★ Top pick5th
2Hanafubuki
Has a perfect record at this track and distance (1:1-0-0) and maps to get an ideal run from barrier 3. Her consistent recent form (3-3-4) suggests she's ready to peak third-up over this staying trip.
Victoria · Friday 9 January 2026
Pakenham tips and results
Our top pick won 1 of 8 races at Pakenham. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
Top pick won1/813%
Any tip won7/888%
Top pick placed5/863%
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Ladbrokes Top 2/3/4 Betting (Bm66)
18:15 local2500mBenchmark 66$40,000
Winner1. KarburanSP $4.40
2nd pickWon
1Karburan
Karburan brings solid staying credentials with consistent recent form (3-2-6). Likely to lead in a moderate tempo which suits, and the drop in class is significant. Has won 1 from 5 at the distance and the addition of winkers first time could sharpen him up. Carries top weight but has the class to overcome it.
3rd pick2nd
3Urban Outlook
The booking of Ben Melham is a positive and he should get an economical run from barrier 2. While unproven at the distance, his UK form suggests he'll handle it, and the significant class drop makes him a genuine contender.
Value pick4th
4The Vocalist
The Vocalist represents value after a strong second over 2600m last start, suggesting he's ready for this distance. Gets in with a light weight (56.5kg) and has the services of quality jockey Jye McNeil. While rising in class, he's a progressive stayer who appears to be hitting form at the right time.
- 1st1KarburanJackson Radley$4.40
- 2nd3Urban OutlookBen Melham$4.60
- 3rd5Madame LexisTeodore Nugent$12.00
- 4th4The VocalistJye McNeil$8.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Karburan | 6 | Jackson Radley | T Busuttin & N Young | 59.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 3 | Urban Outlook | 2 | Ben Melham | J G Symons & S Laxon | 59kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 5 | Madame Lexis | 4 | Teodore Nugent | Nathan Dunn | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 4 | The Vocalist | 7 | Jye McNeil | S B Laming | 56.5kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Hanafubuki | 3 | Beau Mertens | T Busuttin & N Young | 59kg | $2.15 |
| 6th | 7 | Mash And Gravy | 1 | Michael Dee | Reece Goodwin | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Dancing Juice | 5 | Luke Cartwright | Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor | 53.5kg | $31.00 |
NZB Karaka 2026 Mdn Plate
18:45 local1600mMaiden$45,000
Winner5. Leveraged BuyoutSP $2.70
★ Top pick2nd
4Algorithmic
Algorithmic brings the strongest form credentials, dropping significantly from Group and Listed company where he was competitive. The step up to 1600m looks suitable based on his finishing efforts, and the Hawkes stable knows how to place their runners.
2nd pickWon
5Leveraged Buyout
Leveraged Buyout is building nicely toward a win with a last-start second over the mile. The Freedman-trained gelding has drawn perfectly in barrier 3 and should get a nice midfield position in the run. His form is trending upward, and he appears ready to break through after consecutive placings. The likely fast tempo should suit his running style.
3rd pick3rd
2Pick A Symphony
Pick A Symphony brings solid credentials with three second placings from six starts. The likely fast tempo should suit his running style, and experienced jockey Michael Dee is a positive. The main concerns are the wide barrier and top weight.
Value pickScratched
6Octane Reign
The Jason Warren-trained gelding appears to be improving as the distances increase, and the quick 10-day backup suggests he's thriving.
- 1st5Leveraged BuyoutLuke Currie$2.70
- 2nd4AlgorithmicShane Foley$2.60
- 3rd2Pick A SymphonyMichael Dee$6.50
- 4th10AshinaJordan Childs$10.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Leveraged Buyout | 3 | Luke Currie | A & S Freedman | 58kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 4 | Algorithmic | 1 | Shane Foley | M, W & J Hawkes | 58kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 2 | Pick A Symphony | 7 | Michael Dee | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 10 | Ashina | 5 | Jordan Childs | T Busuttin & N Young | 56kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Kaddari | 6 | Jamie Mott | R D Griffiths | 57.5kg | $19.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Stormy Romance | 2 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Trojan's Princess | 9 | Sally Wynne | P Foster | 57.5kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 1 | De Lord | 4 | Jason Maskiell | P E Kramer | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Set For Success | 10 | Jade Da Rose | Benjamin Buckley | 59.5kg | $201.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Octane Reign | 8 | Daniel Stackhouse | Jason Warren | 58kg |
Cameron Industrial Commercial Mdn Plate
19:15 local1000mMaiden$45,000
Winner2. Brazen DechambeauSP $5.50
★ Top pick2nd
5Our Brave Boy
Our Brave Boy represents the Stokes stable which excels with juveniles. The middle draw is ideal for this 1000m course, allowing tactical options in what projects as a fast-tempo race. The booking of Neindorf and gear choices suggest a professional attitude.
