Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Saturday 4 October 2025
Our top pick won 5 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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North Terrace brings the strongest form references, dropping back from Class 1 company where he finished a creditable 3rd last start over 1800m. The middle barrier suits the likely fast tempo, and Mitchell Bell is a strong booking.
The inside barrier draw is advantageous at Kembla Grange over the mile, and she should get a perfect run in transit. The step up to 1600m looks ideal based on her racing pattern, and the Edward Cummings stable is in good form. Represents a solid each-way proposition.
Think Of One brings solid credentials with a last start 2nd over 1710m and a consistent record at the mile distance. The inside barrier draw is advantageous, and he has previous experience at Kembla Grange including a placing. Christian Reith is a strong jockey booking, and the gelding appears to be building toward a breakthrough win. Represents solid each-way value.
The gear changes including winkers again and tongue tie first time should help him settle better over the mile. The middle barrier draw is advantageous, and he should get a good run in transit.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | North Terrace | 7 | Mitchell Bell | Edward Cummings | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 4 | Phoenix Legend | 4 | L Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 59kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 8 | Pretty Please | 3 | Jessica Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Heliconia | 8 | Adrian Layt | K J Parker | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Think Of One | 2 | Christian Reith | T J Bartley | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Shadashi | 1 | K S Latham | Edward Cummings | 57kg | $3.10 |
| 7th | 2 | Li''l Grug | 5 | Angus Villiers | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Torrey Pines | 9 | Shaun Guymer | Ms K Outtrim | 59kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Highland Lad | 6 | Madeline Owen | James Ponsonby | 56kg | $21.00 |
The addition of blinkers and tongue tie first time should sharpen him up second-up from a spell. His debut third showed ability, and while his last start was only fair, the gear changes suggest connections expect improvement. Well-placed to break through.
Beechworth brings strong form credentials from the Waller stable, dropping significantly in class from Open company. While yet to win, he has placed second-up previously and should be ready to fire with Chad Lever aboard. The class drop is the key factor here.
English Conqueror showed promise on debut with a strong second placing at this track and distance just 21 days ago. The light weight is a significant advantage, and Mollie Fitzgerald retains the ride.
The perfect barrier draw gives him every chance to improve significantly, and the Conners stable is adept at preparing maidens. With just 17 days since his last run, fitness won't be an issue, and natural improvement is expected.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Beechworth | 1 | Chad Lever | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 9 | Pimlico | 8 | K S Latham | John O''Shea & Tom Charlton | 56.5kg | $2.10 |
| 3rd | 8 | Maidoff | 2 | William Stanley | C E Conners | 54.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 7 | English Conqueror | 5 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Zoucratic | 3 | Mitch Stapleford | Joseph Pride | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Cadillac Sam | 6 | L Magorrian | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Typhoon Ali | 4 | Jeff Penza | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Babyfaced Assassin | 7 | Zac Wadick | G Portelli | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Overland | 11 | Deanne Panya | Bryce Heys | 58kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Playbill | 12 | Richard & Will Freedman | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Disparate | 9 | Michael Freedman | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Fast Blue | 10 | T J Bartley | 55kg |
Miles Of Glory brings strong second-up form after an excellent runner-up finish at Newcastle two weeks ago. The Michael Freedman-trained filly draws perfectly in barrier 3 to utilize her tactical speed in a race with genuine tempo. The step up to 1200m looks ideal based on her racing pattern.
The gear choices suggest a professional approach to this debut, and the neutral barrier 8 should give the horse every chance.
The Richard & Will Freedman-trained filly has valuable experience in Listed company and is now second-up from a spell where she typically performs well. The wide barrier is the main concern, but her class should overcome this disadvantage.
Deep Affection represents excellent value coming back from Group and Listed company to a provincial maiden. Second-up from a spell, she should improve significantly on her first-up effort. The fast tempo predicted should suit her backmarker racing style.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Miles Of Glory | 3 | Mitchell Bell | Michael Freedman | 57kg | $1.65 |
| 2nd | 4 | Uber In | 5 | Mitch Stapleford | Richard Litt | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | Lethal Love | 1 | K S Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 56kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 8 | Flaxlands | 8 | L Magorrian | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Koritsi | 9 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Ms K Gavenlock | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Mozzoni | 6 | Jeff Penza | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Deep Affection | 2 | William Stanley | John Thompson | 54.5kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Glastonbury Girl | 10 | Chad Lever | Matthew Smith | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Aweigh | 13 | Zac Wadick | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Micro Magic | 7 | Deanne Panya | Marc & Mitchell Conners | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Fullalove | 11 | K S Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 57kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Look Here | 12 | Peter Snowden | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Hard Rattle | 4 | G McFarlane | 55kg |
Mega Fight brings the strongest recent form into this race with a last-start win at Nowra over 1600m. The step up to 2000m is the query, but his racing pattern suggests he'll handle it, and the 55kg weight is a significant advantage. The addition of gear changes indicates trainer confidence.
