Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Sunday 14 December 2025
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Nowra. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Devine Outcast brings strong recent form into this race, finishing 2nd at Kembla Grange two starts back and a solid 4th in BM68 company last start. The mare has an excellent record at the mile with 1 win and 3 placings from 10 attempts. Well-placed from barrier 5 with a manageable weight.
Elivina is a lightly-raced mare with upside, having compiled a solid record of 1 win and 3 placings from just 7 starts. Her soft track record is impressive with 1 win and 1 placing from 3 attempts, which suits today's conditions. While she was disappointing last start, her second-up record is strong with 1 win from 2 attempts. The inside draw is advantageous at Nowra.
Allegro Miss brings improving form into this race, having finished a strong 3rd at Newcastle last start. While unproven at the mile, her recent performances suggest she's ready to step up in distance. The slight class rise is offset by her improving form.
He has a strong record at the mile with 1 win and 1 placing from 4 attempts and is a second-up specialist with 2 placings from 3 attempts in that pattern. He's also proven at Nowra with a placing from his only start at the track. The drop in class from recent metropolitan runs is significant, and while he's carrying top weight, his class edge compensates.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Devine Outcast | 5 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 55.5kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 2 | Line Of Fire | 6 | Alysha Collett | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 61kg | |
| 3rd | 4 | Allegro Miss | 4 | C Karakatsanis | 57.5kg | ||
| 4th | 3 | Queen Of Deels | 3 | Louise Day | C Maher | 58kg | |
| Scr | 1 | Dumebi | 2 | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 62.5kg | ||
| 5 | Elivina | 1 | Adrian Layt | K J Parker | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Bush Girl | 3 | K J Parker | 55kg | ||
| 8 | Hotlips Houlihan | 2 | Jeff Penza | Shari-Lea Hitchcock | 55kg |
The mare gets in with just 54kg and should improve second-up. While unproven on soft ground, her strong finishing burst suggests she'll handle the 1200m well.
The gelding has experience at this track and distance and draws perfectly in barrier 3. Should get an ideal run in midfield and will be strong late. Previous soft track experience is a plus on today's surface.
The filly draws well in barrier 4 and the addition of winkers could spark improvement. While her form appears to be declining, the gear change and return to Nowra where she ran fourth last start gives her claims.
The addition of blinkers for the first time could spark major improvement, and the gelding should be able to use the barrier to settle on speed.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Brass Monkeys | 1 | Jace McMurray | Scott Collings | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Spice Alley | 8 | Caitlin Sinclair | Rob Potter | 54kg | |
| 3rd | 1 | Entirely Oak | 2 | Molly Bourke | Greg Stephens | 59kg | |
| 4th | 9 | Goddess Minerva | 7 | Jeff Penza | T J Robinson | 55.5kg | |
| 2 | Any News | 6 | Brock Ryan | T J Robinson | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Exiled Prince | 11 | Pierre Boudvillain | D A Williams | 57.5kg | |
| 5 | Smolenski | 3 | Shaun Guymer | Scott Collings | 56.5kg | ||
| 6 | Belleistic Bonny | 9 | Alysha Collett | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Inna Zou | 10 | N F Gardner | 56kg | ||
| 10 | Loujen Francaise | 5 | Robyn Freeman | John Morrison | 55.5kg | ||
| 11 | This Ain't Texas | 4 | Keagan Latham | Matthew Dale | 55.5kg |
Consistent 6yo gelding with strong recent form including placings in 3 of last 5 starts. Has excellent track record at Nowra with 2 seconds from 3 starts. Well-suited by the likely moderate-fast tempo and has proven soft track ability with 1 win and 2 thirds from 4 starts. Alysha Collett booking a significant positive.
Experienced 7yo gelding with consistent recent form including placings in his last 3 starts. Has excellent track and distance record with 1 win and 2 thirds from 5 starts at Nowra over 1400m. Proven performer on soft tracks with 1 win and 4 seconds from 28 starts. Slight class drop and advantageous barrier 6 enhance his chances.
