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Victoria · Saturday 22 November 2025

Cranbourne tips and results

Our top pick won 2 of 10 races at Cranbourne. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

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Top pick won2/1020%
Any tip won4/1040%
Top pick placed5/1050%
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R1

Reed Cranes & Haulage Leila Rose Foundation (Bm70)

12:20 local1300mBenchmark 70$80,000
Winner8. Al PrancerSP $10.00
★ Top pick3rd
6Prince Tycoon

Our price $2.50 · SP $3.50 · Craig Williams

This Written Tycoon gelding represents significant class dropping from Group 3 to BM70. Maps to settle midfield from barrier 8 which suits the likely fast tempo.

2nd pick5th
3Madiyya

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.20 · Luke Cartwright

Super Seth mare has been dominant winning her last two starts but faces a significant class test first-up. The Hayes stable typically has them ready first-up and barrier 6 allows tactical options.

3rd pick2nd
7Stealth Of Night

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.50 · Michael Dee

Night Of Thunder mare is unbeaten but untested at this level. The long spell is a concern but the Hayes stable and Dee booking suggest confidence. Maps to be prominent from barrier 4.

Value pick4th
1Kahhof

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Sheridan Clarke

Pierro gelding offers value dropping in class after competitive BM90 effort.

  1. 1st8Al PrancerLuke Currie$10.00
  2. 2nd7Stealth Of NightMichael Dee$3.50
  3. 3rd6Prince TycoonCraig Williams$3.50
  4. 4th1KahhofSheridan Clarke$7.50
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st8Al Prancer5Luke CurrieK & K Keys55kg$10.00
2nd7Stealth Of Night4Michael DeeBen, Will & Jd Hayes56.5kg$3.50
3rd6Prince Tycoon8Craig WilliamsT Busuttin & N Young58.5kg$3.50
4th1Kahhof3Sheridan ClarkeJ F Moloney59.5kg$7.50
5th3Madiyya6Luke CartwrightBen, Will & Jd Hayes58.5kg$3.20
6th2Veloce Carro7Logan BatesD M Noonan59.5kg$41.00
7th5Thorin1Jordan ChildsNick Ryan60kg$81.00
8th4Pentle Bay2Ben AllenC Maher60kg$26.00
R2

Frankston Sand Soil & Mini Mix Colin Alderson Classic Hcp

12:50 local1400mOpen$150,000
Winner8. MaldiniSP $4.40
★ Top pick7th
5Mongolian Gobi

Our price $3.50 · SP $4.20 · Daniel Stackhouse

Progressive 3yo with excellent consistency showing 3 placings from 4 starts. While stepping up significantly in class from BM64 to Open company, his narrow defeats suggest scope for improvement. Maps ideally from barrier 6 to settle midfield and benefit from the likely fast tempo. The 54.5kg weight is a significant advantage in this field.

2nd pick2nd
7Caffettiera

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Craig Williams

Lightly-raced filly from the powerful Freedman stable who broke through last start at Mornington. While facing a significant class rise, the booking of Craig Williams and inside barrier are positives. The fast tempo should suit her settling close to the pace from gate 1. Limited experience is a concern but she has upside.

3rd pick4th
3St Edward

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.40 · Beau Mertens

I Am Invincible gelding who impressed winning his maiden at Moonee Valley. The step to 1400m is untested but breeding suggests it shouldn't be an issue. Class rise is significant but he's shown quality.

Value pick5th
1Vega For Luck

Our price $8.00 · SP $14.00 · Jamie Mott

While his last start was disappointing, this Lucky Vega colt has shown he belongs at this level with a Group 3 second at Caulfield. The fast tempo should suit his closing style from midfield despite the weight concern.

