Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Wednesday 19 November 2025
Our top pick won 5 of 8 races at Caulfield Heath. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
With barrier 3, she can position midfield in a moderate-fast tempo, suiting Caulfield's tactical nature. Hayes stable's preparation and Dee aboard boost her winning chance over unraced rivals, despite limited exposure on good ground.
Ko Phangan is a strong top pick despite absent form data, as her assignment to Mark Zahra and barrier 2 position her as a likely leader in a race favoring on-pacers at Caulfield. The Busuttin & Young stable's reputation for ready sprinters suggests she's well-prepared for this open sprint, making her a reliable place chance even if debutant unknowns temper win expectations.
Oman draws value from barrier 1, allowing Jordan Childs to secure a forward spot in this tactical Caulfield sprint. G M Begg's stable often uncovers gems in early career runs, and with no form negatives, she profiles as a progressive type suited to the moderate-fast tempo.
Luke Nolen's tactical nous can navigate the on-pace favoritism, and R D Griffiths' preparation targets metro sprints.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Almost An Angel | 7 | Luke Nolen | R D Griffiths | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Iconic Ruler | 4 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58.5kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Angelic Rise | 3 | Michael Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $2.10 |
| 4th | 7 | Oman | 1 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 5th | 2 | Ko Phangan | 2 | Mark Zahra | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Astilla | 5 | Lachlan Neindorf | A & S Freedman | 57kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Daynes Dahwun | 6 | Beau Mertens | T Fitzsimmons | 59kg |
On Broadway stands out on form with a string of placings over the distance, including a recent second at Mornington. Her 71% place rate and affinity for good tracks align perfectly with today's Good 4 surface. With Mark Zahra aboard, she can settle midfield and capitalize on the moderate-fast tempo, where leaders have a 33% win rate. Barrier 4 allows tactical positioning on Caulfield's turning track, making her the clear top pick despite the class rise.
Aitu benefits from a class drop after facing Listed opposition at Flemington, where he ran respectably despite the 9th. His recent maiden win at Pakenham over 1400m and third at Bendigo highlight improving form. Barrier 1 is a key edge on Caulfield's layout with the rail out 2m, allowing early positioning in a race favoring leaders.
Cash Converter's consistency shines with placings in 6 of 13 starts, including a recent second over 1400m. Dropping in class from BM62 helps, and visors first time may enhance performance. While unproven at 1600m, his good track affinity and midfield settling position suit Caulfield's tactical demands, offering solid each-way value.
Island Boy arrives with sharp form from a 1600m maiden win at Cranbourne, now dropping significantly in class from a Listed 12th at Flemington. A horse peaking at the right time for exotics.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | On Broadway | 4 | Mark Zahra | Lloyd Kennewell | 57.5kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Blue Cowboy | 6 | Ethan Brown | M C Kent | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 2 | Cash Converter | 7 | Daniel Stackhouse | Carly Thomas | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Island Boy | 3 | Jamie Mott | Julius Sandhu | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 8 | Miss Castelvecchio | 8 | Luke Cartwright | Charlotte Littlefield | 53.5kg | $3.50 |
| 6th | 4 | Aitu | 1 | Jake Noonan | Reece Goodwin | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Lika Wreckin' Ball | 5 | Luke Nolen | J G Symons & S Laxon | 59kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Burning Sensation | 2 | Cameron Quilty | Saab Hasan | 56.5kg |
Marine Empress stands out on form with two runner-up finishes in maiden company on soft tracks, demonstrating strong finishing ability. Her barrier 1 draw aligns perfectly with the weak leaders bias at Caulfield Heath, allowing her to settle handy in a moderate-fast tempo. Despite limited exposure on good ground, her class edge over unraced or inconsistent rivals makes her the clear top pick for the win.
Cooly's rapid improvement is evident with a second on heavy ground last start and prior third at Pakenham, building fitness in just three outings. Though barrier 8 is a slight knock against the inside bias, her youth and trainer P G Moody's form outweigh this, positioning her well for a place against more exposed rivals.
Puglia's consistent form, with four seconds and two thirds from seven starts, highlights her reliability in maidens. Second up from a spell, she matches her record (2:0-1-0) and showed sharp finishing in her latest second at Sale. The good 4 track suits her (6:0-3-2 on good), and barrier 3 positions her well for the leaders-favoring bias. While winless, her tactical speed in a moderate-fast race edges her ahead of less proven rivals for a place.
