Progressive mare showing clear improvement from debut 6th to recent 5th placing. Limited experience is a concern but the upward trajectory and track position make her the top selection.
Victoria · Sunday 7 September 2025
Bairnsdale tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Bairnsdale. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Albert & Co Catering Mdn Plate
The lack of a win is concerning but the recent improvement is compelling.
Well-bred Capitalist mare who gets the perfect barrier draw and weight relief. Second up from a spell often brings improvement, and her recent 6th was better than previous efforts. The inside barrier is crucial at Bairnsdale, but her winless record remains a significant concern.
Honest galloper who ran a strong third last start and should improve second up.
- 1st9Lots Of TimeCeline Gaudry$3.10
- 2nd6Capital GraceJacob Noonan$3.90
- 3rd2MickidabeelKoby Jennings$21.00
- 4th4Vivid ReasoningPaul Gatt$10.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Lots Of Time | 2 | Celine Gaudry | Gavin Bedggood | 57.5kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 6 | Capital Grace | 1 | Jacob Noonan | E & D Browne | 57.5kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 2 | Mickidabeel | 7 | Koby Jennings | Aaron Laing | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Vivid Reasoning | 12 | Paul Gatt | Kelvin Southey | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Siva Tau | 6 | Teodore Nugent | E & D Browne | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 13 | Swift Vintage | 11 | Chris Diplock | 57.5kg | $26.00 | |
| 7th | 10 | One Way Ride | 3 | Carleen Hefel | Rachael Cunningham | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 3 | Sirgeeo | 10 | Adam Mc Cabe | Shannon Roughan | 59.5kg | $61.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Kaimana Gal | 9 | Jake Duffy | Cameron Templeton | 57.5kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Kastun Star | 4 | Jason Warren | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Autumn Diamonds | 8 | Gavin Bedggood | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | English Valentine | 13 | Bailey Kinninmont | Luke Oliver | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Shiny Love | 5 | Liam Riordan | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57.5kg |
Lakes Diesel Sales & Service Mdn Plate
Cold Aza Beer brings the perfect combination of barrier draw and early speed for Bairnsdale's leader-biased track. The inside barrier and light weight provide significant advantages for a horse likely to race prominently.
Castlefield Flyer showed excellent ability when second on debut at this distance and returns first-up with a strong record fresh. The mare handles good tracks well and carries a light weight. However, the wide barrier is a significant concern at this speed-biased track where inside draws dominate.
The Busuttin & Young-trained gelding has strong second-up form and proven 1200m ability.
Ruby Harmony represents solid value as a second-up runner from the Gelagotis stable, known for having horses ready to improve. Her first-up fifth was solid, and the light weight helps.
- 1st11Somebody Told MeJacob Noonan$8.50
- 2nd13AmmoCeline Gaudry$19.00
- 3rd1AlesundAdam Mc Cabe$20.00
- 4th9Cold Aza BeerTeodore Nugent$2.35
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Somebody Told Me | 9 | Jacob Noonan | J P Salanitri | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 2nd | 13 | Ammo | 10 | Celine Gaudry | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Alesund | 2 | Adam Mc Cabe | Ms R Kelly | 59.5kg | $20.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Cold Aza Beer | 3 | Teodore Nugent | E & D Browne | 57kg | $2.35 |
| 5th | 16 | Pursuant | 8 | M M Laurie | 57kg | $9.00 | |
| 6th | 7 | Castlefield Flyer | 12 | Alexander Rae | 57.5kg | $8.50 | |
| 7th | 12 | Itsagiven | 14 | Carleen Hefel | David & Coral Feek | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Ruby Harmony | 11 | Craig Newitt | Peter Gelagotis | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 2 | Enuff Bricks | 6 | Koby Jennings | T Kilgower | 59.5kg | $81.00 |
| 10th | 14 | Amberina | 13 | Sally Wynne | Susie Wells | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Inexessive | 7 | Jake Duffy | Paul & Tracey Templeton | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 12th | 4 | Mahina Bay | 1 | Unknown | T Kilgower | 58kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Tensile | 4 | Caitlin Hollowood | N G Eades | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Banned Witness | 16 | E Jusufovic | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Highstrung | 15 | Liam Riordan | T Busuttin & N Young | 57kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Handsome Missile | 5 | Jacob Noonan | Reece Goodwin | 57kg |
Tambo Waste Mdn Plate
The Maher stable has an excellent record with first-starters, and the barrier 1 draw is gold at Bairnsdale where the 300m straight heavily favours leaders. The tongue tie addition suggests the stable has the horse ready to fire fresh.
Toroness drops significantly in class after competing at Listed and Open level. Second up from spell with barrier 2 suits Bairnsdale's leader bias perfectly. The class drop should see her competitive despite winless record.
