Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Tuesday 26 August 2025
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Grafton. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Casino Bear stands out with a perfect record at this track and distance, winning his only previous attempt here. His recent form is outstanding with 2 wins from 3 starts, including a last-start victory on Heavy 8 at Taree.
Sun Topaze arrives in career-best form after winning his last start on Heavy 8 conditions at Port Macquarie. His heavy track credentials are solid with 1 win from 7 starts, and he has extensive Grafton experience. While the class rise is concerning, his last-start performance suggests he's found his best form at the right time for these conditions.
Justice Served brings a perfect record at Grafton over this distance and strong recent form including a last-start win over 2450m at Beaudesert. While he lacks a heavy track win from 3 attempts, his recent staying form is compelling. The class rise is manageable given his dominant last performance, making him a solid each-way chance.
Likeabeel offers excellent value with his outstanding heavy track record of 3 wins from 9 starts. His Grafton form is solid with 1 win from 4 starts, including a second at this distance. The class drop and proven heavy track ability make him a strong value proposition despite recent inconsistent form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Casino Bear | 2 | Madeline Owen | P Cheers | 61.5kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Hurricane Rosie | 5 | Jaden Lloyd | S B Laming | 57.5kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 8 | Mimessi | 11 | Shae Wilkes | P J Cunningham | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Likeabeel | 9 | Julie Busuttin | P M Busuttin | 60kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Vence | 7 | Ben Looker | Stirling Osland | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Justice Served | 8 | Jett Newman | R H Dart | 59.5kg | $3.60 |
| 7th | 7 | Sun Topaze | 4 | Danny Peisley | Shane Everson | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 10 | Big Hitter | 6 | Jake Bayliss | David & Marcus Scanes | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Montgomery | 10 | Kirk Matheson | Jason Reilly | 61.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Bright The Sun | 1 | N Masuda | S B Lee | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Stand In Line | 3 | Luke Rolls | Cassandra Schmidt | 55kg |
Her consistent placing record and proven competitiveness at this distance make her the standout selection despite being winless. The barrier draw suits her forward racing style on the heavy track.
Her strong place record and second-up positioning suggest significant improvement from her last disappointing run.
Sugar Road offers compelling credentials with a significant class drop and proven heavy track ability. However, the 844-day spell creates major fitness concerns that outweigh the positives. The perfect heavy track record and ideal barrier keep him competitive, but the long layoff is a significant risk factor.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | So Koby | 7 | Luke Rolls | J D Shelton | 57kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 5 | Rich Star | 11 | Jett Newman | C R Manson | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Sugar Road | 1 | Matthew Mc Guren | Wayne S Lawson | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 12 | Spoiler | 12 | Fleur Henley | 57kg | $8.50 | |
| 5th | 9 | Miss Graysea | 3 | Jon Grisedale | B D Bellamy | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 10 | She''s A Wild One | 9 | Colt Prosser | 57kg | $8.00 | |
| 7th | 14 | Queen Doris Ofasam | 6 | Jason Reilly | 57kg | $31.00 | |
| 8th | 4 | Millennium Prayer | 5 | Danny Peisley | G J Howells | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Subsidise | 4 | R J Agnew | 57kg | $12.00 | |
| 10th | 2 | Here''s Mason | 8 | Yvette Lewis | P G Randall | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 1 | Comicon | 2 | Teighan Worsnop | P J Evans | 59kg | $71.00 |
| 12th | 8 | Lykos | 14 | Kirk Matheson | G Prosser | 57kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Kendyacatchme | 13 | Ms V McLennan | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Dellucy | 17 | G N Nielsen | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Too Hard To Find | 10 | Samantha McGuren | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Terratilli | 16 | S B Lee | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Aamira | 15 | Daniel Bowen | 57kg |
Dundee Tales presents the strongest winning chance with a recent second at Taree over a similar distance, showing he's race-fit and in form. The significant class drop from Class 1 to Maiden racing provides a key advantage, while his heavy track experience (0 wins from 1 start) suits today's Heavy 8 conditions. Despite being winless, his consistent placings and trainer connection make him the logical choice.
Quick Buck offers solid each-way value with recent heavy track form at Port Macquarie and a previous third at this track over a similar distance. His consistent placing record (0 wins from 10 starts with 2 thirds) suggests he's competitive at this level, though the wide barrier and top weight present challenges on the heavy surface.
Andros brings strong recent heavy track form with a second at Casino, demonstrating his ability to handle today's conditions. The class drop and inside barrier provide tactical advantages, though his winless record (0 wins from 9 starts) remains a concern. His heavy track placing record suggests he can be competitive in these conditions.
