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Victoria · Sunday 12 October 2025

Bairnsdale tips and results

Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Bairnsdale. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

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Top pick won4/757%
Any tip won5/771%
Top pick placed5/771%
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R1

Bairnsdale Horse Centre Mdn Plate

13:42 local1600mMaiden$320,001,176,002,576,040,000,000,000,000
Winner11. Big MixSP $5.50
★ Top pick2nd
1Captain Cat

Our price $1.80 · SP $1.85 · Nathan Punch

Captain Cat brings the strongest and most consistent form to this race with 6 placings from 7 starts. His last three runs have all resulted in placings, including a close second last start at Moe over similar distance. While yet to win, he's proven at the trip and draws perfectly for Bairnsdale's tight track. The Nathan Punch combination is working well, and he appears ready to break through.

2nd pick3rd
2Lucky Chance

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Koby Jennings

Lucky Chance returns from a spell with the advantage of barrier 2, which is crucial at Bairnsdale. The addition of winkers first time suggests connections expect improvement, and his likely on-pace position suits this track's bias. While his first-up record isn't inspiring, his third placing two starts back over 2000m shows ability, and the inside draw gives him every chance.

3rd pick7th
15Mods

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.00 · Liam Riordan

The addition of ear muffs (pre-race only) suggests connections are addressing any pre-race anxiety issues. His consistency in similar grade makes him a place chance.

Value pick6th
16Delta Moon

Our price $18.00 · SP $61.00 · Sheridan Clarke

While yet to place in 11 starts, the inside draw gives her every chance to improve significantly on previous efforts.

  1. 1st11Big MixLogan Bates$5.50
  2. 2nd1Captain CatNathan Punch$1.85
  3. 3rd2Lucky ChanceKoby Jennings$6.50
  4. 4th14Reel CrystalHannah Edgley$17.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st11Big Mix5Logan BatesAnnabel & Rob Archibald55kg$5.50
2nd1Captain Cat6Nathan PunchBrett Conlon59.5kg$1.85
3rd2Lucky Chance2Koby JenningsAlexander Rae59.5kg$6.50
4th14Reel Crystal13Hannah EdgleyShane Stockdale55kg$17.00
5th3Vivid Reasoning11Paul GattKelvin Southey59.5kg$8.00
6th16Delta Moon1Sheridan ClarkeKerry Farrugia57.5kg$61.00
7th15Mods9Liam RiordanAndrew Perdon59.5kg$9.00
8th8No Savings12Kristo SardelicChristine Sexton57.5kg$81.00
9th5French Crossing7Tatum BullJ F Rattle57.5kg$91.00
4Far From A Cry8Jake NoonanReece Goodwin57.5kg
Scr6Immortal Diva16Robbie P DowneyTetyana Furdetska57.5kg
Scr7Kaimana Gal10Cameron Templeton57.5kg
Scr9Shadow Storm4Caitlin HollowoodMitchell Leek55.5kg
Scr10Vltava3Teodore NugentM M Laurie57kg
Scr12Golden Eyes14Carleen HefelP G Moody & Katherine Coleman55kg
Scr13Pacific Pixie15Theodore LaddP G Moody & Katherine Coleman55kg
R2

Hygain Mdn Plate

14:15 local1200mMaiden$320,001,176,002,576,040,000,000,000,000
Winner4. Brutal WorldSP $4.40
★ Top pickWon
4Brutal World

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.40 · Liam Riordan

Brutal World brings the strongest form credentials with 3 seconds and 3 thirds from 7 starts. While drawn wide, her forward racing pattern should allow her to overcome the barrier on this tight-turning track. Ready to break through for a maiden win.

2nd pick7th
11Regor

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.70 · Koby Jennings

The significant class drop from Open company to Maiden grade is a major positive, and he draws perfectly in barrier 4 for this tight-turning track. The addition of winkers for the first time could provide the focus needed to break through for a maiden win.

