Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Friday 12 December 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 6 races at Warren. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Notleanormean stands out on form with consistent placings and a recent win, now dropping significantly in class to CL1 where she can control the race from barrier 1. Her soft track record (1-0-2 from 5) aligns perfectly with today's conditions, and the moderate-slow tempo favors her forward style.
Alpine Rose shows reliable form with recent placings at similar distances and levels, including a narrow second on soft ground over 1600m. Her soft track stats (1-2-0 from 6) boost suitability for today's conditions, and while rising in class, the moderate tempo favors her midfield settling. A solid threat to the top pick with proven finishing strength.
Her light weight helps, and prior place at Warren adds familiarity, though low strike rate and distance variability make her a place chance rather than win threat compared to more consistent rivals.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Alpine Rose | 7 | Ken Dunbar | Ashley Gibson | 57kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 5 | Hasime | 2 | Izzy Neale | Ms M Harrison | 55kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 6 | Notleanormean | 1 | Mikayla Weir | Connie Greig | 57kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 2 | Kuroshinzo | 8 | Wendy Peel | Connie Greig | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 3 | St Roy | 3 | Bronte Simpson | Ms J Clement | 56kg | $6.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Billabong Alvin | 4 | Brett Thompson | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Aphelion | 5 | Dylan Stanley | Brett Thompson | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Flameon | 6 | Ms M Harrison | 55kg |
Her soft track record (1-0-0 from 5) aligns well with today's Soft 5 conditions. Midfield draw and moderate tempo favor her closing style, outweighing the class rise. Better than Outback Crumpet due to superior speed and recency; edges Lockadente on proven wins at distance.
Her 1-1-2 soft record fits the conditions, and as a likely leader, she benefits from Warren's pace-favoring layout and moderate tempo.
Lockadente drops sharply in class after competitive runs in BM58, with placings in three of last five including a 2nd at 1400m. Barrier 2 aids positioning on soft ground where she has 0-2-0 from 8. Moderate tempo suits her settling style, per track bias.
Phils Colours won impressively at 1400m on Soft 5 just 39 days ago in Class 2, mapping as a leader from barrier 1 which exploits Warren's inside bias and on-pace nature. Better value than top picks due to overlay; edges Not My Problem on recency and win form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Phils Colours | 1 | Jacob Stiff | Ms S Jeffries | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Not My Problem | 4 | Kody Nestor | Nikki Pollock | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Exceed The Sky | 7 | Izzy Neale | Kieren Hazelton | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Criminal Art | 6 | Billy Cray | Nikki Pollock | 60.5kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Outback Crumpet | 8 | Grace Palmer | T S Howlett | 58.5kg | $3.20 |
| 6th | 9 | Ready For Lift Off | 3 | Zoe Hunt | Kylie Kennedy | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 7 | Lockadente | 2 | Clayton Gallagher | Dennis Bush | 57.5kg | $3.20 |
| Scr | 3 | Battle Reign | 9 | Gabrielle Johnston | John Collison | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Hoorini | 5 | Dylan Stanley | Brett Thompson | 55kg |
Barrier 2 positions him perfectly to lead or sit handy in a moderate-fast tempo, suiting Warren's on-pace bias. First up but trainer's fresh record supports; outweighs rivals' inconsistencies in this low-class maiden.
First up but prior fresh run was fair; new gear could improve focus. Barrier 1 aids tactical run from midfield, better than backmarkers like Mr Gunna Do. Strong threat if handles spell well.
Time To Pause is building form with a strong third on soft at Bowraville, suiting today's conditions and closing bias at Warren. Only 3 starts but recent fitness and light weight give edge over inconsistent types like Shaytan.
Withania offers value with proven soft track placings (two seconds) and a prior eighth at Warren, indicating suitability. Second up now with fitness from recent run; blinkers return could help.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Elite Power | 2 | Jacob Stiff | M R Mulholland | 56kg | $2.35 |
| 2nd | 9 | Happy Gee Gee | 9 | Izzy Neale | Ms M Harrison | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Fruit Of De Vine | 1 | Clayton Gallagher | Angus Stewart | 57kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 11 | Withania | 4 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Kieren Hazelton | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Shaytan | 6 | Jordan Quince | Troy Mc Carney | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Forever Twenty | 3 | Billy Cray | Nikki Pollock | 57.5kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Time To Pause | 5 | Zoe Hunt | Nikki Pollock | 55.5kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 2 | Mr Gunna Do | 11 | Kody Nestor | Troy Mc Carney | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Uncle Alf | 7 | Dylan Stanley | A W Prisk | 57kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Storm Capital | 8 | Bronte Simpson | Nikki Pollock | 56kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Giamond | 10 | James Rogers | Troy Mc Carney | 57kg |
Desirous stands out on form with a recent win at Warren over 1000m, placing third here prior. Her soft track record (1-1-2 from 7) aligns perfectly with today's Soft 5, and the class drop from BM58 boosts her chances.
Barrier 5 is ideal for Warren's sprint layout favoring on-pacers, and her slight class drop adds appeal. Soft track record is modest but recent fitness trends upward, positioning her as a strong threat behind Desirous.
