Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Tuesday 4 November 2025
Our top pick won 5 of 7 races at Muswellbrook. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Arapawa gets the nod as top selection with the addition of blinkers first time likely to sharpen him up significantly. The Brett & Georgie Cavanough stable knows how to prepare a maiden and the inside draw (barrier 3) is advantageous on this track. Should get a perfect midfield position and with the rail out 5m, he maps to get the perfect run.
Bridego looks well-placed to improve on his last start 4th at this track and distance. Drawn perfectly in barrier 2, he should be able to use his early speed to lead or sit prominent in a race that should favor on-pace runners. The Joel Wilkes-trained gelding will appreciate the inside draw after jumping from barrier 11 last start.
Eddie's Charm brings the strongest form credentials with a 3rd placing last start at this track and distance. The wide barrier is a concern, but she has shown the ability to overcome obstacles and run on strongly.
The good barrier draw (4) should allow her to position closer than last start, and her improving form trend suggests she's ready to run a much better race.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Arapawa | 3 | Mikayla Weir | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 57kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 1 | Redford River | 1 | Aaron Bullock | T S Howlett | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Eddie's Charm | 8 | Adrian Layt | D Riley | 55.5kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 2 | Bridego | 2 | Shae Wilkes | Joel Wilkes | 56kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 7 | Linda's Princess | 4 | Jenny Duggan | Justin Bowen | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Toranaga | 6 | Madeline Owen | T S Howlett | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Pena Palace | 7 | Shannen Llewellyn | Julia Presits | 56kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Diablo Dancer | 5 | S J Gleeson | 55.5kg |
Her last start 2nd at Hawkesbury showed significant improvement, and she maps to get an ideal midfield position from barrier 5. The Nathan Doyle-trained filly is clearly progressing with each run and appears ready to break through.
The Nathan Doyle-trained filly gets an advantageous draw in barrier 4 and should settle midfield.
Head Kahuna comes into this first-up with a placing when fresh previously. The Brett Cavanough-trained gelding has also performed on soft going with a placing from one attempt. Despite the wide barrier, he's likely to push forward and be on pace, which suits this track. The top weight is a concern, but his fresh record suggests he can run well.
While yet to place from five starts, she has shown consistency with multiple 4th and 5th placings. The addition of winkers for the first time could spark improvement, and barrier 6 allows her to settle midfield. With just 9 days since her last run, she should be at peak fitness.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Into Brooklyn | 5 | Shannen Llewellyn | Nathan Doyle | 55kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 11 | Vittozzi | 4 | Adrian Layt | Nathan Doyle | 55kg | $1.95 |
| 3rd | 1 | Head Kahuna | 11 | Mikayla Weir | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Whittello Sun | 7 | Daniel A Northey | Simon Casey | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Ring My Bell | 6 | Jenny Duggan | M A Milton | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Souline | 8 | Michael Heagney | Paul Theobald | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Hot Fantasy | 1 | Grace Palmer | Justin Bowen | 51kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Maiden Pearl | 2 | Madeline Owen | Justin Bowen | 55kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Bold Alliance | 3 | Blake Ryan | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Czech Her Out | 9 | T J Bartley | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Supido Star | 10 | T S Howlett | 55kg |
First-up from a spell but has placed when fresh before. Drawn well in barrier 4 and gets the services of Ella Drew. Represents the strongest winning chance.
Just Joan comes off a solid 2nd placing at Coonabarabran and has shown ability with a 0-1-2 record from 11 starts. Second-up today after a good fresh run and gets the services of top jockey Aaron Bullock. Drawn wide but has the ability to overcome it.
Has a track record of 0-0-1 from 3 starts and performs adequately on soft tracks with a 0-0-1 record from 3 attempts. Second-up today after a solid first-up run and drawn well in barrier 3.
