Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Tasmania · Sunday 24 August 2025
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Hobart. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Happy Clan is the standout selection with superior soft track credentials and recent winning form. His 31% soft track win rate dominates this field, and the ideal barrier draw from gate 2 allows jockey Kennedy Roessling to position perfectly for the staying journey. The class rise is offset by his proven ability at this track and distance.
The first-time blinkers and step up in distance are question marks, but her talent level suggests she can overcome these concerns.
Doonican's recent 2100m victory makes him a logical chance despite his modest overall record. The inside barrier is crucial for an 8-year-old who needs every advantage, and his distance specialization gives him a clear edge over several rivals who are stepping up in trip.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Steel Mist | 3 | Troy Baker | J F Luttrell | 56kg | $16.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Happy Clan | 2 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | J L Keys | 61kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 3 | Sugoi Legend | 4 | Christopher Pang | Rowan Hamer | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 7 | African Thunder | 5 | David Pires | Drew Tyson | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Tahitian Warrior | 7 | Anthony Darmanin | P H Luttrell | 55.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Moorlands Miss | 6 | Kelvin Sanderson | G J Stevenson | 57.5kg | $2.70 |
| 7th | 6 | Doonican | 1 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 55kg | $8.00 |
Alpine Trout stands out as the most logical winner having proven himself at this exact track and distance with a dominant win in July.
Catch A Break brings strong recent form to this assignment with his breakthrough maiden win at Hobart demonstrating he handles the track well. His venue record of 1 win from 2 starts is excellent, and the 3kg apprentice claim provides valuable weight relief. The class rise is the main concern but his improvement trend suggests he can handle the step up.
Skelmorlie has been the model of consistency with strong recent placings and her Hobart record shows she handles the track with 2 seconds from 2 starts. Her mainland staying form suggests the 2100m will suit perfectly, and her soft track statistics show 3 seconds from 4 starts. The main negative is her inability to win despite multiple opportunities.
Rocheaux offers excellent value based on his recent form at this track and distance, including a solid fourth last start.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Alpine Trout | 3 | David Pires | Barry Campbell | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Skelmorlie | 9 | E Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Rippen Gold | 7 | Lauryn Bingley | Drew Tyson | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Catch A Break | 5 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | Sigrid Carr | 56kg | $4.60 |
| 5th | 4 | Rocheaux | 6 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Harrata | 8 | Anthony Darmanin | G J Stevenson | 57kg | $3.90 |
| 7th | 7 | Oxy Bolt | 10 | Catherine Van Munster | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 9 | In The Clouds | 2 | Jabez Johnstone | J F Luttrell | 53kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 8 | South Georgia | 4 | Christopher Pang | T W Evans | 55kg | $3.40 |
| Scr | 6 | Lyco Reco | 1 | Yassy Nishitani | 57kg |
Wannabe Ziggy is the standout selection with her exceptional consistency and proven ability on soft tracks at Hobart. Her place record of 4 seconds from 10 starts demonstrates she consistently runs to a high level, and the removal of blinkers could be the key to finally breaking through for her maiden win.
Warriora offers excellent value as a lightly-raced mare second up from a spell.
Sunrise At Kirra brings strong local knowledge with an excellent Hobart record and proven soft track ability.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Sakura Hime | 7 | Yassy Nishitani | 56.5kg | $31.00 | |
| 2nd | 8 | Sunrise At Kirra | 4 | Ms K Boxall | Ms R Hall | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Raging Waters | 9 | Jabez Johnstone | J F Luttrell | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Warriora | 10 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Played Strong | 3 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Wannabe Ziggy | 2 | Troy Baker | Sigrid Carr | 56.5kg | $3.50 |
| 7th | 4 | The Mountaineer | 1 | Christopher Pang | Rowan Hamer | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 5 | Azitkala | 5 | Codi Jordan | Ms J James | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Final Approach | 8 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Beau Warrior | 6 | Kelvin Sanderson | Andrew Moore | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 11th | 9 | Topaz Moon | 11 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | J L Keys | 53.5kg | $51.00 |
Geegees Downpour stands out as the most logical winner despite being winless. The recent close second at this track combined with a significant class drop from Open company creates the perfect winning scenario. The inside barrier draw maximizes the track bias advantage, while the consistent placing record suggests a breakthrough victory is overdue.