3rd pick5th
14Wailea

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Teodore Nugent

The perfect barrier 2 draw is a significant advantage at Bairnsdale, and with natural improvement second-up, she should be right in the finish. The booking of Teodore Nugent is a positive, and the lightweight of 55kg will help her chances in this maiden field.

Value pickScratched
13Melrose

Our price $12.00 · Nathan Punch

Her closing speed makes her well-suited to the likely fast tempo.

  1. 1st4Brutal WorldLiam Riordan$4.40
  2. 2nd7UnapproachableCarleen Hefel$19.00
  3. 3rd1Born SurvivorLogan Bates$12.00
  4. 4th12Good HarmonyHannah Edgley$3.20
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Brutal World14Liam RiordanSimon Zahra57.5kg$4.40
2nd7Unapproachable10Carleen HefelE Jusufovic57.5kg$19.00
3rd1Born Survivor12Logan BatesBrian McGrath59.5kg$12.00
4th12Good Harmony7Hannah EdgleyPeter Gelagotis55kg$3.20
5th14Wailea2Teodore NugentShane Nichols & Hayden Black55kg$5.00
6th15Zouzenna11Sheridan ClarkeAleks Komarovs57.5kg$61.00
7th11Regor4Koby JenningsBen, Will & Jd Hayes57kg$3.70
8th6Tipping Rain5Tatum BullJ F Rattle57.5kg$26.00
9th9Not So Dubious9Cian MacredmondReece Goodwin57kg$31.00
10th3Silent Fox6Kristo SardelicSusie Wells59.5kg$101.00
11th17Shalaya8Paul GattC J Davies57.5kg$151.00
12th5Samand3Caitlin HollowoodPatrick Keane55.5kg$101.00
Scr2Nicabuk16T Kilgower59.5kg
Scr8Light The Burners15M M Laurie57kg
Scr10Pressure Switch17Jake NoonanAlexander Rae57kg
Scr13Melrose13Nathan PunchR D Griffiths55kg
Scr16Assertive Sway18Ms R Kelly57.5kg
Scr18Midnight In Minori1T Rogers57.5kg
R3

Bet365 Same Race Multi Mdn Plate

14:50 local1000mMaiden$320,001,176,002,576,040,000,000,000,000
Winner7. ExtragalacticSP $3.00
★ Top pickWon
7Extragalactic

Our price $2.20 · SP $3.00 · Logan Bates

Extragalactic showed significant ability on debut when finishing a close second at Echuca. With a lightweight and the ability to settle midfield in what should be a fast-tempo race, she's well-positioned to finish strongly.

2nd pick3rd
10Moon Goddess

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.50 · Liam Riordan

The Bivouac filly has been racing consistently and should appreciate the fast tempo expected here. With her strong finishing ability, she's a major threat if she can overcome the wide barrier.

3rd pick4th
12Una Gentle

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.20 · Hannah Edgley

Una Gentle brings consistent form from stronger company and has a good record when fresh with a placing from two first-up attempts. The inside barrier draw is a significant advantage at Bairnsdale, especially with the track's tight turns and short straight.

Value pick6th
6Billie

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Cian Macredmond

Billie offers excellent value given her consistent form with two placings from her last four starts. The Deep Field filly is dropping significantly in class after competing in stronger company and has shown ability at similar distances with two placings from three attempts. With Cian Macredmond aboard and a midfield position likely in a fast-tempo race, she represents good each-way value.