  1. 1st8MaldiniLuke Nolen$4.40
  2. 2nd7CaffettieraCraig Williams$5.00
  3. 3rd2Katsumi OrochiMichael Dee$6.00
  4. 4th3St EdwardBeau Mertens$4.40
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st8Maldini7Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman54kg$4.40
2nd7Caffettiera1Craig WilliamsA & S Freedman54kg$5.00
3rd2Katsumi Orochi2Michael DeeA & S Freedman56kg$6.00
4th3St Edward3Beau MertensM Price & M Kent Jnr56kg$4.40
5th1Vega For Luck4Jamie MottM M Laurie60kg$14.00
6th6Brave Charm8Alana KellyYoshitomo Shima54kg$61.00
7th5Mongolian Gobi6Daniel StackhouseD T O'Brien54.5kg$4.20
8th4Magick Media5Jordan ChildsG Eurell55.5kg$31.00
R3

Rhino The Wrecker Toryboy (Bm70)

13:25 local2540mBenchmark 70$80,000
Winner6. Black PeppermintSP $5.00
★ Top pick10th
7Hot Too Go

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.20 · Craig Williams

Progressive 4yo gelding coming off a last-start win at Moonee Valley. The inside barrier is ideal at Cranbourne where positioning is crucial, and Craig Williams knows how to ride this track.

2nd pick6th
3Karburan

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · Beau Mertens

Last-start track/distance winner dropping significantly in class from BM96 level. The Busuttin/Young stable rarely misses with horses at the right level, and this represents his easiest assignment in months. Beau Mertens retains the ride after their winning combination.

3rd pickScratched
14Prochester

Our price $7.50 · Luke Cartwright

NZ import dropping from Group company into BM70 grade. Last-start second at Seymour indicates fitness, and the booking of Luke Currie suggests connections are confident. The wide barrier is a concern but the class drop and light weight provide appeal.

Value pickWon
6Black Peppermint

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.00 · Luke Nolen

Value play based on recent winning form and versatility across all track conditions. Won impressively over 3200m last start and the drop back in distance should suit.

  1. 1st6Black PeppermintLuke Nolen$5.00
  2. 2nd11SalsitaDean Yendall$21.00
  3. 3rd1Commander HarryDeclan Bates$31.00
  4. 4th2HaalandLucinda Boyd$11.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Black Peppermint5Luke NolenPatrick & Michelle Payne59kg$5.00
2nd11Salsita1Dean YendallE & D Browne57.5kg$21.00
3rd1Commander Harry14Declan BatesP A Preusker61.5kg$31.00
4th2Haaland13Lucinda BoydLucinda Boyd61kg$11.00
5th4Natural Ruler10Daniel StackhouseA & S Freedman60kg$16.00
6th3Karburan7Beau MertensT Busuttin & N Young60kg$4.60
7th8Split9Alana KellyPatrick & Michelle Payne59kg$91.00
8th9Mickio4Logan BatesM J Enright55.5kg$15.00
9th15Power Pivot8Luke CurrieK & K Keys55kg$41.00
10th7Hot Too Go2Craig WilliamsD T O'Brien59kg$3.20
11th10Nassak Diamond6Rose HammondPatrick & Michelle Payne54.5kg$41.00
12th5Budjik Boy3Thomas StockdaleP A Preusker59.5kg$14.00
13th12Buddong11Celine GaudrayP Kearney57kg$19.00
Scr13African Grey12Julius Sandhu56kg
Scr14Prochester15Luke CartwrightAndrew Forsman53.5kg
R4

Rosemont Stud F&M Pendant Hcp

14:00 local1400mOpen$150,000
Winner7. Grid GirlSP $4.60
★ Top pick2nd
5Gumdrops

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.10 · Ben Melham

Gumdrops profiles as the most likely winner based on recent Group form. Her 2nd in the G3 Schillaci Stakes reads well for this, showing she can compete at elite level. Good track record of 3-2-0 suits today's conditions perfectly.

2nd pick3rd
1Keep Your Cool

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.30 · Ethan Brown

Keep Your Cool brings solid Open class form with a last-start 3rd in the G1 Empire Rose. Her 1400m record is strong and she's proven at this level. The Maher/Brown combination is in form, and from barrier 8 she should get a good run.

