Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Victoria · Saturday 17 January 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 7 races at Cranbourne. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Dama Royale showed promise on debut at this track and distance, finishing a close third. The filly should benefit from that experience and is well positioned to capitalize on the predicted fast tempo. Shane Foley is riding in good form with a 20% strike rate from his last 20 rides, and the combination looks well-placed to improve second-up.
The removal of ear muffs should sharpen her up, and barrier 4 gives her options.
Migliorare debuts for the powerful Hayes stable with a significant gear package suggesting they mean business. The addition of blinkers first time often indicates a horse showing ability at home. Celine Gaudray knows the track well with a solid 11% strike rate here.
Now second-up and with the addition of a tongue tie, further improvement is expected. Jockey Nadia Daniels has a strong 20% strike rate at this track.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Migliorare | 5 | Celine Gaudray | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 58kg | $9.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Dama Royale | 7 | Shane Foley | T Busuttin & N Young | 56kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 3 | Russian Into It | 10 | Craig Newitt | Carly Thomas | 58kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 1 | Full Of Knowledge | 3 | Jade Da Rose | Dani Walker | 58kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Snitchy | 1 | Lachlan King | Jason Warren | 56kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Inspirational Lass | 4 | Sam Kennedy | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 53kg | $3.70 |
| 7th | 9 | Mariner Miss | 8 | Nadia Daniels | Henry Dwyer | 53kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Sovereign Bay | 2 | Koby Jennings | Henry Dwyer | 58kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Hard Tempo | 6 | Jackie Beriman | Logan McGill | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Head Bobber | 9 | Valentin Le Boeuf | R J Meunier | 56kg | $151.00 |
Zamparini Spirit brings the strongest form credentials with four placings from 11 starts including a close second last start over this distance at Mornington. While yet to break through, his consistency and progressive profile suggest he's ready to win.
Born Survivor brings solid credentials with four third placings from ten starts.
Yoshi Stardom showed significant improvement second-up with a solid third at Yarra Glen over 1514m. The wide barrier is a concern, but his progressive profile suggests further improvement is likely.
His previous placing in similar company suggests ability, while the gear change (blinkers off) could spark improvement. The perfect draw (barrier 1) should allow him to save ground throughout. The Maher stable knows how to prepare horses, making him an interesting longshot proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Ocean Symphony | 1 | Shane Foley | C Maher | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Born Survivor | 9 | Jackie Beriman | Brian McGrath | 59.5kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | The Adige | 5 | Lachlan King | T Busuttin & N Young | 59.5kg | $2.10 |
| 4th | 6 | Yoshi Stardom | 8 | Craig Newitt | D Binaisse | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Dr Slump | 3 | Celine Gaudray | M M Laurie | 58kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Zamparini Spirit | 2 | Clayton Douglas | 59.5kg | $4.40 | |
| 7th | 2 | Librarchy's Dancer | 6 | Koby Jennings | P E Kramer | 59.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Saxon Blood | 4 | Sam Kennedy | Nathan McPherson | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Pari Moi | 7 | E Jusufovic | 57.5kg |
Mount Sabyinyo made an eye-catching debut at this track just 15 days ago, finishing a strong second over 1200m. The Busuttin & Young-trained gelding should take natural improvement from that run and looks well-placed stepping up to 1300m. His pedigree suggests the extra distance will suit, and he's drawn to get a good run in midfield with the moderate-fast tempo likely to play to his strengths.
Covered In Cash brings the most consistent form to this race with 3 placings from 4 starts. The D'argento gelding should get a good run from barrier 6 and has the experience to be right in the finish. Cory Parish (15% strike rate from last 20 rides) is a positive jockey booking.
The Mick Nolan-trained gelding draws perfectly in barrier 1 which should allow him to secure a good position in midfield.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Mount Sabyinyo | 9 | Lachlan King | T Busuttin & N Young | 58kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 10 | Olive Road | 10 | Jackie Beriman | J C Griffiths | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Kirkhoepasse | 5 | C Maher | 56kg | $4.60 | |
| 4th | 2 | Covered In Cash | 6 | Cory Parish | Carly Thomas | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 6 | Proffer | 7 | Craig Newitt | Julius Sandhu | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Dazzling Secret | 1 | Celine Gaudray | Mick Nolan | 58kg | $4.20 |
| 7th | 7 | Rock About | 4 | Shane Foley | Ms W Kelly | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 13 | Kalashani Queen | 14 | Remi Tremsal | T T Walsh | 57.5kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Coteau | 3 | Tayla Childs | R N Mathews | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 4 | It's Gnarly | 11 | Logan McGill | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Sobine | 8 | L & T Corstens & W Larkin | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Arcelia | 12 | Koby Jennings | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Kiwi Harmony | 13 | Teodore Nugent | P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 56kg | |
| Scr | 14 | The Dux Nuts | 2 | Craig Newitt | T Busuttin & N Young | 58kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Dandirose | 15 | Logan McGill | 57.5kg |
Her tactical speed should allow her to utilize barrier 4 effectively in what's likely to be a fast-tempo race.
Pacific Chill is a progressive 3YO filly who scored a narrow victory at Yarra Glen just 20 days ago. While facing a significant class rise, she gets the services of Craig Newitt who's riding in exceptional form (8 wins from last 20 rides).
The Clayton Douglas-trained gelding drops significantly in class from Open company and gets the services of in-form jockey Jamie Mott (5 wins from last 20 rides). While carrying top weight, his proven ability fresh and at this course gives him strong claims.