The Andrew Mallyon booking suggests stable confidence, and being second up from a spell often brings improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Quick Buck | 11 | Matthew Mc Guren | Glen Milligan | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Dundee Tales | 8 | Peter Graham | 59kg | $6.00 | |
| 3rd | 4 | Flash One Hey | 5 | Danny Peisley | Ben Ahrens | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 16 | Jacob''s Well | 6 | Raymond Spokes | Ms L Sheppard | 59kg | $71.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Andros | 3 | Yvette Lewis | P G Randall | 59kg | $3.10 |
| 6th | 12 | Under Suspicion | 16 | Andrew Mallyon | Matthew Hoysted | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 15 | Purple Kitty | 12 | P Cheers | 59kg | $14.00 | |
| 8th | 2 | Circus Maximus | 1 | Jett Newman | Adam Campton | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Kitsilano | 10 | Shae Wilkes | M J Robinson | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Santos El Halper | 9 | Jon Grisedale | D B Campbell | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Minister Garrett | 2 | Jake Bayliss | Samantha McGuren | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Rainsitpours | 4 | N Masuda | Ms V McLennan | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 13th | 14 | Subtle Hints | 13 | B J Dodson | 57kg | $71.00 | |
| Scr | 5 | Ihaveseenthelight | 7 | R L Heathcote | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Shot Glass | 14 | Joedy Whitaker | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Stoicism | 15 | Jason Patton | 57kg |
Hotzino presents as the standout selection coming off a Grafton win in similar grade. The mare has shown consistent form with a win-place-second sequence in her last three starts. The inside barrier draw suits her racing pattern, and trainer Jason Reilly has her in career-best form.
His distance record is solid with 3 wins from 15 starts, and he's proven on soft tracks. However, the heavy track conditions present a significant concern with 0 wins from 5 heavy track starts, and the wide barrier draw adds tactical complications.
The lightly raced gelding has natural improvement scope and draws well.
Her recent second at Port Macquarie demonstrates current form, and she has heavy track experience.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Mission To Win | 13 | Danny Peisley | Sally Taylor | 60.5kg | $26.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Our Orator | 9 | Julie Busuttin | P M Busuttin | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 19 | Sibelius | 16 | D Simonetta | 55.5kg | $51.00 | |
| 4th | 1 | Maple Door | 12 | Jett Newman | Jimmy Downes | 59kg | $2.50 |
| 5th | 13 | Contreras | 11 | Jake Bayliss | David & Marcus Scanes | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Royal Rift | 4 | Jason Reilly | 57.5kg | $41.00 | |
| 7th | 2 | Meltdown | 8 | Andrew Mallyon | Matthew Hoysted | 61kg | $3.40 |
| 8th | 20 | Lampkin Lane | 14 | Shane Everson | 55kg | $101.00 | |
| 9th | 7 | Hotzino | 3 | Teighan Worsnop | Jason Reilly | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 10th | 8 | Jakat | 6 | Madeline Owen | Ridge Wilson | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Fast Da | 2 | Luke Rolls | Scott Cover | 59kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Call Out | 1 | Adam Campton | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Queen Of Tayrona | 18 | Yvette Lewis | G N Nielsen | 58kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Set To Prophet | 7 | Ms L Selby | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Bianco Nero | 17 | Jon Grisedale | B D Bellamy | 57kg | |
| Scr | 14 | My Girl Zarlie | 10 | N Masuda | Ms S Pepper | 57kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Merapi | 20 | Cassandra Schmidt | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Slipstreaming | 5 | Joedy Whitaker | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Dupont | 19 | D W Dwane | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Son Of A Boom | 15 | Carolyn Halliday | 56kg |
Grey Effects presents as the standout selection after winning his last start at this track. The barrier draw suits his racing pattern, and despite the class rise, his recent form suggests he can handle this level.
Gaylord won his maiden at this exact track and distance, showing he handles the conditions. His recent second at Gold Coast confirms current form, and being lightly raced suggests there's more improvement to come. However, the heavy track conditions and wide barrier present challenges for his first attempt at this class level.
Boambee Beach brings the best heavy track credentials with 2 wins from 8 starts on the going. Her recent form is solid with three placings from four starts, and she has experience at this track. The major concern is the wide barrier draw which is particularly disadvantageous in heavy conditions, but her wet track ability keeps her competitive.
