Mornington tips and results

Our price $2.20 · SP $2.45 · Luke Cartwright

Empire Of Pain profiles perfectly for this race as a progressive mare second-up from a spell with a strong record in that pattern (1 win from 2 second-up attempts). Drawn ideally in barrier 3 on this tight-turning track, she should settle on-pace which is crucial at Mornington with its short 210m straight. The step up to the mile looks suitable based on her racing pattern, and she gets weight relief from the topweight.

Our price $2.80 · SP $7.00 · Ben Melham

Ammo brings the strongest recent form into this race with a close 2nd last start at Bairnsdale over this distance.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Nadia Daniels

The significant weight advantage (52kg) and good barrier draw (5) are major positives at this track where inside barriers are favored. Coming off a significant class drop from Open company back to a Maiden. The 49-day freshen-up is a concern, but the Pat Carey & Harris Walker stable can have them ready after a break.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Lachlan Neindorf

Effusiv is likely to push forward and lead from barrier 7, which suits this leader-biased track with its short straight. While first-up from a spell, she has shown ability with a win from just three starts. The main query is the class rise, but her natural speed should see her competitive.

Our price $12.00 · SP $21.00 · Teodore Nugent

The 10-year-old veteran has a strong record at this distance (5-2-4 from 38 starts) and has placed at this track before. As a likely leader on this leader-biased circuit, he could prove hard to run down if he jumps well.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.00 · Billy Egan

While first-up from a spell, her fresh record is encouraging, and the addition of a cross-over nose band could sharpen her focus.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Craig Newitt

Experienced campaigner with a solid record at the distance (5-4-4 from 27 starts). Drawn perfectly in barrier 3 which is crucial at Mornington's tight track. Craig Newitt is a positive jockey booking who knows how to ride this track. While he's carrying topweight, he's proven capable at this level and should be right in the finish if he can use his tactical speed to settle forward.

Our price $4.80 · SP $9.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

The perfect barrier 1 draw at Mornington's tight, turning track is a massive advantage, especially as he's likely to lead or be right on the pace. While the 61kg is a concern, the class drop compensates and Daniel Stackhouse is a positive jockey booking.

Our price $2.50 · SP $2.40 · Jamie Mott

Kastun Star brings the strongest recent form, including a win at this track and distance. His tactical speed should allow him to settle midfield from barrier 7, ideal for Mornington's tight turning track. While facing a class rise, his consistency (3 placings from 6 starts) and proven ability at the course give him a clear edge. The 4-day backup is the main concern, but his recent performances suggest he's in peak condition.

Our price $6.00 · SP $12.00 · Lachlan Neindorf

While his overall record is inconsistent, he's well-drawn in barrier 3 which is crucial at Mornington's tight turning track. The 24-day freshen-up should have him ready for this assignment, and his tactical speed will allow him to settle in a forward position.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Ben Melham

The Map is dropping significantly in class from recent Group races and brings solid staying credentials. While she hasn't won at 2400m (0-0-0 from 3), her staying ability isn't in question. The class drop makes her a genuine contender despite recent form being below her best.

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.50 · Luke Cartwright

While untested at the 2400m trip, his racing pattern suggests the distance should suit, and his tactical speed is perfectly suited to Mornington's tight turning track. The 54kg weight is a significant advantage, and his consistent recent form (5-4-5) indicates he's ready to peak. The class rise is offset by his weight advantage.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.50 · Emily Pozman

Experienced mare who won two starts back at BM64 level before failing in stronger company last start. Drops back in class here and should get a good run from barrier 6. Age is a concern but her recent win suggests she still has something to offer.

Our price $4.50 · SP $9.50 · Lachlan Neindorf

Consistent gelding with three consecutive placings coming into this race. Gets an ideal barrier 3 draw which is crucial at Mornington's tight-turning track. Has a solid record at similar distances (5: 0-1-2) and should get a good run in transit from the inside gate.