Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Tasmania · Wednesday 10 December 2025
Our top pick won 4 of 9 races at Launceston. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Aristopolos has drawn the coveted inside barrier which should be advantageous at Launceston. The John Blacker stable is known for having their horses well-prepared, and the booking of Erica Byrne Burke is significant. The first-time ear muffs pre-race suggests connections are addressing any temperament issues to improve focus.
Momentslikethese has the services of top Tasmanian jockey Anthony Darmanin, which is a significant positive. Trainer Scott Gandy has multiple runners in this race suggesting stable confidence. The middle barrier draw still offers tactical options, and the 55kg weight is favorable compared to the top weights.
Precious Illusion has drawn barrier 6 which is still within the favored inside barriers range at Launceston. Experienced jockey Troy Baker takes the ride, and the Scott Gandy stable has multiple runners suggesting confidence. The 55kg weight is advantageous compared to the top weights in this field.
Codi Jordan is a talented jockey, and the Scott Gandy stable has multiple runners suggesting confidence in their chances.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Aristopolos | 1 | Erica Byrne Burke | J K Blacker | 57kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 3 | King Candy | 2 | Jabez Johnstone | G J McCulloch | 54kg | $11.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Momentslikethese | 7 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 55kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 9 | Too Poetic | 9 | Codi Jordan | S Gandy | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Zodiac Rising | 4 | Craig Newitt | S Gandy | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 4 | Saltans | 3 | Kelvin Sanderson | G J McCulloch | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Bengo | 8 | Chloe Wells | G J McCulloch | 53kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Brutal Empire | 5 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 57kg | $7.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Precious Illusion | 6 | Troy Baker | S Gandy | 55kg |
The 3yo gelding showed good natural ability and should improve second-up. Despite the wide barrier, the very fast tempo should allow him to find a position and finish strongly.
Vabuiagi made an impressive debut when finishing a close 2nd at Launceston over 1100m. The 3yo filly gets significant advantages with barrier 6 and just 52kg. Represents excellent place value with winning claims.
Vortistar returns from a spell for top trainer Adam Trinder with significant gear changes (cross-over nose band off, visors off). The 3yo gelding has shown ability in Victoria without winning and should appreciate the fast tempo. Barrier 5 gives him options to settle midfield and finish strongly.
Bad Alibi showed significant improvement last start when finishing a close 4th at Launceston over this distance. The 3yo filly gets in with just 52kg and should appreciate the fast tempo. Worth including in all exotics.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Megalita | 13 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 8 | Vortistar | 4 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 57kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 12 | Bad Alibi | 12 | Sam Kennedy | J K Blacker | 52kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 11 | Sh'bourne Rising | 3 | Craig Newitt | Shaun Nichols | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Mister Manihi | 10 | Catherine Van Munster | Christie Burt | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Favourite Deputy | 9 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Up To Tori | 11 | Troy Baker | Sigrid Carr | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Geegees Ace | 8 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 14 | Vabuiagi | 5 | Jabez Johnstone | S Gandy | 52kg | $8.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Royal Scene | 16 | Chloe Wells | Stephen Lockhart | 54.5kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Pipe Down Ellie | 14 | Stan Tsaikos | Drew Tyson | 58.5kg | $151.00 |
| 12th | 16 | Prosperous Miss | 1 | P A Hill | 56.5kg | $101.00 | |
| 13th | 1 | Dark Winter | 7 | Kelvin Sanderson | G J McCulloch | 58.5kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Rockestjerne | 9 | Rowan Hamer | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Colleen's Crown | 3 | Sarah Cotton | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Surf Soul | 2 | Dylan Clark | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Zoe Of Rome | 15 | J K Blacker | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Smash 'n' Grab | 6 | Amanda Jones | 56.5kg |
Striding Bay brings the strongest form credentials with two recent seconds at the mile. His record at Launceston is solid, and the addition of visors first time could be the key gear change to sharpen him up. Perfectly drawn in barrier 2 for this track configuration, and with Craig Newitt aboard, he looks primed to break through for a maiden win after consistent recent performances.