Jewels Statement offers value based on her excellent first-up record and previous success at this track and distance. The addition of blinkers for the first time could spark improvement, and her barrier draw is favorable. However, the lack of heavy track experience and inconsistent recent form present risks at this level.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Gaylord | 10 | Andrew Mallyon | M J Dunn | 59.5kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 8 | Boambee Beach | 12 | Raymond Spokes | B D Bellamy | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Broken Hero | 11 | Leanne Boyd | N R Stewart | 62kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Iobject | 3 | E J Farr | D B Campbell | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 13 | Grey Effects | 4 | Kirk Matheson | Colt Prosser | 57kg | $3.30 |
| 6th | 10 | Silver Canvas | 13 | Shae Wilkes | Jason Reilly | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Lady Tulessa | 8 | Jett Newman | J D Shelton | 59kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Hidden Melody | 2 | Adam Campton | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Dont Call Me Honey | 6 | P L Shailer | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Calido Magic | 9 | Ms K Owen | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Critical Time | 15 | Scott Henley | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Jewels Statement | 5 | Matthew Mc Guren | Samantha McGuren | 58kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Toomuchinformation | 7 | Luke Rolls | Joseph Burges | 58kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Barron | 1 | Ms S Pepper | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Count Nicholas | 14 | Adam Campton | 55kg |
Master Artist stands out as the track specialist having won at Grafton previously. His heavy track placing and consistent recent form including a close 3rd at Taree suggests he's ready to step up in class. The wide barrier is a concern but his early speed should help overcome this disadvantage on the heavy track.
Nikody's Binks arrives off a last-start win at Taree and appears to be hitting his straps. The lack of heavy track experience is the main concern, but his current form momentum makes him a strong chance.
Venom Wolf brings solid credentials with track experience including a Grafton win and recent placing at Port Macquarie. His heavy track experience and consistent place record make him reliable, though the wide barrier and inconsistent winning record are concerns. Represents each-way value.
Miss Madigan offers outstanding value with her perfect heavy track record and last-start win. The class rise is a concern, but her heavy track specialization makes her a strong value play.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Full Regalia | 7 | Madeline Owen | Ms K Owen | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Rock Are Steiner | 3 | Peter Graham | 55.5kg | $7.00 | |
| 3rd | 2 | Master Artist | 18 | S B Lee | 59.5kg | $4.40 | |
| 4th | 5 | Highland Mirage | 6 | Luke Rolls | Cassandra Schmidt | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Miss Madigan | 8 | Teighan Worsnop | Jason Reilly | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Marine Girl | 15 | R J Agnew | 55.5kg | $31.00 | |
| 7th | 16 | Reel Torque | 2 | B D Bellamy | 55kg | $13.00 | |
| 8th | 8 | Tara Koda | 9 | Andrew Mallyon | J D Shelton | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Cash And Cards | 5 | Jett Newman | Paul Snowden | 58.5kg | $4.80 |
| 10th | 10 | Nikody''s Binks | 13 | Jake Bayliss | P Cheers | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 11th | 14 | Thinkin'' Bo You | 11 | D Simonetta | 55.5kg | $71.00 | |
| 12th | 3 | Causeways | 10 | D L Matts | 56.5kg | $31.00 | |
| 13th | 13 | Ready For Vegas | 17 | Shane Everson | 55kg | $151.00 | |
| Scr | 9 | Our Sparky | 1 | Kirk Matheson | Owen Glue | 55kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Rephrase | 14 | Ms J M Smith | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Starlacca | 12 | Joseph Burges | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Dubai Dame | 19 | Samantha McGuren | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Soyouthinkit''sover | 4 | Raymond Spokes | G J Howells | 55kg | |
| Scr | 19 | Venom Wolf | 16 | B D Bellamy | 55kg |
Chilled With Ice stands out as the only runner with a perfect record at today's distance, winning his sole 1200m start. His recent maiden victory at Gold Coast shows he's in career-best form, and the good barrier draw allows jockey Newman to position him perfectly.
Her recent form shows steady improvement, and the good barrier draw suits her racing pattern. While she lacks a win at the distance, her consistent placing suggests she can be competitive at this level.
Noble Missile offers excellent value with his proven heavy track ability and strong Grafton record. His heavy track win rate of 50% makes him ideally suited to today's conditions.
The class rise is manageable given her recent form improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Chilled With Ice | 6 | Jett Newman | M J Dunn | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 4 | Mofeed | 16 | Bella Youngberry | Jordan Lee | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | Got The Smarts | 8 | Matthew Mc Guren | Samantha McGuren | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 2 | Amarone | 10 | Madeline Owen | Ms K Owen | 61kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Barcelona Express | 5 | Danny Peisley | D L Matts | 61kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 16 | La Cache A Vin | 1 | B D Bellamy | 56kg | $31.00 | |
| 7th | 13 | Personal Space | 15 | Anthony Allen | Ms C Rode | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Calamity Fox | 9 | Kirk Matheson | Colt Prosser | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Castel Trosino | 2 | Jon Grisedale | T A Commerford | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| 10th | 14 | Irish Thunder | 12 | Luke Rolls | K A Lees | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Noble Missile | 4 | Raymond Spokes | T Fletcher | 58.5kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Stoinka | 11 | Shae Wilkes | D W Dwane | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Sea Of Qi | 7 | Ms T Timbery | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Count Nicholas | 14 | Adam Campton | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Mr Midnight | 13 | N Masuda | S B Lee | 58kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Invincible Faith | 3 | Ms L Selby | 57kg |
Before the races, not after
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