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Victoria · Sunday 7 September 2025

Bairnsdale tips and results

Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Bairnsdale. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Good 3Rail Out 3m 800m - 400m, True RemainderOvercastBairnsdale track guide ›
Top pick won2/729%
Any tip won6/786%
Top pick placed5/771%
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R1

Albert & Co Catering Mdn Plate

13:40 local1600mMaiden$320,001,176,002,576,040,000,000,000,000
Winner9. Lots Of TimeSP $3.10
★ Top pickWon
9Lots Of Time

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.10 · Celine Gaudry

Progressive mare showing clear improvement from debut 6th to recent 5th placing. Limited experience is a concern but the upward trajectory and track position make her the top selection.

2nd pick7th
10One Way Ride

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.40 · Carleen Hefel

The lack of a win is concerning but the recent improvement is compelling.

3rd pick2nd
6Capital Grace

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.90 · Jacob Noonan

Well-bred Capitalist mare who gets the perfect barrier draw and weight relief. Second up from a spell often brings improvement, and her recent 6th was better than previous efforts. The inside barrier is crucial at Bairnsdale, but her winless record remains a significant concern.

Value pick4th
4Vivid Reasoning

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Paul Gatt

Honest galloper who ran a strong third last start and should improve second up.

  1. 1st9Lots Of TimeCeline Gaudry$3.10
  2. 2nd6Capital GraceJacob Noonan$3.90
  3. 3rd2MickidabeelKoby Jennings$21.00
  4. 4th4Vivid ReasoningPaul Gatt$10.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9Lots Of Time2Celine GaudryGavin Bedggood57.5kg$3.10
2nd6Capital Grace1Jacob NoonanE & D Browne57.5kg$3.90
3rd2Mickidabeel7Koby JenningsAaron Laing59.5kg$21.00
4th4Vivid Reasoning12Paul GattKelvin Southey59.5kg$10.00
5th12Siva Tau6Teodore NugentE & D Browne57kg$5.00
6th13Swift Vintage11Chris Diplock57.5kg$26.00
7th10One Way Ride3Carleen HefelRachael Cunningham57.5kg$4.40
8th3Sirgeeo10Adam Mc CabeShannon Roughan59.5kg$61.00
9th8Kaimana Gal9Jake DuffyCameron Templeton57.5kg$91.00
Scr1Kastun Star4Jason Warren59.5kg
Scr5Autumn Diamonds8Gavin Bedggood57.5kg
Scr7English Valentine13Bailey KinninmontLuke Oliver54.5kg
Scr11Shiny Love5Liam RiordanM Price & M Kent Jnr57.5kg
R2

Lakes Diesel Sales & Service Mdn Plate

14:15 local1200mMaiden$320,001,176,002,576,040,000,000,000,000
Winner11. Somebody Told MeSP $8.50
★ Top pick4th
9Cold Aza Beer

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.35 · Teodore Nugent

Cold Aza Beer brings the perfect combination of barrier draw and early speed for Bairnsdale's leader-biased track. The inside barrier and light weight provide significant advantages for a horse likely to race prominently.

2nd pick6th
7Castlefield Flyer

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.50

Castlefield Flyer showed excellent ability when second on debut at this distance and returns first-up with a strong record fresh. The mare handles good tracks well and carries a light weight. However, the wide barrier is a significant concern at this speed-biased track where inside draws dominate.

3rd pickScratched
10Highstrung

Our price $3.50 · Liam Riordan

The Busuttin & Young-trained gelding has strong second-up form and proven 1200m ability.

Value pick8th
8Ruby Harmony

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.50 · Craig Newitt

Ruby Harmony represents solid value as a second-up runner from the Gelagotis stable, known for having horses ready to improve. Her first-up fifth was solid, and the light weight helps.

