Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Sunday 31 August 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Seymour. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Victorious Spirit shows promise with a placing from its only start. The consistent class level and suitable weight are positives. While unproven on heavy going, its midfield running style should suit the likely moderate tempo. The inside barrier draw is advantageous in these conditions. The main concern is limited race experience.
The consistent class level and likely leading position suit the race context. Barrier 2 is favorable for heavy track conditions. However, the horse is yet to win from one start and is unproven on heavy going. The top weight of 58kg is a slight concern.
Zorb returns from a spell with a significant class drop, which could be advantageous. However, Zorb is yet to win from two starts and is unproven on heavy tracks. The wide barrier is a concern in these conditions.
The neutral barrier draw and potential for second-up improvement are positives. Trainer G Eurell's expertise could be a factor. However, the horse is unproven on heavy tracks and carries a challenging weight of 58kg in a compressed weight scale.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Lathlain | 14 | Jamie Kah | T Busuttin & N Young | 56kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 14 | Obvious | 7 | Ben Allen | G Eurell | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Victorious Spirit | 1 | Ethan Brown | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Cisco | 2 | Jamie Mott | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg | $3.10 |
| 5th | 11 | Lilac Girl | 13 | Jett Stanley | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 6 | That''s Marvellous | 10 | Daniel Moor | Rhys Archard | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Zorb | 9 | Declan Bates | Archie Alexander | 58kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Alexander Thegreat | 12 | Lachlan Neindorf | Shawn Mathrick | 58kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Cold Aza Beer | 5 | John Allen | E & D Browne | 58kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Patriot Wolf | 11 | M J Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Pepe | 6 | Beau Mertens | C J Waller | 58kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Diamond Edge | 3 | Jordan Childs | D T O''Brien | 56kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Perfect Night | 4 | M J Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Polish Playgirl | 8 | Blake Shinn | M, W & J Hawkes | 56kg |
He has experience on heavy tracks, which is crucial for today's conditions. However, he's yet to break through for a win and faces a wide barrier draw.
Ilovediamonds shows the most consistent form in the field with 3 placings from 5 starts. The drop to 57.5kg is advantageous, and she has proven ability on soft tracks. While yet to win, her form suggests she's ready to break through.
The advantageous barrier 4 and first-time tongue tie are positive factors. However, the lack of proven form and heavy track experience introduces uncertainty.
Being second-up from a spell suggests potential improvement, and the light weight of 55kg is advantageous in heavy conditions. However, she's yet to win and is unproven on heavy tracks.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Brash Lass | 11 | Lachlan Neindorf | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 9 | Points For Effort | 6 | Celine Gaudry | Anthony Chibnall | 57kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Brazen Martini | 8 | Melea Castle | Ms R Waymouth | 59.5kg | $20.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Blackhill Boy | 3 | Brad Rawiller | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 59.5kg | $3.80 |
| 5th | 8 | She''s First Lady | 5 | Rhys Mc Leod | Kate Goodrich | 57.5kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Helovawin | 9 | Billy Egan | Luke Oliver | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
| 7th | 10 | Tallingas Gray | 1 | Brittany Button | Matthew Hahne | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 6 | The Liquidator | 2 | Unknown | S S Cunningham | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Flinders Street | 7 | Hannah Edgley | E W Nichols | 59.5kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Taxing | 12 | Lachlan King | T G Eurell | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Ilovediamonds | 13 | M J Dee | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Kiwi Raider | 10 | Ethan Brown | M W Walker | 55kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Sapphire Reign | 4 | Jett Stanley | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg |
Ruska Roma presents as the top selection despite some concerns. The filly's strong first-up form and consistent class level performance are key positives. While lacking heavy track experience, her good track form and weight advantage offset this. The inside barrier is typically disadvantageous on heavy going, but her early speed could mitigate this issue. The long spell is a slight concern, but her first-up record suggests readiness.
Ottolenghi is a speculative selection based on limited information. The advantageous barrier draw and light weight are positives for heavy track conditions. The booking of top jockey Jamie Kah suggests stable confidence. However, the lack of form data and unknown heavy track ability introduce significant uncertainty. The horse's true class level remains unproven, making this a higher-risk selection.
