Ellerslie tips and results

Our price $5.50 · SP $2.40 · Matthew Cartwright

Imperial Rose showed promise on debut with a close second at Te Aroha on a Heavy 10 track. The class rise is significant, but she has race fitness on her side having run just 8 days ago. The inside barrier draw is advantageous at Ellerslie, and her wet track form suggests she has ability. The main question is whether she can handle the step up in class.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.30 · Wiremu Pinn

Drawn to get a good run from barrier 5 with experienced jockey Wiremu Pinn aboard. Likely to be on-pace which could be advantageous if the tempo is only moderate rather than genuinely fast.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.00 · Warren Kennedy

Lucy In The Sky brings the strongest class credentials to this race with a Listed win and Group 1 experience. The Hello Youmzain filly has an impressive record of 2 wins from 3 starts and importantly has won when first-up previously. While the 253-day break is a concern, trainer Andrew Pike is adept at having his horses ready fresh. Her tactical speed should allow her to overcome the slightly awkward draw.

Our price $8.00 · SP $13.10 · Warren Kennedy

While first-up from a spell, he was impressive winning his maiden last start over 1600m, suggesting the 1500m distance will be ideal. The Ramsay & Ritchie stable are adept at having their horses ready first-up, and he's drawn well in barrier 7. While this is a significant class rise from maiden company, his last win was dominant and suggests he has untapped potential that makes him an attractive value proposition.

Our price $4.20 · SP $2.90 · Sam McNab

Wind Rush brings strong credentials with 7 placings from 13 starts and a solid record at Ellerslie (6: 0-1-1). His recent form is sound with a 4th at Ellerslie and 2nd at Te Rapa in his last two starts. The class drop from his last start is significant, and he's proven adaptable across various track conditions. While he's yet to win at Ellerslie, his consistency makes him a major player.

Our price $6.50 · SP $13.70 · Rihaan Goyaram

Her 4th placing last start at Arawa Park was encouraging, and she's well-drawn in barrier 3 to take advantage of the moderate-fast tempo.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.10 · Masahiro Hashizume

The O'Sullivan & Scott stable is renowned for improving their runners second-up, and this well-bred son of Hello Youmzain should appreciate the step up to 1400m. The weight advantage and good barrier position enhance his chances, though his limited race experience is a concern.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Jasmine Fawcett

Be Water brings solid form with a second and third from just two career starts, both at this distance. The wide barrier is a significant challenge, but his proven ability at the distance and second-up pattern suggest he can overcome it. Jasmine Fawcett retains the ride which is a positive.

Our price $12.00 · SP $20.20 · Joe Doyle

Having raced in Hong Kong, he's dropping significantly in class for this maiden. His record includes a placing at this track and distance, and he draws perfectly in barrier 1.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.00 · Rory Hutchings

Lightly-raced improver who won impressively at Ellerslie last start over 1600m. By Wootton Bassett suggesting the step up to 2100m should suit. Has only had two career starts but is showing rapid improvement. The good barrier draw will allow him to settle in a forward position from the moderate tempo.

Our price $7.50 · SP $16.70 · Matthew Cameron

Well-bred Frankel colt who won impressively last start over 1800m, suggesting the step up to 2100m will suit perfectly. Has shown steady improvement with each run and his staying pedigree indicates he should relish this trip.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.00 · Joe Doyle

Sista Sugar brings excellent consistency with 6 placings from her last 8 starts including a last-start second at Ellerslie over 1500m. Her perfect 2 from 2 record at 1400m is compelling, and she handles soft tracks well with 2 wins from 4 starts in those conditions. The Joe Doyle/Clotworthy combination is firing and she's ready to peak third-up.

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.10 · Matthew Cartwright

Her last start 3rd at BM75 level shows she's in good form, and she excels on good tracks (6:3-0-1). Matthew Cartwright takes the ride from a favorable barrier 5 draw, and she's proven she can win at this level previously.

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.90 · Warren Kennedy

Lachie brings excellent credentials with a strong record at the mile distance (3-0-1 from 4) and consistent recent form. His inside draw will allow him to take up a forward position without spending energy, though he'll need to overcome the top weight of 58.5kg. Has performed well at Ellerslie previously (0-1-1 from 3) and should appreciate the Good 4 track conditions.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.50 · Joe Doyle

Fosse brings strong credentials with an excellent record at the mile (2-0-1 from 5) and a win two starts back. The perfect draw in barrier 1 will allow her to save ground throughout, though she'll need to find a way through in the straight. Her good track record (2-0-1 from 5) suggests she'll handle conditions well, and the experienced Joe Doyle should give her every chance.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.20 · Craig Grylls

Peerless represents excellent value with a win at Ellerslie over 1600m already on his record. The perfect draw in barrier 3 will allow him to take up a forward position without spending energy. His overall record of 2 wins from 9 starts is solid, and he's proven at the track with a win from 2 starts. Craig Grylls knows the horse well and should give him every chance from the good draw.