Captain Cat brings the strongest and most consistent form to this race with 6 placings from 7 starts. His last three runs have all resulted in placings, including a close second last start at Moe over similar distance. While yet to win, he's proven at the trip and draws perfectly for Bairnsdale's tight track. The Nathan Punch combination is working well, and he appears ready to break through.
Victoria · Sunday 12 October 2025
Bairnsdale tips and results
Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Bairnsdale. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Bairnsdale Horse Centre Mdn Plate
Lucky Chance returns from a spell with the advantage of barrier 2, which is crucial at Bairnsdale. The addition of winkers first time suggests connections expect improvement, and his likely on-pace position suits this track's bias. While his first-up record isn't inspiring, his third placing two starts back over 2000m shows ability, and the inside draw gives him every chance.
The addition of ear muffs (pre-race only) suggests connections are addressing any pre-race anxiety issues. His consistency in similar grade makes him a place chance.
While yet to place in 11 starts, the inside draw gives her every chance to improve significantly on previous efforts.
- 1st11Big MixLogan Bates$5.50
- 2nd1Captain CatNathan Punch$1.85
- 3rd2Lucky ChanceKoby Jennings$6.50
- 4th14Reel CrystalHannah Edgley$17.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Big Mix | 5 | Logan Bates | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Captain Cat | 6 | Nathan Punch | Brett Conlon | 59.5kg | $1.85 |
| 3rd | 2 | Lucky Chance | 2 | Koby Jennings | Alexander Rae | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 14 | Reel Crystal | 13 | Hannah Edgley | Shane Stockdale | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Vivid Reasoning | 11 | Paul Gatt | Kelvin Southey | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 16 | Delta Moon | 1 | Sheridan Clarke | Kerry Farrugia | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 15 | Mods | 9 | Liam Riordan | Andrew Perdon | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 8 | No Savings | 12 | Kristo Sardelic | Christine Sexton | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 5 | French Crossing | 7 | Tatum Bull | J F Rattle | 57.5kg | $91.00 |
| 4 | Far From A Cry | 8 | Jake Noonan | Reece Goodwin | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Immortal Diva | 16 | Robbie P Downey | Tetyana Furdetska | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Kaimana Gal | 10 | Cameron Templeton | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Shadow Storm | 4 | Caitlin Hollowood | Mitchell Leek | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Vltava | 3 | Teodore Nugent | M M Laurie | 57kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Golden Eyes | 14 | Carleen Hefel | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 55kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Pacific Pixie | 15 | Theodore Ladd | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 55kg |
Hygain Mdn Plate
Brutal World brings the strongest form credentials with 3 seconds and 3 thirds from 7 starts. While drawn wide, her forward racing pattern should allow her to overcome the barrier on this tight-turning track. Ready to break through for a maiden win.
The significant class drop from Open company to Maiden grade is a major positive, and he draws perfectly in barrier 4 for this tight-turning track. The addition of winkers for the first time could provide the focus needed to break through for a maiden win.
The perfect barrier 2 draw is a significant advantage at Bairnsdale, and with natural improvement second-up, she should be right in the finish. The booking of Teodore Nugent is a positive, and the lightweight of 55kg will help her chances in this maiden field.
Her closing speed makes her well-suited to the likely fast tempo.
