Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Wednesday 3 September 2025
Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Belmont Park. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Saam Time Lucky stands out as the only proven winner with perfect soft track credentials and excellent Belmont Park form. His recent close third demonstrates current fitness, and despite carrying top weight from barrier 7, his proven ability on these exact conditions makes him the logical choice to win.
The significant class drop from Listed level combined with her proven wet track ability and ideal weight makes her a strong winning chance, though her maiden status and track inexperience create some uncertainty.
Tassort We Want offers strong each-way value with his recent maiden win and perfect distance record. The significant class drop and improving form trend are positives, though his complete lack of wet track and Belmont Park experience creates uncertainty about handling today's conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Hasani | 5 | Lucy Warwick | G & A Williams | 59kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Fine Star | 6 | Clinton Porter | Simon Miller | 57.5kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Saam Time Lucky | 7 | Steven Parnham | N D Parnham | 60kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 5 | Media Mogul | 4 | Brad Parnham | D T McAuliffe | 59kg | $3.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Brave Dragon | 2 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 7 | British Bonnie | 1 | Patrick Carbery | Ms S L Miller | 57kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Tassort We Want | 3 | Troy Turner | Tiarnna Noske | 60kg |
Xentaro stands out as the clear winning selection with his recent Heavy 8 victory demonstrating crucial wet track ability. His perfect second-up record (1 win from 1 start) is vital given today's spell status. The inside barrier provides significant advantage on the Soft 5 surface, and his form progression suggests he's still improving. Despite the class rise, his conditions suitability makes him the standout chance.
Surfside Session brings excellent fresh credentials with a perfect first-up record, crucial for today's return. His 50% strike rate demonstrates genuine ability, and the trainer clearly has him ready to perform fresh. The wide barrier and soft track inexperience are concerns, but his class and fitness make him a strong winning chance despite the conditions challenge.
Urquharts Bluff offers solid each-way value with good first-up credentials and an ideal barrier draw. His recent maiden win demonstrates current ability, and the second-up positioning suits many horses.
His soft track win from 3 starts provides crucial conditions suitability, while the lightweight advantage could prove decisive.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Xentaro | 1 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 57.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 2 | Surfside Session | 7 | Troy Turner | C H Webster | 60kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 3 | Urquharts Bluff | 4 | Sharni Webster | P H Jordan | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 8 | Special Heart | 3 | Chanel Cooper | Robert Gulberti | 52kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Scenic George | 5 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | D & B Pearce | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Playful Star | 8 | Rocky Cheung | N D Parnham | 52.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Super Sunny | 2 | Brandon Louis | B M Kay | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Sirius Storm | 6 | Natika Riordan | J N Pateman | 52kg | $17.00 |
Buderim offers strong value through his class drop from Class 1 level and consistent form showing thirds in both career starts. The wide barrier is concerning, but his proven soft track ability and fitness improvement second up make him a strong winning chance.
The excellent barrier draw and experienced connections provide advantages, though the complete lack of form data makes assessment challenging in this competitive maiden field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Hedawood | 6 | Clinton Porter | Luke Fernie | 58kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 6 | Doble Oh Nada | 7 | Shaun O''Donnell | Cooper Casey | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Extreme Ruler | 4 | Troy Turner | B V Watkins | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 3 | All Fired Up | 5 | Patrick Carbery | B M Kay | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 5th | 15 | El Alamein | 1 | Chanel Cooper | P H Jordan | 52.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 18 | Gets The Girls | 14 | Jason Whiting | G C Ballantyne | 58kg | $151.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Hell''s Citi | 2 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | G C Ballantyne | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Itzabeast | 8 | Holly Watson | Brian Kersley | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Playing Free | 3 | Laqdar Ramoly | N D Parnham | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Rising Fame | 9 | Steven Parnham | N D Parnham | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 11th | 4 | Buderim | 17 | Alex Hearn | Michael Campbell | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 12th | 10 | Abstracted | 16 | Rocky Cheung | Jayson Hines | 53kg | $41.00 |
| 13th | 17 | Hamadryad | 12 | Kyra Yuill | W J Bradshaw | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 14th | 12 | Rosentrea | 18 | Holly Nottle | Takahide Ikenushi | 53kg | $101.00 |
| 15th | 16 | Bahnbougle Baby | 13 | Brayden Gaerth | Simon Miller | 53.5kg | $31.00 |
| 16th | 13 | Skye Rose | 10 | Brandon Louis | John Doyle | 56kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Kallahti | 11 | N D Parnham | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | King Of Muster | 15 | B V Watkins | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Classic Royale | 19 | Ms J Kelly | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Designer Label | 20 | N D Parnham | 58kg |
Eliteone stands out as the clear top selection with an exceptional record at this specific track and distance. His soft track form is excellent and he's proven to be effective second up from a spell.
The barrier draw suits his racing pattern, though his lack of soft track success on today's Soft 5 surface presents the main concern against his chances.
Gav Has Spoken represents a talented lightly-raced mare with a perfect first up record and strong win rate. The addition of blinkers first time could provide the necessary improvement for the class rise, though the wide barrier and lack of soft track experience are concerns.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Eliteone | 4 | Jefferson Tsang | Simon Miller | 58.5kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 4 | Saulok | 8 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Rainline | 1 | Clinton Porter | D & B Pearce | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Gav Has Spoken | 10 | Troy Turner | R W Matthews | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Silent Alert | 5 | Lucy Warwick | G & A Williams | 58.5kg | $3.70 |
| 6th | 6 | Teabiscuit | 2 | Holly Nottle | Kirsten Melis | 54.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Hoba Meteor | 3 | Steven Parnham | Summer Dickson | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Delicate Ruler | 6 | Chanel Cooper | J P Taylor | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Coondle | 7 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | L P Luciani | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| Scr | 7 | Magnachine | 9 | N D Parnham | 57kg |
Millstee stands out as the logical winner having captured her last start at this exact venue and distance. The class rise is a concern but her upward trajectory and track familiarity make her the standout selection.
