Ellerslie tips and results

Our price $4.20 · SP $7.50 · Joe Doyle

O'valerie draws the inside barrier which should be advantageous based on track bias data. With a lightweight of 54kg and strong jockey booking in Joe Doyle, this runner is well-positioned to capitalize on what's expected to be a moderate-fast tempo.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.70 · Matthew Cartwright

Pounce has drawn favorably in barrier 2 which should be advantageous on this track. From the strong O'Sullivan & Scott stable with Matthew Cartwright aboard, this runner carries just 54kg and is likely to settle midfield.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.80 · Samantha Collett

Despite her disappointing last start, her overall record is impressive with 8 wins from 20 starts, including 5 wins at this distance. She has proven ability on soft tracks with 3 wins from 8 starts.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.80 · Craig Grylls

Progressive gelding who has shown steady improvement culminating in a last start win. His soft track record is excellent with a win and a placing from three starts on similar going. The step up to 2100m is a query but his racing pattern suggests he'll appreciate the extra distance. Craig Grylls retains the ride and from barrier 8 should be able to position him midfield in a race with moderate tempo.

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.70 · Matthew Cameron

Mare who broke through for a maiden win last start over this distance on a soft track. Her record at 2100m is perfect with that one win from one attempt. Matthew Cameron retains the ride after their successful partnership last start. While she lacks experience at Ellerslie, her proven ability on soft tracks and at this distance makes her a genuine contender. From barrier 9, she should get a good position midfield.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.80 · Sam Weatherley

Consistent gelding who has placed in 3 of his 5 starts including a last start second at this track. He has a good record at Ellerslie with a placing from 2 starts and has proven himself at the distance with a second placing from his only attempt at 2100m. Sam Weatherley retains the ride after their last start placing.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.10 · Ryan Elliot

Reliable performer who rarely runs a bad race with 7 top-3 finishes from his last 11 starts. His second-up record suggests improvement from his solid return run. Has an excellent record at this distance with 3 placings from 4 attempts. The class drop from his last start is significant and he maps to get an ideal run from barrier 2.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.20 · Sam McNab

Lightly-raced improver who has shown plenty of ability in just three starts. Won impressively two starts back and followed up with a solid third last time out. Has proven adaptability on soft tracks with a win from three attempts. Gets in with a light weight and should get an ideal run from barrier 4. Sam McNab retains the ride which is a positive sign.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.70 · Vinnie Colgan

Talented mare who returned with an impressive win at Trentham. The significant class drop from previous campaigns is a major advantage, and her second-up record suggests further improvement. Vinnie Colgan is a positive jockey booking, and she should get a perfect midfield position from barrier 5.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.70 · Rihaan Goyaram

Progressive mare who scored an impressive win at Te Rapa last start. Her consistency is a major asset with 6 top-three finishes from 11 starts. While the soft track is a query (no wins from 5 attempts), she has placed on this surface. The wide barrier is a concern, but her tactical speed should allow her to find a position. Represents a slight class rise but appears ready for the challenge.

Our price $6.00 · SP $12.10 · Opie Bosson

Quality mare resuming from a spell with a significant class drop from previous Listed and Group races. Her fresh record is excellent with a win and a second from three attempts. The booking of Opie Bosson is a major positive, and her overall consistency (50% place rate) suggests she'll be competitive.

Our price $12.00 · SP $19.10 · Samantha Collett

While stepping up significantly in class, this improving 3YO has shown tactical speed and determination. His recent Group 3 win suggests he's ready for this level, and the 20-day spacing between runs is ideal.

Our price $4.80 · SP $10.90 · Matthew Cameron

Dance The Night is a progressive filly who has shown a clear affinity for the mile with a win and second from two attempts. Her last-start victory on a soft track at Pukekohe was impressive, and she appears to be improving with each run. The class rise is significant but she has the scope to measure up. Strong each-way claims.

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.80 · Samantha Collett

Circus Dancer brings an unbeaten record including a recent Listed race victory at Wanganui. She has tactical speed to utilize barrier 1 and appears to be a progressive type. The main queries are her first attempt at Ellerslie, the step up to 1600m, and her ability on soft tracks. Nevertheless, her upside potential makes her a genuine contender.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.00 · Opie Bosson

Roctave brings the strongest recent form, winning impressively at Te Rapa last start. Has excellent soft track credentials with 2 wins from 4 starts on soft going. Drops in class from recent assignments and draws ideally in barrier 8. The Marsh/Bosson combination is elite, and the horse appears perfectly suited to the 2400m journey based on recent performances.

Our price $4.80 · SP $7.10 · Warren Kennedy

Mollify brings excellent credentials with 4 wins from 12 starts and a perfect 3-from-5 record on soft tracks. Has won 3 of her last 5 starts showing tremendous consistency. The Warren Kennedy/Noble combination is firing, and while she's unproven at 2400m, her racing pattern suggests she'll handle the trip. The wide barrier and top weight are concerns, but class can overcome these obstacles.

Our price $6.50 · SP $12.80 · Vinnie Colgan

This mare has competed admirably in Group races, including a 3rd in the G1 NZ Oaks over this distance. She has strong soft track credentials with a win and place from 5 starts. The significant class drop from Group racing to this level is a massive advantage, and Vinnie Colgan is a proven big-race rider. The wide barrier is the main concern.

Our price $2.50 · SP $3.80 · Craig Grylls

Waitak brings elite form credentials with 8 wins from 35 starts including a perfect 1-from-1 record at this track and distance. His recent form is outstanding with a win in the Group 1 over 2040m at Ellerslie and a narrow second last start. Handles soft tracks superbly (4 wins from 13 starts) and maintains his partnership with Craig Grylls who knows him well. The class drop from his recent runs is significant and should give him an edge.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.30 · Masahiro Hashizume

La Crique is a model of consistency with 9 wins and 11 seconds from 29 starts. Her track record at Ellerslie is excellent (2-4-0 from 7 starts) and she handles soft tracks well with 7 wins from 18 starts. While she hasn't won at this distance, she has placed in all three attempts. Her recent form includes a close third last start and she gets a 2kg weight advantage over the top male runners. Hashizume takes the ride on this reliable mare.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.50 · Craig Grylls

Consistent mare with an excellent win record who comes into this off back-to-back victories. Has proven herself at Ellerslie with 2 wins from 4 starts and handles soft tracks well. The step up to 1500m is the main query, but her racing style suggests she should handle it. The top weight is a concern, but she's dropping in class which offsets this somewhat.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Sam Weatherley

Lightly-raced but consistent gelding who has placed in 3 of his 5 starts including back-to-back seconds in his last two outings. Has proven himself on soft tracks with a win and a placing from 4 starts. The step up to 1500m is a query but his racing pattern suggests he should handle it.