Pharoah's Glory shows promise as a strong contender. The mare's consistent form and first-up performance record are notable strengths. While lacking heavy track experience, her soft track form suggests potential adaptability. The advantageous barrier draw could be crucial in heavy conditions. The top weight is a concern, but her class level consistency may help overcome this. The long spell is mitigated by her strong first-up record.
Naraghi represents a value selection with potential for improvement. The light weight is advantageous in heavy conditions. However, the lack of heavy track experience and unproven form are major concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Ruska Roma | 1 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 55.5kg | $1.45 |
| 2nd | 10 | Ottolenghi | 3 | Jamie Kah | T Busuttin & N Young | 55.5kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 9 | Naraghi | 7 | Celine Gaudry | Liam Howley | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 14 | Elite Gathering | 9 | Thomas Spillane | Rhys Archard | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Maestro''s Echo | 13 | John Allen | Rhys Archard | 58kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Homeward | 14 | Zac Spain | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Pharoah''s Glory | 4 | W Gordon | P Kearney | 58kg | |
| Scr | 4 | You Said What | 5 | Lachlan King | Claire Patterson | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Divine Empress | 10 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Doubt In The Sky | 11 | M J Dee | M M Laurie | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Expanding Power | 2 | Lachlan Neindorf | E Jusufovic | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Itsagiven | 12 | Carleen Hefel | David & Coral Feek | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | She Moves Too | 6 | Jye Mc Neil | C J Waller | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Superior Dame | 15 | Ethan Brown | R D Griffiths | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Please Me Do | 8 | Unknown | D E Dean | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Reisner | 16 | Jett Stanley | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 58kg |
Power Pivot is lightly raced but showed promise with a third placing on debut. The gelding draws well and has the advantage of a good first-up record. While inexperienced and untested on heavy going, its potential for improvement and favorable barrier position make it a strong contender.
Star Of Stirling has been consistent in recent starts and should appreciate the step up in distance. The horse carries a favorable weight and has a good barrier draw. While yet to break through for a win and untested on heavy tracks, its consistency and potential for improvement over the longer trip make it a solid selection.
Lots To Love shows an improving form trend with two recent second placings. While unproven on heavy tracks, its consistent performances and strong finishing ability make it the top selection in this maiden event.
The name suggests potential wet track aptitude, which could be advantageous in these conditions. While risky, it represents a speculative value option in this field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Power Pivot | 5 | Craig Newitt | K & K Keys | 59.5kg | $2.20 |
| 2nd | 5 | Star Of Stirling | 3 | Jamie Mott | L Smith | 59.5kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 9 | Chrislyn | 13 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Wet ''n'' Dry | 2 | Neil Farley | Shay Keating | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Savvy Nights | 10 | Daniel Moor | T Busuttin & N Young | 59.5kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Archer''sheart | 1 | Unknown | D E Dean | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Not Fake | 11 | J Webb | R A Hockley | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Couldbetracy | 6 | Carleen Hefel | G C Strang | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Lots To Love | 12 | Jett Stanley | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Tee Eight | 14 | W Gordon | A & J Williams | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Translucent Angel | 9 | Ms G Johnstone | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Hot Miss | 8 | M J Dee | C J Waller | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Namaka | 7 | Craig Newitt | G Eurell | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Sparkels Dior | 4 | Liam Riordan | Julius Sandhu | 57.5kg |
Crossoverkid presents as the top selection with a strong consistent form line, including two recent second-place finishes. The gelding has proven ability on heavy tracks with 1 win from 6 starts, and the 60.5kg weight is favorable for these conditions. While the wide barrier is a slight concern, the overall form and suitability to conditions make this horse the one to beat.
Golden Hips boasts impressive heavy track statistics with 3 wins from 5 starts, making him well-suited to today's conditions. The gelding is dropping in class which is a significant advantage. Recent consistent form, including placings, indicates he's in good shape. However, the top weight of 61kg and wide barrier are challenges to overcome.
Star Blazer has shown ability on heavy tracks with 1 win from 4 starts. The class drop is a significant positive, and the inside barrier draw is advantageous in these conditions. However, the top weight of 62.5kg is a concern, especially on a heavy track.
