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New South Wales · Saturday 15 November 2025

Kembla Grange tips and results

Our top pick won 1 of 8 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Good 4Rail +8m 1100m-W/Post, +6m RemainderOvercastKembla Grange track guide ›
Top pick won1/813%
Any tip won4/850%
Top pick placed5/863%
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R1

Chery Checkered Flag Super Mdn Hcp

13:30 local1500mMaiden$60,000
Winner10. SoveratoSP $1.55
★ Top pickWon
10Soverato

Our price $2.50 · SP $1.55 · Mitchell Bell

Soverato stands out as the form pick from elite stable of Chris Waller. The light weight and track's fairness enhance her chances despite limited exposure.

2nd pick7th
1Blazing Future

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.40 · Adam Farragher

The 14-day freshen-up keeps him fit, and barrier 5 allows tactical flexibility in a race favoring strong finishers.

3rd pick2nd
6Lady Yarrow

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Amy Mc Lucas

Lady Yarrow brings the most experience with 5 placings, including a recent 3rd over 1500m at Hawkesbury and a prior 3rd at Kembla Grange on good ground. Her 38% place rate and barrier 2 suit a fast tempo where she can stalk leaders. Outperforms less experienced rivals in consistency, though lack of a win keeps her third.

Value pick3rd
9Kindamagic

Our price $15.00 · SP $51.00 · Mitch Stapleford

Suited to backmarker role in fast tempo, potentially outfinishing tired leaders.

  1. 1st10SoveratoMitchell Bell$1.55
  2. 2nd6Lady YarrowAmy Mc Lucas$7.00
  3. 3rd9KindamagicMitch Stapleford$51.00
  4. 4th5ConvertBrock Ryan$18.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Soverato1Mitchell BellC J Waller55.5kg$1.55
2nd6Lady Yarrow2Amy Mc LucasMs T Bateup56kg$7.00
3rd9Kindamagic6Mitch StaplefordMitchell Maloney-Stone53.5kg$51.00
4th5Convert4Brock RyanR & L Price56kg$18.00
5th7Leon Ruben10Adrian LaytK J Parker56kg$26.00
6th3G'day Ausbred3Chad LeverBlake Ryan57.5kg$10.00
7th1Blazing Future5Adam FarragherG Ryan & S Alexiou58.5kg$4.40
Scr2Six Kings8Grant BuckleyC Maher58kg
Scr4Kadesky7Lee MagorrianC J Waller56.5kg
Scr8Saloon Passage9Jeff PenzaC J Waller56kg
R2

Mercedes-Benz Wollongong Prestige Hcp (C1)

14:05 local1200mClass 1$42,000
Winner6. Irish JigSP $4.40
★ Top pick2nd
5Ellismayne

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.00 · Mitchell Bell

As a lightly raced 3yo in regular prep, he handles the class rise better than first-up rivals.

2nd pick4th
2Meet Me In Bondi

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.20 · Olivia Chambers

Baker's preparation suits fresh horses; despite wide draw, Kembla's fair nature and fast tempo favor his on-pace style. Low good track win rate but overall consistency edges first-up risks over lesser form lines.

3rd pick6th
1Famoso

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · Brock Ryan

1200m record solid with 1 win/1 place from 4; winkers debut could refocus. In regular racing, he's fitter than spellers, and barrier 4 allows midfield position in fast tempo. Good track form (5:0-2-1) supports place claims, though topweight tests; edges others on recency.

Value pick3rd
4Jamarni

Our price $10.00 · SP $10.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Recent pre-spell win at 1500m shows fitness potential first up, despite 0-from-3 record fresh. Light 54.5kg helps class rise; barrier 6 suits midfield in fast tempo.