  1. 1st11Somebody Told MeJacob Noonan$8.50
  2. 2nd13AmmoCeline Gaudry$19.00
  3. 3rd1AlesundAdam Mc Cabe$20.00
  4. 4th9Cold Aza BeerTeodore Nugent$2.35
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st11Somebody Told Me9Jacob NoonanJ P Salanitri57kg$8.50
2nd13Ammo10Celine GaudryM Price & M Kent Jnr57kg$19.00
3rd1Alesund2Adam Mc CabeMs R Kelly59.5kg$20.00
4th9Cold Aza Beer3Teodore NugentE & D Browne57kg$2.35
5th16Pursuant8M M Laurie57kg$9.00
6th7Castlefield Flyer12Alexander Rae57.5kg$8.50
7th12Itsagiven14Carleen HefelDavid & Coral Feek55kg$7.50
8th8Ruby Harmony11Craig NewittPeter Gelagotis57.5kg$8.50
9th2Enuff Bricks6Koby JenningsT Kilgower59.5kg$81.00
10th14Amberina13Sally WynneSusie Wells57.5kg$81.00
11th3Inexessive7Jake DuffyPaul & Tracey Templeton59.5kg$15.00
12th4Mahina Bay1UnknownT Kilgower58kg$151.00
Scr5Tensile4Caitlin HollowoodN G Eades57.5kg
Scr6Banned Witness16E Jusufovic57.5kg
Scr10Highstrung15Liam RiordanT Busuttin & N Young57kg
Scr15Handsome Missile5Jacob NoonanReece Goodwin57kg
R3

Tambo Waste Mdn Plate

14:50 local1000mMaiden$320,001,176,002,576,040,000,000,000,000
Winner8. Affirmative SmileSP $3.70
★ Top pick2nd
11Path To Profit

Our price $2.80 · SP $2.30 · Teodore Nugent

The Maher stable has an excellent record with first-starters, and the barrier 1 draw is gold at Bairnsdale where the 300m straight heavily favours leaders. The tongue tie addition suggests the stable has the horse ready to fire fresh.

2nd pick6th
6Toroness

Our price $4.20 · SP $8.00 · Jacob Noonan

Toroness drops significantly in class after competing at Listed and Open level. Second up from spell with barrier 2 suits Bairnsdale's leader bias perfectly. The class drop should see her competitive despite winless record.

3rd pickWon
8Affirmative Smile

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.70 · Celine Gaudry

Affirmative Smile brings consistency from the powerful Hayes stable. Her form shows steady improvement and the stable excels in country racing. Second up from spell should see further improvement, though barrier 10 is a concern at this tight track. Needs to find extra to break maiden status.

Value pick3rd
10Melrose

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Liam Riordan

However, barrier 13 is a major concern at Bairnsdale's tight circuit. Second up from spell should bring improvement from this quality filly.

  1. 1st8Affirmative SmileCeline Gaudry$3.70
  2. 2nd11Path To ProfitTeodore Nugent$2.30
  3. 3rd10MelroseLiam Riordan$7.50
  4. 4th13Last PieceSamantha Noble$101.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st8Affirmative Smile10Celine GaudryBen, Will & Jd Hayes55.5kg$3.70
2nd11Path To Profit1Teodore NugentC Maher55.5kg$2.30
3rd10Melrose13Liam RiordanR D Griffiths55.5kg$7.50
4th13Last Piece6Samantha NobleS G Noble58kg$101.00
5th4Reelness4Craig NewittPaul Worthington58kg$10.00
6th6Toroness2Jacob NoonanM W Walker58kg$8.00
7th1Assertive Sway11Adam Mc CabeMs R Kelly58kg$61.00
8th5Samand5Caitlin HollowoodPatrick Keane56kg$41.00
9th9Anyways3Paul GattJason Warren55.5kg$11.00
Scr2Flower Gallery12UnknownT Kilgower56.5kg
Scr3Olivia Rose7P G Moody & Katherine Coleman58kg
Scr7Unapproachable9E Jusufovic58kg
Scr12Siyoof8A & S Freedman55.5kg
R4

bet365 New Racing App Hcp (56)

15:25 local1000mRestricted 56$22,000,112,100,237,404,000,000,000,000
Winner3. KaygeebeeSP $2.30
★ Top pick4th
2Flip The Switch

Our price $2.80 · SP $5.00 · Melea Castle

Flip The Switch stands out with an exceptional Bairnsdale record of 2 wins from 4 starts, including strong 1000m form. Despite the wide barrier, her backmarker style suits the tight track layout. Recent consistent form with placings and the weight relief make her the standout selection in this restricted grade.

2nd pickWon
3Kaygeebee

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.30 · Teodore Nugent

Kaygeebee benefits from an ideal barrier 4 draw and second-up positioning. The previous placing at Bairnsdale over 1000m is encouraging, and synthetic form suggests adaptability. However, the poor good track record of 0 wins from 14 starts is concerning for today's Good 4 conditions.

3rd pick8th
7Duchess Of Argyll

Our price $7.50 · SP $13.00 · Liam Riordan

Duchess Of Argyll brings a perfect Bairnsdale record and strong 1000m form to this contest. However, the wide barrier and 26-day gap between runs present challenges on this tight track layout.

