Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Thursday 2 October 2025
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Newcastle. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The gear changes suggest the stable is addressing any issues, and trainer Bjorn Baker has a strong record with first-up runners. While the lack of track experience is a concern, Hayek's class edge and potential improvement make him the top pick.
Uncle Barry presents a strong case with his consistent recent form and proven race fitness. While he's yet to win, his consistency and recent performances suggest he's on the verge of a breakthrough. The slightly wider barrier is a minor concern, but his race experience could prove crucial.
Nami's Jewel offers intrigue as a first-up runner with a good record when fresh. The advantageous barrier draw and the addition of winkers for the first time suggest potential improvement. Her soft track record is a positive if conditions remain similar. While the long spell and lack of experience at this distance are concerns, her first-up prowess makes her a solid each-way prospect.
Barsandbi presents as an intriguing value proposition. The significant class drop from her last start in Open company to this Maiden grade is noteworthy.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Hayek | 6 | Regan Bayliss | Bjorn Baker | 56.5kg | $1.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Uncle Barry | 8 | Rachel King | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Barsandbi | 4 | Mollie Fitzgerald | G McFarlane | 53kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Miss Immy | 3 | Jessica Taylor | J C Coyle | 55kg | $91.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Kissavos | 7 | A Adkins | R J Quinton | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 9 | Tampa Bay | 9 | Anna Roper | P M Perry | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Nami''s Jewel | 2 | Chad Schofield | John Thompson | 55kg | $6.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Mariko | 1 | L Magorrian | M S Minervini | 59kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Salma''s Star | 5 | G McFarlane | 55kg |
Green Spring presents as the top selection with consistent form, including two seconds from three starts. The gelding draws well in barrier 4 and is likely to benefit from the expected fast tempo. Coming off a significant class drop and carrying a light weight, Green Spring looks well-positioned for a breakthrough win. While being first-up and unproven on good tracks adds some uncertainty, the overall form and race conditions favor this runner.
The mare has a good first-up record and has proven ability to carry weight. However, the wide barrier draw is a concern, especially given the likely fast tempo.
My Proclama brings consistent recent form with three placings from three starts. While stepping up in class and unproven at this track and distance, the experienced jockey and consistent form make her a solid place chance in this field.
Beechworth presents as an intriguing value selection, dropping significantly in class from his last start. Trained by the renowned Chris Waller, Beechworth's first-up record (1 second from 1 start) adds appeal.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Maid Of Moolah | 11 | Braith Nock | Peter Snowden | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | My Proclama | 7 | Jay Ford | Joseph Pride | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Augusta National | 10 | Zac Lloyd | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Green Spring | 4 | Chad Schofield | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | $2.80 |
| 5th | 14 | Sequel | 2 | Jason Collett | C J Waller | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 13 | Prize Witness | 5 | Dylan Gibbons | K A Lees | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 18 | Incantress | 6 | S J Hodge | 57kg | $201.00 | |
| 8th | 10 | Pontevedra | 1 | Ashley Morgan | P Messara & L Gavranich | 56.5kg | $3.30 |
| 9th | 8 | Hellfighter | 3 | Regan Bayliss | Nathan Doyle | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Cazador | 20 | K S Latham | Robert Quinn | 56.5kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Beechworth | 19 | L Magorrian | C J Waller | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | English Conqueror | 16 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Logan Downs | 13 | Tim Clark | K A Lees | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Flaxlands | 14 | Rachel King | C J Waller | 55kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Glastonbury Girl | 17 | Matthew Smith | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Saint Aldwyn | 8 | Tyler Schiller | C J Waller | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Coyote | 15 | Grant Buckley | Peter D Green | 59kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Pimlico | 12 | A Adkins | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 19 | Perfect Apple | 9 | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Yattazou | 18 | C J Waller | 55kg |
Likely to lead from barrier 6, providing a tactical advantage. The step up in distance is a question mark, but his running style suggests it should suit. With natural improvement expected second-up and a weight advantage, Columbus looks well-positioned to break through for a maiden win.
Lady Pankhurst brings strong form from higher grade races, including a 3rd in Listed company. While yet to win, her consistency and experience at the distance make her a strong contender. The top weight is a concern, but her class edge could overcome this disadvantage.
Ironheart has shown consistency in his two career starts, placing in both. Well-drawn in barrier 4, he should get a good run in transit. The step up to 1500m is a query, but his running style suggests it could suit. With natural improvement, he's a strong place chance but faces tougher competition from the top two selections.