Gwendie brings excellent recent form with placings in her last two starts. Has a strong record at Kembla Grange (7: 1-1-3) and draws well in barrier 4. While she only has one career win, her consistency and ability to handle the track and distance make her a genuine place chance.
My Greek God comes off a last-start win at Newcastle over 1850m and is a progressive 4YO with upside. While this represents a significant class rise from a Class 1, his improving form pattern suggests he can measure up. The wide barrier (10) is a concern, but the likely fast tempo should allow him to find a position. His good track record (3:1-1-0) suits today's conditions.
The 9YO veteran carries just 55kg and draws well in barrier 5. His strong record on affected tracks is a bonus if conditions deteriorate.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Happiness | 9 | Jeff Penza | C J Waller | 58.5kg | $17.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Mega Fight | 1 | Mitch Stapleford | J D Cooper | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | My Greek God | 10 | K S Latham | Matthew Smith | 59kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 8 | Heir Jordan | 11 | Chad Lever | Luke Musson | 56.5kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Devils Daughter | 3 | Grant Buckley | P & M Cave | 55.5kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Gwendie | 4 | Mitchell Bell | Ross McConville | 55.5kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Blesstas | 2 | L Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 11 | Chateaux Park | 5 | Jessica Taylor | J C Coyle | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Just Go Bang | 8 | Ms C Keatings | N J Olive | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 10th | 4 | Old Gregg | 6 | Angus Villiers | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 59kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Mr Fabulous | 7 | Ms T Bateup | 61kg |
Equerry showed significant ability when narrowly beaten first-up at Canterbury over 1250m. Second-up here with natural improvement expected, he should appreciate the step up to 1400m and the long Kembla straight will suit his finishing style. The fast tempo should set up perfectly for his run-on pattern.
Cool Rupert showed promise on debut at this track when finishing 2nd over 1300m. While drawn wide in barrier 12, the long run to the first turn at Kembla Grange should allow him to find a position. The step up to 1400m looks suitable and he's proven on the Good track surface.
Aladdin's Girl showed ability on debut at Newcastle when finishing 4th over 1250m. Drawn well in barrier 5, she should get a good run in transit. The step up to 1400m looks suitable for this daughter of Satono Aladdin, and having Jeff Penza aboard is a positive for her chances.
She's second-up from a spell with a solid second-up record of a placing from one attempt. While yet to win from 5 starts, she's shown ability with a placing and should appreciate the step up to 1400m. The fast tempo and long Kembla straight will suit her finishing style.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Equerry | 8 | L Magorrian | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 14 | Lauper | 6 | Jessica Taylor | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Cool Rupert | 12 | Mitchell Bell | Matthew Smith | 56.5kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Aladdin''s Girl | 5 | Jeff Penza | C J Waller | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Inspired Legend | 7 | Adrian Layt | L J Bridge | 56.5kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Hold The Door | 4 | L P Beuzelin | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Disparate | 10 | K S Latham | Michael Freedman | 56.5kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 4 | Amarillo Sky | 11 | Christian Reith | C Maher | 56.5kg | $4.80 |
| 9th | 11 | Think Itz You | 1 | Grant Buckley | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 1 | My Star | 3 | Chad Lever | Craig Carmody | 59kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Playbill | 2 | William Stanley | Richard & Will Freedman | 57kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Emballee | 9 | Mollie Fitzgerald | C J Waller | 55kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Pictor | 13 | C J Waller | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Dundeel Flyer | 14 | Peter Snowden | 55kg |
Her consistent form (43% place rate) and strong second-up record (2:1-0-0) suggest she'll be primed for a big run. Well drawn in barrier 4 with a light weight of 55.5kg, she maps to get a perfect midfield position in a race with genuine tempo.
Madrina comes into this second-up with an excellent record in this pattern (3:0-2-0). The significant class drop from her recent racing is a major positive, and she maps to be right on the speed from barrier 3.
Blanc De Noir comes off an impressive last-start win and has excellent second-up credentials. Her career record shows remarkable consistency (6:1-2-3) with a 50% place rate. The wide barrier is a concern, but her tactical versatility should allow her to find a position.
