Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Friday 5 December 2025
Our top pick won 1 of 7 races at Mudgee. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The inside barrier draw (2) gives tactical options in a race likely to be run at a slow tempo. While untested at 2000m, his recent efforts at 1600m suggest the step up in trip should suit. Grant Buckley aboard is a significant positive.
Juan Pablo brings proven 2000m credentials with a win at the distance and solid recent form including a 3rd placing last start over 2100m. While carrying top weight of 61kg is a challenge, he has the class edge to overcome it. Has shown ability on soft tracks with a placing from two attempts.
The significant class drop is a major positive, and his experience (9 wins from 75 starts) will be valuable. While untested at 2000m, his recent runs at 1900m and 2200m suggest the distance should suit.
Her previous 2000m experience (albeit unplaced) and light weight of 55.5kg are positives.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Banyan Tree | 2 | Grant Buckley | T J Bartley | 59kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 6 | Ever Was | 1 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | J A Steinmetz | 57.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Toulon Factor | 7 | Bronte Simpson | Ms J Clement | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 9 | Cheeky Secrets | 3 | Leeshelle Small | W T Martyn | 53kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Juan Pablo | 4 | Lee Magorrian | Richard & Will Freedman | 61kg | $3.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Tavijewel | 12 | Zoe Hunt | Barry Wall | 53.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Broadcast Boogie | 9 | Mikayla Weir | Connie Greig | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Sun Beauty | 8 | Jacob Stiff | Connie Greig | 52kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Overflow Miss | 11 | Wendy Peel | Ms S Jeffries | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Ocean Hero | 6 | Katherine Bell-Pitomac | Troy Mc Carney | 55kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Flashy Icon | 5 | Rob Potter | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Zartamay | 10 | Aaron Bullock | D Wagstaff | 59kg |
His recent 3rd placing showed good ability and he's on an upward trajectory after just two starts. The gelding should get an ideal run from barrier 6 and has the strongest finishing burst to overhaul rivals. With Mathew Cahill aboard, he represents the best winning chance.
Her recent form is solid with a close 2nd last start and 3rd the run prior. The mare is drawn well in barrier 5 and should get a good midfield position. With Mikayla Weir aboard, she has the ability to finish strongly and represents a genuine winning chance.
With Jean Van Overmeire aboard, this lightly-raced gelding has significant upside and could improve sharply at his second race start. The 1200m looks suitable for his running style.
Second-up from a spell, he should improve on his last start 6th and has shown ability with a 2nd placing two starts back.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Master Speed | 4 | Kody Nestor | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Bellerata | 5 | Mikayla Weir | W T Wilkes | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Marebello | 8 | Grant Buckley | D R Mirfin | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 9 | Vicious Rumour | 1 | Katherine Bell-Pitomac | M R Mulholland | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Spy Trader | 3 | Jean Van Overmeire | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Whittello Sun | 6 | Mathew Cahill | Simon Casey | 57.5kg | $3.10 |
| 7th | 6 | Star Whisperer | 9 | Aaron Bullock | R P Northam | 57.5kg | $4.60 |
| Scr | 3 | Nulkaba Star | 2 | J A Sylvester | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Looking The Part | 7 | Leeshelle Small | Cassandra Stummer | 55.5kg |
Coming in second-up today with a good record in that pattern, she showed her class with a strong placing last start at Quirindi. While drawn wide, her consistent form and proven ability at similar distances make her the standout selection.
Jagerschnitzel brings strong recent form with a 2nd last start at Scone. While carrying top weight and unproven at the track, his consistency and the booking of Aaron Bullock make him a genuine chance, though slightly behind Jamacri on overall assessment.
His recent maiden win at Warren shows he's in good form, and the quick 7-day backup suggests fitness.
Naftali comes off a recent maiden win at Wellington showing significant improvement. While his soft track record is a concern, he has a good record at the distance (2:1-1-0) and draws perfectly in barrier 1.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Ghaznavi | 2 | Cameron Crockett | 56kg | $8.50 | |
| 2nd | 2 | Jagerschnitzel | 6 | Aaron Bullock | Cameron Crockett | 58kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Amanoah | 3 | Jean Van Overmeire | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Naftali | 1 | Kody Nestor | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Darn Deadly | 7 | Grant Buckley | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 56kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Jamacri | 8 | Chelsea Hillier | R P Northam | 57kg | $2.80 |
| 7th | 8 | Unsolved | 5 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | M D Griffith | 56kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Yorkel | 4 | M E Jones | 59.5kg |
Marvel Man brings the strongest combination of form, consistency and track condition suitability to this race. Has placed in 5 of his last 7 starts including three recent seconds, and maps to get an ideal on-pace position from barrier 4.
Pharoahzano brings solid credentials including a previous win at this track. His fresh win at Dubbo two starts back shows he's capable at this level, and he gets weight relief here. Main query is his soft track record.
Baycat comes into this with excellent recent form including a last-start win at Orange. She's proven on soft tracks (3:1-0-2) and has a solid overall record (8:2-2-3). While facing a class rise, her progressive profile suggests she can be competitive. Olivia Chambers maintains the partnership which is a positive.