3rd pickWon
7Grid Girl

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.60 · Michael Dee

Grid Girl won dominantly first-up on a Heavy track and now steps up in class second-up. Her 1400m record is excellent with 3 wins, and the Hayes/Dee combination excels in feature races. The question is whether her Heavy track dominance translates to Good conditions.

Value pick8th
4Ahha Ahha

Our price $6.00 · SP $12.00 · Beau Mertens

She won well at 1400m in May and showed promise when 4th first-up.

  1. 1st7Grid GirlMichael Dee$4.60
  2. 2nd5GumdropsBen Melham$3.10
  3. 3rd1Keep Your CoolEthan Brown$3.30
  4. 4th3Extreme VirtueCraig Williams$8.50
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Grid Girl6Michael DeeBen, Will & Jd Hayes56kg$4.60
2nd5Gumdrops7Ben MelhamC J Waller56kg$3.10
3rd1Keep Your Cool8Ethan BrownC Maher57kg$3.30
4th3Extreme Virtue2Craig WilliamsBen, Will & Jd Hayes57kg$8.50
5th2Merrigold4Thomas StockdaleJ D Sadler57kg$12.00
6th8Kirribilli3Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman56kg$17.00
7th6New York Scandal1Luke CartwrightAaron Laing56kg$151.00
8th4Ahha Ahha5Beau MertensC W McDonald57kg$12.00
R5

Freeway Ford Shooting Stars Hcp (C3)

14:35 local1500mClass 3$150,000
Winner3. Chest Of GoldSP $6.50
★ Top pickWon
3Chest Of Gold

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.50 · Beau Mertens

Won impressively at BM66 level in September and has strong Cranbourne form. The inside barrier and likely moderate-fast tempo suit his on-pace style perfectly.

2nd pick3rd
2Big Sexy

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.60 · Ethan Brown

His soft track record is excellent and the likely leader position suits.

3rd pick2nd
6Astral Flame

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.20 · Lachlan Neindorf

Talented mare who bounced back with impressive BM70 win after Pakenham failure. Good track record strong but the dramatic form reversal last start raises consistency concerns.

Value pick6th
1Acelum

Our price $7.00 · SP $16.00 · Luke Currie

Luke Currie booking adds credibility to chances.

  1. 1st3Chest Of GoldBeau Mertens$6.50
  2. 2nd6Astral FlameLachlan Neindorf$4.20
  3. 3rd2Big SexyEthan Brown$2.60
  4. 4th8Draw AttentionLuke Nolen$31.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Chest Of Gold4Beau MertensJulius Sandhu58.5kg$6.50
2nd6Astral Flame2Lachlan NeindorfE Jusufovic56.5kg$4.20
3rd2Big Sexy5Ethan BrownMaddie Raymond & Patrick Bell58.5kg$2.60
4th8Draw Attention1Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman55kg$31.00
5th4Yes I Know7Daniel StackhouseA & S Freedman58.5kg$5.00
6th1Acelum3Luke CurrieBen, Will & Jd Hayes60kg$16.00
7th9Casino Showgirl8Declan BatesWill Clarken55kg$14.00
8th7Game Plan6Thomas StockdaleMs C Alderson56.5kg$26.00
9th5Infinite Jest9Celine GaudrayPaul & Tracey Templeton57kg$101.00
R6

John Duff & Co The Lester (Bm84)

15:10 local2025mBenchmark 84$130,000
Winner6. Regal LionSP $17.00
★ Top pick7th
5Shockletz

Our price $2.50 · SP $2.50 · Ethan Brown

Clear top pick based on superior form metrics. Recent Flemington placing in BM90 shows she's ready for this class rise.

2nd pick6th
8Hurry Curry

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.80 · Craig Williams

The class drop is enormous and Craig Williams doesn't ride for nothing. Second up from a spell, she has winning form at this stage of preparation. The inside barrier gives tactical options and while recent form is patchy, the class relief could spark improvement.