Rousing Levi brings solid recent form including a last-start third over this distance. The lightweight impost of 55kg is a significant advantage, and his consistent form pattern suggests he's ready to peak.
The step up to 1600m looks suitable based on his running style, and jockey Codi Jordan is riding in good form.
The addition of blinkers and tongue tie for the first time could spark significant improvement, while the inside draw and lightweight impost are further positives. The step up to 1600m looks suitable based on his running style, making him an intriguing longshot.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Beau Warrior | 9 | Kelvin Sanderson | Andrew Moore | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 11 | Lady Be Cool | 10 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Northern Child | 11 | Codi Jordan | S Gandy | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Cheeky Tilly | 8 | David Pires | Brendan McShane | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Timmie Lad | 1 | Jett Stanley | Brendan McShane | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 4 | Striding Bay | 2 | Craig Newitt | J K Blacker | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Rousing Levi | 6 | Chloe Wells | Ms L Gaffney | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 2 | Leo Davinci | 4 | Dianne Parish | Trent Wells | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 7 | Send Me Gold | 3 | Jabez Johnstone | Brendan McShane | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Miss Mabel | 7 | Lizzie Annells | Patrick Dargan | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 3 | Oxy Bolt | 5 | Stan Tsaikos | J F Luttrell | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Carnotaurus | 7 | Sarah Cotton | 56.5kg |
Cool Conquest brings exceptional consistency with five consecutive third placings, including strong performances at this track. The light weight (51kg) is advantageous, and she maps to settle midfield and finish strongly. With 5 placings from 7 starts at this track, she's ready to run another honest race.
Drawing barrier 5 suits perfectly with the inside barriers bias, and she maps to settle in a forward position. The class drop is a positive, and she appears ready to peak third-up from a spell.
Beneficiary brings the strongest form credentials with an impressive debut win at this track over 1400m. By Justify out of Twist Tops, his pedigree suggests the extra distance will suit. Likely to settle on pace from barrier 9 and should prove too strong for this field despite the class rise.
Thin Red Line represents excellent value despite a poor last start run. Two starts back he ran a strong second over this course and distance, and the return to blinkers is a significant gear change that should sharpen him up. Drawing the inside barrier is perfect with the strong inside barrier bias at Launceston, and he maps to get an economical run. The class drop and engagement of Anthony Darmanin are additional positives.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Eaglefurther | 4 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Corsa Veloce | 5 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Blooming Edge | 8 | Craig Newitt | Ms L Gaffney | 56.5kg | $4.60 |
| 4th | 8 | Tizsa Nice Drop | 3 | Catherine Van Munster | J K Blacker | 51.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Thin Red Line | 1 | Anthony Darmanin | J K Blacker | 54kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Cool Conquest | 13 | Sam Kennedy | J K Blacker | 51kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 10 | Miss Terasita | 10 | Lizzie Annells | Patrick Dargan | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Florence Glass | 11 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 55kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Zanzi | 7 | Jabez Johnstone | Sigrid Carr | 53kg | $7.50 |
| 10th | 3 | Climbeverymountain | 2 | Kelvin Sanderson | Patrick Dargan | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Say It With Words | 12 | Dianne Parish | L A Wells | 54kg | $31.00 |
| 12th | 13 | Bunker Bob | 6 | Troy Baker | J K Blacker | 54kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Beneficiary | 9 | Chloe Wells | Barry Campbell | 57kg |
Crack The Shutters brings outstanding credentials with 4 wins from 6 starts and a perfect 3-from-3 record at Launceston. The filly has been in exceptional form with three consecutive wins, including a strong victory in this class last start. The step up to 1400m is the main query, but her racing pattern suggests she'll handle it.