Kuwait comes into this race with recent good form, including a 3rd place last start. While yet to win, he has experience over similar distances and carries a light weight.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Lady Pankhurst | 2 | Rachel King | J G Sargent | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 2 | Columbus | 6 | Tyler Schiller | L J Bridge | 57.5kg | $1.75 |
| 3rd | 4 | Ironheart | 4 | Chad Schofield | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 9 | Stand My Ground | 8 | L P Beuzelin | Marc Chevalier | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Burning Ambition | 10 | Winona Costin | James Ponsonby | 56kg | $201.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Lupa Capitolina | 5 | Jay Ford | Joseph Pride | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Dashing Double | 7 | K S Latham | T Wong | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Hell Island | 9 | Jason Collett | Richard & Will Freedman | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Think Back | 3 | Dylan Gibbons | Peter Snowden | 56kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Kuwait | 1 | Zac Lloyd | Daniel Robinson | 56kg |
Despite the wide barrier, the gelding's versatility and strong jockey booking should overcome this challenge. The slight class rise is offset by a competitive weight and proven ability at the track.
Champagne Hero presents as a strong contender second-up from a spell, with a good second-up record. The colt is lightly raced and drops in weight from his last start, suggesting room for improvement. While rising in class and unproven at the track, the weight relief and potential for progression make him a serious threat.
Koning brings consistent form into this race, having placed in recent starts. The gelding is dropping significantly in class, which should be advantageous. While drawn wide, Koning has shown adaptability in running style. The main concern is lack of experience at this specific track and distance combination.
While her recent form has been inconsistent, she is well-weighted for this class and has drawn well in barrier 2.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Champagne Hero | 10 | Regan Bayliss | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57.5kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 6 | Emilia Jane | 2 | Jay Ford | Joseph Pride | 55kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 2 | Doradus | 1 | A Adkins | John Thompson | 58.5kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Koning | 12 | K S Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Squeezebox | 11 | Alysha Collett | Ms K Waugh | 59kg | $3.40 |
| 6th | 8 | Backward Glance | 8 | Winona Costin | P M Perry | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Erina | 3 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Adam Duggan | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Bondi Prophet | 4 | Zac Wadick | R J Agnew | 53.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Nay Pee Cee | 6 | Jessica Taylor | G McFarlane | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Zartamay | 5 | Reece Jones | D Wagstaff | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Paji Briway | 9 | Molly Bourke | Wayne Seelin | 53.5kg | $151.00 |
| 12th | 7 | Shezatempest | 7 | Shannen Llewellyn | Jay Hopkins | 52kg | $26.00 |
Welcome Gypsy stands out as the top selection with strong recent form, including a win and placing in her last three starts. While facing a slight class rise, her overall form and conditions suggest she's well-positioned for success.
Stratafy comes into this race with a recent win at the track and distance, demonstrating her ability to perform under these conditions. While rising in class and drawn wide, her potential for improvement as a lightly raced mare makes her a worthy consideration for a place finish.
No Statement is a consistent performer with an impressive track and distance record. However, the top weight and wider barrier draw present some challenges. His proven ability at this track and distance could see him finish strongly, but the weight may hinder his winning chances.
The significant class drop and favorable weight assignment position her well in this field. While her track experience is limited and the barrier draw isn't ideal, her recent performances and class drop make her an intriguing value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Welcome Gypsy | 3 | Chad Schofield | John Thompson | 59kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 5 | Ces Soirees La | 5 | K S Latham | Robert Quinn | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Singing Star | 2 | Anna Roper | D Lane | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Stratafy | 13 | Mitch Stapleford | N R Ward | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Kev''s Girl | 8 | L P Beuzelin | Marc Chevalier | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Super Zippi | 12 | Jessica Taylor | J M Austin | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 1 | No Statement | 6 | Molly Bourke | M F Van Gestel | 61.5kg | $3.90 |
| 8th | 6 | I Am A Winner | 4 | Jason Collett | Richard & Will Freedman | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Nazare''s Impact | 11 | Siena Grima | P M Perry | 52kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Ocean Joy | 9 | L Magorrian | M S Minervini | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Luskintyre | 10 | Ms L Day | R J Quinton | 55kg | |
| 10 | Florida Sky | 1 | Alysha Collett | P M Perry | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Our Lady Stardust | 14 | Zac Wadick | G L Frazer | 53.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Super Freds | 7 | Shannen Llewellyn | Jay Hopkins | 52kg |
Uncle Harry stands out as the top selection with consistent form and a strong track record at Newcastle. The significant class drop from recent races is a major positive, and his overall profile suggests he's well-positioned to win this race. The weight is manageable, and the barrier draw should allow for a good position in running.
The mare carries a favorable weight and has a good second-up record. Her limited but successful track record adds confidence to her chances in this race.
Oceanfront shows promising form and has a weight advantage in this field. The good barrier draw should allow for a positive position in running. Being second-up from a spell is a positive given the horse's strong record in this situation. While facing a slight class rise, the overall profile suggests a strong chance of placing.