3rd pickScratched
1Howlin' Rain

Our price $4.00 · Logan Bates

Solid each-way prospect coming off a confidence-boosting win. The distance suits perfectly and his Cranbourne record is excellent.

Value pick2nd
3Darknconfidential

Our price $8.00 · SP $17.00 · Jason Holder

Intriguing SA visitor with strong recent form including a dominant BM84 win. The Listed placing suggests he can mix it at this level. Worth a small each-way investment.

  1. 1st6Regal LionJamie Mott$17.00
  2. 2nd3DarknconfidentialJason Holder$17.00
  3. 3rd10The StorytellerLachlan Neindorf$41.00
  4. 4th9Texas TeaRyan Houston$6.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Regal Lion4Jamie MottGavin Bedggood57kg$17.00
2nd3Darknconfidential5Jason HolderS P Gower57.5kg$17.00
3rd10The Storyteller3Lachlan NeindorfJ Leek Jnr53kg$41.00
4th9Texas Tea10Ryan HoustonC Maher52kg$6.00
5th2Amberite2Daniel StackhouseM M Laurie58.5kg$7.50
6th8Hurry Curry1Craig WilliamsD T O'Brien54kg$4.80
7th5Shockletz6Ethan BrownC Maher57.5kg$2.50
8th4Flash Feeling8Luke CartwrightDan O'Sullivan55.5kg$41.00
9th7Bon Mistress9Jordan ChildsK & K Keys54.5kg$9.00
Scr1Howlin' Rain7Logan BatesMs C Alderson57.5kg
R7

Unox Casa Lawson Poole Plate (Bm80)

15:45 local1200mBenchmark 80$130,000
Winner4. HearcomesthestarSP $21.00
★ Top pick4th
3Stoli Bolli

Our price $3.00 · SP $4.40 · Michael Dee

Stoli Bolli drops significantly in class after mixing it with the best in the Coolmore Stud Stakes. His recent form at BM78-84 level has been excellent with placings behind quality horses. The addition of blinkers first time could provide the edge needed, and from a midfield position he'll be suited by the likely fast tempo.

2nd pick7th
1Mytemptation

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.20 · Craig Williams

Mytemptation has been racing in excellent form with two seconds from his last two starts. His 1200m record is strong and the booking of Craig Williams is a positive move. While the wide barrier and top weight are concerns, his consistency and proven ability at this level make him a genuine winning chance.

3rd pick2nd
2Naval Academy

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.50 · Luke Cartwright

Naval Academy broke through for a deserved win last start at Geelong and gets the perfect barrier draw here. His 1200m record is excellent with 3 wins from 7 starts. The month between runs is a slight query but the Maher stable rarely has them underdone. From barrier 1 he'll get every chance.

Value pick9th
7Jasmin Rouge

Our price $6.00 · SP $13.00 · Ben Melham

Jasmin Rouge represents significant value dropping from Listed class to BM80. While her first-up run was poor, she has a perfect second-up record and this represents a much easier assignment than recent starts.

  1. 1st4HearcomesthestarBeau Mertens$21.00
  2. 2nd2Naval AcademyLuke Cartwright$6.50
  3. 3rd10ActualityCarleen Hefel$10.00
  4. 4th3Stoli BolliMichael Dee$4.40
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Hearcomesthestar3Beau MertensJ F Moloney58kg$21.00
2nd2Naval Academy1Luke CartwrightC Maher58kg$6.50
3rd10Actuality7Carleen HefelP G Moody & Katherine Coleman54kg$10.00
4th3Stoli Bolli8Michael DeeBen, Will & Jd Hayes58.5kg$4.40
5th9Let'sfacethemusic5Logan BatesM Price & M Kent Jnr53.5kg$5.50
6th5Yaldi2Declan BatesAndrew Forsman57.5kg$10.00
7th1Mytemptation10Craig WilliamsE Jusufovic60kg$3.20
8th6Empressive Enuff6Ryan HoustonD Binaisse54.5kg$41.00
9th7Jasmin Rouge9Ben MelhamC W McDonald56kg$13.00
Scr8Sweethearted4P Stokes56kg
R8