Affirmative Smile brings consistency from the powerful Hayes stable. Her form shows steady improvement and the stable excels in country racing. Second up from spell should see further improvement, though barrier 10 is a concern at this tight track. Needs to find extra to break maiden status.
However, barrier 13 is a major concern at Bairnsdale's tight circuit. Second up from spell should bring improvement from this quality filly.
- 1st8Affirmative SmileCeline Gaudry$3.70
- 2nd11Path To ProfitTeodore Nugent$2.30
- 3rd10MelroseLiam Riordan$7.50
- 4th13Last PieceSamantha Noble$101.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Affirmative Smile | 10 | Celine Gaudry | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 55.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 11 | Path To Profit | 1 | Teodore Nugent | C Maher | 55.5kg | $2.30 |
| 3rd | 10 | Melrose | 13 | Liam Riordan | R D Griffiths | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 13 | Last Piece | 6 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Reelness | 4 | Craig Newitt | Paul Worthington | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Toroness | 2 | Jacob Noonan | M W Walker | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Assertive Sway | 11 | Adam Mc Cabe | Ms R Kelly | 58kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Samand | 5 | Caitlin Hollowood | Patrick Keane | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Anyways | 3 | Paul Gatt | Jason Warren | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Flower Gallery | 12 | Unknown | T Kilgower | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Olivia Rose | 7 | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Unapproachable | 9 | E Jusufovic | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Siyoof | 8 | A & S Freedman | 55.5kg |
bet365 New Racing App Hcp (56)
Flip The Switch stands out with an exceptional Bairnsdale record of 2 wins from 4 starts, including strong 1000m form. Despite the wide barrier, her backmarker style suits the tight track layout. Recent consistent form with placings and the weight relief make her the standout selection in this restricted grade.
Kaygeebee benefits from an ideal barrier 4 draw and second-up positioning. The previous placing at Bairnsdale over 1000m is encouraging, and synthetic form suggests adaptability. However, the poor good track record of 0 wins from 14 starts is concerning for today's Good 4 conditions.
Duchess Of Argyll brings a perfect Bairnsdale record and strong 1000m form to this contest. However, the wide barrier and 26-day gap between runs present challenges on this tight track layout.
Shanghai Venture represents value after a recent Wangaratta win that suggests a return to form. The good barrier draw and previous Bairnsdale placing provide hope, though the poor 1000m record is concerning.
- 1st3KaygeebeeTeodore Nugent$2.30
- 2nd6She Is All MagicAdam Mc Cabe$8.50
- 3rd5Shanghai VentureCeline Gaudry$3.80
- 4th2Flip The SwitchMelea Castle$5.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Kaygeebee | 4 | Teodore Nugent | Aaron Laing | 60kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 6 | She Is All Magic | 3 | Adam Mc Cabe | Nathan McPherson | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Shanghai Venture | 6 | Celine Gaudry | Brian McGrath | 59kg | $3.80 |
| 4th | 2 | Flip The Switch | 9 | Melea Castle | Brooke Verwey-Mitchell | 60kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Laminar | 5 | Unknown | T Kilgower | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Ugly Nicos | 10 | Koby Jennings | Ms A Bence | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Ling Ling | 2 | Sally Wynne | Ms S L Wynne | 57kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Duchess Of Argyll | 8 | Liam Riordan | R D Griffiths | 58kg | $13.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Eloheh | 1 | Craig Newitt | Carly Cook | 60kg | |
| Scr | 10 | College Dropout | 7 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 56kg |
Salon Classique Hcp (56)
Farisha gets the crucial barrier 1 draw at tight Bairnsdale where inside barriers dominate in sprints. With soft track form of 1 win from 2 starts and light weight, she's well-placed to lead or sit handy and prove hard to run down.
Ze Bee Nine ran an excellent second at this track last start, showing he handles Bairnsdale well. The barrier 4 draw allows him to settle handy, which is crucial at this tight track. His consistent recent form and track familiarity give him strong claims, though the class rise and poor overall win rate are concerns.
The slight class drop helps, but barrier 14 is a major disadvantage at tight Bairnsdale where backmarkers struggle. His finishing style doesn't suit the track characteristics.
Her first-up record shows 1 win from 4 starts with 2 seconds, indicating she can perform fresh. Long spell is a concern but the value is significant.