Lightly-raced 4yo mare with significant upside. Won impressively at Moruya two starts back before a forgivable 7th when stepping up in class. Gets a perfect run from barrier 5 with Pierre Boudvillain aboard. The class rise is significant but her untapped potential makes her a major contender.
Lightly-raced 4yo mare second-up from a spell. Has a good second-up record with 1 second and 1 third from 2 attempts. Louise Day is a positive jockey booking.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Breakaway Week | 9 | Teaghan Martin | G G Kirkup | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Tillman | 6 | Robyn Freeman | Greg Stephens | 58kg | |
| 3rd | 4 | Fire And Gemstone | 3 | Jessica Brookes | C Hensler | 57.5kg | |
| 4th | 3 | Ken'ker | 7 | Alysha Collett | Rob Potter | 60kg | |
| Scr | 1 | Supreme Statement | 8 | Cheryl Roberts | 61kg | ||
| 2 | The Herald | 10 | Olivia Chambers | Geoffrey Crothers | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Holy Hell | 5 | Pierre Boudvillain | Danielle Seib | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Sawmill | 2 | Louise Day | Warren Ganderton | 58.5kg | |
| 9 | Robran | 8 | Shaun Guymer | Luke Musson | 55.5kg | ||
| 10 | Beograd Boy | 4 | Jack Martin | J Rolfe | 55kg | ||
| 11 | Flash Piper | 1 | Molly Bourke | John Morrison | 55kg |
The 6YO mare has proven herself at this class level and handles soft tracks with 1 win from 8 starts. The 60kg is a concern, but her class and consistency make her a genuine contender despite the weight impost.
Pretty Sassy brings an unblemished record at Nowra (2 from 2) and handles soft tracks well with 1 win from 3 starts. The 5YO mare is drawn perfectly in barrier 2 and has a solid overall record of 3 wins from 14 starts. The 50-day freshen-up is a slight concern, as is the class rise, but her track record at Nowra and soft track ability make her a genuine chance.
The Too Darn Hot filly gets in with just 55kg and draws perfectly in barrier 3. While this represents a significant class rise, she appears to have considerable upside as a lightly-raced 3YO and should handle the soft track conditions perfectly.
While her win strike rate is modest (2 from 30), she's a consistent placegetter with 6 seconds and 5 thirds. She handles soft tracks well with 2 seconds and 3 thirds from 13 starts on soft going. With just 9 days between runs, she should be at peak fitness.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Pretty Sassy | 2 | Louise Day | Joseph Ible | 59kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 3 | Maz Kanata | 6 | Amy Mc Lucas | J C Coyle | 60kg | |
| 3rd | 8 | Deep Emotion | 4 | Keagan Latham | John Thompson | 57kg | |
| 4th | 9 | Abstruse | 7 | Jack Martin | Natalie Jarvis | 56.5kg | |
| 1 | Booming Bianca | 5 | Ryan Bradley | K J Parker | 57.5kg | ||
| 2 | Lethal Lady | 1 | Jessica Brookes | N F Gardner | 58kg | ||
| 4 | Miss Stalwart | 9 | Alysha Collett | N J Olive | 60kg | ||
| 6 | You're On Mute | 8 | Teaghan Martin | Geoffrey Crothers | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Luna Angel | 11 | Geoffrey Crothers | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Holy Hell | 12 | Danielle Seib | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Voltage Lass | 3 | Shaun Guymer | Danielle Seib | 55kg | |
| 12 | Kickamushu | 10 | Jess Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 55kg |
Matthew Smith-trained debutant who appears well-placed in this maiden. The stable has multiple runners but this one has drawn ideally in barrier 9 with the services of Pierre Boudvillain. The application of ear muffs pre-race and lugging bit suggests they're expecting a professional performance. With the expected fast tempo, should get an ideal run and looks ready to fire first-up.
John O'Shea & Tom Charlton-trained filly bringing metropolitan form to this country maiden. Should get a good run from barrier 6 with the expected fast tempo. The main concern is no proven form on soft tracks, but the stable wouldn't send her if not confident.
The engagement of Jace McMurray is a positive and the stable has a good record with maidens. The wide barrier is a concern but with the expected fast tempo, should be able to find a position. The application of ear muffs pre-race suggests they're expecting a professional performance.