2nd pickWon
2Brazen Dechambeau
The wide barrier is a concern on this turning track, but his early speed should allow him to overcome it. First-up from a spell with natural improvement expected.
3rd pickScratched
8Eternal Joy
Eternal Joy brings proven form with a strong second placing at Geelong on a good track. The weight advantage as a filly is significant, and she should be finishing strongly. The main concern is settling back in a race with a fast tempo projected, but she has the ability to run on strongly.
Value pick6th
4Good Feel
Good Feel represents the powerful Hawkes stable which has an excellent record with juveniles. The barrier 3 draw is perfect for this track, and the booking of top jockey Jye McNeil is significant. The pre-race ear muffs suggest they're focusing on a professional attitude.
- 1st2Brazen DechambeauBeau Mertens$5.50
- 2nd5Our Brave BoyLachlan Neindorf$3.60
- 3rd9Gin TwistMichael Dee$3.80
- 4th6Blue Jeans TalkLuke Cartwright$101.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Brazen Dechambeau | 10 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 58kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Our Brave Boy | 5 | Lachlan Neindorf | P Stokes | 58kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 9 | Gin Twist | 6 | Michael Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $3.80 |
| 4th | 6 | Blue Jeans Talk | 1 | Luke Cartwright | Shannon Roughan | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Around The Marx | 8 | Daniel Stackhouse | David & Coral Feek | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Good Feel | 3 | Jye McNeil | M, W & J Hawkes | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 11 | Takasago | 4 | Luke Currie | E & D Browne | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Egyptian Dancer | 11 | Logan Bates | Gavin Bedggood | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 3 | Exploit | 2 | Ben Melham | C J Waller | 58kg | $8.50 |
| Scr | 8 | Eternal Joy | 7 | Jackson Radley | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 54kg | |
| Scr | 10 | La Gitana | 9 | Michael Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg |
El Jannah Hcp (C1)
19:45 local1200mClass 1$40,000
Winner9. Victory TuneSP $12.00
★ Top pick5th
4Firerated
Lightly-raced 3YO who showed significant improvement to win impressively second-up last start at Moe. The Good track suits, and he maps to get an ideal run from barrier 4. The class rise is the main query, but he appears progressive enough to handle it.
2nd pick3rd
3Chocolate Box
Mare with a strong first-up record who showed consistent form last preparation. While barrier 8 is slightly awkward, she should get a good midfield position and her first-up record suggests she'll be ready to fire. The slight class rise is offset by her natural ability.
3rd pick7th
2Stormbourg
Consistent gelding who ran a solid second two starts back before a fair seventh last time. Barrier 2 is ideal, and he should get a good run on the speed. While his win strike rate is modest, his place record at the distance (0-1-3 from 9 starts) suggests he'll be in the finish.
Value pickWon
9Victory Tune
Barrier 5 is ideal, and he should get a good run in midfield.
- 1st9Victory TuneJamie Mott$12.00
- 2nd8Off Their PerchDaniel Stackhouse$7.50
- 3rd3Chocolate BoxLachlan Neindorf$2.80
- 4th5Bama SlamaMichael Dee$16.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Victory Tune | 5 | Jamie Mott | R D Griffiths | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Off Their Perch | 7 | Daniel Stackhouse | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Chocolate Box | 8 | Lachlan Neindorf | Ms W Kelly | 58kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 5 | Bama Slama | 1 | Michael Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Firerated | 4 | Koby Jennings | Alexander Rae | 58kg | $2.90 |
| 6th | 6 | Playlist | 6 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 2 | Stormbourg | 2 | Sheridan Clarke | J F Moloney | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Stay Silent | 9 | Robert Whearty | C Maher | 60kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Hotspur Reale | 3 | Jackie Beriman | Brian McGrath | 57kg |
Ladbrokes Future Stars Series Mdn Plate
20:15 local1200mMaiden$65,000
Winner2. Cyber LinkSP $3.30
★ Top pick7th
11Heavy Is The Head
Her recent form shows clear improvement with consecutive placings, and she'll be suited by the anticipated fast tempo that should allow her to unleash her strong finishing burst. The filly gets weight relief and maps to settle midfield with cover before powering home.