Value pick3rd
5Shanghai Venture

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.80 · Celine Gaudry

Shanghai Venture represents value after a recent Wangaratta win that suggests a return to form. The good barrier draw and previous Bairnsdale placing provide hope, though the poor 1000m record is concerning.

  1. 1st3KaygeebeeTeodore Nugent$2.30
  2. 2nd6She Is All MagicAdam Mc Cabe$8.50
  3. 3rd5Shanghai VentureCeline Gaudry$3.80
  4. 4th2Flip The SwitchMelea Castle$5.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Kaygeebee4Teodore NugentAaron Laing60kg$2.30
2nd6She Is All Magic3Adam Mc CabeNathan McPherson59kg$8.50
3rd5Shanghai Venture6Celine GaudryBrian McGrath59kg$3.80
4th2Flip The Switch9Melea CastleBrooke Verwey-Mitchell60kg$5.00
5th8Laminar5UnknownT Kilgower56.5kg$61.00
6th4Ugly Nicos10Koby JenningsMs A Bence60kg$31.00
7th9Ling Ling2Sally WynneMs S L Wynne57kg$15.00
8th7Duchess Of Argyll8Liam RiordanR D Griffiths58kg$13.00
Scr1Eloheh1Craig NewittCarly Cook60kg
Scr10College Dropout7Samantha NobleS G Noble56kg
R5

Salon Classique Hcp (56)

16:08 local1200mRestricted 56$22,000,112,100,237,404,000,000,000,000
Winner5. SooboomaSP $11.00
★ Top pick2nd
8Farisha

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.20 · Hannah Edgley

Farisha gets the crucial barrier 1 draw at tight Bairnsdale where inside barriers dominate in sprints. With soft track form of 1 win from 2 starts and light weight, she's well-placed to lead or sit handy and prove hard to run down.

2nd pick3rd
2Ze Bee Nine

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Adam Mc Cabe

Ze Bee Nine ran an excellent second at this track last start, showing he handles Bairnsdale well. The barrier 4 draw allows him to settle handy, which is crucial at this tight track. His consistent recent form and track familiarity give him strong claims, though the class rise and poor overall win rate are concerns.

3rd pickWon
5Soobooma

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Jacob Noonan

The slight class drop helps, but barrier 14 is a major disadvantage at tight Bairnsdale where backmarkers struggle. His finishing style doesn't suit the track characteristics.

Value pick5th
12Yongtai

Our price $12.00 · SP $7.50 · Tatum Bull

Her first-up record shows 1 win from 4 starts with 2 seconds, indicating she can perform fresh. Long spell is a concern but the value is significant.

  1. 1st5SooboomaJacob Noonan$11.00
  2. 2nd8FarishaHannah Edgley$3.20
  3. 3rd2Ze Bee NineAdam Mc Cabe$6.00
  4. 4th11Our MalyshkaCarleen Hefel$14.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Soobooma14Jacob NoonanR J Besanko59kg$11.00
2nd8Farisha1Hannah EdgleyReece Goodwin57.5kg$3.20
3rd2Ze Bee Nine4Adam Mc CabeMs C Martindale60kg$6.00
4th11Our Malyshka11Carleen HefelMs S Trolove56.5kg$14.00
5th6Mont Saint Michel16Craig NewittPaul & Tracey Templeton58.5kg$6.50
5th12Yongtai2Tatum BullVincent Hall56kg$7.50
7th3Danerich Dan9Celine GaudryR J Besanko59kg$9.50
8th7Street Swagger12UnknownT Kilgower56.5kg$17.00
9th10Holler Thy Name3Nadia DanielsTaylah Hill53.5kg$21.00
10th4I''m Dynamite6Koby JenningsSusie Wells59kg$14.00
11th9Gijima Gal15Samantha NobleS G Noble56.5kg$51.00
12th1Snappy Magnus7Jake DuffyT Kilgower60kg$91.00
Scr13The Great Bratski5Teodore NugentChristine Sexton56kg
Scr14Miss Thatcher10Jade Da RoseDani Walker54.5kg
Scr15Box Vale13Lauren BurkeKerry Farrugia53kg
Scr16Tussock8Jake DuffyMs R Kelly55kg
R6

Solahart Bairnsdale & Lakes Entrance Hcp (56)

16:40 local2200mRestricted 56$22,000,112,100,237,404,000,000,000,000
Winner2. MarlinSP $14.00
★ Top pick3rd
9Tavistock Dancer

Our price $3.50 · SP $5.00 · Liam Riordan

The 10-year-old has been racing regularly and appears well-suited to the staying nature of this race despite his modest overall record.