Has placed on heavy tracks previously and should appreciate the soft conditions today. The wide barrier is a concern but with the expected fast tempo, should be able to find a position.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Lambertina | 6 | Alysha Collett | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 55.5kg | $1.45 |
| 2nd | 5 | Milly Molly Mandy | 1 | Brock Ryan | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 57kg | |
| 3rd | 14 | Written About | 4 | Shaun Guymer | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg | |
| 4th | 7 | Fan Sea Diva | 14 | Jeff Penza | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg | |
| 1 | Argue | 3 | Grant Buckley | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 59kg | ||
| 2 | Militant | 8 | Donovan Dillon | Michael Freedman | 57.5kg | ||
| 3 | Vega Sicilia | 10 | Keagan Latham | Richard & Will Freedman | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Argantorati | 5 | Joseph Ible | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Skiting | 10 | J M Sharah | 57kg | ||
| 8 | Hussy La Vista | 2 | Jess Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Mariemac | 16 | Jace McMurray | Michael Freedman | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Sweet Twilight | 15 | Richard & Will Freedman | 55.5kg | ||
| 12 | Valiant Dreamer | 9 | Pierre Boudvillain | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg | ||
| 13 | What She's Having | 7 | Louise Day | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Why Why Why | 12 | Ryan Bradley | K J Parker | 56kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Atlantic Diva | 9 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Alamagan | 11 | Joseph Ible | 57.5kg | ||
| 18 | Rawano | 17 | Gary Crossley | 59kg | |||
| Scr | 19 | Nightsphere | 12 | C Maher | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Star Of Kyeema | 13 | Ms T Bateup | 57kg |
His consistency is evident with a 7: 0-2-3 record, and he's proven on soft tracks. The wide barrier is concerning, but with a fast tempo predicted, he should be able to find cover midfield and finish strongly. The removal of crossover noseband and tongue tie suggests trainer is fine-tuning to find that elusive win.
The Archibald stable typically presents their horses ready to perform first-up, and the ear muffs pre-race only suggests they're managing the filly's temperament while maintaining race day focus. With inside barriers showing an advantage at Nowra and a fast tempo predicted, she should get a good run in midfield and finish strongly.
Tigletta brings solid form credentials with a consistent 4: 0-1-3 record and is second-up today where she has previously placed. Her recent 3rd at Wyong shows she's in good form, and from barrier 7 she should get a good run in midfield with the predicted fast tempo. While she's yet to win, her consistency suggests she'll be in the finish again, especially with the class drop from her previous starts.
While her overall form appears moderate, she has a second-up placing and has performed well on heavy tracks with a placing from her only attempt.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Century Song | 11 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 59kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 8 | Firepop | 6 | Alysha Collett | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55.5kg | |
| 3rd | 12 | Vantante | 10 | Paul Murray | 55.5kg | ||
| 4th | 3 | Andhe's Brave | 2 | Keagan Latham | Matthew Smith | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 1 | Aldezor | 15 | K J Parker | 59kg | ||
| 4 | Dubbo Boy | 5 | Nick Heywood | D A Williams | 57.5kg | ||
| 5 | Top Speed | 8 | Louise Day | C Maher | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Unjust | 11 | J M Sharah | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Crestwood | 4 | Pierre Boudvillain | Matthew Smith | 55.5kg | |
| 9 | Moon Jewel | 3 | Jace McMurray | Michael Freedman | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Sacrosanct | 7 | G Ryan & S Alexiou | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Tigletta | 7 | Olivia Chambers | Bjorn Baker | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Villainess | 9 | Shaun Guymer | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55.5kg | |
| 14 | Write On The Line | 1 | Jeff Penza | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Loujen Francaise | 5 | John Morrison | 57kg |
Rolling Magic brings the strongest combination of recent form and distance suitability to this race. His last start 3rd at Randwick-Kensington was full of merit, and his two previous mile wins demonstrate his aptitude at the trip. Has tactical versatility to settle midfield and finish strongly, which should suit the likely fast tempo. The Richard & Will Freedman stable is in good form, and Shaun Guymer knows the horse well.
