Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Friday 21 November 2025
Our top pick won 1 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Second-up today after a solid placing last start, this lightly-raced gelding has tactical speed to take up a forward position from barrier 3. While facing a class rise, his raw ability and upside suggest he can handle it.
The Opportunist brings valuable track and distance experience with a placing from his only attempt at Pakenham over 1200m. Second-up today with a proven record in this pattern, he drops significantly in class from recent assignments. The inside barrier should allow him to secure a good position, and his soft track record (1 win from 4 starts) suits today's conditions.
Tempt The Gods brings a perfect second-up record with a win from his only attempt in this pattern. While unproven on soft tracks, his excellent heavy track record (2 wins from 2 starts) suggests he can handle rain-affected going. The top weight is a concern, but he has class.
A last-start maiden winner showing clear improvement, this lightly-raced gelding is second-up today and should have natural fitness improvement. While facing a class rise, his tactical speed from barrier 5 should allow him to secure a good position.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Ground Control | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | P Stokes | 59.5kg | $1.45 |
| 2nd | 3 | Astari | 5 | Luke Currie | M W Walker | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Tempt The Gods | 4 | Rhys Mc Leod | P Kearney | 60.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 5 | The Opportunist | 1 | Celine Gaudray | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 4 | Must Be Sain | 2 | Jamie Mott | Shane Nichols & Hayden Black | 59kg | $11.00 |
Brazen Diva brings the most consistent form to this race with 3 placings from 6 starts. Her second-up record is excellent, and she's proven on soft tracks. With Logan Bates aboard from a good draw, she maps to get a nice run midfield and should be finishing strongly.
Ruby Avenue brings strong recent form, finishing 2nd at Mornington just 11 days ago. While carrying top weight is a concern, his consistent form (2 seconds and 1 third from 7 starts) suggests he'll be right in the finish. Thomas Stockdale knows the horse well.
Jack The Judge showed promise on debut when finishing 3rd at Mornington over this distance just 11 days ago. He's proven on soft tracks and draws well in barrier 3. With natural improvement expected second-up and Jake Noonan retaining the ride, he should be competitive. The fast tempo should suit his racing style.
Trained by the astute John Sadler who has a good record with debutants, he draws well in barrier 8.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Ruby Avenue | 11 | Thomas Stockdale | Andrea Leek | 59.5kg | $18.00 |
| 2nd | 12 | Posh Diamante | 7 | Daniel Stackhouse | P Stokes | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Aliano | 4 | Luke Nolen | R D Griffiths | 59.5kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Firerated | 1 | Ben Allen | Alexander Rae | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Louis Barthas | 12 | Declan Bates | Nick Ryan | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Maynard | 8 | J D Sadler | 58kg | $10.00 | |
| 7th | 8 | Brazen Diva | 10 | Logan Bates | G Eurell | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Rock Glory | 6 | Jamie Mott | G Eurell | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Diamond Flash One | 14 | Valentin Le Boeuf | F Stockdale | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Poised | 5 | Jordan Childs | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 11th | 14 | Becauseofyou | 2 | Rhys Mc Leod | F Stockdale | 58kg | $151.00 |
| 12th | 5 | Franki's Bugatti | 9 | Paul Gatt | F Stockdale | 58kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Jack The Judge | 3 | Jake Noonan | Logan McGill | 58kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Jenni The Ninja | 15 | Beau Mertens | Gavin Bedggood | 56kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Zoom Queen | 13 | R J Meunier | 56kg |
Has shown versatility in running style and should get a perfect run from barrier 2. Looks ready to break through.
Honey Maker brings solid credentials with a consistent record of placings including strong track statistics (0-1-2 from 4 starts at Pakenham). Has performed well on soft tracks with two thirds from four attempts. The wide barrier is a concern but with her running style and the likely tempo, she can finish strongly.
Rainy Night is second-up from a spell and should improve significantly on his last start 7th on a heavy track. The perfect barrier draw will allow him to take up a forward position and the Freedman stable is renowned for having their horses peak second-up.