2nd pick4th
7Saludar
Saludar has the significant advantage of barrier 1 which should allow him to take up a forward position in a race where inside barriers are favored. The Begg stable is known for having their horses ready to perform first-up, and the booking of Jordan Childs is a strong indication of expectations. The cross-over nose band suggests they're looking to harness his focus for a strong debut.
3rd pickWon
2Cyber Link
Expected to show good early speed and be prominent in the running, though the wider barrier (8) is a slight concern.
Value pick11th
10The Real Man
The Real Man represents excellent value after dropping significantly in class from Open company to a Maiden. The gelding has been freshened with a 193-day spell and returns with multiple positive gear changes (blinkers off, gelded) which should help him settle better. Drawing barrier 2 is ideal at this track, and the booking of Jamie Mott suggests connections expect a forward showing.
- 1st2Cyber LinkBeau Mertens$3.30
- 2nd9The BenchmarkLachlan Neindorf$21.00
- 3rd6Rough EnuffLogan Bates$20.00
- 4th7SaludarJordan Childs$5.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Cyber Link | 8 | Beau Mertens | G Eurell | 58kg | $3.30 |
| 2nd | 9 | The Benchmark | 11 | Lachlan Neindorf | M J Mehegan | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Rough Enuff | 14 | Logan Bates | Ms C Alderson | 58kg | $20.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Saludar | 1 | Jordan Childs | G M Begg | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 13 | Maynard | 6 | J D Sadler | 58kg | $31.00 | |
| 6th | 12 | La Divina | 12 | Michael Dee | G Eurell | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 7th | 11 | Heavy Is The Head | 9 | Luke Currie | Paul & Tracey Templeton | 56kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 14 | The Flying Popov | 13 | Jye McNeil | C J Waller | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Hallowed Halls | 7 | Ben Melham | C J Waller | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Foxtrot Charlie | 10 | Dylan Dunn | Brett Scott | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 11th | 10 | The Real Man | 2 | Jamie Mott | D Meagher | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 12th | 5 | Our Rich Pop | 4 | Luke Cartwright | Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor | 56.5kg | $20.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Barbarino | 5 | Nadia Daniels | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 55kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Savoyard | 3 | Daniel Stackhouse | C I Brown | 58kg |
Kid-Tastic Fridays 16 Jan Mdn Plate
20:45 local1400mMaiden$45,000
Winner11. Sky WatcherSP $31.00
★ Top pick3rd
10Razanne
Looks ready to break through.
2nd pick2nd
1Blankfield
Blankfield has been consistent in both starts, finishing second and third. The Alexander Rae-trained gelding has drawn well in barrier 2 and retains the services of Jye McNeil. Has the benefit of race experience and should be right in the finish.
3rd pickWon
11Sky Watcher
Her last run was disappointing but the Jack Laing-trained filly has drawn well in barrier 5 and gets the services of Jason Maskiell.
Value pickScratched
3Mike's Hope
Mike's Hope is an interesting debutant from the powerful Hayes stable. The application of ear muffs (pre-race only), lugging bit, and winkers first-up suggests they're expecting a forward showing.
- 1st11Sky WatcherJason Maskiell$31.00
- 2nd1BlankfieldJye McNeil$4.80
- 3rd10RazanneBeau Mertens$1.70
- 4th6ValloNadia Daniels$71.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Sky Watcher | 5 | Jason Maskiell | Jack Laing | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Blankfield | 2 | Jye McNeil | Alexander Rae | 58kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 10 | Razanne | 13 | Beau Mertens | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 56kg | $1.70 |
| 4th | 6 | Vallo | 1 | Nadia Daniels | Bill Papazaharoudakis | 55kg | $71.00 |
| 5th | 13 | Commandeur | 4 | Ben Melham | Nathan Dunn | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 8 | I Belong | 10 | Luke Currie | Ms C Alderson | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 7 | Carolina Rose | 8 | Jordan Childs | Henry Dwyer | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Sunshine Star | 9 | Michael Dee | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Cold Logic | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | Shannon Roughan | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Shrewdness | 3 | Lachlan Neindorf | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Miss Waikato | 11 | Luke Cartwright | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 54.5kg | $19.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Mike's Hope | 12 | Daniel Stackhouse | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Prince Of Poetry | 6 | Koby Jennings | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 58kg |
Hygain Edge (Bm62)
21:15 local1400mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner1. BlisteringSP $6.50
★ Top pick2nd
6Divine Justice
Her consistent pattern of 2-3 in her last two starts shows she's in peak form, and the likely fast tempo will suit her midfield running style.
