Geelong tips and results

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · Tom Ryan

The quick 6-day backup suggests fitness, and his versatile racing pattern should allow him to adapt to the tempo. While unproven at this distance and coming off a disappointing run, his overall form profile suggests he can bounce back. Tom Ryan takes the ride on this D.T. O'Brien-trained gelding.

Our price $8.00 · SP $21.00 · Portia J Matthews

While he's rising in class, his improving form line and ability to handle soft conditions (1 win, 4 placings from 8 starts) suggest he can be competitive. The 6-year-old gelding has a reasonable barrier draw and Portia Matthews in the saddle. Limited win record is a concern, but he's often in the placings.

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.35 · Jordan Childs

Far From A Cry brings solid recent form with a 4th placing just 4 days ago over a similar distance. The quick backup is a positive sign from the stable and indicates she's come through her last run well. Jordan Childs is a significant jockey booking, though she's yet to place from 7 career starts.

Our price $5.00 · SP $11.00 · Caitlin Hollowood

Last Card Louie represents good value coming back from stronger company where he was competitive in staying races. Prior to his last start, he had consecutive 2nd placings over similar distances and has proven ability on soft tracks. The quick backup is the main concern.

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.00 · Declan Bates

Her recent 3rd at Hamilton showed she's continuing to improve, and she gets in with just 56kg from an ideal barrier 4 draw. The moderate-fast tempo should suit her finishing style, and she appears ready to break through.

Our price $10.00 · SP $10.00 · Dylan Dunn

Her previous 2nd placing in heavy conditions shows she can handle wet tracks if conditions deteriorate. First-up from a 138-day break but has shown ability fresh.

Our price $7.50 · SP $16.00 · Jamie Mott

He's been racing consistently with three placings from seven starts and drops significantly in class here. Jamie Mott takes the ride from a good draw, and the moderate-fast tempo should suit his running style.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Jordan Childs

Drawn to get a good run from barrier 3 and likely to be on-pace, which suits the expected race pattern.

Our price $7.50 · SP $8.00 · Jason Maskiell

His consistency is impressive with 8 placings from 18 starts, and he handles soft tracks well. The Shawn Mathrick-trained gelding is well-drawn in barrier 4 and should get a nice trailing position. The 38-day freshen-up is the main query, but his overall form credentials are strong.

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.00 · Bailey Kinninmont

The 11-year-old veteran has a solid record at Geelong (1-1-1 from 6 starts) and thrives on soft tracks (4-4-3 from 22 starts). He's a recent winner at Warrnambool and should take up the running from barrier 6.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Fred W Kersley

Princess Toro brings strong recent form with a win and placing from her last two starts, demonstrating her current fitness. While she faces a significant class rise and is unproven at Geelong, her versatile racing pattern should suit the likely fast tempo, making her a genuine place chance.

Our price $3.80 · SP $5.50 · Declan Bates

Lightly-raced filly with significant upside who won impressively first-up last preparation on the synthetic. Drops significantly in class from her last start in Saturday city grade where she was competitive. Drawn to get an ideal run from barrier 6 with tactical speed, and her trainer has a strong record with fresh horses. The expected fast tempo should set up perfectly for her closing style.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Ryan Houston

Mare with strong recent form including a last-start second at Ballarat. Boasts an impressive second-up record with 2 wins from 3 attempts when second-up from a spell. Drops significantly in class from her previous racing in stronger company and has tactical versatility to overcome the barrier. Has placed at this track previously and should be hitting the line strongly with the expected fast tempo.