Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Monday 15 December 2025
Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Orange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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The 9yo veteran is dropping significantly in class from a BM74 and draws well in barrier 2. While his backmarker racing style isn't ideal for Orange and his win strike rate is low, his class drop and recent form make him a genuine threat.
Jimmy Manolo brings solid credentials with a proven record at the distance (1 win from 3 starts) and consistent recent form. The 8yo gelding is dropping slightly in class and draws well in barrier 3. His moderate soft track record and 29-day freshen-up are concerns, but his overall profile makes him a place chance.
While unproven at this track and distance, his consistent recent form and ability to race on-pace from barrier 1 suits Orange's leader-favoring profile. Has shown adaptability on soft tracks with 3 placings from 4 starts and should handle today's conditions.
Billabong Alvin represents value as a progressive 4yo who won last start over 1700m at Wellington. While facing a significant class rise and unproven at this distance, his recent form trajectory is positive with a win and a placing from his last 3 starts. The lightweight impost of 55.5kg is favorable, and his midfield running style should give him options from barrier 5.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Doutelle | 6 | Ella Drew | Fabio Martino | 53.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Jimmy Manolo | 2 | Andrew Calder | Matthew Smith | 60.5kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 1 | Will To Excel | 4 | Mathew Cahill | James Ponsonby | 62.5kg | $3.50 |
| 4th | 8 | Tavijewel | 5 | Bronte Simpson | Barry Wall | 52kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Single Crown | 1 | Molly Bourke | Gary Crossley | 55kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 5 | Billabong Alvin | 3 | Jacob Stiff | Brett Thompson | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| Scr | 2 | Drunken Sailor | 4 | James Ponsonby | 62kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Flashy Icon | 1 | Rob Potter | 61kg |
The Bjorn Baker-trained gelding is lightly raced with natural improvement expected. While drawn wider in barrier 9, he has the ability to take a position and should handle the soft track. The stable is in good form and has two leading chances in this race.
Trust Your Cape is the unknown quantity as a first starter. Well-drawn in barrier 4 and with the addition of ear muffs pre-race suggesting focus on race day, this runner could surprise. The inside draw gives options to utilize the Orange track's leader-favoring profile.
Second-up today with a good second-up record, she's ideally drawn in barrier 2 for this leader-favoring track. The Bjorn Baker-trained filly should be able to utilize her early speed from the inside gate and control the race from the front.
The significant class drop is a positive factor, and with Jake Pracey-Holmes aboard, she could take advantage of the inside draw to lead or box-seat.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | One Run Won | 4 | Olivia Chambers | Bjorn Baker | 59kg | $1.30 |
| 2nd | 7 | Rusky Ripper | 3 | Grant Buckley | Ms G Williams | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Souline | 1 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Paul Theobald | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Trust Your Cape | 2 | Louise Day | J M Austin | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Mishpat | 5 | Donovan Dillon | D R Mirfin | 56kg | $12.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Tigletta | 2 | Bjorn Baker | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Top Speed | 8 | C Maher | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Mind Ya Bizz | 3 | Brad Widdup | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Badgers Bridge | 6 | M C Lynch | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Seven Days | 7 | Brad Widdup | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Silk Lace | 10 | Blake Ryan | 56.5kg |
Lightly-raced filly who showed significant promise when finishing a close second on debut at Narromine over 1300m. The step up to 1400m looks ideal, and she gets in with a light weight. Has drawn perfectly to settle midfield and should be strong late with natural improvement second-up. The Mirfin-Dillon combination is potent at country level.
Mare showing improvement with a solid fourth last start at this track over 1280m. Second-up from a spell now which is often when horses show their best, and the step up to 1400m should suit her finishing style. Has drawn well in barrier 4 and gets the services of Clayton Gallagher who is a strong rider at country level. Should settle midfield and be running on.
Consistent gelding who has placed in his last two starts at Queanbeyan. The wide barrier is a concern, but he should get a nice trail with cover and be finishing strongly. The Pracey-Holmes booking is a positive for a horse that needs to be ridden patiently.