Sweet Bubbles represents good value with improving form and a significant weight advantage. Her strong win rate of 30% is impressive, and her recent form suggests she's ready for this class rise.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Oceanfront | 11 | Dylan Gibbons | Nacim Dilmi | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 16 | Cassie''s Lad | 1 | Shannen Llewellyn | Jay Hopkins | 52kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Community | 3 | Jay Ford | Ms K Waugh | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Fighting Magnus | 4 | Andrew Gibbons | B G Lawrence | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Uncle Harry | 8 | Donovan Dillon | P M Perry | 56.5kg | $3.90 |
| 6th | 4 | Rhinestone Lad | 7 | Alysha Collett | Ms K Waugh | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Sweet Bubbles | 2 | A Adkins | G McFarlane | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Alabama Blitz | 13 | Mitch Stapleford | Denim Wynen | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Binkou | 9 | Zac Wadick | G L Frazer | 55.5kg | $9.50 |
| 10th | 1 | Earth Dance | 14 | Reece Jones | Fabio Martino | 60kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 15 | Prince Of Arendell | 12 | Winona Costin | James Ponsonby | 56kg | $71.00 |
| 12th | 8 | Mah Ali | 6 | Adrian Layt | K J Parker | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Think We''re There | 5 | Ashley Morgan | J C Deamer | 60kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Geemes | 10 | L Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 57kg | |
| Scr | 12 | North Terrace | 16 | Edward Cummings | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Rockbarton Icon | 15 | Benjamin Osmond | D I Atkins | 54.5kg |
I Am Brave presents as the top selection with a strong last-start win on soft going and a class drop. The mare carries a favorable weight and has Jason Collett aboard, which are significant positives.
Dusty Bay comes into this race off a solid 3rd place finish in stronger company. The significant class drop and good barrier draw are major positives. While yet to win at this distance, the gelding's consistent form and the class relief make him a strong contender for the placings.
Aligned has been racing consistently in stronger company, finishing 3rd last start. The wide barrier is a concern, but with Dylan Gibbons aboard, he has claims for a place.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Beau Bandit | 2 | Ms L Day | Tanya Randell | 58kg | $51.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Aligned | 6 | Dylan Gibbons | Peter Snowden | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Cool Storm | 11 | Ashley Morgan | R P Northam | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Remember Jack | 8 | Zac Lloyd | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 59.5kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 1 | Tonkatsu Goddess | 7 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Matthew Smith | 58.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Manage The Cycle | 13 | Siena Grima | J R Gask | 54.5kg | $71.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Artiebett | 10 | Alysha Collett | C Karakatsanis | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Yabby Pump | 5 | A Adkins | Richard & Will Freedman | 60.5kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 9 | I Am Brave | 9 | Jason Collett | Richard & Will Freedman | 56.5kg | $3.50 |
| 10th | 10 | Dusty Bay | 4 | Jay Ford | T J Bartley | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Bonjour Madame | 3 | L Magorrian | M S Minervini | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 12 | Sweet Future | 1 | Jessica Taylor | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 13th | 11 | Wangi Wangi | 12 | Tim Clark | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 55kg | $13.00 |
Thundering Soul comes into this race with strong recent form, including a close second last start on a heavy track. The class drop and proven ability in wet conditions make him a serious contender.
Sonofdec presents as a strong contender, dropping significantly in class after a spell. With a solid heavy track record and consistent recent form, he's well-positioned to capitalize on any rain-affected conditions. The class drop and weight advantage further enhance his chances in this field.
Pony Soprano stands out with an impressive win rate and consistent recent form. Despite the class rise, his strong performances on good tracks and excellent strike rate suggest he's ready for the challenge. The wide barrier is a concern, but his ability to perform fresh (2 wins from 3 first-up starts) adds confidence to his chances.
Cool Lad represents value in this field, coming off strong recent form and proven ability on heavy tracks. While his win strike rate is low, he's a consistent placegetter who could surprise with the lightweight. His recent performances suggest he's ready to step up to this class level.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Eclair Encore | 8 | Dylan Gibbons | K A Lees | 59.5kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 2 | Sonofdec | 6 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Jay Hopkins | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 12 | Cool Lad | 7 | Zac Lloyd | Matthew Smith | 55kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 3 | Desi Emperor | 1 | K S Latham | T Wong | 60kg | $19.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Thundering Soul | 10 | Benjamin Osmond | K A Lees | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Jacenza | 2 | Reece Jones | R P Northam | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Scorched Lane | 3 | Jason Collett | A & S Freedman | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 8th | 11 | My Shalom | 5 | H Van Der Hoven | J & G Lee | 56.5kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Dark Vador | 4 | Ashley Morgan | Matthew Smith | 57kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Oakfield Duke | 9 | William Stanley | K A Lees | 60kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Pony Soprano | 12 | Shannen Llewellyn | R J Agnew | 57kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Empress Of Japan | 11 | Regan Bayliss | Michael Freedman | 56.5kg |
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