- 1st4Brutal WorldLiam Riordan$4.40
- 2nd7UnapproachableCarleen Hefel$19.00
- 3rd1Born SurvivorLogan Bates$12.00
- 4th12Good HarmonyHannah Edgley$3.20
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Brutal World | 14 | Liam Riordan | Simon Zahra | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 7 | Unapproachable | 10 | Carleen Hefel | E Jusufovic | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Born Survivor | 12 | Logan Bates | Brian McGrath | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Good Harmony | 7 | Hannah Edgley | Peter Gelagotis | 55kg | $3.20 |
| 5th | 14 | Wailea | 2 | Teodore Nugent | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 15 | Zouzenna | 11 | Sheridan Clarke | Aleks Komarovs | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Regor | 4 | Koby Jennings | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $3.70 |
| 8th | 6 | Tipping Rain | 5 | Tatum Bull | J F Rattle | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Not So Dubious | 9 | Cian Macredmond | Reece Goodwin | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Silent Fox | 6 | Kristo Sardelic | Susie Wells | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 17 | Shalaya | 8 | Paul Gatt | C J Davies | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| 12th | 5 | Samand | 3 | Caitlin Hollowood | Patrick Keane | 55.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Nicabuk | 16 | T Kilgower | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Light The Burners | 15 | M M Laurie | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Pressure Switch | 17 | Jake Noonan | Alexander Rae | 57kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Melrose | 13 | Nathan Punch | R D Griffiths | 55kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Assertive Sway | 18 | Ms R Kelly | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Midnight In Minori | 1 | T Rogers | 57.5kg |
Bet365 Same Race Multi Mdn Plate
Extragalactic showed significant ability on debut when finishing a close second at Echuca. With a lightweight and the ability to settle midfield in what should be a fast-tempo race, she's well-positioned to finish strongly.
The Bivouac filly has been racing consistently and should appreciate the fast tempo expected here. With her strong finishing ability, she's a major threat if she can overcome the wide barrier.
Una Gentle brings consistent form from stronger company and has a good record when fresh with a placing from two first-up attempts. The inside barrier draw is a significant advantage at Bairnsdale, especially with the track's tight turns and short straight.
Billie offers excellent value given her consistent form with two placings from her last four starts. The Deep Field filly is dropping significantly in class after competing in stronger company and has shown ability at similar distances with two placings from three attempts. With Cian Macredmond aboard and a midfield position likely in a fast-tempo race, she represents good each-way value.
- 1st7ExtragalacticLogan Bates$3.00
- 2nd9Immortal TruthRobbie P Downey$31.00
- 3rd10Moon GoddessLiam Riordan$3.50
- 4th12Una GentleHannah Edgley$4.20
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Extragalactic | 12 | Logan Bates | Trent Edmonds | 55kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Immortal Truth | 4 | Robbie P Downey | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Moon Goddess | 11 | Liam Riordan | Nick Ryan | 55kg | $3.50 |
| 4th | 12 | Una Gentle | 2 | Hannah Edgley | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 55kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 8 | Far More Radiant | 3 | Teodore Nugent | Gavin Bedggood | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Summer Spritz | 1 | Sheridan Clarke | D Binaisse | 57.5kg | $71.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Billie | 6 | Cian Macredmond | Dominic Sutton | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Karumba Girl | 10 | Carleen Hefel | Grant & Peter Dalziel | 57.5kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 13 | Stewart | 8 | Ms S Trolove | 59.5kg | $201.00 | |
| 10th | 3 | Vire River | 7 | Koby Jennings | Ms S Trolove | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Reward For Freedom | 5 | Paul Gatt | Ms S Trolove | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| 12th | 5 | Starista | 13 | Tatum Bull | John McArdle | 57kg | $9.00 |
| Scr | 4 | I''m Savvy As | 9 | Jake Noonan | Reece Goodwin | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Omnipresent | 14 | R J Blacker | 55kg |
Four''N Twenty Hcp (56)
Auckland comes into this off a last-start win over the same distance at Echuca. His form has been improving with a win and a 6th from his last two starts. The likely fast tempo should suit his midfield running style, and he has a solid record on Good tracks (2-0-3 from 10 starts). Teodore Nugent retains the ride and should give him every chance from barrier 9.
Our Malyshka has been racing consistently with a 4th and 6th from her last two starts. While she only has one career win, she has a decent record on Good tracks and should get a nice run from barrier 4.
She Is All Magic ran a strong 2nd at this track two starts back before a disappointing 10th last start. While her form has been inconsistent, she has the ability to bounce back on a Good track where she has a decent record.
While he's first-up from a spell with no wins from 4 first-up attempts, the removal of blinkers could spark improvement.