  1. 1st7ExtragalacticLogan Bates$3.00
  2. 2nd9Immortal TruthRobbie P Downey$31.00
  3. 3rd10Moon GoddessLiam Riordan$3.50
  4. 4th12Una GentleHannah Edgley$4.20
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Extragalactic12Logan BatesTrent Edmonds55kg$3.00
2nd9Immortal Truth4Robbie P DowneyBen, Will & Jd Hayes55kg$31.00
3rd10Moon Goddess11Liam RiordanNick Ryan55kg$3.50
4th12Una Gentle2Hannah EdgleyShane Nichols & Hayden Black55kg$4.20
5th8Far More Radiant3Teodore NugentGavin Bedggood55kg$18.00
6th2Summer Spritz1Sheridan ClarkeD Binaisse57.5kg$71.00
6th6Billie6Cian MacredmondDominic Sutton55kg$8.00
8th1Karumba Girl10Carleen HefelGrant & Peter Dalziel57.5kg$71.00
9th13Stewart8Ms S Trolove59.5kg$201.00
10th3Vire River7Koby JenningsMs S Trolove57.5kg$101.00
11th14Reward For Freedom5Paul GattMs S Trolove59.5kg$151.00
12th5Starista13Tatum BullJohn McArdle57kg$9.00
Scr4I''m Savvy As9Jake NoonanReece Goodwin57kg
Scr11Omnipresent14R J Blacker55kg
R4

Four''N Twenty Hcp (56)

15:25 local1000mRestricted 56$22,000,112,100,237,404,000,000,000,000
Winner3. AucklandSP $3.80
★ Top pickWon
3Auckland

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.80 · Teodore Nugent

Auckland comes into this off a last-start win over the same distance at Echuca. His form has been improving with a win and a 6th from his last two starts. The likely fast tempo should suit his midfield running style, and he has a solid record on Good tracks (2-0-3 from 10 starts). Teodore Nugent retains the ride and should give him every chance from barrier 9.

2nd pick11th
9Our Malyshka

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Carleen Hefel

Our Malyshka has been racing consistently with a 4th and 6th from her last two starts. While she only has one career win, she has a decent record on Good tracks and should get a nice run from barrier 4.

3rd pick5th
10She Is All Magic

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.50 · Jackie Beriman

She Is All Magic ran a strong 2nd at this track two starts back before a disappointing 10th last start. While her form has been inconsistent, she has the ability to bounce back on a Good track where she has a decent record.

Value pick10th
7Moonlight Rustler

Our price $8.00 · SP $17.00 · Robbie P Downey

While he's first-up from a spell with no wins from 4 first-up attempts, the removal of blinkers could spark improvement.

  1. 1st3AucklandTeodore Nugent$3.80
  2. 2nd1DerelictSheridan Clarke$5.50
  3. 3rd6HionadoLogan Bates$17.00
  4. 4th2Magic DrumJake Noonan$7.50
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Auckland9Teodore NugentSimone Walker59kg$3.80
2nd1Derelict3Sheridan ClarkeCarly Thomas60kg$5.50
3rd6Hionado2Logan BatesSimon Zahra57.5kg$17.00
4th2Magic Drum6Jake NoonanKasey Wilson60kg$7.50
5th10She Is All Magic8Jackie BerimanNathan McPherson56.5kg$7.50
6th11Ling Ling10Sally WynneMs S L Wynne54.5kg$26.00
7th8Nietzsche1Caitlin HollowoodJack Laing55.5kg$8.00
8th12Arroance5Nathan PunchR C Manning54kg$41.00
9th5Free To Play11Paul GattMelanie Bullard57.5kg$15.00
10th7Moonlight Rustler7Robbie P DowneyW J Wood57.5kg$17.00
11th9Our Malyshka4Carleen HefelMs S Trolove56.5kg$7.00
Scr4Zuetoro12Clay Beasy59kg
R5

Dyson Group Hcp (56)

15:55 local1200mRestricted 56$22,000,112,100,237,404,000,000,000,000
Winner3. Mont Saint MichelSP $5.00
★ Top pick6th
7Farisha

Our price $2.40 · SP $3.00 · Liam Riordan

Farisha brings the strongest recent form into this race with consecutive 2nd placings including at this track last start. With a proven record at the distance (1-1-1) and a racing pattern that should suit Bairnsdale's leader-favoring layout, she represents the most reliable winning chance despite the slightly awkward barrier.