Light Force represents the strongest each-way proposition with excellent recent form and ideal positioning. The recent third at this track confirms race fitness, while the inside barrier draw provides crucial tactical advantage. The consistent placing record and soft track suitability make this a reliable selection for the placings.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Geegees Downpour | 7 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 58.5kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Toorak Lad | 3 | E Byrne Burke | Mark Everett | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 14 | Sedna | 2 | Christopher Pang | T W Evans | 54.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Carnotaurus | 11 | Jabez Johnstone | Sarah Cotton | 54.5kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Light Force | 6 | David Pires | Ms R Hall | 58.5kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 4 | I''m A Machine | 4 | Lauryn Bingley | Drew Tyson | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Sorell Lad | 13 | J Radley | J F Luttrell | 58.5kg | $20.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Miss Delphi | 5 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | J L Keys | 53.5kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Outbush | 16 | Catherine Van Munster | J F Luttrell | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Fuel On The Fire | 10 | Kelvin Sanderson | S Gandy | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 11th | 13 | Puzzle Miss | 9 | Codi Jordan | Stephen Lockhart | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 12th | 1 | Cardiosphere | 17 | Troy Baker | Sigrid Carr | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| 13th | 15 | Richards | 14 | T W Evans | 56kg | $91.00 | |
| Scr | 9 | Turbo Chook | 15 | Daniel Ganderton | M A Ganderton | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Luna Lindt | 8 | Patrick Dargan | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Called Through | 12 | Ms A Fulton | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Azitkala | 1 | Ms J James | 56.5kg |
Island Warrior stands out as the clear top selection having won last start at this exact venue and distance in higher grade.
However, the complete lack of success on soft tracks (0 wins from 7 starts) and no Hobart experience are major concerns. The excellent fitness levels and good barrier draw provide hope for improvement on soft going.
Blonde Star brings winning form and excellent track/distance credentials. The mare's outstanding Hobart record (3 wins from 11 starts) and proven soft track ability (2 wins from 8 starts) make her a strong contender. The wide barrier is the main concern but her class and local knowledge should help overcome it.
However, poor second up statistics (0 wins from 3 starts) and no soft track wins (0 from 2 starts) make this a risky proposition despite the potential for improvement with gear changes.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Shy Guy | 5 | Kelvin Sanderson | Barry Campbell | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Fiorente De Legend | 1 | David Pires | J F Luttrell | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Island Warrior | 4 | Jabez Johnstone | Jessie Bazan | 55kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 5 | Fighting For Gold | 2 | Daniel Ganderton | M A Ganderton | 55kg | $3.20 |
| 5th | 4 | Dustland Fairytale | 3 | J Radley | L Smith | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Blonde Star | 7 | Anthony Darmanin | Imogen Miller | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Rubbleonthedouble | 6 | Troy Baker | Sigrid Carr | 59kg | $31.00 |
Don't Give Up presents as the standout selection based on his perfect second-up record and significant class drop.
Miss De Lune brings excellent course and distance form with two narrow seconds at this venue over 1400m. Her soft track winning ability and the addition of blinkers first time, combined with the perfect barrier draw, make her a strong chance. However, she's yet to prove herself at this class level.
Swanny Dee brings the best recent form with a narrow second at this track last start.