His fourth placing last start in this class was respectable, and he's proven on soft tracks. The perfect barrier draw will allow him to utilize his early speed, though the step up to 1400m is a query.
Daytona Diva brings a progressive profile with 2 wins from 3 starts and excellent soft track credentials. Her second to Mazzini two starts back reads well for this, and she followed up with a strong win last start. The step up to 1400m is a query, but her racing pattern suggests she'll handle it.
While facing a significant class rise, he's coming off a confidence-boosting maiden win and has shown steady improvement with 3 placings from his last 4 starts.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Mazzini | 1 | Kelvin Sanderson | Barry Campbell | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 2 | Crack The Shutters | 6 | Anthony Darmanin | S Gandy | 57kg | $1.75 |
| 3rd | 6 | Daytona Diva | 4 | Jabez Johnstone | J K Blacker | 55.5kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 3 | Wolf Junior | 5 | Craig Newitt | Barry Campbell | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Stroak Of Art | 2 | Codi Jordan | Rowan Hamer | 57kg | $71.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Bright Night | 3 | Chloe Wells | Barry Campbell | 56kg | $61.00 |
The mare has proven ability on soft tracks and gets in with just 55kg from the inside barrier. Her improving form line suggests she's peaking at the right time, and the fast tempo should suit her running style.
Blameitontheboogie brings strong credentials with a 50% win rate and excellent track record. The main concern is the 59kg top weight, which could be telling in the final stages, especially with the predicted fast tempo potentially setting up for a swooper.
Lady Galadriel brings strong credentials with a 40% win rate and excellent 5:2-1-1 record at this track. The mare is well drawn in barrier 3 but may get caught in a speed battle up front with the predicted fast tempo, which is a concern.
Her excellent track record (3:2-1-0) and light weight (51.5kg) are significant advantages. The predicted fast tempo should suit her running style, and she's well drawn in barrier 4.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Blameitontheboogie | 5 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Fluffy's Girl | 4 | Jabez Johnstone | Christie Burt | 51.5kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Ohshe'strouble | 1 | Chloe Wells | M A Ganderton | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Coal River | 2 | Stan Tsaikos | Angela Brakey | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 2 | Lady Galadriel | 3 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Adam Trinder | 55.5kg | $3.80 |
| 6th | 3 | Simply Deep | 7 | Lauryn Bingley | Barry Campbell | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Red Fox | 8 | Craig Newitt | Bronte Kent | 54kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Platinum Reggae | 6 | Dianne Parish | Trent Wells | 54kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Roundle Park | 9 | Adam Trinder | 55.5kg |
Durazzo brings exceptional credentials with a remarkable 69% win rate and perfect 6 from 7 record at Launceston. Has proven soft track ability (2 from 4) and is unbeaten second-up (3 from 3). Perfectly drawn in barrier 4 and maintains the services of Kelvin Sanderson who knows this horse perfectly.
Just Cruisin' is a progressive galloper with an impressive 57% win rate and perfect 3 from 3 record on soft tracks. Ran an excellent second in Listed company last start at this track, showing he can compete at this level. Has a perfect second-up record (2 from 2) and gets a good draw in barrier 5. Jockey Jett Stanley maintains the ride after a strong showing last start.
Alvarinho brings solid credentials with a 27% win rate and consistent recent form including a win last start. Has performed well on soft tracks (3 from 12) and gets a 2kg weight advantage as the only mare in the field. Ran a creditable 5th in Listed company last start at this track, showing she can be competitive at this level. Well drawn in barrier 6 with Erica Byrne Burke maintaining the ride.
