan Bates.
Takemetothemoon comes off a strong win over 2050m in heavy conditions, suggesting good staying potential. The favorable barrier draw and light weight are positives, but the step up to 2400m and class rise present challenges. The horse's potential for improvement and recent winning form make it a solid second choice.
Thundering Falcon offers value with its recent win over 2400m and improving form trend. The good barrier draw and potential for further improvement are positives. While facing a significant class rise and lacking experience at this level, the horse's recent performances and favorable weight make it an interesting value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Morthan Efficient | 16 | Declan Bates | Robert Hickmott | 60kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 8 | Thundering Falcon | 4 | Damian Lane | D T O''Brien | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Suffolk Star | 9 | Rhys Mc Leod | P A Preusker | 60.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Sirius Black | 11 | Jamie Mott | P A Preusker | 63kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 17 | Tavistock Dancer | 10 | Amy Herrmann | M & L Cerchi | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Takemetothemoon | 3 | Jye Mc Neil | Liam Howley | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Bright Legend | 13 | Patrick Moloney | Joanne Mugavin | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 16 | Odyssey Arrow | 5 | Sheridan Clarke | P Koumis | 52.5kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Mana Combat | 1 | Ethan Brown | S B Laming | 57kg | $9.50 |
| 10th | 4 | Kawhia | 6 | Jordan Childs | Tom Dabernig | 61kg | $7.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Palentino Heights | 8 | Neil Farley | Thomas Carberry | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Zedwilldo | 12 | Koby Jennings | Brett Scott | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 13th | 3 | Genteel | 18 | Jacob Noonan | S J Richards | 61kg | $41.00 |
| 14th | 15 | Sabre Athena | 2 | Carleen Hefel | M W Greig | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Duke Of Hastings | 15 | Thomas Stockdale | Simon Zahra | 63kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Mr Tadashi | 17 | Logan Bates | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Christmas | 7 | Dean Yendall | P A Preusker | 58kg | |
| Scr | 18 | Rule Of Salex | 14 | Teodore Nugent | Michael Harrison | 54kg |
Navy Nina presents as the top selection with a compelling combination of recent form, soft track ability, and favorable race conditions. Her lightweight and inside barrier draw are significant advantages on this track. While facing a class rise, her progressive profile and soft track prowess make her a strong contender in this field.
Dubai Watch enters this race with impressive recent form and a solid record on soft tracks. While the wide barrier is a concern, his winning momentum and soft track ability make him a serious contender. He offers a balance between recent form and proven soft track performance, albeit with less experience than some rivals.
Akitu offers a solid proposition as a proven performer on soft tracks with consistent form. While the wide barrier and high weight are concerns, his experience at this class level and recent form improvement make him a genuine contender. He represents better value than the favorite but faces more challenging race conditions.
Her overall consistency and soft track experience are positives, and she's well-weighted for these conditions. While recent form is a concern, the return to a soft track could spark improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Dubai Watch | 15 | Luke Currie | Vincent Hall | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 12 | Navy Nina | 3 | Jamie Kah | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $1.75 |
| 3rd | 10 | Mr Breakdance | 7 | John Allen | Amy McDonald | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Chilly Charlie | 12 | Thomas Stockdale | C Maher | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Alpine Rocket | 2 | Declan Bates | Andrew Bobbin | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Hoodys Horse | 13 | Ryan Hurdle | T Cottier | 60kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Etara | 6 | Damian Lane | Symon Wilde | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 15 | Sotomayor | 10 | Rose Hammond | M M Laurie | 53.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 17 | Toronova | 8 | I M Pankhurst | 54kg | $41.00 | |
| 10th | 6 | Shockstar | 16 | Brad Rawiller | M M Laurie | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 11th | 4 | Fiftysevenyears | 9 | Ms D Keane | Liam Howley | 57.5kg | $71.00 |
| 12th | 14 | Cupid''s Conquest | 4 | Jordan Childs | D T O''Brien | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Akitu | 11 | Patrick Moloney | Joanne Mugavin | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Sacred Eagle | 17 | Jamie Mott | Symon Wilde | 59kg | |
| Scr | 9 | It''s Lit | 5 | L Smith | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Storm Watch | 1 | Jye Mc Neil | Archie Alexander | 57kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Shot At The Night | 14 | Luke Cartwright | John R Allen | 53kg |
Despite being first up, the mare has a solid first-up record and is well-suited to the track condition. The significant class drop and Damian Lane in the saddle further enhance her winning chances. The barrier draw is the main concern but can be overcome with her early speed.