Melea Castle has ridden her in 2 of her last 3 starts for a placing, and the mare is well-weighted with just 55.5kg.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | No Limitation | 4 | Celine Gaudray | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57.5kg | $1.30 |
| 2nd | 6 | Soho Princess | 2 | Melea Castle | Pat Carey & Harris Walker | 55.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 3 | Boom Boom Betty | 3 | Sheridan Clarke | Jim Cerchi Jnr | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Pacific Chill | 6 | Craig Newitt | T Busuttin & N Young | 55.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Aussieaussieaussie | 1 | Tayla Childs | R N Mathews | 55kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Foxenberg | 5 | Jamie Mott | Clayton Douglas | 60kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Talladega Girl | 7 | Nadia Daniels | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 53kg |
The Vocalist brings the strongest recent form into this race, having finished a close second over 2600m at Cranbourne last start. His staying credentials are improving with each run, and he appears perfectly suited to this distance. While he's only won once from 14 starts, his recent placings suggest he's ready to break through in this grade.
Mash And Gravy comes off a strong win over 2400m at Hanging Rock and prior to that won over 2350m at Healesville. He's a genuine stayer who will appreciate the 2540m journey and gets in with just 52kg. The inside draw should allow him to secure a good position, though he'll need to improve slightly to handle the class rise.
Holly's Star brings solid staying form into this race, having finished a close third over 2400m at Hanging Rock last start. She's a consistent mare who should appreciate the 2540m journey and has Craig Newitt aboard, who's riding at a 40% strike rate. The wide barrier is a concern, but she has the staying ability to overcome it.
He's a progressive stayer who broke his maiden over 2418m at Geelong and has since placed third over 2010m at Colac. The class rise is a concern, but he's on an upward trajectory and has Lachlan King aboard, who knows him well.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | The Vocalist | 9 | Celine Gaudray | S B Laming | 58.5kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Holly's Star | 10 | Craig Newitt | Toby Lake | 57kg | $4.60 |
| 3rd | 9 | Dionisio | 5 | Bailey Kinninmont | Simone Manne | 52kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Redwood Shadow | 6 | Bree Temple | F Stockdale | 53kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Mash And Gravy | 1 | Nadia Daniels | Reece Goodwin | 52kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Scorpion Bay | 7 | Lachlan King | D T Curran | 56.5kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 7 | You Rower | 4 | Jackie Beriman | Michael Harrison | 57kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Patsy's Star | 3 | Jake Noonan | M Sell | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Red Feathers | 2 | Caitlin Hollowood | Shane Stockdale | 52kg | $10.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Sardius | 11 | Teodore Nugent | Ashleigh Smith | 58kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Buddong | 8 | Sam Kennedy | P Kearney | 57kg |
Progressive gelding coming off an impressive win at this track over 1400m. The expected fast tempo should suit his racing pattern, and he's drawn perfectly to get a good run. Has shown consistent improvement and appears to have more upside than most rivals.
The Mick Kent stable is always respected, and she's well-weighted for this assignment. The expected fast tempo should allow her to settle midfield and use her strong finishing burst.
Mare coming off a strong win at Echuca over 1200m. Has a solid record at this distance (1-1-1 from 4 starts) and should get the perfect run from barrier 1. The class rise is the main query, but she's in winning form.
While his recent form has been mixed, he's well-weighted and should appreciate the expected fast tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | The Real Mahjong | 4 | Shane Foley | C Maher | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Vaderlee | 6 | Teodore Nugent | Simon Zahra | 60kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Jessup | 3 | Caitlin Hollowood | Shawn Mathrick | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Zenacity | 1 | Jake Noonan | Nick Ryan | 58.5kg | $5.50 |
| 5th | 4 | Cosmic Charger | 2 | Lachlan King | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Asawin | 9 | Nadia Daniels | Archie Alexander | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 8 | Dreams | 5 | Celine Gaudray | M C Kent | 58kg | $3.30 |
| Scr | 2 | Pride Of Galway | 8 | Sheridan Clarke | Ms C Martindale | 60.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Mislead | 7 | Koby Jennings | Ms R Frost | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Crickets Chirping | 9 | Craig Newitt | E & D Browne | 56.5kg |
The mare has won 1 from 2 at the mile and should appreciate the moderate-fast tempo, allowing her to settle midfield and finish strongly.
Algadon Storm is a progressive 3YO filly who broke her maiden status two starts back at Yarra Glen over 1514m. While rising in class is a challenge, she gets in well at the weights and has the tactical speed to position midfield. Teodore Nugent (20% recent strike rate) is a positive jockey booking.
Zaaffair Steal brings consistent form to this race with 3 placings from her last 5 starts. Her record at the mile (1-1-1 from 6) is encouraging, and she has previous Cranbourne experience (0-1-1 from 5). While she's only won once from 21 starts, her consistency and ability to handle this distance make her a solid place prospect. Jake Noonan has a 50% strike rate with this trainer from limited rides.
With a solid record at the mile (1-2-1 from 10), she should appreciate returning to this distance. While her recent form has been moderate, the drop to BM62 grade and the inside draw give her every chance to improve. The moderate-fast tempo should suit her midfield running style.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Zaaffair Steal | 5 | Jake Noonan | Julius Sandhu | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Luvya Mumma | 7 | Celine Gaudray | Liam Howley | 60kg | $1.80 |
| 3rd | 1 | Queen Beira | 1 | Nadia Daniels | David & Coral Feek | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Algadon Storm | 6 | Teodore Nugent | M M Laurie | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Aria Electra | 8 | Sam Kennedy | Peter Gelagotis | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Distant Dream | 9 | Sheridan Clarke | J W Gilligan | 55kg | $201.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Here Comes Ruby | 4 | Craig Newitt | M M Laurie | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Gijima Gal | 3 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 55kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Gibraltar Tycoon | 2 | Shane Foley | R D Griffiths | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Maid On Stryke | 10 | Caitlin Hollowood | Ms D Clover | 52kg |
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