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New South Wales · Thursday 22 January 2026

Kembla Grange tips and results

Our top pick won 4 of 7 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Soft 7Rail +5m EntireOvercastKembla Grange track guide ›
Top pick won4/757%
Any tip won4/757%
Top pick placed5/771%
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R1

Country Music Race Day May 16th Mdn Plate

13:50 local1200mMaiden$45,000
Winner6. Kitty OkaySP $2.70
★ Top pick7th
4All Saints

Our price $3.50 · SP $4.20 · Brock Ryan

Second up from spell with recent fitness run, midfield map perfect for predicted fast tempo favouring strong finishers over leaders.

2nd pick4th
7Rubilace

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Jess Taylor

Second up from spell aligns with 2:0-1-0 record, strong 1200m stats (5:0-1-2). Barrier 6 neutral but inside bias helps; fast tempo suits closing style.

3rd pick5th
1Aldezor

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.50 · Chad Lever

Consistent maiden yet to breakthrough but draw and map provide clear edge over unproven rivals.

Value pick6th
5Double Or Quits

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Grant Buckley

Gear switch (blinkers off, visors on) could sharpen; low 57kg aids. Fast tempo may expose but draw provides chance for soft place.

  1. 1st6Kitty Okay$2.70
  2. 2nd3ZoustrongMollie Fitzgerald$5.50
  3. 3rd8Share The JoyMitchell Bell$12.00
  4. 4th7RubilaceJess Taylor$5.00
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Kitty Okay7Ms T Bateup57kg$2.70
2nd3Zoustrong4Mollie FitzgeraldR & L Price57.5kg$5.50
3rd8Share The Joy5Mitchell BellM & D Kearney57kg$12.00
4th7Rubilace6Jess TaylorMs T Bateup57kg$5.00
5th1Aldezor1Chad LeverK J Parker59kg$8.50
6th5Double Or Quits2Grant BuckleyNick Mitchell57kg$31.00
7th4All Saints3Brock RyanR & L Price57kg$4.20
Scr2Torrey Pines4Ms K Outtrim59kg
R2

Kembla Classic Race Day March 13th Mdn Plate

14:25 local1600mMaiden$42,000
Winner1. MarebelloSP $1.85
★ Top pickWon
1Marebello

Our price $2.00 · SP $1.85 · Zac Lloyd

Heavy 8 suits inside bias preference but Waller preparation overrides wide draw 10. Fast tempo favors midfield map. Best class and recency in maiden.

2nd pick7th
8Valentiago

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.20 · Jason Collett

Recent Randwick run despite wide draw shows fitness. 57.5kg advantageous on heavy, barrier 8 neutral at fair Kembla 1600m. Snowden targets maidens effectively.

3rd pick8th
13Sharbino

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Molly Bourke

Value place hope with barrier 4 perfect for heavy track inside preference and on-pace bias. Light weight big plus, fast tempo may suit closing speed despite no distance wins. Unexposed 3yo.

Value pick3rd
6Eureka Rebel

Our price $12.00 · SP $16.00 · Pierre Boudvillain

Recent Kembla 1600m 8th but prior Goulburn 1500m 3rd solid. Smith stable targets provincials, unexposed 3yo could improve sharply in fast tempo. Barrier trumps form gaps.

  1. 1st1MarebelloZac Lloyd$1.85
  2. 2nd3Walk Like A ManAndrew Adkins$14.00
  3. 3rd6Eureka RebelPierre Boudvillain$16.00
  4. 4th10Willie Or Wong HeSiena Grima$16.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Marebello10Zac LloydC J Waller59kg$1.85
2nd3Walk Like A Man12Andrew AdkinsK J Parker59kg$14.00
3rd6Eureka Rebel1Pierre BoudvillainMatthew Smith57.5kg$16.00
4th10Willie Or Wong He2Siena GrimaC J Waller54.5kg$16.00
5th11Wormington5Shaun GuymerRoss McConville57.5kg$61.00
6th12Fiery Lass7Mitchell BellR J Quinton55.5kg$13.00
7th8Valentiago8Jason CollettPeter Snowden57.5kg$4.20
8th13Sharbino4Molly BourkeG R Nickson55.5kg$8.00
9th5Chief Orator3Chad LeverCraig Carmody57.5kg$151.00
10th2Mr Usher11Ellen HennessyRobert Quinn59kg$201.00
Scr4Barking Mad13Sam ClippertonC J Waller57.5kg
Scr7The Confidante9Tom SherryPeter Snowden57.5kg
Scr9Vega Sicilia6Lee MagorrianRichard & Will Freedman57.5kg
R3

Carlton Dry 3.5 (Bm64)

15:00 local1000mBenchmark 64$42,000
Winner1. Century SongSP $1.85
★ Top pickWon
1Century Song

Our price $2.50 · SP $1.85 · Brock Ryan

Track record 5:1-2-1, distance 4:1-0-3.

2nd pick4th
4Are Ee Que

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Mitch Stapleford

Are Ee Que excels on heavy (6:4-0-0), including Kembla BM64 win on heavy8 from barrier 6. Ideal barrier 4 exploits inside bias on sprint chute. Moderate-fast tempo suits on-pace midfield map. First up record poor but Quinton stable targets wet; superior wet form trumps unproven rivals despite spell. Strong place chance.