Her soft track winning ability and good barrier draw are positives, but the significant class rise and first-time track exposure create uncertainty.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Sister Royal | 3 | E Byrne Burke | J K Blacker | 56.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Swanny Dee | 12 | Kelvin Sanderson | L Smith | 59kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Navarre River | 6 | Jabez Johnstone | Imogen Miller | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Bunker Bob | 2 | Lauryn Bingley | J K Blacker | 52.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Miss De Lune | 1 | Anthony Darmanin | J L Keys | 56.5kg | $2.70 |
| 6th | 6 | Them''s The Breaks | 8 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | Monica Ryan | 53.5kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Don''t Give Up | 9 | David Pires | S Gandy | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Our Indulgence | 11 | J Radley | J K Blacker | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Captain Taz | 5 | Daniel Ganderton | J L Keys | 56kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Rainbow Alley | 4 | Troy Baker | Imogen Miller | 56kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Transom | 10 | Codi Jordan | R Seymour | 55kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Gazza''s Spirit | 7 | J F Luttrell | 54kg |
Flying Billie presents the strongest winning credentials with an outstanding 3 wins from 4 starts at this exact track and distance. His soft track record of 3 wins from 9 starts is solid, and he comes off back-to-back wins showing excellent current form. The 59kg is manageable given his proven ability at this venue.
Lovin' Bev is a distance specialist dropping significantly in class from Group 3 level. Her 5 wins from 8 starts at 1400m is exceptional, and she's proven at this track. The soft track concern is real, but the class drop and light weight make her a major threat despite second up statistics.
Adachi brings the best recent form with strong consistency and a recent win. His track knowledge at Hobart is valuable with 3 wins from 15 starts, and he's handled soft tracks before. The class rise is concerning but his current form trajectory suggests he can handle the step up.
Furneaux offers excellent value given his superior wet track credentials with 4 wins from 10 soft starts and recent heavy track victory. His Hobart record is strong, and the gear change removing winkers could unlock improvement. The distance concern is real but his wet track specialization makes him worth a value play.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Fighting Floyd | 4 | E Byrne Burke | Imogen Miller | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | The Spirit Of Zero | 10 | Yassy Nishitani | 59kg | $31.00 | |
| 3rd | 4 | Lovin'' Bev | 3 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | Sigrid Carr | 57kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 10 | Adachi | 8 | Anthony Darmanin | M A Ganderton | 56kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 2 | Furneaux | 1 | Christopher Pang | J L Keys | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Flying Billie | 5 | Jabez Johnstone | Ms J Richards | 59kg | $3.40 |
| 7th | 9 | Elegantly Written | 7 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Verbano | 9 | J Radley | J L Keys | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Fast Thinker | 6 | Lauryn Bingley | K P Hamilton | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Chartwell House | 2 | Kelvin Sanderson | G J Stevenson | 60kg | $61.00 |
The Last Hurrah is the standout selection with her exceptional record at this venue and distance. Her soft track credentials are excellent, and despite the challenging barrier draw and class rise, her recent winning form and proven ability at this track make her the logical choice to win.
Sky Land brings excellent recent winning form and the significant advantage of carrying the minimum weight. Her barrier 3 draw is ideal for positioning, and while her 1200m record is concerning, her current form trajectory and weight advantage make her a strong winning chance.
Street Diva offers solid each-way value with her consistent record and proven wet track form. The barrier 5 draw suits her racing pattern perfectly, and despite the recent heavy track disappointment, her soft track credentials suggest she can bounce back strongly in these conditions.
While first up after a long spell is concerning, her exceptional second up record suggests she improves significantly with a run under her belt, making her a strong value play.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Sky Land | 3 | Sam Kennedy Roessling | J L Keys | 52kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Street Diva | 5 | David Pires | Jessie Bazan | 57.5kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 9 | Turf Puzzle | 2 | J Radley | J L Keys | 54kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Gingerson | 8 | Codi Jordan | J F Luttrell | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 2 | The Last Hurrah | 1 | Jabez Johnstone | Sarah Cotton | 56kg | $4.60 |
| 6th | 5 | Ring Of Honour | 6 | Christopher Pang | Rowan Hamer | 55kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Winning Witness | 7 | E Byrne Burke | Sarah Cotton | 57kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Esprit Diva | 9 | Troy Baker | J F Luttrell | 55.5kg | $9.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Golden Meadow | 4 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 58kg | $13.00 |
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