Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Monday 15 September 2025
Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Muswellbrook. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
The booking of Regan Bayliss is a positive, and the fresh legs after a long break could be advantageous. However, the wide barrier and lack of soft track form are concerns. Still, the overall class edge makes Mic Drop the top selection.
Shenandoah River showed promise with a strong second place finish last start at this track and distance. The light weight is a significant advantage, and Mitchell Bell's retention in the saddle is positive. The wide barrier and long break between runs are concerns, but the overall form and conditions suit.
Her soft track form is a plus given today's conditions.
Avonlee showed significant improvement with a strong second place finish last start. The inside draw is favorable, and the 15-day turnaround is ideal. While unproven on soft tracks and yet to win, the recent form suggests further improvement is likely.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Mic Drop | 11 | Regan Bayliss | T S Howlett | 57kg | $2.35 |
| 2nd | 14 | Shenandoah River | 12 | Mitchell Bell | B F Cavanough | 55kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 3 | Sir Herridah | 10 | Christian Reith | S I Singleton | 59kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Tuncurry | 6 | Shae Wilkes | W T Wilkes | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Little Bubbles | 7 | Andrew Gibbons | W T Wilkes | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Flying Molly | 3 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | M A Milton | 57kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Think Pi | 13 | Siena Grima | Troy O''Neile | 59kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Avonlee | 4 | Billy Cray | Nikki Pollock | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Leica Queen | 8 | Grant Buckley | P H Bloomfield | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Hot Fantasy | 9 | Anna Roper | Justin Bowen | 55kg | $71.00 |
| 11th | 2 | Jusick | 1 | Aaron Bullock | Justin Bowen | 59kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Hot Chestnut | 2 | Shannen Llewellyn | Justin Bowen | 59kg | |
| Scr | 10 | No Pockets | 5 | Daniel A Northey | L K Roberts | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Varazze | 14 | Joseph Burges | 57kg |
Pinot Nero presents as the top selection with strong recent form, including a 3rd place finish last start. The gelding is dropping significantly in class and has shown ability on soft tracks. Well drawn in barrier 5, which should allow for a positive position in running. The main concern is the lack of a win to date, but the class drop could be the key to breaking through.
Big Mix showed promise on debut and gets significant advantages here with a light weight and good barrier draw. The Archibald/Day combination is strong, and the filly should improve second-up. The main question mark is her ability on soft ground, but her light weight should help in this regard.
Xerxes has been knocking on the door with consistent placings and should appreciate the soft track. Mitchell Bell is a strong jockey booking and the gelding has a fitness edge over some rivals. The wide barrier and high weight are concerns, but his proven ability in similar conditions makes him a solid contender.
The mare is dropping significantly in class and has a strong record on rain-affected tracks. Her recent form is improving and the booking of experienced jockey Madeline Owen is a positive. The wide barrier is a concern, but her wet track ability could offset this disadvantage.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Pinot Nero | 5 | Grant Buckley | John W Ramsey | 56.5kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 4 | Xerxes | 8 | Mitchell Bell | B F Cavanough | 59kg | $3.10 |
| 3rd | 3 | Ropewalker | 4 | Siena Grima | Troy O''Neile | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 14 | Big Mix | 3 | Ms L Day | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 15 | Alchemena | 14 | John Bannister | 57kg | $41.00 | |
| 6th | 2 | Purple Prince | 7 | Luke Rolls | J A Sylvester | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Torquin | 11 | Adrian Layt | G A O''Brien | 57kg | $71.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Encampment | 16 | O A Dalton | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54.5kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Fighting Daughter | 13 | Madeline Owen | Lyndall Olson | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Irish Accolade | 2 | Serg Lisnyy | L J Fairhall | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Airwalker | 15 | Winona Costin | T S Howlett | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 12th | 7 | Diablo Dancer | 6 | Anna Roper | S J Gleeson | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 13th | 13 | Power Cruise | 10 | Andrew Gibbons | K A Lees | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 14th | 5 | Zainstar | 1 | Aaron Bullock | T S Howlett | 59kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Luna Cruiser | 9 | Jay Hopkins | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Dragon Girl | 12 | Regan Bayliss | C Maher | 57kg |
The mare is well-weighted and should handle the soft track conditions. While facing a slight class rise, her overall profile suggests she's well-positioned to win this race.
Green Run is a solid second choice, benefiting from a class drop and consistent recent form. The soft track shouldn't be an issue based on past performances.
