Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Saturday 10 January 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 7 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
At Her Mercy brings strong second-up credentials after a promising runner-up finish at Wagga last start. The David Pfieffer-trained filly has drawn ideally in barrier 2 which should allow her to settle midfield and avoid the predicted fast tempo battle up front. With natural improvement second-up and Shaun Guymer aboard, she's well-positioned to break through for a maiden win.
Despite the wide barrier, her strong finishing ability should be suited by the predicted fast tempo, allowing her to run on strongly.
The Matthew Smith-trained gelding gets significant gear changes with the near-side blinkers coming off and a tongue tie going on for the first time. From barrier 7, Chad Lever should be able to position him midfield with cover before unleashing a strong finish in a race that should be run at a genuine tempo.
While the wide barrier is a concern, the predicted fast tempo should allow her to find a position and finish strongly. Mitchell Bell's experience is a significant plus.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | At Her Mercy | 2 | Shaun Guymer | David Pfieffer | 57kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 11 | Infant Warrior | 12 | Marc & Mitchell Conners | 56.5kg | $5.50 | |
| 3rd | 12 | Majestic Legend | 11 | Mitchell Bell | L J Bridge | 56.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 9 | Romancastle | 9 | Louise Day | C Maher | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 3 | All Saints | 13 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 57.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 14 | Vingt Neuf Noir | 8 | Adam Farragher | John Thompson | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Andhe's Brave | 7 | Chad Lever | Matthew Smith | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Lope De Fortune | 5 | Keagan Latham | R & L Price | 59kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Carafe | 4 | D Wagstaff | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Eclater | 1 | Grant Buckley | Stephen O'Halloran | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Cinceritas | 14 | Jason Attard | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Nuns Chorus | 3 | Richard Litt | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Pazyryk | 6 | Lee Magorrian | Michael Freedman | 57kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Mediterra | 10 | C Maher | 56.5kg |
Sweet Twilight has been knocking on the door with three consecutive placings, showing steady improvement with each run. The addition of blinkers for the first time should sharpen her up, and the Freedman stable knows how to prepare a maiden winner.
Cathedral Cove has been a model of consistency with 4 seconds and 1 third from 12 starts. The addition of visors for the first time could be the gear change needed to break through for a win. Despite the wide barrier, he has the tactical speed to find a position and should be strong through the line.
Jewel County showed promise with a solid third placing first-up at Canberra and should improve second-up from a spell. The good barrier draw (3) gives her tactical options in a race with expected fast tempo. Jess Taylor retains the ride which is a positive sign.
As a lightly-raced 3YO having just his second start, natural improvement is expected.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | La Morra | 2 | Brock Ryan | John Thompson | 55.5kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 14 | Sweet Twilight | 8 | Lee Magorrian | Richard & Will Freedman | 55.5kg | $2.40 |
| 3rd | 3 | Don's Party | 9 | Andrew Calder | P & M Cave | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Meritage | 13 | Pierre Boudvillain | Bryce Heys | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Cathedral Cove | 15 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Edward Cummings | 57.5kg | $3.80 |
| 6th | 8 | Wormington | 10 | Shaun Guymer | Ross McConville | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Yesglenn | 11 | Olivia Chambers | J A Steinmetz | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Blazing Statement | 12 | Grant Buckley | Nikki Hodgson | 57.5kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Jewel County | 3 | Jess Taylor | J M Austin | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Ole's Diva | 6 | Mitch Stapleford | J G Sargent | 53.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Attestor | 14 | Jason Attard | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Stock Road | 1 | Louise Day | G D Hickman | 59kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Chief Orator | 5 | Chad Lever | Craig Carmody | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Canjustify | 7 | Mitchell Bell | Richard Litt | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Invincible Vecchio | 4 | Joseph Ible | 57.5kg |
The drop in class is significant, and barrier 2 allows tactical options in a race with moderate tempo. His consistency (6-8-6 from 43 starts) and proven ability at similar distances make him the standout selection.
Powerful Prayer brings winning form into this race after scoring impressively over 2100m last start. The 4yo gelding is lightly raced with just 8 career starts (1-1-1) and appears to be improving with each run. While this represents a class rise, his tactical speed from barrier 1 and progressive profile suggest he has the upside to handle it.
His record at Kembla Grange (0-3-1 from 6 starts) shows he handles the track well, and his light weight (55.5kg) is advantageous. While he was disappointing last start, his overall consistency (2-6-4 from 26 starts) and tactical versatility from barrier 4 make him a genuine contender.
Stay Tuned represents excellent value after winning last start over 1800m. The class drop is significant, and his experience at Kembla Grange (0-2-0 from 7 starts) is valuable.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Stay Tuned | 6 | Andrew Calder | P & M Cave | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 2nd | 8 | Winning Point | 9 | Chad Lever | Paul Murray | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Powerful Prayer | 1 | Pierre Boudvillain | John Thompson | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Mr Fabulous | 7 | Jess Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Old Gregg | 2 | Grant Buckley | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 58.5kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 4 | Gatchan | 3 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | N F Gardner | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Final Reset | 5 | Mitchell Bell | Matthew Smith | 59.5kg | $4.80 |
| 8th | 9 | Koning | 4 | Lee Magorrian | Richard & Will Freedman | 55.5kg | $7.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Mission Bravo | 8 | Adam Duggan | 57.5kg |
Perfectly drawn in barrier 1 with a significant weight advantage. Progressive profile suggests further improvement, and the step up to 1400m should suit based on racing pattern.
Mare in peak form coming off consecutive wins including a victory at this track and distance just 7 days ago. Boasts an excellent record at Kembla Grange (10:2-4-1) and particularly at this track/distance combination (5:2-2-1). The class rise is the main query, but her current form and track affinity offset this concern.