Ladbrokes Cranbourne Cup

16:25 local1600mListedOpen$500,000
Winner15. SabajSP $3.30
★ Top pickWon
15Sabaj

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.30 · Beau Mertens

Sabaj profiles as the most likely winner based on exceptional form metrics. His 57% win rate and recent Group 3 placing behind quality horses stamps him as a rising talent. While stepping up in class, his form trajectory and tactical speed suggest he can handle this rise.

2nd pick6th
3Air Assault

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00 · Jason Holder

Air Assault brings winning Listed form and a strong 1600m record. His last-start Morphettville win over 1800m shows he's in career-best form. The drop back to 1600m suits, and barrier 4 allows tactical options.

3rd pick5th
1Warnie

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Ethan Brown

Warnie's last-start Group 2 victory confirms his elite credentials. The wide barrier is manageable given the long run to the first turn at Cranbourne. His ability to finish strongly suits the predicted fast tempo. While light on 1600m experience, his class and recent form suggest he'll be competitive.

Value pick2nd
14Enxuto

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.50 · Patrick Moloney

His Group 2 third to Warnie two starts back reads well for this, and his exceptional 1600m record (4-1-2) cannot be ignored. Barrier 3 is ideal at Cranbourne, allowing him to settle handy.

  1. 1st15SabajBeau Mertens$3.30
  2. 2nd14EnxutoPatrick Moloney$6.50
  3. 3rd6HolymanzMichael Dee$16.00
  4. 4th17PondalowieLuke Currie$15.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st15Sabaj15Beau MertensM Price & M Kent Jnr54kg$3.30
2nd14Enxuto3Patrick MoloneyR D Griffiths54kg$6.50
3rd6Holymanz6Michael DeeC Maher57kg$16.00
4th17Pondalowie1Luke CurrieE & D Browne54kg$15.00
5th1Warnie12Ethan BrownC Maher60kg$9.00
6th3Air Assault4Jason HolderA J Gluyas58.5kg$5.00
7th2Steparty8Craig WilliamsP A Preusker59.5kg$15.00
8th12St Lawrence16Logan BatesGavin Bedggood55kg$91.00
9th10Bank Maur14Ben MelhamRichard Laming55kg$61.00
10th18Scheelite2Jordan ChildsK & K Keys54kg$10.00
11th8Charterhouse13Lachlan NeindorfGavin Bedggood56kg$51.00
12th9Jennilala5Declan BatesGavin Bedggood55.5kg$31.00
13th13Statuario9Dean YendallE & D Browne55kg$15.00
Scr4Casino Seventeen18Gavin Bedggood58.5kg
Scr5El Rocko10Jamie MottJohn McArdle57.5kg
Scr7Regal Zeus7Daniel StackhouseJohn McArdle56.5kg
Scr11Saban11Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman55kg
Scr16Verdad17R D Griffiths54kg
R9

Ladbrokes Meteorite

17:05 local1200mOpen$1,000,000
Winner2. JigsawSP $6.00
★ Top pick7th
8Hedged

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.60 · Jamie Mott

Progressive gelding coming off strong Group 3 placing at Flemington and Open win at Cranbourne. The addition of winkers first time could provide the edge needed in this elite field.

2nd pick3rd
5Zou Sensation

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.50 · Ben Allen

Consistent performer who has found his best form this preparation with Listed win and G2 placing. The 1200m is his optimum trip and barrier 5 allows options.

3rd pick10th
6Need Some Luck

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.50 · Michael Dee

Progressive type who won impressively first-up in Listed grade on Heavy 8. His second-up record is excellent and he's proven at 1200m.