- 1st3AucklandTeodore Nugent$3.80
- 2nd1DerelictSheridan Clarke$5.50
- 3rd6HionadoLogan Bates$17.00
- 4th2Magic DrumJake Noonan$7.50
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Auckland | 9 | Teodore Nugent | Simone Walker | 59kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Derelict | 3 | Sheridan Clarke | Carly Thomas | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Hionado | 2 | Logan Bates | Simon Zahra | 57.5kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Magic Drum | 6 | Jake Noonan | Kasey Wilson | 60kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 10 | She Is All Magic | 8 | Jackie Beriman | Nathan McPherson | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 11 | Ling Ling | 10 | Sally Wynne | Ms S L Wynne | 54.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Nietzsche | 1 | Caitlin Hollowood | Jack Laing | 55.5kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Arroance | 5 | Nathan Punch | R C Manning | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Free To Play | 11 | Paul Gatt | Melanie Bullard | 57.5kg | $15.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Moonlight Rustler | 7 | Robbie P Downey | W J Wood | 57.5kg | $17.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Our Malyshka | 4 | Carleen Hefel | Ms S Trolove | 56.5kg | $7.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Zuetoro | 12 | Clay Beasy | 59kg |
Dyson Group Hcp (56)
Farisha brings the strongest recent form into this race with consecutive 2nd placings including at this track last start. With a proven record at the distance (1-1-1) and a racing pattern that should suit Bairnsdale's leader-favoring layout, she represents the most reliable winning chance despite the slightly awkward barrier.
His on-pace racing style is perfectly suited to Bairnsdale's leader-favoring layout, and he's proven at the distance with a 1-1-0 record from 9 starts. Recent form is solid with consecutive 4th and 5th placings, and the 22-day spacing between runs is ideal for maintaining fitness.
Fine Rebel resumes from a 177-day spell with a solid fresh record of 0-1-0 from 3 starts. She's drawn perfectly in barrier 5 which should allow her to secure a good position at Bairnsdale's tight-turning track.
While the wide barrier is a concern, the expected fast tempo should allow her to find a position and finish strongly.
- 1st3Mont Saint MichelKoby Jennings$5.00
- 2nd11Fine RebelSheridan Clarke$7.50
- 3rd5Ugly NicosJake Noonan$18.00
- 4th6Dominant MissHannah Edgley$13.00
Full result · 14 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Mont Saint Michel | 9 | Koby Jennings | Paul & Tracey Templeton | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Fine Rebel | 5 | Sheridan Clarke | J F Moloney | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Ugly Nicos | 4 | Jake Noonan | Ms A Bence | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Dominant Miss | 7 | Hannah Edgley | K E Horobin | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Nicking Gracie | 1 | Tatum Bull | Robert Palm | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Farisha | 11 | Liam Riordan | Reece Goodwin | 57.5kg | $3.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Smashing Ruby | 2 | Logan Bates | J F Rattle | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 4 | I''m Dynamite | 8 | Kristo Sardelic | Susie Wells | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Kyokushin | 18 | Carleen Hefel | Ms S Trolove | 60kg | $12.00 |
| 10th | 16 | Nasrin | 3 | P Foster | 54.5kg | $151.00 | |
| 11th | 14 | The Great Bratski | 12 | Teodore Nugent | Christine Sexton | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Dudance | 6 | Jackie Beriman | Nathan McPherson | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 13th | 10 | Coast Princess | 15 | Robbie P Downey | Ms D Nardino | 56kg | $81.00 |
| 14th | 12 | Holler Thy Name | 17 | Paul Gatt | Taylah Hill | 56kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Jessup | 13 | Shawn Mathrick | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Joon Ho | 14 | A W Noonan | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Laminar | 10 | T Kilgower | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Downtown Man | 16 | I M Pankhurst | 54kg |
Melbourne Cup Racing @ Bairnsdale (Bm56)
Has placed in all three attempts at similar distances and should get an ideal run from barrier 4 with the moderate-slow tempo. Jake Noonan is a strong booking and the gelding appears well-placed despite the slight class rise.
The Norton bit being applied for the first time could spark improvement, and Teodore Nugent is a positive jockey booking. Will carry a manageable 56.5kg and should get a good midfield position despite the wider barrier.
Sunset Missile drops in class from BM62 level and brings strong staying credentials with a win and two placings from four starts at similar distances. The 3kg claim for Logan Bates is valuable and the mare should improve on recent form with the class relief.