2nd pickWon
3Mont Saint Michel

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Koby Jennings

His on-pace racing style is perfectly suited to Bairnsdale's leader-favoring layout, and he's proven at the distance with a 1-1-0 record from 9 starts. Recent form is solid with consecutive 4th and 5th placings, and the 22-day spacing between runs is ideal for maintaining fitness.

3rd pick2nd
11Fine Rebel

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Sheridan Clarke

Fine Rebel resumes from a 177-day spell with a solid fresh record of 0-1-0 from 3 starts. She's drawn perfectly in barrier 5 which should allow her to secure a good position at Bairnsdale's tight-turning track.

Value pick14th
12Holler Thy Name

Our price $18.00 · SP $19.00 · Paul Gatt

While the wide barrier is a concern, the expected fast tempo should allow her to find a position and finish strongly.

  1. 1st3Mont Saint MichelKoby Jennings$5.00
  2. 2nd11Fine RebelSheridan Clarke$7.50
  3. 3rd5Ugly NicosJake Noonan$18.00
  4. 4th6Dominant MissHannah Edgley$13.00
Full result · 14 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Mont Saint Michel9Koby JenningsPaul & Tracey Templeton58.5kg$5.00
2nd11Fine Rebel5Sheridan ClarkeJ F Moloney56kg$7.50
3rd5Ugly Nicos4Jake NoonanMs A Bence58kg$18.00
4th6Dominant Miss7Hannah EdgleyK E Horobin57.5kg$13.00
5th8Nicking Gracie1Tatum BullRobert Palm57.5kg$18.00
6th7Farisha11Liam RiordanReece Goodwin57.5kg$3.00
7th13Smashing Ruby2Logan BatesJ F Rattle56kg$12.00
8th4I''m Dynamite8Kristo SardelicSusie Wells58kg$41.00
9th1Kyokushin18Carleen HefelMs S Trolove60kg$12.00
10th16Nasrin3P Foster54.5kg$151.00
11th14The Great Bratski12Teodore NugentChristine Sexton56kg$12.00
12th9Dudance6Jackie BerimanNathan McPherson57kg$31.00
13th10Coast Princess15Robbie P DowneyMs D Nardino56kg$81.00
14th12Holler Thy Name17Paul GattTaylah Hill56kg$19.00
Scr2Jessup13Shawn Mathrick59.5kg
Scr15Joon Ho14A W Noonan57.5kg
Scr17Laminar10T Kilgower56kg
Scr18Downtown Man16I M Pankhurst54kg
R6

Melbourne Cup Racing @ Bairnsdale (Bm56)

16:35 local2200mBenchmark 56$22,000,112,100,237,404,000,000,000,000
Winner3. ShockstarSP $1.85
★ Top pickWon
3Shockstar

Our price $2.20 · SP $1.85 · Jake Noonan

Has placed in all three attempts at similar distances and should get an ideal run from barrier 4 with the moderate-slow tempo. Jake Noonan is a strong booking and the gelding appears well-placed despite the slight class rise.

2nd pick7th
8Smokin'' Giant

Our price $4.80 · SP $6.50 · Teodore Nugent

The Norton bit being applied for the first time could spark improvement, and Teodore Nugent is a positive jockey booking. Will carry a manageable 56.5kg and should get a good midfield position despite the wider barrier.

3rd pick2nd
6Sunset Missile

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.90 · Logan Bates

Sunset Missile drops in class from BM62 level and brings strong staying credentials with a win and two placings from four starts at similar distances. The 3kg claim for Logan Bates is valuable and the mare should improve on recent form with the class relief.

Value pick5th
9Toronova

Our price $8.00 · SP $21.00 · Jackie Beriman

While the overall form is only fair, the combination of barrier one, lightweight, and the track's tendency to favor inside barriers makes this experienced stayer an each-way proposition.