The weight of 61kg is favorable for heavy track conditions. While there's no specific heavy track form provided, the gelding's recent performances suggest he could handle the conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Eye Of Epaulette | 12 | Teodore Nugent | D Binaisse | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Golden Hips | 13 | Zac Spain | Jason Warren | 61kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Grinzinger Fashion | 7 | Lachlan King | Ben Brisbourne | 59.5kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Crossoverkid | 14 | Neil Farley | Andrew Payne | 60.5kg | $1.95 |
| 5th | 15 | Second Nature | 3 | Hannah Le Blanc | B T Malanczyn | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 3 | More Torque | 5 | Ben Allen | Charlotte Littlefield | 61kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Ideelistic | 1 | Brad Rawiller | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Think I''m Irish | 4 | Beau Mertens | Lee & Shannon Hope | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 1 | Star Blazer | 2 | Brittany Button | D J McCarthy | 62.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Piplup | 6 | Jordan Childs | Reece Goodwin | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 11th | 16 | Think More | 11 | S A McIntosh | 57kg | $51.00 | |
| 12th | 13 | Mornington Mask | 15 | Sheridan Clarke | D Binaisse | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 13th | 14 | Prince Beejay | 9 | Corey Parish | Michael Jones | 57.5kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Pro Aussie | 8 | Ethan Brown | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 61kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Flashlight | 16 | W Gordon | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Everythingisautumn | 10 | Liam Riordan | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 56.5kg |
Blue Hawaiian presents as the top selection with a strong consistent form line, including a recent win and multiple placings. The mare has proven ability on soft tracks and is well-weighted for this race. While facing a class rise, her dominant performances in lower grades suggest she's ready for the challenge. The good barrier draw is advantageous in these conditions.
Nimbustwothousand is a strong contender with proven heavy track ability and consistent overall form. The gelding's recent win two starts back demonstrates good form, though he carries top weight here. The wide barrier is a concern, but his ability to handle heavy going could mitigate this disadvantage. His strong weight-carrying ability makes him a serious threat.
Smart Deel presents value as a third selection. The mare is second up from a spell with a good record in this situation. The advantageous barrier draw is a plus in these conditions. However, her inconsistent overall form and limited soft track experience are concerns.
The gelding's recent form has been consistently strong, with placings in his last three starts. He's a proven performer on soft tracks and is dropping significantly in class.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Nimbustwothousand | 17 | Jamie Mott | Gavin Bedggood | 61kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Blue Hawaiian | 10 | T Ladd | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Tapo | 13 | Hayley Spitse | Ms G Johnstone | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 16 | Acta Non Verba | 2 | Liam Riordan | D T O''Brien | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Gundaroo | 6 | Brittany Button | Peter Smith | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 18 | Cripps | 9 | Rhys Mc Leod | P Kearney | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Justdoit | 12 | Billy Egan | Luke Oliver | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 9 | Smart Deel | 8 | Jye Mc Neil | Reece Goodwin | 58.5kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 19 | Yulong Storm | 15 | Craig Newitt | Nathan Hobson | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Esecutore | 14 | Lachlan King | Ben Brisbourne | 60.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 3 | British Poet | 19 | Reece Goodwin | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Maximum Power | 18 | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Starchienne | 7 | Jett Stanley | Brent Stanley | 60kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Furosshi | 11 | Beau Mertens | Gavin Bedggood | 58kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Miss Winslet | 3 | Ben Allen | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Diamond Gust | 5 | Ethan Brown | M M Laurie | 57kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Powerful Torque | 4 | Carleen Hefel | David & Coral Feek | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Gobbo''s Mate | 1 | Jason Lyon | P McVicar | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Espinho | 16 | Logan Bates | A & S Freedman | 59kg |
With 2 wins from 9 starts, the gelding has shown ability at this distance. Well-weighted and drawn favorably, Fire Tribe looks primed for a strong performance despite the class rise. The heavy track is a question mark, but overall form suggests a winning chance.