The gelding has proven ability on soft tracks and carries a suitable weight. While rising in class presents a challenge, recent performances suggest potential for a strong showing in this race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Sweet Bubbles | 9 | Aaron Bullock | G McFarlane | 59.5kg | $1.85 |
| 2nd | 3 | Green Run | 1 | Katherine Bell | Dar Lunn | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Dash By | 10 | Leeshelle Small | S I Singleton | 54.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Down The Kooka | 8 | Jeff Penza | T S Howlett | 57.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Lily Darling | 3 | Grant Buckley | P H Bloomfield | 56kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Swexan | 4 | Andrew Gibbons | C Maher | 60kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 4 | Just On Fire | 2 | Jean Van Overmeire | Connie Greig | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Nature Boy | 11 | Ms L Selby | 67kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Coastal Groove | 6 | Connie Greig | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Counterpart | 7 | Mitchell Bell | Jonathan Smith | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Kaval | 5 | Mark Cross | 55kg |
Chamber Of Secrets looks well-placed to make a winning debut. The gear changes suggest readiness, and the breeding suggests aptitude for the conditions. Likely to get a good run from barrier 7 and carries a nice light weight.
Varuni showed promise last start and looks set to improve. The wide barrier is a concern, but her consistency and likely improvement second-up make her a strong contender. The main query is her ability on soft tracks, but her good track form suggests she should handle it.
Speed Of Gold has been knocking on the door with consistent form. The soft track should suit, and he's drawn to get a good run. The top weight is a concern, but his consistency and ability to handle the conditions make him a strong place chance with win potential if things go his way.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Anarchist | 3 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57.5kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 18 | Gold Capital | 2 | B F Cavanough | 57kg | $21.00 | |
| 3rd | 13 | Varuni | 15 | Donovan Dillon | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 16 | Kuwait | 6 | Winona Costin | Daniel Robinson | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Chamber Of Secrets | 7 | Jenny Duggan | Lyle Chandler | 56kg | $3.10 |
| 6th | 17 | Mr Chips | 17 | Troy O''Neile | 57kg | $51.00 | |
| 7th | 8 | Maremoto | 12 | Ms L Day | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Wild Legacy | 9 | Adrian Layt | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Speed Of Gold | 4 | Mitchell Bell | B F Cavanough | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 11 | On Any Tuesday | 13 | Andrew Gibbons | K A Lees | 56kg | $71.00 |
| 11th | 15 | Dixie Edition | 5 | Ms M Weir | A M Martyn | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 12th | 1 | Moonlight Odyssey | 18 | Shae Wilkes | W T Wilkes | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Koritsi | 16 | Ms K Gavenlock | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Merciful Man | 10 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Backhander | 8 | O A Dalton | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Miss Chamonix | 1 | K A Lees | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Ole Miss | 11 | Jean Van Overmeire | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Oui Flourish | 19 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Rodeo Dealer | 20 | Nikki Hodgson | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | The Final Say | 14 | S J Hodge | 56kg |
With a soft track win and early speed, he's well-positioned to overcome the wide barrier. The class rise is a concern, but his overall profile suggests he's ready for the challenge.
Third Base comes off a strong win and has an excellent record at this track and distance. While carrying top weight, he's proven he can handle it.
Sweet Patriot has been knocking on the door with consistent placings. The inside barrier is a significant advantage on this track, and her soft track record is encouraging.
Brea Ex comes into this race off a maiden win and could have plenty of improvement to come. The soft track should suit based on her pedigree, and she's drawn a good barrier.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Bullion Hunter | 13 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 2nd | 13 | Nevermista | 2 | Jeff Penza | Simon Casey | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Shoutaboutit | 7 | Anna Roper | Ms K Buchanan | 57.5kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 5 | Lady Memphis | 12 | Molly Bourke | Matthew Smith | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Stiorra | 5 | O A Dalton | A D Smith | 53kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Love And Light | 3 | Andrew Gibbons | Ben Lees | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Third Base | 8 | Aaron Bullock | S J Gleeson | 60kg | $3.60 |
| 8th | 6 | Go Isla Go | 14 | Jake Hull | 57.5kg | $101.00 | |
| 9th | 14 | Dayu | 11 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Carlos Antonio | 55kg | $91.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Rebelious Red | 9 | Mitchell Bell | Jake Hull | 59kg | $17.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Sweet Patriot | 1 | Shae Wilkes | W T Wilkes | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 12th | 8 | Brea Ex | 10 | Donovan Dillon | Nikki Pollock | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 13th | 10 | Nerola | 4 | Billy Cray | Nikki Pollock | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 14th | 9 | Hoku | 15 | Daniel A Northey | L K Roberts | 56.5kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 15 | Reward''s Daughter | 6 | Luke Rolls | J A Sylvester | 55kg |
Salvato presents as the top selection with strong recent form, including a win and second place in heavy conditions. The gelding carries a light weight of 58kg and drops significantly in class. While the barrier draw is slightly unfavorable, the combination of proven wet track ability and a class edge make Salvato the horse to beat.