Second-up from a spell after a solid 4th when resuming, he has strong fresh form with a second placing from two first-up runs. Has proven ability on soft tracks and should take up a forward position from barrier 8.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Honey Maker | 9 | Luke Currie | Shawn Mathrick | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Serene Defense | 8 | Bailey Kinninmont | Brett Conlon | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Corviglia | 7 | Jake Noonan | Alexander Rae | 58kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 5 | Rainy Night | 1 | Daniel Stackhouse | A & S Freedman | 58kg | $2.70 |
| 5th | 6 | Black Eyed Blonde | 2 | Ben Allen | Ms W Kelly | 57.5kg | $2.90 |
| 6th | 9 | The New Deel | 10 | Sally Wynne | Adam Hanley | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Ballandella Street | 3 | Jason Maskiell | Rachael Cunningham | 59.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Horatius | 4 | Luke Nolen | C W McDonald | 58kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Sous La Lune | 5 | Thomas Stockdale | Angus Townley | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Macca's Angel | 6 | Lachlan Neindorf | P Stokes | 56kg |
Icaro brings the strongest recent form, finishing a close second at Caulfield Heath over this distance just 9 days ago on a soft track. His consistency at the mile (2:0-1-0) and proven soft track ability make him well-suited to today's conditions. The likely fast tempo should play to his strengths as he can settle midfield and finish strongly.
The fast tempo should suit his running style, and Beau Mertens is a positive jockey booking.
Dela Bella brings valuable course experience with a strong record at Pakenham (4:0-1-1) and at this distance (3:0-1-1). Her consistency on soft tracks and recent 2nd place finish at this track and distance make her a genuine contender. The inside draw from barrier 5 should allow her to secure a good position in midfield, and her proven ability to handle the conditions gives her solid place claims.
The Busuttin & Young stable know how to prepare a horse, and Jordan Childs is a quality jockey booking.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Left Hook | 9 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Good Lordy Me | 10 | Jason Maskiell | Jack Laing | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Icaro | 7 | M C Kent | 59.5kg | $2.60 | |
| 4th | 7 | Valle Di Luce | 2 | Jordan Childs | T Busuttin & N Young | 58kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 8 | Dela Bella | 5 | Daniel Stackhouse | Tetyana Furdetska | 57.5kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 10 | Winter Grace | 8 | Sally Wynne | P Foster | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Shadow Storm | 3 | Emily Pozman | Mitchell Leek | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Come On Hugo | 1 | Brad Rawiller | Paul Worthington | 59.5kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Dictator Dino | 6 | Jamie Mott | T Rogers | 58kg | $5.50 |
| Scr | 6 | Hirarkee | 4 | Jake Noonan | T Busuttin & N Young | 58kg |
Aka Daka brings progressive form into this race after breaking his maiden last start over the same distance.
Subtle Power brings consistent form into this race with a 3rd placing last start over 1750m on a heavy track. She has won at this distance previously and draws perfectly in barrier 3.
Thinking Gold returns from a spell with some solid form in his previous preparation. While he's unproven on soft tracks and carries top weight, his consistent record and likely on-pace position in a moderately run race give him strong claims.
Sinister Sauce comes into this race off an impressive first-up win at Traralgon over 1430m. She has a strong record at the mile with 1 win and 3 seconds from 9 starts, and has previously won at this track.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Eye For An Eye | 4 | Lachlan Neindorf | J Leek Jnr | 59kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 5 | Subtle Power | 3 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 7 | Oak Beach | 1 | Daniel Stackhouse | C I Brown | 57.5kg | $2.70 |
| 4th | 3 | Aka Daka | 6 | Mitchell Aitken | V L Malady | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 10 | Toronova | 9 | Paul Gatt | I M Pankhurst | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Gamegirl | 10 | Lauren Burke | R W Harrison | 55kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Thinking Gold | 5 | Luke Nolen | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Northwood Vamoose | 8 | Sally Wynne | Ms S L Wynne | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Sinister Sauce | 7 | Ryan Houston | Simon Zahra | 55kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Vampire Miss | 2 | Tetyana Furdetska | 55kg |
Noble Steed presents as a progressive stayer who's hitting form at the right time. His last-start win in heavy conditions was impressive, and he's shown consistent improvement across his last three runs. Jamie Mott is a positive jockey booking.
His consistent performances in higher grade races suggest he's well placed here. The 51-day freshen-up is a query, but his overall profile suggests he'll be hitting the line strongly. Daniel Stackhouse knows the horse well and should give him every chance from a good barrier.