Has performed well at this track (2 from 8) and on soft tracks (2 from 7). The gear change (visors off, winkers on) could spark improvement second-up. Has previously performed well in Listed company with placings at this track and distance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Durazzo | 4 | Kelvin Sanderson | Barry Campbell | 59kg | $1.40 |
| 2nd | 11 | Just Cruisin' | 5 | Jett Stanley | K P Hamilton | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | First Accused | 1 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Sushi Express | 11 | Lauryn Bingley | Glenn Hodges | 59kg | $61.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Kaliuwaa Falls | 9 | Anthony Darmanin | Imogen Miller | 59kg | $91.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Thespian Waters | 3 | Troy Baker | Sigrid Carr | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Alvarinho | 6 | Erica Byrne Burke | Imogen Miller | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Wineglass Bay | 10 | Jabez Johnstone | J K Blacker | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Ashfall | 2 | Sam Kennedy | Ms R Hall | 59kg | $201.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Ashy Boy | 12 | Daniel Ganderton | G J Stevenson | 59kg | $201.00 |
| 11th | 6 | And Beyond | 7 | David Pires | Imogen Miller | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 1 | Bank Maur | 8 | Craig Newitt | Richard Laming | 59kg | $7.00 |
The Longest Yard brings the strongest recent form into this race with a last-start win over 1400m. While stepping up to the mile is a query, his racing pattern suggests he'll handle it well. Gets in well at the weights and has a strong record at Launceston (1-1-0 from 4 starts).
Her record at Launceston is impressive (4-3-3 from 12 starts) and she's proven at the mile. The barrier draw is a slight concern, but her tactical versatility should overcome this. Strong chance based on recent form.
Elegantly Written comes off a last-start win over the mile and boasts an excellent record at Launceston (5-1-1 from 13 starts) including 2 wins from 5 attempts at this track and distance. Well-drawn in barrier 3 and should get a nice run in transit.
She's dropping in class from recent runs and has strong form with a 3rd placing last start over this course and distance. Has a good record at Launceston (1-0-1 from 3 starts) and gets in well at the weights with 56.5kg.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | The Longest Yard | 9 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 58.5kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Sky Eagle | 1 | Erica Byrne Burke | J K Blacker | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Elegantly Written | 3 | Craig Newitt | G J Stevenson | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Original Glaze | 8 | Lauryn Bingley | K P Hamilton | 56.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Fast Thinker | 2 | Sam Kennedy | K P Hamilton | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 6 | Tuskegee | 6 | Chloe Wells | Barry Campbell | 56.5kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Flossing | 4 | Daniel Ganderton | J L Keys | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 2 | Lovin' Bev | 7 | Jabez Johnstone | Sigrid Carr | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 9th | 8 | Lily Luella | 5 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Dylan Clark | 52.5kg | $20.00 |
Her excellent record at Launceston (14: 3-4-1) and specifically at this track/distance combination (9: 3-3-0) is compelling. The mare is well-weighted at 55kg and has proven ability on soft tracks. The consistent form pattern and tactical versatility from midfield make her the standout selection.
Bayside returns from a spell with an excellent first-up record (1: 1-0-0) and impressive overall place strike rate (71%). While untested at this track and distance, his proven ability on soft tracks and perfect barrier draw position him for an ideal run. The gelding's early speed should see him lead or sit prominently in a race that should favor on-pace runners. The class rise is the main concern.
The mare has a strong record at Launceston (6: 1-1-0) and carries just 51.5kg, giving her a significant weight advantage.
The slight class drop and versatile racing pattern further enhance his chances.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Quicken Up | 8 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Rowan Hamer | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Bayside | 1 | Lauryn Bingley | Barry Campbell | 57kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 3 | Stars In The Night | 7 | Jabez Johnstone | G J McCulloch | 55kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 5 | Within Sight | 2 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 56.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Last Tremble | 5 | Sam Kennedy | J K Blacker | 51.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Warica | 3 | Kelvin Sanderson | J K Blacker | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Gie It Laldy | 6 | Lizzie Annells | Patrick Dargan | 54kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Naval Anthem | 4 | Craig Newitt | J K Blacker | 56kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 6 | Amahlosi | 2 | Max Beamish | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Miss Keeds | 10 | Jett Stanley | Bradley Franklin | 55kg |
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