Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Tasmania · Sunday 10 August 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Hobart. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Skelmorlie presents as the top selection with consistent form, including 4 placings from 12 starts. The mare has shown a strong affinity for soft tracks and carries an ideal weight. Drawing barrier 3 provides a tactical advantage on this track condition. Recent performances indicate readiness for a breakthrough win.
The mare's consistency is evident with 3 placings from 13 starts. The combination of soft track aptitude and an experienced jockey in Daniel Ganderton makes her a strong contender for the win or placing.
Talk Soon is showing signs of improvement with a recent 4th place finish. The mare benefits from weight relief and an inside barrier draw, which could be advantageous on a soft track. The significant class drop also enhances her chances. While yet to place, these factors combined suggest potential for a strong performance.
Despite not winning, the gelding has shown consistency with 3 placings from 19 starts, often in higher class races. A proven soft track performer with an experienced jockey and the reapplication of blinkers could see an improved performance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Catch A Break | 4 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | Sigrid Carr | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Skelmorlie | 3 | E Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 56.5kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | No More Rocks | 2 | Craig Newitt | Jessie Bazan | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Siena Wolf | 6 | Daniel Ganderton | M A Ganderton | 56.5kg | $2.90 |
| 5th | 6 | Oxy Bolt | 7 | Catherine Van Munster | J F Luttrell | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Dark Night | 10 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 7 | In The Clouds | 8 | Ty Wheeler | J F Luttrell | 54.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Lost Logic | 5 | Jabez Johnstone | Sarah Cotton | 56.5kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Talk Soon | 1 | Anthony Darmanin | R Seymour | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Beau Warrior | 9 | Andrew Moore | 58.5kg |
Geegees Missile brings the strongest form into this race, having performed well in Listed company. The inside barrier should be advantageous on a soft track, and her consistent placings suggest she's a reliable performer.
Nunkeri shows promising form with improvement in her last start. The Adam Trinder-trained filly gets in light at 54kg and has drawn well in barrier 4. While she lacks experience, her progressive profile and strong connections make her a genuine contender in this field.
Wannabe Ziggy is a consistent performer with multiple placings on soft tracks. She's well-weighted at 54.5kg and has good experience at this track and distance. While she's yet to break through for a win, her consistency and soft track ability make her a strong place chance in this field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Geegees Missile | 1 | Troy Baker | S Gandy | 54kg | $1.35 |
| 2nd | 2 | Geegees Downpour | 5 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Light Force | 2 | David Pires | Ms R Hall | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Sedna | 6 | Christopher Pang | T W Evans | 54.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Outbush | 13 | Craig Newitt | J F Luttrell | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Sorell Lad | 7 | Ty Wheeler | J F Luttrell | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Cardiosphere | 11 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | Sigrid Carr | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Teah | 8 | Kelvin Sanderson | Monica Ryan | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Sunrise At Kirra | 3 | Ms K Boxall | Ms R Hall | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Wannabe Ziggy | 10 | Jabez Johnstone | Sigrid Carr | 54.5kg | $19.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Luna Lindt | 9 | Lizzie Annells | Patrick Dargan | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 6 | Tribal Council | 12 | J Radley | Sarah Cotton | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 13th | 13 | Nunkeri | 4 | E Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 54kg | $8.00 |
The significant class drop and proven soft track performance are major positives. While first-up from a spell, the weight-for-age advantage and strong overall profile make her the one to beat.
Mel''s Street Above is a strong second pick, coming off a recent win and boasting an excellent soft track record. The lightweight and suitable barrier draw are advantageous. While facing a class rise, her adaptability to conditions and progressive profile make her a serious contender.
Rawabi rounds out the top three selections with improving form and a strong second-up record. While facing a class rise and drawn wide, his soft track ability and competitive weight keep him in contention. The improving form trend suggests further progress is likely.
Dropping in class and with a strong track/distance record, she offers appeal as a lightweight chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Sky Land | 2 | Jabez Johnstone | J L Keys | 53.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Rawabi | 9 | Craig Newitt | Jessie Bazan | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 9 | Swinging It | 5 | J Radley | Brendan McShane | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Geegee Strawberry | 8 | Ms K Boxall | S Gandy | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Mastretta | 3 | Kelvin Sanderson | Monica Ryan | 59kg | $3.40 |
| 6th | 5 | Mel''s Street Above | 7 | Anthony Darmanin | J L Keys | 57kg | $2.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Material Madam | 1 | David Pires | S Gandy | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Angel Sphere | 4 | Ty Wheeler | J F Luttrell | 53kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Amant Francais | 6 | Rhys Richards | 58kg |
Magic Mogul presents as the top selection with consistent form and a significant class drop. While carrying top weight is a concern, his class edge and soft track prowess make him the likely winner in this field.
He has shown ability on soft tracks and carries less weight than the top pick. The wide barrier is a concern, but his running style should allow him to overcome this disadvantage.
With proven soft track ability and significant weight relief, he presents as a strong each-way chance. The class rise is a concern, but his recent performances suggest he can be competitive at this level.
Her recent form shows improvement, and she has proven ability on soft tracks.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Phere The Girls | 6 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | J L Keys | 51kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Swanny Dee | 10 | Kelvin Sanderson | L Smith | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Kensington Diva | 11 | Jabez Johnstone | Sigrid Carr | 54kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 1 | Magic Mogul | 2 | Craig Newitt | Adam Trinder | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 9 | Rare Oro | 8 | Troy Baker | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Gazza''s Spirit | 3 | E Byrne Burke | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 12 | Our Indulgence | 4 | Christopher Pang | J K Blacker | 52kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Bunker Bob | 7 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 54kg | $9.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Rainbow Alley | 1 | Anthony Darmanin | Imogen Miller | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Captain Taz | 5 | Lizzie Annells | J L Keys | 55.5kg | $8.50 |
| 11th | 8 | Ocean Eyes | 12 | Ty Wheeler | Stephen Lockhart | 52kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Vixen''s Moon | 9 | M A Ganderton | 56.5kg |
Snow Eagle comes off a strong win and drops significantly in class. The slight weight increase is offset by the easier company.