Banxi offers value as a second-up runner with a solid recent third at Kyneton, matching his second-up stats (2:0-1-0). His distance record (1:0-0-1) and good ground form (4:0-1-0) align with today's setup, and the Waller yard's preparation suggests sharpness. Lacks the polish of top picks but could surprise in this open maiden.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Cooly | 8 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $3.20 |
| 2nd | 7 | Marine Empress | 1 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57.5kg | $2.25 |
| 3rd | 6 | Wolfoffitroystreet | 2 | Ethan Brown | C Maher | 58kg | $3.30 |
| 4th | 3 | Banxi | 6 | Fred W Kersley | C J Waller | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Harry Devil | 7 | Logan Bates | Saab Hasan | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Kirwans Bridge | 9 | Patrick Moloney | G M Moloney | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Adinath | 10 | Emily Pozman | Saab Hasan | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Ballandella Street | 5 | Jason Maskiell | Rachael Cunningham | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Nevra Queen | 4 | Eoin Walsh | Cameron Thompson | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Puglia | 3 | Declan Bates | Archie Alexander | 57.5kg |
Egerton stands out on pure form with an impeccable recent record of 2 wins and 2 seconds in last 4 starts before spell. Barrier 6 suits midfield settling in a fast tempo, where on-pacers dominate. Despite class rise, her speed and trainer Ciaron Maher's fresh preparation success make her the clear top pick over more exposed runners like Cavallo Rampante.
Cavallo Rampante's form is reliable with 3-5-4 career record and strong 1000m stats (3-4-1). Recent 5th at Pakenham followed by 4th at Moonee Valley shows consistency in BM74 company, a slight drop here. Barrier 7 benefits from track's middle bias, and Luke Cartwright's booking adds stability. Edges Grouse Mountain due to recency and class exposure.
Grouse Mountain's consistency shines with 3 wins in last 5 before spell, boasting a 64% place rate. First-up she places well (0-2-1), and barrier 2 positions her as a likely leader in a fast tempo that favors on-pacers at Caulfield. Good ground suits her 3-5-2 record, but class jump from BM64 and unproven winning at 1000m temper expectations. Still, better than Fileeta's inconsistency and Mauna Kea Miss's lower class form.
Innocent Enuff offers value as an each-way play with recent form including a second at Bendigo BM66, showing she can mix it at this level. Her 1000m record (2-4-4) is solid, and barrier 3 allows a forward spot in a race favoring on-pacers. Outperforms Fileeta on consistency despite similar class rise.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Innocent Enuff | 3 | Ryan Houston | Logan McGill | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Grouse Mountain | 2 | Logan Bates | Gavin Bedggood | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Fileeta | 4 | Alana Kelly | P Koumis | 59kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Egerton | 6 | Ethan Brown | C I Brown | 58kg | $1.75 |
| 5th | 7 | Mauna Kea Miss | 1 | Melea Castle | Rory Hunter | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Cavallo Rampante | 7 | Luke Cartwright | C Maher | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| Scr | 4 | Furosshi | 5 | Mark Zahra | Gavin Bedggood | 58.5kg |
Middle barrier suits the track's bias towards positions 7-12, and despite no Caulfield experience, its class rise has been managed effortlessly. Very fast tempo may suit its finishing strength, making it the clear top pick ahead of others with more inconsistencies.
Hustle In Heels shows strong recent form with a win at near-distance on good ground, and its single start at Caulfield resulted in victory. Inside barrier 1 is ideal for the chute start at 1000m, aligning with on-pace bias, and its high suitability to good 4 conditions (2 wins from 4) boosts chances. Second up, it has placed but not won previously; however, improving trend and light weight make it a solid each-way contender behind the top pick, especially if leaders control the tempo.
Its 2 wins from 5 at 1000m and recent placings in BM78 races suggest it can handle the drop to BM66. Neutral barrier allows midfield positioning in a very fast tempo, favouring closers, though the long spell is a query. Gear change could help; a strong place chance against less consistent rivals.
Middle barrier 8 aligns with the strong bias towards 7-12, and its consistency (35% place rate) shines despite no track runs.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | You're Two Vain | 7 | Cory Parish | Ms A Macpherson | 62.5kg | $1.80 |
| 2nd | 5 | Hustle In Heels | 1 | Jamie Mott | Julius Sandhu | 59kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 6 | Smart Little Miss | 3 | Beau Mertens | Reece Goodwin | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Misty Legend | 5 | Daniel Stackhouse | Carly Thomas | 60.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 8 | White Bear | 4 | Jordan Childs | Melissa Page | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Fully Calculated | 2 | Ben Allen | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 1 | Condor | 8 | Ryan Houston | T Fitzsimmons | 61kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Skipjack | 6 | Emily Pozman | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59.5kg |
Dropping significantly in class from Group 3 races to BM66, combined with Mark Zahra's booking and barrier 3, positions her ideally for the moderate-fast tempo favoring on-pace runners. While recent form shows inconsistency at higher levels, her metro exposure and speed map advantages make her the clearest winner based on pure form assessment.