2nd pickWon
2Marlin

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.00 · Teodore Nugent

Marlin's perfect 2200m record and recent maiden breakthrough make him a strong contender despite the class rise. His inside barrier provides tactical advantage at this tight track, and the distance appears ideal. The significant step up in class is concerning, but his recent form suggests he's improving.

3rd pick2nd
6Women In Uniform

Our price $7.50 · SP $6.50 · Nadia Daniels

Her 31% place rate and suitable weight make her a strong each-way proposition.

Value pick8th
7Written By You

Our price $12.00 · SP $12.00 · Unknown

His gear change and good barrier draw provide tactical advantages.

  1. 1st2MarlinTeodore Nugent$14.00
  2. 2nd6Women In UniformNadia Daniels$6.50
  3. 3rd9Tavistock DancerLiam Riordan$5.00
  4. 4th3Cudmore StreetKoby Jennings$14.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Marlin1Teodore NugentPaul Worthington60kg$14.00
2nd6Women In Uniform6Nadia DanielsBill Papazaharoudakis55kg$6.50
3rd9Tavistock Dancer7Liam RiordanM & L Cerchi56kg$5.00
4th3Cudmore Street5Koby JenningsMs A Bence59.5kg$14.00
5th8Mornington Mask2Caitlin HollowoodD Binaisse54.5kg$20.00
6th1Anthurium9Celine GaudryM C Kent60kg$1.95
7th5Miss Darkside4Jake DuffyT Kilgower58kg$81.00
8th7Written By You3UnknownD M Noonan55.5kg$12.00
9th10Rule Of Salex10Melea CastleMichael Harrison54kg$18.00
Scr4Dionisio8Simone Manne58kg
Scr11Tomboulder11Craig NewittCarly Cook54kg
R7

O''Donnell''s Transport Lakes Entrance Cup Hcp (56)

17:12 local1600mRestricted 56$22,000,112,100,237,404,000,000,000,000
Winner7. Aria ElectraSP $3.30
★ Top pickWon
7Aria Electra

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.30 · Craig Newitt

Her good track record of 4 wins from 22 starts provides confidence, while the inside draw at this leader-favoring circuit is crucial.

2nd pick4th
12Satin Image

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.90 · Celine Gaudry

Satin Image earns second selection based on recent track form with a runner-up finish at Bairnsdale last start. Her 1600m record shows competitiveness at the distance, and the favorable barrier draw allows tactical positioning. The tail chain addition first time could provide the edge needed, though her overall strike rate remains a concern.

3rd pickScratched
10Stella Cantante

Our price $6.00 · Liam Riordan

Her recent maiden breakthrough demonstrates current form, while her 1600m record is solid.

Value pickScratched
3Tight Grip

Our price $5.50 · Caitlin Hollowood

  1. 1st7Aria ElectraCraig Newitt$3.30
  2. 2nd11Little Richie TurfMelea Castle$31.00
  3. 3rd8Master PolanskiCarleen Hefel$9.50
  4. 4th12Satin ImageCeline Gaudry$2.90
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Aria Electra2Craig NewittPeter Gelagotis58kg$3.30
2nd11Little Richie Turf9Melea CastleMs D Clover56.5kg$31.00
3rd8Master Polanski3Carleen HefelDavid & Coral Feek58kg$9.50
4th12Satin Image5Celine GaudryMs H Stephens56.5kg$2.90
5th4Heff7Koby JenningsMs S Trolove59kg$14.00
6th1Rhett4Jacob NoonanAaron Laing60kg$11.00
7th6Ripplebrook14Paul GattMs S Trolove58.5kg$19.00
8th5Electrozino12UnknownAndrea Leek57kg$8.00
9th13Shout Out Girl10Sally WynneMs S L Wynne54kg$61.00
10th9The Satisfyer8Hannah EdgleyRenee Pola58kg$19.00
11th14Aureus Miss6Carleen HefelMs D Clover54kg$26.00
Scr2Aseventy Seven1E & D Browne59.5kg
Scr3Tight Grip11Caitlin HollowoodN G Eades57.5kg
Scr10Stella Cantante13Liam RiordanN J Harnett57.5kg

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