  1. 1st6Irish JigMitch Stapleford$4.40
  2. 2nd5EllismayneMitchell Bell$4.00
  3. 3rd4JamarniMollie Fitzgerald$10.00
  4. 4th2Meet Me In BondiOlivia Chambers$4.20
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Irish Jig5Mitch StaplefordRobert Quinn53.5kg$4.40
2nd5Ellismayne1Mitchell BellJohn Thompson55.5kg$4.00
3rd4Jamarni6Mollie FitzgeraldR & L Price54.5kg$10.00
4th2Meet Me In Bondi8Olivia ChambersBjorn Baker57kg$4.20
5th3Longinus7Christian ReithBrad Widdup57kg$4.40
6th1Famoso4Brock RyanRob Potter59kg$5.50
7th8Flash Piper3Rebecca Bronett PragJohn Morrison52kg$151.00
Scr7Aquafire2Sara Ryan55kg
R3

Illawarra Hawks Champions Hcp (C1)

14:40 local1200mClass 1$42,000
Winner2. Show BusinessSP $4.60
★ Top pick4th
4Miles Of Glory

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.90 · Mitchell Bell

The class drop from Group 3 to Class 1 is ideal, and her 50% place rate on good tracks aligns perfectly with conditions. Fast tempo suits her midfield map, positioning her as the most likely winner ahead of others lacking her proven credentials here.

2nd pick3rd
3Me Me

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.40 · Brock Ryan

Me Me's breakthrough win at this track and distance last start highlights her current form, with a solid 67% place rate underscoring reliability. Second up from spell suits her pattern, and the fair Kembla layout allows her midfield position to capitalize on the predicted fast tempo. Edges others through recency and local experience, though class rise tempers expectations slightly.

3rd pickWon
2Show Business

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.60 · Mollie Fitzgerald

As a likely leader in a fast tempo, the long straight favors her, and second up status aligns with her fresh pattern. High track suitability on good ground boosts chances, making her a solid place contender despite untested distance.

Value pick7th
1Perle De Chocolat

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Lee Magorrian

Her 13% win rate from 8 starts is solid, and the fast tempo should suit her midfield settling.

  1. 1st2Show BusinessMollie Fitzgerald$4.60
  2. 2nd7MatchsticksWinona Costin$8.50
  3. 3rd3Me MeBrock Ryan$4.40
  4. 4th4Miles Of GloryMitchell Bell$2.90
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Show Business5Mollie FitzgeraldMatthew Smith57.5kg$4.60
2nd7Matchsticks9Winona CostinG Portelli56kg$8.50
3rd3Me Me4Brock RyanR & L Price58.5kg$4.40
4th4Miles Of Glory2Mitchell BellMichael Freedman57.5kg$2.90
5th6Isla Negra8Grant BuckleyM, W & J Hawkes56.5kg$26.00
6th5Pewter Pearl7Mitch StaplefordMitchell Beer & George Carpenter55.5kg$5.50
7th1Perle De Chocolat6Lee MagorrianG Ryan & S Alexiou59.5kg$12.00
8th9Skiting1Deanne PanyaJ M Sharah55kg$101.00
9th8Miss Orth3Chad LeverG McFarlane55kg$71.00
R4

GWM H7 Fast Lane Hcp (C1)

15:15 local1500mClass 1$42,000
Winner2. El PasoSP $2.40
★ Top pick3rd
1Golden Loom

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.50 · Mitchell Bell

As a regular racer, he's peaking with proven Kembla success (1 win from 2 starts here), and barrier 6 positions him well for the moderate-fast tempo favoring strong finishers. Connections are elite, outweighing minor weight concerns on this fair provincial track.

2nd pick6th
6Luma Light

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Olivia Chambers

Luma Light's fresh win at this track over 1400m highlights her potential, carrying just 53.5kg in a class drop. As a lightly raced 3yo with a 50% place rate, she's improving in regular racing and the light weight offsets barrier 9 on Kembla's fair layout. Moderate-fast tempo should allow her to settle midfield and finish on strongly, making her a solid top pick over less progressive rivals.