Vianarra is a strong second pick, benefiting from a class drop and consistent placing record. The wider barrier is a concern, but the experienced jockey and class relief make Vianarra a serious contender despite unproven heavy track form.
Camp Cable shows promise with 1 win from 3 starts and consistent recent form. The gelding has heavy track experience which is crucial for today's conditions. While facing a significant class rise and drawn wide, Camp Cable's strong win rate and consistent performances suggest potential to compete at this level.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Fire Tribe | 8 | Ethan Brown | Lee & Shannon Hope | 59kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 9 | Sharp Response | 18 | Beau Mertens | Julius Sandhu | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 10 | Belcony | 13 | Jye Mc Neil | Reece Goodwin | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 15 | Hot Chilli Mama | 5 | Rhys Mc Leod | J D Sadler | 56.5kg | $19.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Lack Of Restraint | 15 | Brittany Button | Ms R Hoysted | 55.5kg | $20.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Vianarra | 2 | John Allen | T Busuttin & N Young | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Exabanoise | 3 | Declan Bates | Chris Calthorpe | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Camp Cable | 12 | Corey Parish | Lee & Shannon Hope | 60kg | $7.00 |
| 9th | 18 | Hotinherre | 6 | T Ladd | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Chambers Bay | 19 | Zac Spain | M C Watts | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 11th | 19 | Wild Annie | 4 | Jason Lyon | B R Mallyon | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Bit Of Shoosh | 9 | Ben Allen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 60kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Ollandia Beach | 17 | Justin W Stanley | I W Lister | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Chosen Venture | 7 | Craig Newitt | Nathan Hobson | 59kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Bardia''s Dream | 10 | Ryan Houston | Simon Zahra | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Macha | 1 | Jamie Mott | John McArdle | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | The Bantam | 16 | Jett Stanley | Brent Stanley | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Boulder Jack | 11 | Unknown | D E Oliver | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Brazen Bliss | 14 | Scott Cameron | 56kg |
Too Big presents as the top selection with a strong recent form line, including two thirds in his last four starts. The gelding has a proven track record at Seymour with 1 win from 2 starts. Dropping in class and carrying a manageable 59.5kg, Too Big is well-positioned to capitalize on the expected suitable race tempo. While yet to win at this distance, his consistency and track affinity make him a strong contender.
Lika Swift boasts impressive heavy track credentials with 4 wins from 7 starts, which is crucial given the current track conditions. Coming off a win 21 days ago and dropping in class, this gelding shows strong form. The inside barrier may be tricky, but his experience could turn this into an advantage.
Moscow Red has a perfect record at this track and distance, winning her only start. With 8 wins from 42 starts at this distance, she's proven over the journey. Her recent form has been consistent, and she's carrying a suitable weight of 56kg. While her soft track record is modest, her overall consistency and track-specific performance make her a solid choice. The inside barrier draw could be challenging but may also provide tactical advantages.
With an impressive heavy track record of 2 wins from 6 starts and a perfect 1 win from 1 start at this track, he has proven ability in similar conditions. While carrying a hefty 59.5kg and showing a declining form trend, his track-specific performance and heavy track prowess make him an intriguing value proposition in this field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | First Chorus | 3 | Jamie Mott | L Smith | 60kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 12 | Vegas On Fire | 11 | Lachlan Neindorf | Shawn Mathrick | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Too Big | 4 | Billy Egan | Peter Smith | 59.5kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 4 | Bearbrassblackfish | 9 | Jett Stanley | G Eurell | 60kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Barrington Manor | 7 | Adam Mc Cabe | Logan McGill | 59.5kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 6 | Moscow Red | 2 | Thomas Spillane | Henry Dwyer | 56kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Lika Swift | 1 | Hayley Spitse | Ms G Johnstone | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 13 | Babble On | 12 | Corey Parish | Rhys Archard | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Flag Flyer | 10 | Logan Bates | G Eurell | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Biden Time | 5 | W Gordon | S J Richards | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Hydrogen Power | 6 | Craig Newitt | Nathan Hobson | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Sawbay | 13 | Declan Bates | Henry Dwyer | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Millvina | 8 | Rhys Mc Leod | P Kearney | 58kg |
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