Mrs Secombe presents as a consistent performer with a good first-up record. The wide barrier is a concern, as is the longer spell compared to the top two selections. However, her consistency and first-up potential make her a solid each-way prospect.
Star Of Beirut, while facing a significant class rise, brings an unbeaten record and recent winning form. The gelding is well-weighted and drawn favorably in barrier 4. As a good track specialist, today's conditions should suit. However, limited race experience and the class jump are concerns. Still, the potential shown in his debut win makes him a strong contender.
The mare is well-suited by the track condition and has shown ability with 1 win from 4 starts. However, a declining form trend and wide barrier are concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Deep Pleasure | 7 | Damian Lane | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 60.5kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 7 | Mrs Secombe | 13 | Daniel Stackhouse | Robert Hickmott | 56.5kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 3 | Fire Tribe | 6 | Ethan Brown | Lee & Shannon Hope | 58kg | $3.90 |
| 4th | 19 | Montgomery Bay | 5 | Nadia Daniels | Rory Hunter | 51kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Hello Mary | 20 | Joe Bowditch | G Eurell | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Typhoon Tony | 9 | Teodore Nugent | Simone Walker | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Hey Bella | 19 | Daniel Moor | Luke Oliver | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Mickidamuzz | 14 | Craig Newitt | Patrick Keane | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 9th | 18 | El Sordo | 18 | Paul Gatt | Jamie Edwards | 54.5kg | $51.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Star Territory | 1 | Declan Bates | Nick Ryan | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Nizhoni | 15 | Tayla Childs | D T Drever | 54.5kg | $151.00 |
| 12th | 17 | Phair Plan | 8 | Dean Yendall | S L Muir | 55.5kg | $151.00 |
| 13th | 16 | Love ''n'' Run | 16 | Craig Newitt | Q J Scott | 54kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Star Of Beirut | 4 | Neil Farley | Henry Dwyer | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Ti Tree Lad | 17 | John Allen | Mitchell Freedman | 58kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Sea Poem | 12 | M J Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Hide Your Assets | 2 | Lachlan Neindorf | S P Nichols | 56kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Demiquaver | 11 | Logan Bates | J W Price | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Standupandfight | 10 | John Keating | Grant & Peter Dalziel | 56kg | |
| Scr | 20 | Some Eclipse | 3 | R A Hockley | 54kg |
With a proven record on soft tracks and a competitive weight, he's well-positioned to overcome the class rise. His recent form suggests he's ready to break through for a win at this level.
While the wide barrier is a concern, her speed and weight advantage could help overcome this. The main question mark is her soft track record, but her overall form suggests she can still be competitive.
With a perfect second-up record and improving form, she has potential to outperform expectations.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Bossy Star | 10 | Jacob Noonan | M M Laurie | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 14 | Southern Crescent | 5 | Damian Lane | Aaron Purcell | 56.5kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 10 | Meh Keffi | 4 | Daniel Stackhouse | L Kennewell & L Yeomans | 58kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Danxia | 17 | Ethan Brown | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 60kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 15 | Harmonett | 1 | Luke Currie | Vincent Hall | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Mrs Archibald | 18 | Jamie Kah | Jason Warren | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Cobblestone Way | 8 | Jamie Mott | Amy & Ash Yargi | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Arezzo | 7 | M J Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Ripper | 3 | Dean Yendall | P A Preusker | 58.5kg | $81.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Stargust | 2 | John Allen | Joanne Mugavin | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Bellalique | 16 | Declan Bates | P A Preusker | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 12th | 20 | Hellofastorm | 6 | Jamie Edwards | 55kg | $101.00 | |
| 13th | 16 | Arc De Puissance | 9 | Jarrod Fry | Mitchell Freedman | 58.5kg | $71.00 |
| 14th | 17 | Francine | 13 | Lauren Burke | Aaron Purcell | 53.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Hughie | 19 | Jamie Edwards | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Tommyess | 15 | Ben Allen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Du Clisson | 20 | Tom Dabernig | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Steely Hustler | 12 | Jamie Edwards | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Brazen Bliss | 14 | Scott Cameron | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Longift | 11 | Jason Evans | 56kg |
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