Value pick4th
9Flaming Moon

Our price $12.00 · SP $17.00 · Donovan Dillon

Flaming Moon offers value in a big class drop second-up, with barrier 2 aiding a forward run on Kembla's fair track.

  1. 1st2El PasoGrant Buckley$2.40
  2. 2nd3DoradusBrock Ryan$5.50
  3. 3rd1Golden LoomMitchell Bell$3.50
  4. 4th9Flaming MoonDonovan Dillon$17.00
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2El Paso7Grant BuckleyM, W & J Hawkes58.5kg$2.40
2nd3Doradus5Brock RyanJohn Thompson57kg$5.50
3rd1Golden Loom6Mitchell BellG Ryan & S Alexiou59kg$3.50
4th9Flaming Moon2Donovan DillonEdward Cummings55kg$17.00
5th7Bush Girl1Adrian LaytK J Parker55kg$8.50
6th6Luma Light9Olivia ChambersAnthony Mountney53.5kg$7.00
Scr4I Am Brave8Richard & Will Freedman56.5kg
Scr5Fast Track4Chad LeverJohn O'Shea & Tom Charlton56kg
Scr8Egypitian's Reward3Jeff PenzaJoseph Ible55kg
R5

City Motors Group Midway Mdn Plate

15:50 local1000mMaiden$45,000
Winner7. Brown SugarSP $10.00
★ Top pick7th
3Kissavos

Our price $3.50 · SP $7.00 · Madeline Owen

Barrier 3 is ideal for the inside bias on this fair sprint track, and the very fast tempo should suit his midfield settling style. Consistent recent performances in maidens outweigh limited experience, making him the top pick despite no victories yet. Trainer Quinton's stable is in good order for provincial sprints.

2nd pick3rd
1Century Song

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.30 · Brock Ryan

First up from a 184-day spell aligns with his 0-1-1 record fresh, and the new tongue tie may enhance focus. As a likely leader, he suits the inside bias and very fast tempo, though the layoff and topweight temper enthusiasm slightly compared to sharper Kissavos.

3rd pick2nd
5Doralee

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.50 · Donovan Dillon

The class drop to maiden helps, and Cummings' stable often prepares well first up (0-1-0 record). Wide draw is a knock in a bias-favouring inside, but her closing speed could overcome it in a fast tempo. Better suited than debutants but barrier limits upside versus inside runners.

Value pick8th
12Noble Ruby

Our price $12.00 · SP $41.00 · Zac Wadick

Barrier 2 exploits the inside bias perfectly, and switching to winkers could sharpen her after recent minor placings. In a very fast tempo, her closing ability shines, though winless record tempers win hopes.

  1. 1st7Brown SugarMollie Fitzgerald$10.00
  2. 2nd5DoraleeDonovan Dillon$5.50
  3. 3rd1Century SongBrock Ryan$3.30
  4. 4th2Captivating TycoonLee Magorrian$5.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Brown Sugar4Mollie FitzgeraldAdam Duggan54kg$10.00
2nd5Doralee15Donovan DillonEdward Cummings57kg$5.50
3rd1Century Song6Brock RyanR & L Price59kg$3.30
4th2Captivating Tycoon5Lee MagorrianRichard & Will Freedman57.5kg$5.00
5th11Mrs Flanders1Rebecca Bronett PragK J Parker52.5kg$11.00
6th4The Champion8Mitchell BellG Portelli57.5kg$31.00
7th3Kissavos3Madeline OwenR J Quinton55.5kg$7.00
8th12Noble Ruby2Zac WadickR & L Price55.5kg$41.00
9th16Unjust16J M Sharah57kg$101.00
10th14Unnatural Power11J M Sharah57kg$101.00
Scr6Pombia10Andrew CalderMs A Turner57kg
Scr8Capdiva7G Portelli55.5kg
Scr9Kosrae12Brad Widdup55.5kg
Scr10Kunis13R & L Price55.5kg
Scr13Terra Lumina14J C Coyle57.5kg
Scr15Empress Irene17Will PriceMitchell Beer & George Carpenter55.5kg
Scr17Extreme Courage9Chad LeverRoss McConville59kg
R6

Hyundai Palisade Hybrid Mdn Hcp

16:30 local1300mMaiden$42,000
Winner14. AristocratSP $8.00
★ Top pick10th
1El Toro Macho

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.30 · Brock Ryan

His 2:0-0-2 record on good tracks suits today's Good 4 conditions at Kembla Grange, a fair track for midfielders. Blinkers first time could sharpen him further.

