Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Thursday 4 September 2025
Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Moe. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Kagemusha presents the best winning chance despite first-up concerns. The inside barrier is crucial on this heavy track, and the Freedman stable's booking of Ethan Brown indicates confidence in the horse's readiness.
The major class drop from Eagle Farm Open company to country maiden level, combined with the Tagaloa breeding and long freshen-up, suggests potential for improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Axiom | 10 | Jamie Mott | Gavin Bedggood | 58kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 5 | Kagemusha | 2 | Ethan Brown | A & S Freedman | 58kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 4 | Island Boy | 5 | Lachlan Neindorf | Alexander Rae | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Reel Crystal | 1 | Thomas Prebble | Shane Stockdale | 56kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Fear The Impact | 9 | Gavin Bedggood | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Highstrung | 6 | T Busuttin & N Young | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Mandraki | 12 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Ricallen | 8 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Soroush | 11 | Glen Thompson | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Tagamate | 3 | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Final Fury | 4 | Chris Calthorpe | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Macca''s Angel | 7 | Daniel Stackhouse | P Stokes | 56kg |
Mini Angel represents the standout selection despite being winless. The blinkers removal and Kah's booking suggest connections expect improvement. While the wide draw is concerning, her class edge over this field is significant.
While debut runners carry inherent risk, the professional approach and gear additions indicate serious preparation for this assignment.
Pulsating offers some appeal from the inside gate with significant gear changes suggesting the stable expects improvement. The barrier advantage on a soft track is crucial, and her previous form shows ability. However, the poor first-up record and long spell create concerns about immediate fitness and readiness.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Mini Angel | 10 | Jamie Kah | C Maher | 58kg | $1.75 |
| 2nd | 10 | Expanding Power | 11 | Jye Mc Neil | E Jusufovic | 55.5kg | $3.20 |
| 3rd | 6 | Pulsating | 1 | Liam Riordan | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Shadow Storm | 7 | Nadia Daniels | Mitchell Leek | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Zouzenna | 2 | Lachlan Neindorf | Aleks Komarovs | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Delta Moon | 4 | Lauren Burke | Kerry Farrugia | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Arsenale | 9 | Celine Gaudry | R J Besanko | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Let''s Recover | 6 | Carleen Hefel | Colin Scott | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 11 | So You Excel | 3 | Christopher Pang | Tim Hughes | 53.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Sharp Retort | 8 | Fred W Kersley | Simon Zahra | 58kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Allcome Tycoon | 5 | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 58kg |
Omamori shapes as the most reliable option with consistent recent form and proven suitability to Moe's soft conditions. The narrow second at this track last start, combined with a perfect soft track record and strong staying connections, makes him the standout despite being winless. The improving form trend and distance suitability provide strong winning chances.
Tee Eight presents as the main danger with an improving form profile and the significant jockey booking of Jamie Kah. The recent heavy track second demonstrates wet track ability, while the good barrier draw should ensure a forward position. The improving trend and quality connections make this a strong each-way proposition.
Despite a modest soft track record, the recent track experience and improving form trend, combined with McNeil's booking, suggests this gelding can improve significantly on recent efforts and challenge for the minor placings.
The trainer-jockey combination and consistent form pattern suggest this gelding can improve on recent efforts.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Omamori | 5 | Ethan Brown | T Busuttin & N Young | 59.5kg | $2.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Tee Eight | 3 | Jamie Kah | A & J Williams | 59.5kg | $2.80 |
| 3rd | 8 | I''mfallinforyou | 8 | Zac Spain | Dennis Julius | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Ruscello | 4 | Jye Mc Neil | C J Waller | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Mariner''s Dream | 7 | Teodore Nugent | Susie Wells | 59.5kg | $81.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Isalot | 2 | Dylan Dunn | Dylan Dunn | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 1 | Hand Of Doom | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | Patrick Keane | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Lovenne | 1 | Liam Riordan | Ms R Kelly | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Hot Miss | 6 | Fred W Kersley | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
Zoustar filly dropping significantly in class from Listed to Maiden company. Jamie Kah's booking is significant, and the class drop combined with natural improvement should see her competitive despite first-up concerns.
Farnan filly with quality breeding making second appearance after resuming with encouraging 4th at Mildura. The significant class drop from Listed to Maiden company, combined with natural second-up improvement and good barrier, makes her a strong winning chance despite winless record.
Hayes stable debut runner with ideal barrier 1 draw and gear changes suggesting readiness. The barrier advantage at Moe gives him every chance if ready to go.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Lake Gillear | 4 | Nadia Daniels | Pat Carey & Harris Walker | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | San Pueblo | 5 | Melea Castle | Marcus Fahler | 59.5kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Zourosa | 2 | Jamie Kah | Jason Warren | 55kg | $1.12 |
| 4th | 9 | Far More Radiant | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | Gavin Bedggood | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Jewel Ben | 9 | Zac Spain | M J Mehegan | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Alpine Way | 10 | John R Allen | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Midnight Loot | 8 | Peter Ioannou | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Madam Burberry | 6 | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | King Luigi | 1 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Elegant Contessa | 7 | Julius Sandhu | 55kg |
Mrs Archibald stands out as the track specialist having won her last start at Moe by half a length. Her excellent course record of 1 win from 2 starts at this venue, combined with proven soft track ability and improving form trend, makes her the standout selection despite the wide barrier.
The Carillo brings strong distance form with 2 wins from 8 starts at 1100m and consistent recent performances. The good barrier draw allows tactical options, though concerns exist about soft track form and first-time track experience.