Fined For Speeding is an interesting proposition as a first starter with no exposed form. Drawn well in barrier 6 which is advantageous at this track, especially with middle barriers showing a strong bias. Mapped to be one of the leaders which could be beneficial despite the very fast tempo predicted.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Wanavan | 4 | Ella Drew | S I Singleton | 57kg | $1.65 |
| 2nd | 6 | Just Joan | 11 | Aaron Bullock | Toby Pracey | 57kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 5 | Bellerata | 8 | Shae Wilkes | W T Wilkes | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Apache Dream | 1 | Andrew Gibbons | Ben Lees | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Fined For Speeding | 6 | Daniel A Northey | Simon Casey | 59kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Play Gem | 10 | Kody Nestor | J P Drake | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Rebellious Dream | 5 | Nick Mitchell | 59kg | $71.00 | |
| 8th | 10 | Thief Of Joy | 2 | Cassandra Stummer | 57kg | $61.00 | |
| 9th | 7 | Lite Side | 7 | Jenny Duggan | Melissa Dennett | 57kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Tesorino | 3 | Adrian Layt | Ms L Munce | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Tiannah | 12 | Mikayla Weir | A M Boyle | 57kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Varazze | 9 | Joseph Burges | 57kg |
Kantishna brings the strongest form credentials with consistent 2-3-3 finishes in her last 5 starts. While she's yet to win at Muswellbrook, she's placed here and handles the class level comfortably. The very fast tempo should suit her racing pattern, and she maps to be prominent early.
Nevermista brings excellent recent form with three consecutive second placings. With a strong record at this distance (7: 1-3-1) and two placings from two attempts at this track, he's well-positioned from barrier 6 to capitalize on the fast tempo. The class rise is the main query.
Now second-up from a spell and dropping significantly in class, this lightly-raced 3yo filly should appreciate the conditions. While she lacks experience at this track and on soft surfaces, her natural speed from barrier 3 should put her in a competitive position. The 39-day freshen-up between runs is the main concern.
Despite a poor last start, she has excellent credentials at this track (4: 1-1-0) and distance (17: 1-4-4).
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Thrilling Venture | 3 | Mikayla Weir | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Kantishna | 8 | Ella Drew | S I Singleton | 59kg | $2.10 |
| 3rd | 5 | Nevermista | 6 | Daniel A Northey | Simon Casey | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Toyger | 1 | Grace Palmer | T S Howlett | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Cosmic Treasure | 5 | Adrian Layt | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Nazare's Impact | 9 | Shae Wilkes | P M Perry | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Quick Onyx | 2 | Jenny Duggan | Toby Pracey | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Our Silver Linings | 4 | Shannen Llewellyn | Jay Hopkins | 60.5kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Tears For Fears | 7 | Aaron Bullock | Cameron Crockett | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | She's A Bad Girl | 10 | D Lane | 56kg |
Lightly-raced mare with significant upside who won impressively two starts back before a solid 4th last time. Perfectly drawn in barrier 1 to take advantage of the inside bias at Muswellbrook, and gets the services of top jockey Aaron Bullock. While stepping up in distance, her breeding suggests she'll handle it, and her progressive profile indicates further improvement.
Consistent mare with a strong record including a win at this track and distance. Has shown ability on soft tracks with 2 placings from 3 starts and boasts a solid second-up record. The top weight is a concern, but her class and proven ability at the course and distance make her a genuine contender despite a disappointing last-start 7th at Newcastle.
Consistent gelding who has found form with consecutive 2nd placings. While his overall win record is poor (just 1 from 26), his current form suggests he's ready to break through, especially with the benefit of a good draw and proven ability on soft tracks.