2nd pick3rd
8Snappy Pierro
Her 2-1-4 pattern in her last three starts shows consistency, and she's well-weighted with 58.5kg from a good barrier. While her win strike rate is modest, she's been racing in stronger company and should appreciate this slight class drop.
3rd pickScratched
9Two Sigma
Two Sigma brings solid recent form with a 4th in stronger BM70 company last start. She's shown consistency with a 5-4 pattern in her last two starts and should appreciate the likely fast tempo from her midfield position. The Goodwin stable has her in good form, and the booking of Daniel Stackhouse is a positive. While she's rising slightly in class, she appears to have more upside than most in this field.
Value pickScratched
2Girls Night
Her 3-2 pattern in her last two starts indicates she's in career-best form, and the likely fast tempo should suit her running style.
- 1st1BlisteringKoby Jennings$6.50
- 2nd6Divine JusticeBen Melham$1.40
- 3rd8Snappy PierroJason Maskiell$7.50
- 4th10Miss KaseiEmily Pozman$31.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Blistering | 2 | Koby Jennings | John Pascoe | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 6 | Divine Justice | 7 | Ben Melham | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 59kg | $1.40 |
| 3rd | 8 | Snappy Pierro | 4 | Jason Maskiell | Ms D Chapman | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 10 | Miss Kasei | 1 | Emily Pozman | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Savannah Chill | 11 | Jackson Radley | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Night Eruption | 3 | Teodore Nugent | Paul Worthington | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Mislead | 5 | Luke Currie | Ms R Frost | 59.5kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Girls Night | 6 | Alana Kelly | Daniel Kelly | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Sunshine Jenni | 9 | Patrick Moloney | Lloyd Kennewell | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Gibraltar Tycoon | 8 | Shane Foley | R D Griffiths | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Two Sigma | 10 | Daniel Stackhouse | Reece Goodwin | 58.5kg |
The Big Screen Company (Bm62)
21:45 local1600mBenchmark 62$40,000
Winner2. Taka SpeedSP $4.40
★ Top pickWon
2Taka Speed
Taka Speed brings the strongest recent form, winning last start at the same class over 1500m at Mornington. The 1600m should suit based on his strong finishing effort last time, and he appears to be a progressive type still on the up. Handles good tracks well and has shown tactical versatility.
2nd pickScratched
4Luckett
Luckett comes off a strong win at Terang over this distance and has an excellent second-up record. His good track form is perfect (2:2-0-0) and he's proven at the mile. The booking of Michael Dee is a positive, and his last start win suggests he's ready for this class rise.
3rd pickScratched
10Lafont
Lafont is a lightly-raced mare coming off a maiden win at Sale over 1415m. While this represents a significant class rise, she's open to considerable improvement being second-up and only having had three career starts. The likely fast tempo should suit her running style, and she's drawn to get a good position. Thomas Stockdale retains the ride which is a positive sign from the stable.
Value pick8th
7Our Uptown Girl
Coming back from higher class racing in Sydney, she's well placed here with the inside draw. While her last start was poor, her second-up pattern suggests significant improvement, and she's proven at the distance with a win from two attempts.
- 1st2Taka SpeedRyan Houston$4.40
- 2nd6Flag FlyerJordan Childs$13.00
- 3rd11Subtle PowerLuke Currie$8.50
- 4th12AngiemarieLachlan Neindorf$6.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Taka Speed | 11 | Ryan Houston | M M Laurie | 60.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 6 | Flag Flyer | 4 | Jordan Childs | G Eurell | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Subtle Power | 2 | Luke Currie | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 12 | Angiemarie | 1 | Lachlan Neindorf | P Stokes | 56.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Super Mirage | 12 | Jamie Mott | Gavin Bedggood | 60.5kg | $2.45 |
| 6th | 5 | Fauci | 8 | Beau Mertens | T Busuttin & N Young | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Surperb Frost | 10 | Luke Cartwright | M J Mehegan | 57kg | $20.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Our Uptown Girl | 3 | Alana Kelly | Patrick & Michelle Payne | 58.5kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Bancory Bay | 6 | Jason Maskiell | Jack Laing | 62kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Luckett | 5 | Michael Dee | Dominic Sutton | 60kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Lady Elsa | 9 | Jackson Radley | Charlotte Littlefield | 56kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Lafont | 7 | Thomas Stockdale | P Stokes | 58kg |
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