Peace Officer brings strong consistent form to this race, finishing 5th last start at Rosehill over this distance. Has a proven record on soft tracks which is a significant advantage if the track remains soft. Brock Ryan is a positive jockey booking, and the horse should get a perfect run from barrier 7 with the expected fast tempo.
Good Prize brings an impressive record at the mile distance with 4 wins from 4 starts, which is a significant advantage in this field. His soft track record is excellent, making him well-suited if the track remains soft. Recent form has been solid with a 3rd place finish at Canberra. Jeff Penza is a positive jockey booking, and despite the wide barrier, his racing pattern should allow him to find a position with cover.
While stepping up in class, he's a progressive type who appears to be improving with racing. The 28-day freshen-up should have him ready for this assignment, and the light weight of 55kg is a significant advantage.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Rolling Magic | 6 | Shaun Guymer | Richard & Will Freedman | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Jamberoo | 11 | Keagan Latham | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 60.5kg | |
| 3rd | 9 | Can't Recall One | 4 | Pierre Boudvillain | Matthew Smith | 54.5kg | |
| 4th | 11 | Master Riley | 1 | Amy Mc Lucas | Ms T Bateup | 54kg | |
| 1 | Tazaral | 5 | Dale Cole | Fabio Martino | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Super Helpful | 5 | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 60.5kg | ||
| 4 | Captain Fenkel | 9 | Alysha Collett | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 59.5kg | ||
| 5 | Good Prize | 10 | Jeff Penza | G P Vella | 59.5kg | ||
| 7 | Peace Officer | 7 | Brock Ryan | C E Conners | 57.5kg | ||
| 8 | Affermato | 8 | Molly Bourke | Ms A Turner | 55kg | ||
| 10 | Louie's Legacy | 2 | Claire Ramsbotham | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 52.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Epaullo Creed | 9 | Ryan Bradley | N J Olive | 51kg | |
| 13 | Supreme Statement | 3 | Jess Taylor | Cheryl Roberts | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | You're On Mute | 14 | Geoffrey Crothers | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Luna Angel | 12 | Geoffrey Crothers | 54kg |
Battle Warrior brings the strongest recent form into this race with a convincing maiden win at Nowra 27 days ago. The inside draw suits his racing pattern, and he's shown significant improvement in his last two starts. The step up to Class 1 is offset by his progressive profile and track experience.
His perfect record at this distance (1 from 1) and strong first-up statistics (1 from 2) suggest he can overcome the 124-day break. The barrier draw is favorable, and while he carries top weight, his quality should offset this disadvantage.
Lightly Sparkled returns from a spell but has a strong second-up record that suggests improvement to come. The wide barrier is a concern, but she has previous experience at this track with a placing from two starts. The gear changes (cross-over nose band and tongue tie first time) suggest connections are expecting improvement.
While stepping up in class from maiden grade, his rapid improvement curve and light weight (53.5kg) give him strong claims. The barrier draw is favorable, and his recent form suggests he's ready to be competitive at this level.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Sea Admiral | 5 | Keagan Latham | John Thompson | 59.5kg | $2.20 |
| 2nd | 12 | Battle Warrior | 3 | Molly Bourke | Ms A Turner | 55kg | |
| 3rd | 13 | Trianon | 4 | Jeff Penza | T J Robinson | 55kg | |
| 4th | 7 | Lightly Sparkled | 9 | Grant Buckley | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 2 | Diva Las Vegas | 2 | Michael Freedman | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Margin Call | 8 | C Maher | 58.5kg | ||
| 4 | Royal Bombadier | 7 | Alysha Collett | T P Croft | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Zoutempus | 13 | Scott Collings | 57kg | ||
| 6 | Rainbow Glow | 2 | Louise Day | C Maher | 56kg | ||
| 8 | Tango On | 6 | Jessica Brookes | Claire Lever | 53.5kg | ||
| 9 | Kool Kade | 8 | Shaun Guymer | Luke Musson | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Royal Memory | 1 | Amy Mc Lucas | T Gibson | 55kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Itszarbaby | 10 | Robyn Freeman | G Portelli | 55kg |
Before the races, not after
Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.