Improving gelding coming off a solid 3rd placing just two days ago at this track and distance. While his overall win record is modest, his recent form indicates he's ready to peak, and the moderate tempo should suit his midfield running style.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Deel Me A Queen | 1 | Aaron Bullock | P Messara & L Gavranich | 57.5kg | $1.65 |
| 2nd | 5 | Special Prophet | 8 | Mikayla Weir | Ms M Hopkins | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Cassie's Lad | 7 | Shannen Llewellyn | Jay Hopkins | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Bump'n'run | 9 | Kody Nestor | Ms R Dunn | 59kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Obviously Albert | 2 | Adrian Layt | Ms T Williams | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Sweet Bubbles | 6 | G McFarlane | 61.5kg | $6.50 | |
| Scr | 2 | King Jerry | 5 | Joel Wilkes | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Seething Chuck | 3 | Ms K Owen | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Yamba's Girl | 10 | Andrew Gibbons | J C Deamer | 57kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Farraige | 4 | Jenny Duggan | D Wagstaff | 55kg |
Lightly-raced Snitzel colt who broke through for a dominant maiden win at this track last start. Has shown natural improvement from first to second run and appears to have plenty of upside. The step up to 1450m looks suitable based on his strong finishing effort over 1280m. Drawn to get the perfect midfield position with top jockey Aaron Bullock aboard.
Consistent gelding who broke through for a well-deserved maiden win last start at Beaumont. Has performed well on soft tracks previously with a second placing. Well drawn in barrier 3 and should get an ideal run just behind the leaders. The step up to 1450m looks suitable.
Consistent American Pharoah gelding who has a strong record at this track with one second and two thirds from three starts. Has previously placed over this track and distance. Perfectly drawn in barrier 1 which should allow him to take up a forward position. While his win strike rate is modest, his place percentage of 42% highlights his consistency.
Interesting runner who has previously won at this track and distance on a soft track. The application of blinkers for the first time could spark significant improvement. Has a strong record on soft tracks with one win from six starts.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Pontevedra | 7 | Aaron Bullock | P Messara & L Gavranich | 57.5kg | $2.10 |
| 2nd | 2 | Xerxes | 1 | Mikayla Weir | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Rasloc | 2 | Shannen Llewellyn | Ms M Hopkins | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Supreme Statement | 3 | Madeline Owen | Cheryl Roberts | 59.5kg | $3.20 |
| 5th | 10 | En Primeur | 8 | Adrian Layt | Philip Duffy | 55kg | $81.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Down The Kooka | 10 | Jenny Duggan | T S Howlett | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Hallonic | 9 | Shae Wilkes | W T Wilkes | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Reward's Daughter | 5 | Grace Palmer | J A Sylvester | 51kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Wild Flash | 11 | Patrick Cleave | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Mount Bona | 6 | P Messara & L Gavranich | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Ghaznavi | 4 | Cameron Crockett | 56kg |
Speck brings excellent soft track credentials (4 wins from 9 starts) and consistent recent form, including a win two starts back at Tamworth. Well-positioned from barrier 6 to get a perfect midfield position in what should be a very fast tempo race, setting up perfectly for her finishing style.
His soft track record is excellent with 2 wins from 3 attempts. Likely to lead from barrier 4 with Aaron Bullock aboard, and while carrying top weight of 64kg is a concern, his class and early speed should see him in the finish. The very fast tempo predicted may test his stamina.
Saratoga Power brings excellent course form with 3 wins from 4 starts at Muswellbrook. The main concern is his unproven record on soft tracks, though he has placed twice from three attempts. From barrier 9, he should settle midfield and be suited by the likely fast tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Saratoga Power | 9 | Mikayla Weir | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 55kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 4 | Speck | 6 | R P Northam | 55kg | $3.10 | |
| 3rd | 2 | Zoe Shark | 3 | Shae Wilkes | P M Perry | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Real Deluxe | 7 | Michael Heagney | Paul Theobald | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Debussy | 8 | Kacie Adams | A P Ball | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Markwell Dreamer | 2 | Adrian Layt | Joseph Burges | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Who Goes There | 4 | Aaron Bullock | M K Mason | 64kg | $4.80 |
| 8th | 11 | Redline | 1 | Shannen Llewellyn | G A O'Brien | 55kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Wave Breaker | 10 | J P Drake | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Kantishna | 5 | Ella Drew | S I Singleton | 53kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Brogans Creek | 11 | Toby Pracey | 55kg |
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