Six-year-old gelding who has found form with three consecutive placings, including a third at this track. Drawn the inside barrier which should give him every chance to position well in running. Has shown he can handle good tracks with a record of 4:0-1-2. The step up to 1400m is a query but his recent runs suggest he's looking for more ground.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Twin Gift | 1 | Kody Nestor | B W Draper | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 13 | Inyun | 5 | Donovan Dillon | D R Mirfin | 55.5kg | $2.10 |
| 3rd | 11 | La Chaparron | 3 | Clayton Gallagher | Ms A Smith | 57kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Hutt Street | 4 | Jacob Stiff | Brett Thompson | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 6 | The Bullet | 7 | Dylan Stanley | J T McMillan | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Bold Bender | 2 | Bronte Simpson | Connie Greig | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Olive Jean | 8 | Grant Buckley | B W Draper | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Aphelion | 6 | Jean Van Overmeire | Brett Thompson | 59kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | All Exceed | 11 | N J Olive | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Bon To Run | 9 | A L McRae | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Delago Serg | 2 | P J Facoory | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Aquilino | 12 | P J Facoory | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | Flameon | 13 | Ms M Harrison | 57kg |
Tommy Flyer brings the strongest recent form into this race with two wins from his last three starts. With a proven record on soft tracks (1-1-1 from 4 starts) and a progressive profile, he appears well-placed despite the class rise. The removal of the near-side bubble cheeker suggests connections are confident in his development.
This lightly-raced 4yo mare has shown ability with 2 wins from 9 starts and gets in with just 55kg. The soft track is the main query.
Tavolo brings solid credentials with a 22% win rate and 35% place rate. The 7yo mare is dropping in class from Open company and has been racing consistently at a higher level. While her soft track record is a concern (0-1-0 from 6 starts), her class edge and proven ability at the distance make her a genuine threat. The quick backup from her last start could see her strip fitter.
This lightly-raced 4yo gelding boasts a strong 33% win rate and 50% place rate from just 6 starts. His wet track credentials are impressive (2-1-0 from 3 starts), which is crucial on today's soft 7 surface.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Trapeze Legend | 2 | Shaun Guymer | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 4 | Turgenev | 3 | Grant Buckley | Ms A Smith | 58.5kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 6 | Tommy Flyer | 4 | Coriah Keatings | N J Olive | 56.5kg | $1.55 |
| 4th | 1 | Smooth Esprit | 1 | Jacob Stiff | R J Jackson | 58kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Extravagant Choice | 5 | N J Olive | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Tavolo | 7 | Rob Potter | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Astunner | 2 | Darrell Burnet | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Pariah Engagement | 6 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 55kg |
Drawn well in barrier 3 which should allow him to secure a forward position, ideal for Orange's layout. Has shown versatility across distances and track conditions. The 58kg is manageable and Dale Cole is a capable rider.
Starlink comes off a solid 2nd placing at Narromine and has an excellent record at this distance with 3 wins and 2 places from 10 starts. Drawn well in barrier 4 which should allow for a positive position in the run. Has proven ability on soft tracks and brings consistency with 6 wins and 8 places from 39 starts.
Has proven adaptability across track conditions with a particularly good soft track record. Maps to get an ideal on-pace position from barrier 6, which suits Orange's layout. The 56.5kg weight is manageable and Claire Ramsbotham's claim is valuable. Represents the most reliable winning chance.
Has a strong record at this distance with 2 wins and 2 places from 7 starts. The significant class drop is a major positive, and barrier 10 should allow him to find a position with cover.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Burrowa | 3 | Dale Cole | Rob Potter | 58kg | $3.40 |
| 2nd | 2 | Divine Sinner | 9 | Izzy Neale | Kieren Hazelton | 59.5kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Starlink | 4 | Ryan Bradley | C Lundholm | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 15 | East Harlem | 2 | Bronte Simpson | Peter Kirby | 54kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Lang Park | 5 | Molly Bourke | Ms D Prest | 62.5kg | $18.00 |
| 6th | 14 | Star Bling | 7 | Coriah Keatings | N J Olive | 56kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Can Do It | 6 | Jacob Stiff | Ms A Smith | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Naval Officer | 8 | Dylan Stanley | J T McMillan | 57kg | $4.20 |
| 9th | 13 | Rager | 1 | Jessica Brookes | Becky Byrne | 56kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Rose's Legacy | 5 | Brad Widdup | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Invasive | 10 | Ms M Harrison | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | You're On Mute | 14 | Geoffrey Crothers | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Luna Angel | 15 | Geoffrey Crothers | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Jazz All Knight | 6 | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Soho Sushi | 16 | Pat Murphy | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Trapeze Legend | 11 | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 62.5kg |
His consistent form (3 placings from last 5 starts) and ability to handle soft conditions make him well-suited to today's race. The fast tempo should play to his strengths as he can settle midfield and finish strongly.