The gelding draws well and drops in class, which are significant positives. However, lack of heavy track experience and limited runs at this distance introduce some uncertainty. Overall, Arambys presents as a solid chance with room for improvement.
While facing a class rise and wide barrier, his ability to handle wet conditions and recent form progression make him a strong contender.
The gelding represents a solid each-way opportunity in this field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Salvato | 5 | Aaron Bullock | P Messara & L Gavranich | 58kg | $2.00 |
| 2nd | 14 | Lighthouse Lass | 11 | Jean Van Overmeire | John W Ramsey | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | City Gold Speed | 2 | Mitchell Bell | B F Cavanough | 60.5kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Wandjad | 16 | Shae Wilkes | W T Wilkes | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 5th | 19 | Arambys | 8 | Lou Mary | 58kg | $5.50 | |
| 6th | 8 | Wild Flash | 15 | O A Dalton | Patrick Cleave | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Mrs Bull | 3 | Ms M Weir | Connie Greig | 60.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Ode So Much | 1 | Daniel A Northey | Simon Casey | 59.5kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Akauwheo | 12 | Adrian Layt | G A O''Brien | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 17 | Fox Reign | 6 | Anna Roper | J A Sylvester | 59kg | $19.00 |
| 11th | 15 | Tough Case | 4 | J A Sylvester | 59.5kg | $101.00 | |
| 12th | 12 | Laisvas | 10 | Christian Reith | Connie Greig | 58kg | $71.00 |
| 13th | 16 | Sashabella | 13 | Siena Grima | Troy O''Neile | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 14th | 1 | Ensign Parker | 9 | Serg Lisnyy | L J Fairhall | 62kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Jason Darren | 17 | John Bannister | 61.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Toomuchinformation | 7 | Joseph Burges | 61.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Magic Shot | 14 | Leeshelle Small | Cody Morgan | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Smart Jazz | 18 | Luke Rolls | J A Sylvester | 60kg | |
| Scr | 18 | Prince Rupert | 20 | R J Agnew | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Dreymon | 19 | A D Smith | 57.5kg |
Singing Star presents as the top selection with consistent form, including 3 wins from her last 5 starts. Her soft track record is impressive, and she's well-weighted at 57kg. The advantageous barrier 6 draw further enhances her chances. While facing a class rise, her overall profile suggests she's ready for the challenge.
Manage The Cycle boasts an impressive track record and has demonstrated the ability to carry weight effectively. Recent winning form and proven class make him a strong contender. The wide barrier is a concern, but his overall profile suggests he can overcome this disadvantage.
Kantishna offers consistency with multiple recent placings and has shown ability on soft tracks. The inside barrier draw is advantageous, and the weight is favorable. While unproven at this track and with some distance concerns, her overall form suggests she's a strong place chance with win potential.
His form is improving, and he has shown ability on soft tracks.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Saratoga Power | 13 | Mitchell Bell | B F Cavanough | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 13 | Pelette | 3 | Jean Van Overmeire | Ms J Bowen | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Singing Star | 6 | O A Dalton | D Lane | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 15 | Withstand | 2 | Winona Costin | Ms J Bowen | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 14 | Sammiballerina | 7 | Grant Buckley | Tim McIntosh | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Manage The Cycle | 10 | Siena Grima | J R Gask | 61.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Island Legend | 9 | Andrew Gibbons | Nikki Hodgson | 60kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Kantishna | 1 | Christian Reith | S I Singleton | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Apic Run | 8 | Shae Wilkes | W T Wilkes | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Super Freds | 14 | Shannen Llewellyn | Jay Hopkins | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Dehero | 5 | Jenny Duggan | Carlos Antonio | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 12th | 8 | Cupid''s Kiss | 4 | Leeshelle Small | J A Sylvester | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 13th | 16 | Devoted Deputy | 16 | Luke Rolls | J A Sylvester | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 14th | 7 | Mr Bingo | 12 | Aaron Bullock | Angus Stewart | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Gogmagog | 11 | Ms K Gavenlock | 61.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Catchy Tunes | 15 | Anna Roper | G McFarlane | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Parmenio | 17 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Carlos Antonio | 55kg |
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