2nd pick5th
3Sponars

Our price $6.50 · SP $2.70 · Winona Costin

His 4:0-1-1 record includes a recent 5th at Kembla Grange, and barrier 5 positions him well as a likely leader on this spacious track. The step to 1300m is a query, but his speed and connections suggest he can handle it better than most, making him a strong place chance.

Value pick8th
13Mochima

Our price $20.00 · SP $151.00 · Andrew Calder

First up after 122 days, his prior runs show potential in maidens, and Kembla's fair nature could help despite the wide draw.

  1. 1st14AristocratMitchell Bell$8.00
  2. 2nd4BotanistLee Magorrian$7.00
  3. 3rd12Sir Tua$41.00
  4. 4th8Viva MauricioJeff Penza$10.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st14Aristocrat6Mitchell BellMichael Freedman56kg$8.00
2nd4Botanist18Lee MagorrianC J Waller57.5kg$7.00
3rd12Sir Tua7Richard & Will Freedman56kg$41.00
4th8Viva Mauricio13Jeff PenzaC J Waller57.5kg$10.00
5th3Sponars5Winona CostinBjorn Baker58kg$2.70
6th17My Star3Craig Carmody56.5kg$81.00
7th16Wizard's Star9Edward Cummings56.5kg$61.00
8th13Mochima15Andrew CalderMs A Turner56kg$151.00
9th9Alamagan8Grant BuckleyJoseph Ible57kg$41.00
10th1El Toro Macho12Brock RyanC Maher59kg$3.30
11th6Tarquinius2Christian ReithBrad Widdup57.5kg$16.00
12th10Nightsphere4Adam FarragherC Maher57kg$61.00
Scr2Proviseur17C Maher58kg
Scr5Menthon14C J Waller57.5kg
Scr7Valentiago11Peter Snowden57.5kg
Scr11Sant Gervasi16Claire Lever56.5kg
Scr15Maccbi1Zac WadickJ & G Lee55.5kg
Scr18Cathedral Cove10Edward Cummings55.5kg
R7

Shellharbour City Motors Test Drive Mdn Hcp

17:10 local1300mMaiden$42,000
Winner1. AuraSP $4.80
★ Top pick2nd
2Semibreve

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Mitch Stapleford

Her finishing strength suits the predicted fast tempo and fair Kembla Grange layout, giving her an edge over less proven rivals.

2nd pickWon
1Aura

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.80 · Grant Buckley

The Hawkes stable's preparation first up is a positive, and her high suitability to Good 4 conditions bolsters her case. As a likely leader in a fast tempo, she can set the pace effectively on this fair provincial track, making her a solid top-3 contender despite the layoff.

Value pick4th
3Velia

Our price $12.00 · SP $12.00 · Will Price

Velia enters first up with promising pre-spell form, including close 2nds over staying trips on good ground that suits today's conditions. Her 50% place rate edges out many, and the wide barrier is manageable on fair Kembla Grange.