Value pick5th
4Watchme Win

Our price $10.00 · SP $17.00 · Jason Holder

  1. 1st2JigsawLogan Bates$6.00
  2. 2nd1Arkansaw KidLuke Currie$6.50
  3. 3rd5Zou SensationBen Allen$6.50
  4. 4th14Jenni The FoxDeclan Bates$91.00
Full result · 14 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Jigsaw11Logan BatesMs C Alderson59kg$6.00
2nd1Arkansaw Kid8Luke CurrieBen, Will & Jd Hayes59kg$6.50
3rd5Zou Sensation5Ben AllenL & T Corstens & W Larkin58kg$6.50
4th14Jenni The Fox10Declan BatesLucy Yeomans55kg$91.00
5th4Watchme Win2Jason HolderA J Gluyas58.5kg$17.00
6th3Nadal13Ethan BrownC Maher58.5kg$9.00
7th8Hedged3Jamie MottGavin Bedggood57kg$3.60
8th10Sought After4Luke NolenP G Moody & Katherine Coleman57kg$61.00
9th9Klabel1Thomas StockdaleR & C Jolly57kg$41.00
10th6Need Some Luck9Michael DeePeter Snowden58kg$8.50
11th12Soft Love12Daniel StackhouseM M Laurie55.5kg$21.00
12th13Extratwo6Beau MertensC Maher55kg$81.00
13th7Beauty Charge14Craig WilliamsMatthew Smith57kg$26.00
14th11Stretan Angel7Lachlan NeindorfP Stokes56kg$31.00
R10

Hertz Geoff Whiffin Sprint (Bm74)

17:40 local1000mBenchmark 74$130,000
Winner1. Gin A TonicSP $5.00
★ Top pick3rd
13Celerity

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.90 · Carleen Hefel

The inside barrier is crucial with predicted fast tempo, allowing her to save ground. Fresh horses often outperform at Cranbourne, and her first-up record is solid.

2nd pick2nd
9Biancelli

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Beau Mertens

Biancelli is unbeaten and has won both first-up starts, making her dangerous despite the long layoff.

3rd pickScratched
3Codigo

Our price $8.00 · Emily Pozman

Codigo brings solid credentials dropping from Group company where he's been competitive. His 50% place rate shows consistency, and he's proven at 1000m. The wide barrier is concerning with likely fast tempo, but his class edge and Moody stable's current form make him a legitimate chance.

Value pick7th
12Manhattan Thunder

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Hannah Edgley

While the class rise is concerning, his improving form and track experience make him worth a small each-way investment.

  1. 1st1Gin A TonicLogan Bates$5.00
  2. 2nd9BiancelliBeau Mertens$4.40
  3. 3rd13CelerityCarleen Hefel$2.90
  4. 4th4Harry Got StylesJamie Mott$11.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Gin A Tonic5Logan BatesS B Laming61kg$5.00
2nd9Biancelli3Beau MertensM Price & M Kent Jnr57.5kg$4.40
3rd13Celerity2Carleen HefelC Maher54kg$2.90
4th4Harry Got Styles8Jamie MottM M Laurie61.5kg$11.00
5th5Demojo6Steven VellaKylie Vella60.5kg$12.00
5th11Always Enuff10Lachlan NeindorfShane Nichols & Hayden Black57kg$51.00
7th12Manhattan Thunder7Hannah EdgleyJ D Sadler52.5kg$26.00
8th7The Showvinist9Michael DeeBen, Will & Jd Hayes58.5kg$26.00
9th2Shirshov1Daniel StackhouseP Stokes62.5kg$7.50
Scr3Codigo12Emily PozmanP G Moody & Katherine Coleman58.5kg
Scr6Rattle And Bang4Sheridan ClarkeD Binaisse57kg
Scr8Pure Bliss11Ben, Will & Jd Hayes58kg
Scr10Midnight Devil13Rose HammondE Jusufovic54.5kg

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