In regular racing with a recent win at similar distance, his second-up stats (6:2-1-0) and good track form (12:2-1-1) suggest readiness.
Bogues is second-up from spell (3:1-0-0 record), fresh off a strong 2nd at Kyneton over 1856m, signaling fitness for the 1800m trip. Barrier 4 allows midfield positioning in the moderate-fast tempo, suiting Caulfield's on-pace bias.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Suntora | 3 | Mark Zahra | Nick Ryan | 58.5kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 10 | Rotating Soul | 9 | Logan Bates | K & K Keys | 52kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Too Big | 7 | Brad Rawiller | Peter Smith | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Bogues | 4 | Jason Maskiell | Liam Howley | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Oceans Above | 1 | Craig Williams | Reece Goodwin | 58.5kg | $3.70 |
| 6th | 1 | Fam Gorman | 2 | Luke Cartwright | Clay Beasy | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Verifier | 10 | Beau Mertens | N A Blackiston | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Durban Harbour | 8 | Luke Nolen | J G Symons & S Laxon | 60kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Picture Of A City | 5 | Lucinda Boyd | Lucinda Boyd | 60kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Exabanoise | 6 | Declan Bates | Chris Calthorpe | 57kg |
Enchanted Jenni stands out on form with back-to-back wins, including a strong 1600m victory in BM66 at Cranbourne 40 days ago, demonstrating finishing strength on good tracks. Barrier 4 allows midfield positioning in a fast tempo race, favoring her over pure leaders like Dancing Dolly.
Sirena's improving trend, with a win and multiple placings in recent BM64/70 races, highlights her speed and adaptability. Lighter weight and barrier edge over Enchanted Jenni make her a solid place contender, though distance is a query in this deeper field.
However, the class rise and topweight temper her edge over Enchanted Jenni's proven 1600m form. Still a reliable place chance in a fast tempo that favors her closing style from midfield.
Barrier 9 is a knock, but her closing ability could exploit any leader fatigue.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Enchanted Jenni | 4 | Beau Mertens | Lucy Yeomans | 60kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Empire Of Pain | 7 | Ethan Brown | G M Begg | 60kg | $2.70 |
| 3rd | 1 | Hanafubuki | 8 | Logan Bates | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $41.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Our Paramour | 6 | Luke Currie | M W Walker | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Tempranillo | 9 | Fred W Kersley | C J Waller | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 4 | Sirena | 3 | Luke Cartwright | R D Griffiths | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 7th | 9 | Diamanda | 5 | Melea Castle | M T Binney | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Winning Witness | 2 | Emily Pozman | Ms E Haworth | 54kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Dancing Dolly | 1 | Declan Bates | Archie Alexander | 58kg |
Tennessee Bound stands out on pure form with back-to-back wins, the latest in BM62 company at 1200m on good ground. Barrier 1 is ideal for the chute start at Caulfield, allowing early positioning in a very fast tempo race that favors leaders. Despite the class jump, her metrics suggest she's the most likely winner ahead of more exposed runners.
Nepravda shows upward trajectory with a second in BM66 last start and prior BM70 placings.
Stealth Of Night returns first-up with a proven fresh record, including a win at 1400m in BM64 last campaign. While barrier 13 is a concern in a leader-favoring bias, Zahra's tactical nous and her high good track win rate make her a clear second pick over inconsistent rivals.
The class drop and tongue tie debut enhance prospects in a deep field.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Tennessee Bound | 1 | Ben Allen | C Maher | 59kg | $1.20 |
| 2nd | 8 | Escarpa | 6 | Jordan Childs | G Eurell | 57.5kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Wolf Twenty One | 4 | Tom Madden | Shane Jackson | 60kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Canara | 10 | Ethan Brown | C J Waller | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 3 | The Grumpy Bear | 2 | Logan Bates | Lloyd Kennewell | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Nepravda | 5 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Lake Forest | 11 | Jamie Mott | A & S Freedman | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Stealth Of Night | 13 | Mark Zahra | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Illuminance | 8 | Beau Mertens | Julius Sandhu | 58kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Fluent | 9 | Declan Bates | Andrew Noblet | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Happy Link | 12 | Celine Gaudray | G Eurell | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Cherrabah | 7 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Caffettiera | 3 | Craig Williams | A & S Freedman | 54.5kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.