Mr Tickles offers excellent value as a proven soft track performer with 2 wins from 9 starts on the surface.
Per Ivy presents excellent value having won her only previous start at Moe and coming off a last-start victory.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Mrs Archibald | 13 | Makisha Salter | Jason Warren | 57.5kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 2 | The Carillo | 5 | Stephanie Hateley | Chris Calthorpe | 59kg | $1.85 |
| 3rd | 8 | Mr Tickles | 11 | Sarah Field | Mitchell Leek | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 13 | Per Ivy | 2 | Hannah Edgley | Colin Scott | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Unifies | 7 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 60kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Not Enough Effort | 8 | Lauren Burke | Ms S Trolove | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Kahuka | 4 | Eliza Lloyd | Angus Townley | 56kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Infinite Matrix | 10 | W Morrissey | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Arezzo | 6 | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Stolen Art | 3 | Simon Zahra | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Mississippi Miller | 1 | W Morrissey | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Privalova | 12 | T Busuttin & N Young | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Self Serve | 9 | D T O''Brien | 56.5kg |
A Diva presents as the standout selection despite the class rise. While she lacks soft track experience, her proven winning ability and good barrier position make her the horse to beat in this field.
With 1 win from 3 starts, she's shown steady improvement and her recent form suggests she can handle the class rise. The inside draw is crucial on soft tracks.
Disturbia offers value as a distance specialist with 2 wins from 13 starts at 1600m. The slight class drop and blinkers reapplication could spark improvement.
Vegas On Fire represents excellent value with her strong soft track record of 4 wins from 20 starts. Her recent second at Seymour shows she's in good form, and the light weight of 55.5kg is a significant advantage.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Ninyo | 6 | Teodore Nugent | Aaron Laing | 54kg | $18.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | A Diva | 7 | Ethan Brown | Richard Laming | 60.5kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 7 | Vegas On Fire | 5 | Caitlin Hollowood | Shawn Mathrick | 55.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Disturbia | 2 | Lachlan Neindorf | E & D Browne | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Hello Mary | 8 | Jye Mc Neil | G Eurell | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Moose Jaw | 10 | Sally Wynne | Ms S L Wynne | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Gracious Diva | 9 | Daniel Stackhouse | Susie Wells | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Sunset Missile | 4 | Adam Mc Cabe | Rachael Cunningham | 60kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 4 | La Belle Grande | 1 | Jamie Mott | G Eurell | 59kg | $7.50 |
| Scr | 8 | Aria Electra | 3 | Peter Gelagotis | 57kg |
Delightful Journey brings strong recent form including a close second at this track 11 days ago. His track familiarity and consistent racing pattern are major positives, though his poor soft track record (1 win from 14 starts) is concerning. The inside barrier may not suit his racing pattern but class drop helps his chances.
His distance credentials are solid with 2 wins from 13 starts, and the weight relief to 56.5kg helps. However, his poor soft track record and wide barrier are significant concerns in these conditions.
Hot Too Go presents as the standout selection coming off a maiden win first up at Geelong on soft going. The class drop from previous Group/Listed campaigns adds further appeal despite modest overall record.
The 291-day spell is concerning for first up fitness, but his track familiarity and Luke Nolen booking suggest connections are confident.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Aseventy Seven | 10 | Lachlan Neindorf | E & D Browne | 56.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Delightful Journey | 2 | Teodore Nugent | Christine Sexton | 59.5kg | $2.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Flossing | 9 | Caitlin Hollowood | T Busuttin & N Young | 61kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 4 | Foggy Bottom | 3 | Paul Gatt | Claire Patterson | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Taikyu | 8 | Luke Nolen | Angus Townley | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Cryptic Clue | 1 | Christopher Pang | Matthew Brown | 52.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Cherokee Brave | 4 | Zac Spain | E V Musgrove | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Ripplebrook | 6 | Carleen Hefel | Ms S Trolove | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Hot Too Go | 5 | D T O''Brien | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Teddy Boy | 7 | Claire Patterson | 57kg |
Porsha Crystal shapes as the best winning chance being second up where she has a strong record (1 win from 3 starts). Her recent 2nd at Seymour confirms fitness and she's shown ability on soft tracks with multiple placings.
Bohemian Angel brings excellent first-up credentials (1 win from 2 starts) and won her last start on synthetic. The good barrier draw and improving trajectory make her a strong chance, though the class rise and lack of soft track experience are concerns in these conditions.
Miss Winslet offers strong distance credentials (2 wins from 8 starts at 1200m) and excellent first-up ability.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Porsha Crystal | 13 | Jye Mc Neil | Mark & Levi Kavanagh | 59kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 7 | Bohemian Angel | 5 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 13 | Mrs Gossip | 7 | Tatum Bull | K E Horobin | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Littlebirdie | 10 | Teodore Nugent | Ms S Trolove | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 5 | She Nailed It | 9 | Christopher Pang | Tim Hughes | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Anthophila | 11 | Zac Spain | Dennis Julius | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Nicking Gracie | 8 | Stephanie Hateley | Robert Palm | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Divine Turf | 3 | Fred W Kersley | Chris Calthorpe | 60kg | $7.50 |
| 9th | 8 | Laura''s Gold | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | Mitchell Leek | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 10th | 10 | Steely Hustler | 1 | Dylan Dunn | Jamie Edwards | 58.5kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Baby Hazel | 6 | D T O''Brien | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Miss Winslet | 12 | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Bardia''s Dream | 4 | Simon Zahra | 59.5kg |
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