A Bar In Paris represents excellent value as a lightly-raced improver with a 33% win rate from just 3 starts. While first-up from a spell, her fresh record (2:0-1-0) suggests she can run well, and her last-start win indicates she's a mare on the rise. The Bjorn Baker stable excels with fresh runners.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Couples Retreat | 4 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Madrina | 3 | Ms C Keatings | N J Olive | 57kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Gogmagog | 8 | Grant Buckley | Ms K Gavenlock | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Sunday Tycoon | 6 | Deanne Panya | C E Conners | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Can''t Touch This | 1 | Chad Lever | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Ride The River | 2 | Mitchell Bell | Bjorn Baker | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 10 | A Bar In Paris | 5 | Olivia Chambers | Bjorn Baker | 53kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Blanc De Noir | 9 | L Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Mr Kennedy | 7 | Mitch Stapleford | Richard Litt | 56kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Inoue | 10 | Peter Snowden | 60.5kg |
Drawn perfectly in barrier 2 to get an economical run and should appreciate the likely fast tempo. While stepping up in class, he appears to have plenty of upside and represents the best winning chance in this field.
Gets significant weight relief and is dropping considerably in class from her recent runs. Has been racing in stronger company and should appreciate this easier assignment. Drawn to get a good run in midfield.
Three-year-old filly dropping dramatically in class after racing exclusively in Group and Listed company. The wide barrier is a concern, but with the likely fast tempo, she should get her chance to finish strongly. Represents strong each-way value.
Lightly-raced 4YO with excellent form credentials (1-2-0 from 4 starts) including a strong 2nd last start at this track in heavy conditions. The gear change to visors could spark improvement and he's proven adaptable across all track conditions.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | King Nic | 11 | L Magorrian | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 13 | Djapana | 8 | Mollie Fitzgerald | C E Conners | 53kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Felis Chaus | 2 | Mitchell Bell | Richard Litt | 56.5kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 2 | Master Riley | 12 | Ms T Bateup | 60.5kg | $15.00 | |
| 5th | 5 | Full Metal Jacket | 9 | Shaun Guymer | G Portelli | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Change My Address | 7 | Mitch Stapleford | J G Sargent | 55kg | $4.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Piraeus | 10 | William Stanley | Richard & Will Freedman | 61kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 4 | Winning Point | 3 | Chad Lever | Paul Murray | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Miss Hvar | 14 | Zac Wadick | R & L Price | 54.5kg | $26.00 |
| 10th | 16 | Drunken Sailor | 1 | Madeline Owen | James Ponsonby | 52kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Open Secret | 13 | K S Latham | John Thompson | 59kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Diamond Model | 15 | Sara Ryan | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Channelling | 4 | Edward O''Rourke | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Fun Sponge | 6 | J C Coyle | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Steely Girl | 5 | Deanne Panya | Marc & Mitchell Conners | 55kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Prince Aurelius | 16 | T Coyle | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Kosuke | 17 | G McFarlane | 61kg |
Perfect Play brings strong credentials as a second-up performer dropping significantly in class. While carrying top weight, he's proven capable under similar conditions and has a consistent record on good tracks. The expected fast tempo should suit his racing pattern, and he represents the most reliable winning chance.
All Machiavellian brings solid recent form including a close second at this track just 7 days ago. The expected fast tempo should suit his racing pattern, and the 2kg weight drop from last start is favorable. Represents strong place value.
Natoya is a lightly-raced mare with potential upside, coming off a good second-up run. Her second-up record (1-0-1 from 2 starts) suggests she should improve, and barrier 6 gives her tactical options. While stepping up in class, she's shown ability on good tracks and gets in with a moderate weight.
His record at Kembla Grange (1-1-0 from 9 starts) and at this distance (2-1-0 from 8 starts) are positives, as is the light weight of 53kg.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Perfect Play | 9 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 61.5kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 8 | All Machiavellian | 11 | K S Latham | R & L Price | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 4 | Natoya | 6 | Mitch Stapleford | J G Sargent | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 7 | Tavolo | 4 | Madeline Owen | Rob Potter | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Format | 14 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Star Legacy | 15 | Ms C Keatings | G Portelli | 53kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Kosuke | 13 | Mitchell Bell | G McFarlane | 61kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Single Crown | 12 | Shaun Guymer | Luke Musson | 55kg | $201.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Mediaro | 5 | Chad Lever | Matthew Smith | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 15 | Fun Sponge | 2 | J C Coyle | 56kg | $101.00 | |
| 11th | 5 | Owen County | 1 | William Stanley | Richard Litt | 58kg | $71.00 |
| 12th | 6 | Monty Be Quick | 10 | L Magorrian | Nathan Doyle | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Irish Bliss | 7 | K J Parker | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Mega Fight | 8 | Jeff Penza | J D Cooper | 57kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Beauer | 3 | Paul Murray | 55kg |
Before the races, not after
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