  1. 1st1AuraGrant Buckley$4.80
  2. 2nd2SemibreveMitch Stapleford$12.00
  3. 3rd15Entrapment$13.00
  4. 4th3VeliaWill Price$12.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Aura7Grant BuckleyM, W & J Hawkes59kg$4.80
2nd2Semibreve5Mitch StaplefordJ C Coyle57kg$12.00
3rd15Entrapment14Joseph Ible56.5kg$13.00
4th3Velia10Will PriceMitchell Beer & George Carpenter59kg$12.00
5th9Latassa3Mollie FitzgeraldM Price & M Kent Jnr56kg$6.50
6th11Saveur8Chad LeverC J Waller57.5kg$12.00
7th14Michonne's Katana9Mitchell BellG Ryan & S Alexiou57kg$3.90
8th13Tszinsi4Lee & Cherie Curtis57.5kg$8.00
9th12Whoa Nellie2Christian ReithBrad Widdup57.5kg$31.00
10th8Hunter One6Amy Mc LucasMs T Bateup57.5kg$19.00
11th10Offside11Zac WadickC J Waller56kg$31.00
12th7Girl's Best Friend12Lee MagorrianC J Waller57.5kg$19.00
Scr4Our Huntress13Michael Freedman58.5kg
Scr5Yattazou18Jeff PenzaC J Waller58.5kg
Scr6Azure Angel15Brad Widdup57.5kg
Scr16Fiery Lass17Madeline OwenR J Quinton54kg
Scr17Deep Affection1John Thompson55kg
Scr18Medieval Mayhem16G M Brown55kg
R8

Wollongong City Motors Rev & Run Provincial (Bm64)

17:45 local1400mBenchmark 64$45,000
Winner2. Nantucket IslandSP $6.50
★ Top pick3rd
3Tequisoda

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.20 · Christian Reith

Tequisoda stands out on pure form as an unbeaten progressive colt with a dominant maiden win over 1500m on soft ground 118 days ago. First up from spell, his trainer's strong fresh record (1:0-1-0) and jockey Reith's engagement boost confidence. Despite class rise and untested on good, raw talent edges him ahead of more exposed rivals.

2nd pickWon
2Nantucket Island

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Lee Magorrian

Her 7:2-0-1 on good tracks aligns perfectly, and Cummings' preparation suggests fitness despite a poor BM72 run last start. Barrier 2 aids positioning, making her a threat to Tequisoda if tempo holds. Edges Tokyo Star on class and speed, but recent heavy flop tempers win hopes.

3rd pickScratched
8Pretty Sassy

Our price $5.50 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Pretty Sassy offers reliability with consistent placings in BM64 company, including a strong 4th at this track over 1500m recently. Her 10:2-0-1 record on good tracks matches today's conditions, and barrier 1 positions her well for a forward run on Kembla Grange's fair layout. Lighter weight and stable form edge her over less consistent rivals like Tokyo Star, though she lacks Tequisoda's upside. Solid place chance.

Value pick6th
4Tokyo Star

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · L P Beuzelin

Light weight and midfield map suit the fair track, and her 20% win rate undervalues her consistency (40% places).

  1. 1st2Nantucket IslandLee Magorrian$6.50
  2. 2nd11Devine OutcastBrock Ryan$6.50
  3. 3rd3TequisodaChristian Reith$3.20
  4. 4th5Drunken SailorWinona Costin$12.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Nantucket Island2Lee MagorrianEdward Cummings59kg$6.50
2nd11Devine Outcast3Brock RyanR & L Price55kg$6.50
3rd3Tequisoda9Christian ReithBrad Widdup58.5kg$3.20
4th5Drunken Sailor6Winona CostinJames Ponsonby57kg$12.00
5th1King Charles7Amy Mc LucasAnthony Mountney59kg$20.00
6th4Tokyo Star8L P BeuzelinFabio Martino57.5kg$9.00
7th6Nights Inferno4Zac WadickMs T Bateup55.5kg$21.00
8th10Darn Deadly5Will PriceMitchell Beer & George Carpenter55.5kg$12.00
9th7Spiritualistic12Mitch StaplefordMitchell Beer & George Carpenter54.5kg$4.60
Scr8Pretty Sassy1Mollie FitzgeraldJoseph Ible54.5kg
Scr9River Pat11Donovan DillonMs K Waugh56kg
Scr12Playful Puzzle10Mitchell BellJoseph Ible55kg

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