Her soft track record (9:2-3-0) is excellent for these conditions, and her overall place strike rate (47%) indicates consistency. Last start failure can be forgiven.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Butterfly Style | 2 | Grant Buckley | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Marvel Man | 4 | Winona Costin | Ms C Crockett | 60kg | $2.20 |
| 3rd | 3 | Pharoahzano | 3 | Cameron Crockett | 56.5kg | $5.00 | |
| 4th | 2 | Super Zippi | 1 | Aaron Bullock | J M Austin | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Miss Scoop | 6 | Jean Van Overmeire | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Fancy Garter | 8 | Mathew Cahill | Ms K Outtrim | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Shine Your Light | 5 | Mikayla Weir | John W Ramsey | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Baycat | 7 | Olivia Chambers | J M Austin | 55.5kg |
His record at this track (1-1-0 from 2) is a significant advantage, and he's shown ability on soft tracks. While the barrier is slightly disadvantageous, his consistent form and proven ability make him a genuine threat.
Where'stheprofit brings the strongest overall profile with an excellent 50% win rate and 75% place rate. Despite the 53-day freshen-up, his form is progressive and consistent.
Joiselle brings a significant weight advantage with just 52kg and has been racing consistently with placings at her last two starts. Her record at the distance (1-0-2 from 4) is solid, and the 10-day backup should have her at peak fitness.
The advantageous barrier draw and 14-day backup are positives, while her experience at the distance (1-2-1 from 9) provides confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Saratoga Power | 5 | Kody Nestor | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | The Dramatist | 2 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 61kg | $14.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Stratified | 8 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | M D Griffith | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Life's A Party | 3 | Clayton Gallagher | M E Jones | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Lambay | 10 | Jean Van Overmeire | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 55kg | $1.80 |
| 6th | 9 | Salonius | 9 | Grant Buckley | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 55kg | $18.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Where'stheprofit | 7 | Cameron Crockett | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Joiselle | 6 | Jacob Stiff | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 52kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Feirme Prince | 4 | Mathew Cahill | Toby Pracey | 55kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Proud Image | 1 | Mikayla Weir | J C Coyle | 55kg |
His recent form is rock solid with a win and two placings from his last five starts. Has won at this track and distance previously and handles soft going well. Maps to get a perfect midfield position and should be finishing strongly.
His last start second at Orange shows he's in good form, and he handles soft tracks well. The wide barrier is a concern, but with his running style, he should be able to find cover and finish strongly.
His recent form is solid with two wins from his last six starts and a last-start second at Canterbury. The inside barrier should allow him to secure a good position, though there's a risk of getting boxed in. Has limited experience at 1400m but should handle the trip.
His recent form includes a win at this distance and a third placing at Dubbo. The lightweight of 52.5kg is a significant advantage, and he handles soft tracks well.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Dances With Hooves | 15 | Cameron Crockett | 54.5kg | $12.00 | |
| 2nd | 5 | Rematch | 6 | Aaron Bullock | P Messara & L Gavranich | 57kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 3 | Istolea Merc | 1 | Winona Costin | Bjorn Baker | 59kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 1 | Super Helpful | 14 | Jean Van Overmeire | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 61kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 9 | How's It Kev | 16 | Olivia Chambers | Ms A Smith | 54.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Aimpoint | 10 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | M D Griffith | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 14 | New Business | 12 | Jenny Duggan | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Knife's Edge | 3 | Mikayla Weir | G D Lunn | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 16 | Feirme Prince | 5 | Zoe Hunt | Toby Pracey | 52.5kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Rhythm Is A Dancer | 7 | Clayton Gallagher | Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 11th | 11 | Jacenza | 8 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 52kg | $12.00 |
| 12th | 2 | Walking Painting | 2 | Richard & Will Freedman | 61kg | $12.00 | |
| 13th | 13 | Mountain Top | 9 | Grant Buckley | D R Mirfin | 54kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Rolling Magic | 11 | Lee Magorrian | Richard & Will Freedman | 59kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Laurel Hill | 4 | Rob Potter | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Sunday | 13 | Jacqueline Greentree | 54kg |
His recent form is solid with 3 placings from his last 5 starts including a close second two starts back. The drop of 4.5kg is significant and he has a solid record at the track.
The significant class drop from BM58/66 races is a major positive, as is his proven soft track record with 3 wins and 4 placings from 19 starts.
The addition of a nose roll and tongue tie suggests connections are addressing issues from his disappointing first-up run. As the likely leader in a race with moderate tempo, he should get his chance to dictate terms. While the class rise is significant, his soft track win and the gear changes point to improvement.
Her second-up record is strong with a win and a placing from 4 attempts, and she's proven on soft tracks with a win and 4 placings from 13 starts.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | The Artefact | 5 | Winona Costin | Ms C Crockett | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Barcoo River | 8 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | R W Howe | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Halo Phenomena | 9 | Aaron Bullock | Cameron Crockett | 60.5kg | $3.50 |
| 4th | 2 | Yorkel | 7 | Kody Nestor | M E Jones | 61kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Wolf Club | 4 | Jacob Stiff | M D Griffith | 58.5kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 4 | News Bound | 2 | Leeshelle Small | R P Northam | 58.5kg | $3.50 |
| 7th | 5 | Brogans Creek | 3 | Clayton Gallagher | Toby Pracey | 60kg | $13.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Tears For Fears | 1 | Cameron Crockett | 59.5kg | $7.00 | |
| Scr | 7 | Snitzenegger | 6 | J A Sylvester | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Wauchope | 10 | Jean Van Overmeire | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 57.5kg |
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