- 1st5SooboomaJacob Noonan$11.00
- 2nd8FarishaHannah Edgley$3.20
- 3rd2Ze Bee NineAdam Mc Cabe$6.00
- 4th11Our MalyshkaCarleen Hefel$14.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Soobooma | 14 | Jacob Noonan | R J Besanko | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Farisha | 1 | Hannah Edgley | Reece Goodwin | 57.5kg | $3.20 |
| 3rd | 2 | Ze Bee Nine | 4 | Adam Mc Cabe | Ms C Martindale | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Our Malyshka | 11 | Carleen Hefel | Ms S Trolove | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Mont Saint Michel | 16 | Craig Newitt | Paul & Tracey Templeton | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 12 | Yongtai | 2 | Tatum Bull | Vincent Hall | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Danerich Dan | 9 | Celine Gaudry | R J Besanko | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Street Swagger | 12 | Unknown | T Kilgower | 56.5kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Holler Thy Name | 3 | Nadia Daniels | Taylah Hill | 53.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 4 | I''m Dynamite | 6 | Koby Jennings | Susie Wells | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Gijima Gal | 15 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 12th | 1 | Snappy Magnus | 7 | Jake Duffy | T Kilgower | 60kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 13 | The Great Bratski | 5 | Teodore Nugent | Christine Sexton | 56kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Miss Thatcher | 10 | Jade Da Rose | Dani Walker | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Box Vale | 13 | Lauren Burke | Kerry Farrugia | 53kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Tussock | 8 | Jake Duffy | Ms R Kelly | 55kg |
Solahart Bairnsdale & Lakes Entrance Hcp (56)
The 10-year-old has been racing regularly and appears well-suited to the staying nature of this race despite his modest overall record.
Marlin's perfect 2200m record and recent maiden breakthrough make him a strong contender despite the class rise. His inside barrier provides tactical advantage at this tight track, and the distance appears ideal. The significant step up in class is concerning, but his recent form suggests he's improving.
Her 31% place rate and suitable weight make her a strong each-way proposition.
His gear change and good barrier draw provide tactical advantages.
- 1st2MarlinTeodore Nugent$14.00
- 2nd6Women In UniformNadia Daniels$6.50
- 3rd9Tavistock DancerLiam Riordan$5.00
- 4th3Cudmore StreetKoby Jennings$14.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Marlin | 1 | Teodore Nugent | Paul Worthington | 60kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Women In Uniform | 6 | Nadia Daniels | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 55kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 9 | Tavistock Dancer | 7 | Liam Riordan | M & L Cerchi | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Cudmore Street | 5 | Koby Jennings | Ms A Bence | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Mornington Mask | 2 | Caitlin Hollowood | D Binaisse | 54.5kg | $20.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Anthurium | 9 | Celine Gaudry | M C Kent | 60kg | $1.95 |
| 7th | 5 | Miss Darkside | 4 | Jake Duffy | T Kilgower | 58kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Written By You | 3 | Unknown | D M Noonan | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Rule Of Salex | 10 | Melea Castle | Michael Harrison | 54kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Dionisio | 8 | Simone Manne | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Tomboulder | 11 | Craig Newitt | Carly Cook | 54kg |
O''Donnell''s Transport Lakes Entrance Cup Hcp (56)
Her good track record of 4 wins from 22 starts provides confidence, while the inside draw at this leader-favoring circuit is crucial.
Satin Image earns second selection based on recent track form with a runner-up finish at Bairnsdale last start. Her 1600m record shows competitiveness at the distance, and the favorable barrier draw allows tactical positioning. The tail chain addition first time could provide the edge needed, though her overall strike rate remains a concern.
Her recent maiden breakthrough demonstrates current form, while her 1600m record is solid.
- 1st7Aria ElectraCraig Newitt$3.30
- 2nd11Little Richie TurfMelea Castle$31.00
- 3rd8Master PolanskiCarleen Hefel$9.50
- 4th12Satin ImageCeline Gaudry$2.90
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Aria Electra | 2 | Craig Newitt | Peter Gelagotis | 58kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 11 | Little Richie Turf | 9 | Melea Castle | Ms D Clover | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Master Polanski | 3 | Carleen Hefel | David & Coral Feek | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 12 | Satin Image | 5 | Celine Gaudry | Ms H Stephens | 56.5kg | $2.90 |
| 5th | 4 | Heff | 7 | Koby Jennings | Ms S Trolove | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Rhett | 4 | Jacob Noonan | Aaron Laing | 60kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Ripplebrook | 14 | Paul Gatt | Ms S Trolove | 58.5kg | $19.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Electrozino | 12 | Unknown | Andrea Leek | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Shout Out Girl | 10 | Sally Wynne | Ms S L Wynne | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 9 | The Satisfyer | 8 | Hannah Edgley | Renee Pola | 58kg | $19.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Aureus Miss | 6 | Carleen Hefel | Ms D Clover | 54kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Aseventy Seven | 1 | E & D Browne | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Tight Grip | 11 | Caitlin Hollowood | N G Eades | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Stella Cantante | 13 | Liam Riordan | N J Harnett | 57.5kg |
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