Shades Of Truth's recent form is reliable with multiple placings and a 1000m win, bolstered by an inside barrier ideal for Warren's leader-favoring sprints. Her distance stats are solid, and the fast tempo should suit her forward style.
Zaibatsu broke through impressively last start in maiden company, with barrier 4 positioning him well for the fast tempo at this sprint distance. Second-up from spell and trainer's hot form add intrigue, despite the class jump.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Desirous | 10 | Mikayla Weir | R Lomax | 61.5kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 5 | Champ De Mars | 5 | Jacob Stiff | Ms S Jeffries | 58kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 9 | Adviser | 9 | Bronte Simpson | Ms J Clement | 53.5kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Sidenay | 3 | Gabrielle Johnston | Ms J Clement | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Zaibatsu | 4 | Dylan Stanley | Brett Thompson | 59kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 3 | Proofreader | 1 | Leeshelle Small | Brett Thompson | 60.5kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Press Gaze | 6 | Jordan Quince | Brett Thompson | 57.5kg | $14.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Shades Of Truth | 2 | Billy Cray | Nikki Pollock | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 9th | 10 | A Tender Lady | 8 | James Rogers | A W Prisk | 55kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Beauty Edge | 7 | Zoe Hunt | C Lundholm | 62.5kg |
Wing Nut stands out on form with back-to-back wins in lower grade, including a strong Soft 5 victory at Taree over 1600m. Midfield map in moderate tempo suits its closing style, and barrier 2 provides tactical advantage on this fair country track.
Toulon Factor benefits from dropping back to BM58 after a solid 3rd on Soft 5 at Mudgee. Barrier 5 allows good position in moderate tempo, and prior Warren win adds appeal. Stronger than most on class drop despite age.
Way To Divine excels on soft tracks with 3 wins and recent victory at Forbes 1600m on Soft 6. Consistent form (3 places in last 5) and midfield map suit the moderate tempo at Warren. Barrier 9 is a query, but soft specialist edge over inconsistent rivals makes it a solid top-3 chance despite class rise.
Order Of Merit offers value dropping in class with proven Warren form (2 wins, recent 2nd at 1400m). Soft track record is fair, and barrier 3 suits positioning in moderate tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Toulon Factor | 5 | Bronte Simpson | Ms J Clement | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Not Too Bad | 8 | Kody Nestor | Kieren Hazelton | 61kg | $51.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Wing Nut | 2 | Clayton Gallagher | M R Mulholland | 60kg | $2.30 |
| 4th | 7 | Order Of Merit | 3 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Kieren Hazelton | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Way To Divine | 9 | Jacob Stiff | Ms S Jeffries | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Tropicana's Cube | 6 | Leeshelle Small | Brett Thompson | 56.5kg | $4.80 |
| 7th | 8 | Power Bank | 1 | Mikayla Weir | Dar Lunn | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Pacific Warrior | 7 | Billy Cray | Nikki Pollock | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Outback Crumpet | 10 | T S Howlett | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Ocean Hero | 4 | Troy Mc Carney | 55kg |
Jade Division stands out on form with a proven affinity for Warren Racecourse, boasting a win at this track and distance. His soft track record (3-1-3 from 13) aligns perfectly with today's Soft 5, and the class drop from BM58 boosts prospects. Recent second on soft at Bathurst shows sharpness, and barrier 2 positions him well for the moderate-fast tempo favoring midfielders. Superior to others lacking local form or wet suitability.
Giovanna Star's second-up stats (1-0-0 from 2) and recent third at Cowra highlight her current fitness, with a class drop aiding transition to BM50. She won at Warren previously, and visors first time could enhance focus. While soft track form is absent, the flat surface and sweeping turns mitigate barrier 8. Edges out rivals with inconsistent recent runs, though wet suitability is a query compared to top pick.
Pattera's barrier 1 and leader's map exploit Warren's bias towards on-speed runners at 1200m, especially with moderate-fast tempo. His recent soft track win at Forbes (1200m) and 1-1-3 soft record suit conditions, despite a slight class rise. Lacks track form but recent consistency (win-second in last three) makes him a threat. Inferior to top two due to no local wins and heavier weight carried recently.
The Defiant One offers value with a big class drop to BM50, where his 1200m record (2-5-1 from 18) shines. Soft form is weak, but lower weight (57kg) and experience at country tracks provide upside.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Jade Division | 2 | Jordan Quince | Brett Thompson | 59kg | $2.25 |
| 2nd | 9 | Loud | 5 | Jacob Stiff | Peter Reynolds | 53.5kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Giovanna Star | 8 | Clayton Gallagher | D R Mirfin | 59.5kg | $4.00 |
| 4th | 5 | The Defiant One | 3 | Leeshelle Small | Nikki Pollock | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Pattera | 1 | Zoe Hunt | Ms M Harrison | 60kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 10 | Luckyimwithaimee | 4 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Kylie Kennedy | 56kg | $17.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Cooma Hut | 6 | Bronte Simpson | Nikki Pollock | 60.5kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Geewiz Johnny | 9 | Dylan Stanley | A W Prisk | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Parnassus | 7 | James Rogers | A W Prisk | 55kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 7 | Golden Fairy | 10 | Connie Greig | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Lockadente | 11 | Dennis Bush | 57.5kg |
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