Six-year-old gelding with an exceptional record at Kembla Grange over 1400m (5:3-1-0). Despite carrying top weight, he's proven capable of handling it and is dropping in class from recent assignments. His overall track record (8:4-1-0) shows a clear affinity for Kembla. Form has been patchy recently, but the class drop and return to his favorite track/distance combination could spark significant improvement.
Importantly, she's now second-up from a spell where she has an excellent record (3:1-0-0). Has performed well at this track previously (6:1-1-1) and gets in with just 55.5kg.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Cuban Cigar | 1 | Mitchell Bell | T J Bartley | 56kg | $1.85 |
| 2nd | 2 | Satness | 4 | Claire Ramsbotham | R & L Price | 59kg | $7.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Audenzia | 8 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 58.5kg | $3.40 |
| 4th | 8 | Cuban Rain | 5 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 55.5kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Apollo Mission | 7 | Ryan Bradley | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 60.5kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Ivana | 2 | Mitch Stapleford | Edward O'Rourke | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Victory At Omaha | 10 | Jess Taylor | Ms T Bateup | 55kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Hydrometer | 3 | T J Bartley | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Ken'ker | 6 | D Wagstaff | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Egypitian's Reward | 9 | Joseph Ible | 55kg |
His inside draw is perfect for Kembla's 1600m start, and he should get an economical run throughout. Has excellent form on Good tracks and is clearly in a purple patch of form with a win and a 5th from his last two starts.
Mah Ali brings strong recent form, finishing second at this track and distance just 7 days ago. The mare is a consistent placegetter but struggles to win, making her a solid place prospect. The quick backup and good draw should see her in the finish again.
Extravagant Choice comes off a last-start win at Orange over the same distance and brings solid credentials into this race. His record at the mile is excellent with 4 wins, and he's a proven weight-carrier who should handle the 59.5kg impost.
He's a course specialist with 2 wins at Kembla and has an excellent record at the mile with 7 wins and 14 placings from 49 attempts.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Tip Top Timing | 6 | Deanne Panya | C E Conners | 55kg | $9.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Extravagant Choice | 5 | Louise Day | N J Olive | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Mah Ali | 3 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 55kg | $2.70 |
| 4th | 3 | Dark Vador | 1 | Mitchell Bell | Matthew Smith | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Whack Attack | 4 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 54.5kg | $2.70 |
| 6th | 5 | Devine Outcast | 8 | Brock Ryan | R & L Price | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Unwritten | 9 | Mollie Fitzgerald | G D Hickman | 53.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Scorched Lane | 7 | Jeff Penza | Matthew Kelley | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 7 | Southern Sky | 2 | Adam Farragher | Matthew Smith | 55kg |
The filly is well-weighted, drawn to get an ideal run, and should appreciate the step up in distance.
Watson returns from a spell with a significant class drop from Open company. Despite the wide barrier, he has the tactical speed to overcome it and should be much more competitive in this grade.
Cold Mist brings strong recent form with a close second at Moruya last start. He has an excellent record at this distance with three seconds from four attempts. The wide barrier is a concern, but he has the experience to overcome it.
Rockthevelio is an interesting debutant from the David Pfieffer stable. The stable has a good record with first starters, and the engagement of experienced jockey Louise Day is a positive sign.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Watson | 11 | Zac Wadick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56kg | $2.35 |
| 2nd | 13 | Rockthevelio | 8 | Louise Day | David Pfieffer | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Divine Timing | 7 | Andrew Calder | R D Collett | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Cold Mist | 9 | Grant Buckley | Paul Murray | 59kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Aperitas | 5 | Keagan Latham | Michael Freedman | 55.5kg | $2.30 |
| 6th | 5 | Invincible Vecchio | 1 | Brock Ryan | Joseph Ible | 57.5kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Don't | 2 | Jess Taylor | J C Coyle | 59kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 3 | My Star | 12 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Craig Carmody | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Delicious Derek | 10 | Pierre Boudvillain | C J Waller | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Shawnee Boy | 3 | Chad Lever | C J Waller | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 8 | Miss Bugatti | 4 | Mitchell Bell | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 57kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Asilah | 13 | Jeff Penza | C J Waller | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Mark Of Glory | 6 | Lee Magorrian | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 55.5kg |
Gets in with just 54.5kg and has drawn well in barrier 9. The step up in class is offset by her clear upward trajectory and weight advantage.
Consistent filly from the Freedman stable dropping back from BM64 grade where she ran a close second last start. Has a good overall record and should appreciate the class drop. The 1300m is a query as she's yet to race beyond 1200m, but she has the tactical speed to put herself in a good position from barrier 8.
Lightly-raced filly from the Freedman stable who was impressive winning her maiden last start at Gosford. The wide barrier is a concern but she has tactical speed to overcome it.
Has a strong record at this track (1-1-2 from 8 starts) and is racing in good form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Deep Emotion | 2 | Keagan Latham | John Thompson | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Captivating Tycoon | 6 | Lee Magorrian | Richard & Will Freedman | 58kg | $1.95 |
| 3rd | 5 | Diva Las Vegas | 4 | Will Price | Michael Freedman | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 11 | Fire 'n' Stone | 9 | Mollie Fitzgerald | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 54.5kg | $3.60 |
| 5th | 3 | Hippolyte Rock | 3 | Brock Ryan | Paul Murray | 58kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Li'l Grug | 7 | Grant Buckley | Ms D Poidevin-Laine | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Grainne | 5 | Mitchell Bell | L J Bridge | 57kg | $17.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Aristocrat | 1 | Jeff Penza | Matthew Kelley | 58kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Attractiveness | 10 | Richard & Will Freedman | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Crimson Wings | 8 | Richard & Will Freedman | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Cuban Cigar | 11 | T J Bartley | 57kg |
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