While the overall form is only fair, the combination of barrier one, lightweight, and the track's tendency to favor inside barriers makes this experienced stayer an each-way proposition.
- 1st3ShockstarJake Noonan$1.85
- 2nd6Sunset MissileLogan Bates$3.90
- 3rd7BroadfieldSheridan Clarke$6.50
- 4th1MarlinKristo Sardelic$19.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Shockstar | 4 | Jake Noonan | M M Laurie | 61kg | $1.85 |
| 2nd | 6 | Sunset Missile | 3 | Logan Bates | Rachael Cunningham | 59.5kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 7 | Broadfield | 9 | Sheridan Clarke | A Rosolini | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 1 | Marlin | 5 | Kristo Sardelic | Andrew Perdon | 61.5kg | $19.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Toronova | 1 | Jackie Beriman | I M Pankhurst | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Hand Of Doom | 2 | Koby Jennings | Patrick Keane | 61kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Smokin'' Giant | 7 | Teodore Nugent | Luke Oliver | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 4 | Amawasha | 6 | Caitlin Hollowood | Mitchell Leek | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Lord Devenish | 10 | Liam Riordan | Angus Townley | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Tussock | 8 | Carleen Hefel | Ms R Kelly | 55kg |
Greenway Turf Solutions Hcp (56)
Kimono brings solid recent form with a 4th placing last start at Echuca over 1400m. The mare has drawn perfectly in barrier 2, which is crucial at Bairnsdale where inside barriers are strongly favored. The moderate-fast tempo should suit her racing pattern.
Littlebirdie has drawn the coveted barrier 1 position which is crucial at Bairnsdale. Her form has been consistent with a 4th placing two starts back over 1614m at Moe. She has a placing at this distance and should get the perfect run from the inside gate. The mare has tactical speed to maintain position and should be right in the finish if she can reproduce her better form.
Gracious Diva brings a solid record at the mile with two wins from ten attempts. Her recent form has been consistent with a 6th placing last start at Sale over 1411m. While drawn wide in barrier 12, she should be able to find a position midfield and will be finishing strongly with the moderate-fast tempo. Her experience and proven ability at the distance make her a genuine contender despite the wide draw.
Little Richie Turf represents excellent value given his strong record at Bairnsdale and recent 2nd placing at this track and distance. The 9yo gelding is dropping significantly in class which is a major positive.
- 1st7Cryptic ClueSheridan Clarke$18.00
- 2nd16I''m A CatchNathan Punch$31.00
- 3rd15Box ValeValentin Le Boeuf$91.00
- 4th1Cudmore StreetKoby Jennings$7.00
Full result · 13 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Cryptic Clue | 13 | Sheridan Clarke | Matthew Brown | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 2nd | 16 | I''m A Catch | 3 | Nathan Punch | Renee Pola | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 15 | Box Vale | 8 | Valentin Le Boeuf | Kerry Farrugia | 55kg | $91.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Cudmore Street | 10 | Koby Jennings | Ms A Bence | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Little Richie Turf | 5 | Carleen Hefel | Ms D Clover | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Gracious Diva | 12 | Kristo Sardelic | Susie Wells | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 6 | Kimono | 2 | Cian Macredmond | Dominic Sutton | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 14 | Moose Jaw | 15 | Sally Wynne | Ms S L Wynne | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Miss Darkside | 9 | Paul Gatt | T Kilgower | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Mrs Gossip | 4 | Tatum Bull | K E Horobin | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Norma''s Fleet | 11 | Caitlin Hollowood | Kerry Farrugia | 54.5kg | $21.00 |
| 12th | 2 | Littlebirdie | 1 | Liam Riordan | Ms S Trolove | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 13th | 13 | Kauai | 6 | Nathan Punch | R Triplow | 54.5kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Trinity''s D''oro | 7 | Jake Noonan | Brian McGrath | 58kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Vampire Miss | 16 | Robbie P Downey | Tetyana Furdetska | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Heff | 14 | Teodore Nugent | Ms S Trolove | 57.5kg |
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