  1. 1st3ShockstarJake Noonan$1.85
  2. 2nd6Sunset MissileLogan Bates$3.90
  3. 3rd7BroadfieldSheridan Clarke$6.50
  4. 4th1MarlinKristo Sardelic$19.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Shockstar4Jake NoonanM M Laurie61kg$1.85
2nd6Sunset Missile3Logan BatesRachael Cunningham59.5kg$3.90
3rd7Broadfield9Sheridan ClarkeA Rosolini58kg$6.50
4th1Marlin5Kristo SardelicAndrew Perdon61.5kg$19.00
5th9Toronova1Jackie BerimanI M Pankhurst56kg$21.00
6th2Hand Of Doom2Koby JenningsPatrick Keane61kg$31.00
7th8Smokin'' Giant7Teodore NugentLuke Oliver56.5kg$6.50
Scr4Amawasha6Caitlin HollowoodMitchell Leek58kg
Scr5Lord Devenish10Liam RiordanAngus Townley59.5kg
Scr10Tussock8Carleen HefelMs R Kelly55kg
R7

Greenway Turf Solutions Hcp (56)

17:10 local1600mRestricted 56$22,000,112,100,237,404,000,000,000,000
Winner7. Cryptic ClueSP $18.00
★ Top pick7th
6Kimono

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.40 · Cian Macredmond

Kimono brings solid recent form with a 4th placing last start at Echuca over 1400m. The mare has drawn perfectly in barrier 2, which is crucial at Bairnsdale where inside barriers are strongly favored. The moderate-fast tempo should suit her racing pattern.

2nd pick12th
2Littlebirdie

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Liam Riordan

Littlebirdie has drawn the coveted barrier 1 position which is crucial at Bairnsdale. Her form has been consistent with a 4th placing two starts back over 1614m at Moe. She has a placing at this distance and should get the perfect run from the inside gate. The mare has tactical speed to maintain position and should be right in the finish if she can reproduce her better form.

3rd pick6th
8Gracious Diva

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Kristo Sardelic

Gracious Diva brings a solid record at the mile with two wins from ten attempts. Her recent form has been consistent with a 6th placing last start at Sale over 1411m. While drawn wide in barrier 12, she should be able to find a position midfield and will be finishing strongly with the moderate-fast tempo. Her experience and proven ability at the distance make her a genuine contender despite the wide draw.

Value pick5th
9Little Richie Turf

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.50 · Carleen Hefel

Little Richie Turf represents excellent value given his strong record at Bairnsdale and recent 2nd placing at this track and distance. The 9yo gelding is dropping significantly in class which is a major positive.

  1. 1st7Cryptic ClueSheridan Clarke$18.00
  2. 2nd16I''m A CatchNathan Punch$31.00
  3. 3rd15Box ValeValentin Le Boeuf$91.00
  4. 4th1Cudmore StreetKoby Jennings$7.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Cryptic Clue13Sheridan ClarkeMatthew Brown57kg$18.00
2nd16I''m A Catch3Nathan PunchRenee Pola54kg$31.00
3rd15Box Vale8Valentin Le BoeufKerry Farrugia55kg$91.00
4th1Cudmore Street10Koby JenningsMs A Bence59.5kg$7.00
5th9Little Richie Turf5Carleen HefelMs D Clover57kg$7.50
6th8Gracious Diva12Kristo SardelicSusie Wells57kg$7.50
7th6Kimono2Cian MacredmondDominic Sutton57.5kg$4.40
8th14Moose Jaw15Sally WynneMs S L Wynne54kg$10.00
9th10Miss Darkside9Paul GattT Kilgower57kg$101.00
10th12Mrs Gossip4Tatum BullK E Horobin55kg$7.00
11th11Norma''s Fleet11Caitlin HollowoodKerry Farrugia54.5kg$21.00
12th2Littlebirdie1Liam RiordanMs S Trolove58kg$5.50
13th13Kauai6Nathan PunchR Triplow54.5kg$71.00
Scr3Trinity''s D''oro7Jake NoonanBrian McGrath58kg
Scr4Vampire Miss16Robbie P DowneyTetyana Furdetska58kg
Scr5Heff14Teodore NugentMs S Trolove57.5kg

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