Divine Clementine is a progressive mare who scored impressively last start in heavy conditions. She's proven at this distance with a win from two attempts and gets in well at the weights with 57kg. The inside draw should allow Jordan Childs to position her ideally in the run. While this is a significant class rise, her progressive profile suggests she can measure up.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 13 | Second Nature | 2 | Emily Pozman | B T Malanczyn | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Art 'n' Soul | 6 | Luke Currie | K & K Keys | 58.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Wealdstone | 8 | Daniel Stackhouse | C I Brown | 58.5kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 16 | Aberlutely | 1 | Lachlan Neindorf | Pat Carey & Harris Walker | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Love Sparkles | 4 | Ryan Houston | Andrew Forsman | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Whisky Moon | 16 | Alexander Rae | 58.5kg | $19.00 | |
| 7th | 14 | Noble Steed | 14 | Jamie Mott | A & S Freedman | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Rebadge | 11 | Ben Allen | Dominic Sutton | 60kg | $7.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Sunset Missile | 5 | Jason Maskiell | Rachael Cunningham | 59.5kg | $18.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Divine Clementine | 3 | Jordan Childs | Mitchell Freedman | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Blue Ismay | 9 | Celine Gaudray | T Busuttin & N Young | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| 12th | 1 | Absolute Deel | 15 | Koby Jennings | G B Andrews | 60kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Storm Ahead | 7 | Julius Sandhu | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Legacy Rose | 13 | Rhys Mc Leod | P Kearney | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Jenni Intiba | 10 | Declan Bates | Shane Jackson | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Winds Of March | 12 | Thomas Stockdale | Simon Zahra | 58kg |
Progressive mare showing excellent development with a perfect 3 from 3 top-3 record. Her soft track form is impressive (1-0-1 from 2 starts) and she's proven at the distance. While stepping up in class, her consistent improvement pattern suggests she's ready for this level. The likely fast tempo should suit her midfield running style, and she maps to get a perfect run from barrier 5.
Her soft track record is solid (1-0-0 from 3 starts) and the removal of blinkers could help her settle better in a fast-tempo race. While her recent form has been inconsistent, she has a strong record at the distance (1-1-2 from 7 starts) and the class is suitable.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Twisted Queen | 2 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 60kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 2 | Marble Point | 10 | Nadia Daniels | R D Griffiths | 58kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 6 | Tipsy Gypsy | 5 | Brad Rawiller | E W Ewert | 60kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Lavender Glory | 7 | Rhys Mc Leod | Jason Warren | 60.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Ocean's Jen | 4 | Bailey Kinninmont | Andrew Perdon | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Frenzy Lune | 11 | Celine Gaudray | Patrick Keane | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Carolina Breeze | 1 | Ben Allen | Dominic Sutton | 59kg | $5.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Electric Star | 3 | Luke Cartwright | C W McDonald | 59kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Youwroteuponit | 8 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Cherrabah | 6 | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Gibraltar Tycoon | 9 | Patrick Moloney | R D Griffiths | 59kg |
Cosmic Charger brings strong soft track credentials (1-2-0 from 4 starts) and consistent recent form including a last-start 2nd at Echuca over this distance. The Hayes-trained gelding has shown progressive improvement, breaking through for a maiden win two starts back. The moderate-fast tempo should suit his racing pattern.
Lygon Street Luigi brings excellent soft track credentials (1-6-1 from 10 starts) and consistent form with 9 second placings from 25 starts. The 6yo gelding has been racing consistently with 3 placings from his last 5 starts and should appreciate the moderate-fast tempo from his advantageous barrier 7 draw. Main concern is his tendency to find one better.
Jenni La Rock brings consistent recent form including a 3rd placing last start at Echuca over this distance. The 4yo mare has shown an affinity for soft tracks with 2 third placings from 3 starts on soft going. She's lightly-raced with just 7 career starts and appears to be improving with each run. Well-weighted with 57kg and drawn well in barrier 2, though she is facing a significant class rise here.
The 10yo veteran has a strong soft track record (4-5-3 from 24 starts) and has placed twice from 4 starts at Pakenham. He's dropping in class here and has the benefit of a 3kg claiming apprentice.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Skycatcher | 10 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 60.5kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Lygon Street Luigi | 7 | Caitlin Hollowood | Denis Pagan | 56.5kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 14 | Mordialloc Beach | 5 | Logan Bates | Ms W Kelly | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Lim's Smythe | 6 | Luke Nolen | D Meagher | 61kg | $3.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Jenni La Rock | 2 | Ben Allen | Dominic Sutton | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Fauci | 1 | Jamie Mott | T Busuttin & N Young | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 15 | Grinzinger Earl | 12 | Shea Eden | 58kg | $16.00 | |
| 8th | 13 | Cosmic Charger | 4 | Celine Gaudray | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Theophilus | 8 | V L Malady | 58.5kg | $41.00 | |
| 10th | 8 | Rushford | 13 | Bailey Kinninmont | Ms N Shelton | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Gallant Prince | 15 | Brad Rawiller | Clayton Douglas | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Savamoon | 16 | Emily Pozman | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | |
| Scr | 5 | The Negotiator | 3 | Daniel Stackhouse | C I Brown | 60kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Al Prancer | 11 | Jordan Childs | K & K Keys | 59kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Lady Sadler | 9 | Luke Cartwright | C W McDonald | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Houso | 14 | Thomas Stockdale | Simone Manne | 58kg |
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