Nine Ball presents as the main danger with her impressive last start maiden victory and strong 1400m record. The lightly raced mare has clear upside but faces significant challenges with no soft track experience and a wide barrier draw. Her class rise from maiden grade is substantial but the talent appears genuine.
Pat's Last Bang brings strong recent form including a last start victory in heavy conditions. Her 25% win rate suggests genuine ability and she's proven fresh. However, the lack of Belmont Park experience and soft track form are concerns, though her heavy track win suggests she can handle testing conditions.
His Belmont Park record is encouraging and the light weight provides an advantage.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Nine Ball | 12 | Clinton Porter | Simon Miller | 56.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 4 | Too Much Talk | 6 | Jefferson Tsang | Jarrad Humphries | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Millstee | 5 | Shaun O''Donnell | Ms J Erkelens | 58.5kg | $3.80 |
| 4th | 11 | Strictly Cash | 8 | Chris Nicoll | S J Ryan | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Battle Commander | 9 | Chanel Cooper | P H Jordan | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 7 | Alma Mater | 3 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | D T McAuliffe | 54.5kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Hoba West | 11 | Holly Nottle | Summer Dickson | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Canny Coni | 2 | Patrick Carbery | Sue Olive | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Rig A Dig | 1 | Jason Whiting | G C Ballantyne | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Pat''s Last Bang | 10 | Steven Parnham | A W Maley | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Mong Khon | 4 | Sharni Webster | J N Pateman | 51kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Ishkur | 7 | Ms S Bakranich | 56.5kg |
Noble Connection stands out as the top selection with proven soft track ability and strong recent form. His 30% win rate demonstrates consistent class, while his 2nd at Pinjarra on Soft 6 shows he handles these conditions well. The significant class drop from BM66+ level and proven distance record make him the standout winning chance despite the wide barrier.
The gear changes and inside barrier position are major positives, but her poor Belmont record and lack of soft track wins are concerning. Her current form trajectory suggests she's ready to break through despite the track and distance concerns.
Becalotti offers the best Belmont Park credentials in the field with 2 wins from 10 starts at the track. Her soft track experience and recent consistent form, combined with a significant class drop, make her a reliable chance. The unknown at 1650m is a concern but her overall profile suits this race well.
While his Belmont and soft track records are concerning, the significant class drop and current form improvement make him an attractive value proposition. His consistency and distance experience provide hope for an upset result.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Noble Connection | 8 | Clinton Porter | D & B Pearce | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Sketta | 10 | Holly Nottle | F R Kersley | 52kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Keggs Later | 2 | Natasha Faithfull | A W Maley | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 1 | Idyllic Ruler | 6 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | J P Taylor | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 4 | Emerald Trader | 11 | Holly Watson | L J Watson | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Karlstad | 7 | Amy Jo Hayes | G T Anthony | 52kg | $201.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Golden Kathleen | 4 | Joseph Azzopardi | Ms D Riordan | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Et Tu Brute | 9 | Kyra Yuill | Dylan Bairstow | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 11 | State Of Fury | 1 | Brad Parnham | D T McAuliffe | 55kg | $4.60 |
| 10th | 5 | Run D''affaire Run | 5 | Natika Riordan | G C Ballantyne | 54.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Becalotti | 3 | Luke Campbell | Tiarnna Noske | 59kg |
Romantic Ruler has been the bridesmaid at Belmont Park but his consistent placings show he handles the track well. His soft track record of 1 win from 4 starts is solid, and he finally broke through for his maiden win last start. The class rise is concerning but his course experience and soft track form make him the standout.
Decision Maker broke through for his maiden win last start and has shown he can handle soft conditions with 1 win from 6 starts. The class rise is significant but his recent improvement suggests he's ready for the step up.
Bella Violetta comes off a dominant maiden win and has shown consistent improvement with multiple placings. Her soft track experience and staying ability are positives, but the class rise and first-time course experience are concerns. The wide draw is manageable over this distance.
Opal Tango showed improvement with a recent third and has course experience at Belmont. Her staying ability is proven and the good barrier draw helps. However, her overall record is concerning with just 1 win from 15 starts.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Romantic Ruler | 4 | Jason Whiting | Ms K Fleming | 60kg | $9.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Decision Maker | 8 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 7 | Capable Angel | 13 | Lucy Warwick | Brandon Fiore | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Prince Epaulette | 1 | Chanel Cooper | D R Harrison | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 14 | Miss Graphene | 2 | Shaun O''Donnell | Ray Miller | 55.5kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Dandy''s Gem | 9 | Laqdar Ramoly | Embroja Lee Altieri | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Opal Tango | 5 | Luke Campbell | Greg Cave | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Leonardo Da Grey | 15 | Steven Parnham | T M Andrews | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Choice Thinking | 14 | Natika Riordan | T M Andrews | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Classic Turn | 3 | Clinton Porter | D T McAuliffe | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Bella Violetta | 12 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | M L Lane | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 12th | 11 | Rock Dee Jay | 6 | Madi Derrick | B M Kay | 56.5kg | $20.00 |
| 13th | 12 | Kleva Conned | 11 | Natasha Faithfull | A W Maley | 56kg | $71.00 |
| 14th | 15 | Angels Point | 10 | Rocky Cheung | M Santich | 51kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 4 | What''s The Point | 7 | Luke Fernie | 59kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.