Island Warrior is a consistent performer with strong form credentials. The 2kg claim helps offset the top weight, and her soft track record is solid.
Coastal Strike is in winning form and has proven ability on rain-affected tracks. The good barrier draw is a plus on soft going. While facing a class rise, the improving form pattern suggests further improvement is possible. Limited distance experience is a slight concern.
His last start placing on heavy ground and consistent recent form are positives. While yet to win beyond 1400m, the soft conditions could bring his stamina into play.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Island Warrior | 6 | Jabez Johnstone | Jessie Bazan | 57kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 8 | Native Clan | 9 | Craig Newitt | J L Keys | 54kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Snow Eagle | 4 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 57kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 6 | Valiant Khan | 8 | Ty Wheeler | P H Luttrell | 53kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Manhattan Nights | 7 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Martini Blue | 2 | E Byrne Burke | J K Blacker | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Rippen Gold | 3 | Christopher Pang | Drew Tyson | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Carnelian Rock | 1 | Troy Baker | J K Blacker | 54.5kg | $9.50 |
| 9th | 2 | Coastal Strike | 5 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | P A Hill | 54kg | $4.40 |
| Scr | 9 | Rubick''s Affair | 10 | Rowan Hamer | 54kg |
Silver Dagger presents as the standout selection with strong recent form, proven soft track ability, and an excellent record at the track and distance. Well-weighted and drawn to get an ideal run, the mare looks primed for another strong performance despite the slight rise in class.
Alvarinho brings strong credentials with consistent form and an excellent record at the track. The significant class drop from recent runs is a major positive, and the mare's proven ability on soft tracks adds further appeal. While the barrier is slightly awkward, her overall profile suggests she'll be very competitive.
Cartoon Graveyard brings strong credentials as a class runner with an excellent record at the track and distance. While carrying top weight and resuming from a spell, his consistent form in higher grade races and proven soft track ability make him a genuine contender. The wide barrier is mitigated by his early speed.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Alvarinho | 6 | E Byrne Burke | Imogen Miller | 55kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 6 | Silver Dagger | 2 | Craig Newitt | Jessie Bazan | 55kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 1 | Cartoon Graveyard | 9 | David Pires | J L Keys | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 3 | Make A Decision | 5 | Jabez Johnstone | Sarah Cotton | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Dustland Fairytale | 8 | Anthony Darmanin | L Smith | 54kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Fiorente De Legend | 4 | Catherine Van Munster | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Esprit Diva | 1 | Lizzie Annells | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Mandate | 3 | Ty Wheeler | Conor Crook | 54kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Rich Clan | 7 | J L Keys | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Rubbleonthedouble | 10 | Sigrid Carr | 55kg |
Zany Girl presents as the standout selection with an impressive 60% win rate and perfect record at Hobart over 1000m. Her soft track form is excellent, and she drops significantly in class from her last start in Listed company. The 165-day break is a slight concern, but her first-up record is strong.
Jehbenti comes into this race with strong recent form, including back-to-back wins. He has proven ability on soft tracks and carries a suitable weight. The slight class rise is offset by his consistency and the booking of experienced jockey Jabez Johnstone. The wider barrier is a minor concern.
Periwinkle is a consistent performer with a high place rate. She gets in with a light weight and has drawn well. However, her lack of success on soft tracks and the class rise are concerns. The inside barrier and weight advantage make her a solid place chance.
The light weight and quick backup are positives. However, the significant class rise and inconsistent form are concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Zany Girl | 5 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 56.5kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 5 | Naval Anthem | 2 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Periwinkle | 8 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | Sigrid Carr | 51.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Gingerson | 4 | Catherine Van Munster | J F Luttrell | 52.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Jehbenti | 7 | Jabez Johnstone | Jessie Bazan | 55.5kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 3 | Golden Meadow | 1 | David Pires | S Gandy | 57kg | $20.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Geegee Jet By | 6 | Craig Newitt | Conor Crook | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Fear The Sting | 3 | Christopher Pang | Jessie Bazan | 53kg | $10.00 |
Happy Clan brings strong recent form and soft track credentials into this race. The slight class rise is offset by his consistency and proven ability in similar conditions.
While facing a class rise and untested at the distance, his soft track ability and recent performances suggest he's capable of handling the challenge. The lightweight status could be crucial in the closing stages.
Gee Gee Miss Quita brings class and experience to this race, dropping down from higher grade competitions. Her soft track record and overall consistency are strong positives, but she's carrying top weight and stepping up to an unfamiliar distance. Her class edge could offset these concerns.
The lightweight and soft track winning form are positives, but he faces a class rise and has an inconsistent overall record.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Happy Clan | 4 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | J L Keys | 57.5kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Sugoi Legend | 7 | Christopher Pang | Rowan Hamer | 53kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Mateus | 6 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 54.5kg | $3.80 |
| 4th | 1 | Gee Gee Miss Quita | 5 | Jabez Johnstone | S Gandy | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Tahitian Warrior | 3 | Ty Wheeler | P H Luttrell | 52kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 6 | Alpine Kate | 2 | Anthony Darmanin | J L Keys | 54kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Southern Wind | 1 | J K Blacker | 54kg |
Before the races, not after
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