Take The Chance comes off a strong 2nd placing last start at Narromine and has been racing consistently with 5 top-4 finishes from her last 6 starts. While she lacks experience on soft tracks, her overall consistency and ability to perform well on good surfaces suggest she can handle today's conditions. The mare should get a nice midfield position and be finishing strongly.
From barrier 6, she should get a nice midfield position and be finishing strongly in a race with good tempo.
While she's yet to win on soft tracks, she has placed twice in similar conditions. The quick backup suggests she's fit and ready, and the fast tempo should suit her finishing style.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Rotho Bro | 10 | Louise Day | J M Austin | 58.5kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 10 | Eilrahc | 11 | Grant Buckley | Ms A Smith | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Astrogazer | 1 | Robyn Freeman | David Pfieffer | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Billabong Rose | 7 | Poppie Gorton | Brett Thompson | 52kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Memphis Tennessee | 2 | Michael Heagney | J Rolfe | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Take The Chance | 8 | Ken Dunbar | M C Lynch | 56kg | $4.20 |
| 7th | 4 | Think I'm Irish | 4 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | D Wagstaff | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Trust A Kitty | 3 | Jacob Stiff | Ms C Monaghan | 52kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 12 | Hoorini | 9 | Jean Van Overmeire | Brett Thompson | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Malinga Missile | 5 | Jack Martin | Rob Potter | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Rosie I Am | 6 | Donovan Dillon | Ms A Smith | 55.5kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Party It Down | 6 | P J Facoory | 55.5kg |
His first-up record is solid, and he's proven on soft tracks. Despite rising in class, his lightweight and strong finishing ability should suit the likely fast tempo. The 1000m trip is ideal, and he maps to get a perfect midfield position with cover before unleashing a strong finish.
Ditterich brings a strong first-up record and excellent soft track credentials to this race. While rising in class is a concern, his ability to handle soft going and strong first-up statistics make him a genuine threat. Maps to settle midfield and should be finishing strongly.
While unproven on soft tracks, her raw ability and weight advantage give her strong claims. The good barrier draw should allow her to settle in a forward position, and her first-up record suggests she can perform well fresh. The class rise is a query, but her upside potential makes her a genuine contender.
Can Do It represents excellent value given his outstanding record at this track and distance (11:3-1-2). His recent form includes a win and placing at Orange, and he gets in with just 55kg from the inside barrier.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Aegipan | 6 | Dale Cole | Pat Murphy | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 12 | Feimazuo | 4 | Grant Buckley | Ms A Smith | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 7 | Ditterich | 5 | Clayton Gallagher | A D Bourke | 60kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 6 | Brief Statement | 9 | Kody Nestor | Ms A Smith | 60kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Cumboogle | 2 | Jacob Stiff | Brett Thompson | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
| 6th | 1 | Destiny's Bounty | 8 | Nicholas Hyde | Ms S Jeffries | 61.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Gidgee Guy | 10 | Jake Pracey-Holmes | Kylie Kennedy | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Talihina Sky | 1 | Jean Van Overmeire | Ms G Williams | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 9th | 8 | I Am Mamwaazel | 3 | Michael Heagney | J Rolfe | 59.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Minnewater | 7 | Dylan Stanley | Ms G Williams | 59kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Princess Halo | 9 | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 62.5kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Obsessive Nature | 6 | Ms S Jeffries | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Wasted Days | 13 | Brett Robb | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Magic Speed | 3 | P J Facoory | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Chico Casino | 7 | D R Mirfin | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Can Do It | 1 | Ms A Smith | 55kg |
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