3rd pick2nd
5Gambler

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.00 · Andrew Adkins

Barrier 5 perfect for inside bias, midfield map suits moderate-fast tempo. Snowden/Adkins combo solid, visors first time could sharpen.

Value pick5th
9Kattegat

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Teaghan Martin

Recent poor but class drop, proven wet/track depth offers value if tempo suits late charge.

  1. 1st1Century SongBrock Ryan$1.85
  2. 2nd5GamblerAndrew Adkins$4.00
  3. 3rd2PanicShaun Guymer$16.00
  4. 4th4Are Ee QueMitch Stapleford$11.00
Full result · 6 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Century Song8Brock RyanR & L Price60.5kg$1.85
2nd5Gambler5Andrew AdkinsPeter Snowden57.5kg$4.00
3rd2Panic1Shaun GuymerMatthew Kelley60.5kg$16.00
4th4Are Ee Que4Mitch StaplefordR J Quinton57.5kg$11.00
5th9Kattegat7Teaghan MartinNatalie Jarvis52kg$13.00
6th3Insist9Mollie FitzgeraldMitchell Beer & George Carpenter58.5kg$6.00
Scr6Nazwah3Jason CollettPeter Snowden57kg
Scr7Singing Star2D Lane56.5kg
Scr8La Pelago6D Lane55kg
R4

Complete Warehouse Solutions (Bm64)

15:35 local2400mBenchmark 64$42,000
Winner2. Lunar LoverSP $2.25
★ Top pick5th
4Magicon

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.50 · Mitchell Bell

Top form pick on Heavy 8. Class drop aids, on-pace bias and moderate tempo suit midfield settling. Kembla fair track negates wide draw. Recent Kembla/Wyong heavy placings confirm suitability over dry form lines.

2nd pick8th
1Stay Tuned

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Andrew Calder

5:1-1-0 on heavy, track 8:1-2-0. Regular racing, dropping class. Long straight suits closers despite wide draw. Jockey 27% with horse.

3rd pick2nd
8Sweet Bubbles

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · Siena Grima

Value place chance with 52kg on heavy track, inside barrier 3 suits on-pace bias. Recent form 633 shows consistency, heavy 3:1-0-0. Moderate tempo allows forward run. Lacks 2400m but light weight compensates class rise.

Value pick3rd
5Old Gregg

Our price $8.00 · SP $4.60 · Alysha Collett

Solid heavy record (8:1-1-2), barrier 4 perfect for heavy inside preference. Recent 5th here (same as #1/#3), Kembla 5:0-0-2.

  1. 1st2Lunar LoverJason Collett$2.25
  2. 2nd8Sweet BubblesSiena Grima$9.00
  3. 3rd5Old GreggAlysha Collett$4.60
  4. 4th10DoutelleL P Beuzelin$101.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Lunar Lover1Jason CollettMatthew Smith59kg$2.25
2nd8Sweet Bubbles3Siena GrimaG McFarlane52kg$9.00
3rd5Old Gregg4Alysha CollettMitchell Beer & George Carpenter58kg$4.60
4th10Doutelle6L P BeuzelinFabio Martino55kg$101.00
5th4Magicon9Mitchell BellT J Bartley58.5kg$9.50
6th6Mission Bravo5Mollie FitzgeraldAdam Duggan56kg$16.00
7th3Mr Fabulous8Jess TaylorMs T Bateup59kg$13.00
8th1Stay Tuned10Andrew CalderP & M Cave60.5kg$5.50
Scr7Eight Martinis7Keagan LathamJ G Sargent56kg
Scr9Special Prophet4Ryan BradleyMs M Hopkins52kg
Scr11Hotlips Houlihan2Jeff PenzaShari-Lea Hitchcock55kg
R5

The Publicans Super Mdn Plate

16:10 local1300mMaiden$60,000
Winner11. Hush HushSP $3.00
★ Top pickWon
11Hush Hush

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.00 · Adam Farragher

Proven wet tracker critical on Heavy 8 with inside barriers/forward positions favoured. Ciaron Maher first-up record strong, light weight ideal. Wide draw manageable at fair Kembla 1300m. Superior heavy form edges lightly raced rivals despite unproven distance.

2nd pick4th
5Go Glenn

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.90 · Andrew Adkins

Strong recent form with placings in last two starts shows upward trajectory and fitness. Soft 6 placing at Gosford relevant for Heavy 8, though unproven on heavy. Midfield settling suits tempo and Kembla fairness. Good weight drop to 57.5kg. Solid place chance despite wide draw.

3rd pick7th
12Mythology

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.70 · Keagan Latham

Freedman/Latham elite combo, barrier 3 perfect for heavy track inside preference.

Value pick3rd
19Zougotme

Our price $15.00 · SP $41.00

Soft experience (3 starts) better than most, winkers first time positive.

  1. 1st11Hush HushAdam Farragher$3.00
  2. 2nd1Derry City FelixMolly Bourke$14.00
  3. 3rd19Zougotme$41.00
  4. 4th5Go GlennAndrew Adkins$3.90
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st11Hush Hush12Adam FarragherC Maher55.5kg$3.00
2nd1Derry City Felix7Molly BourkeP & M Cave59kg$14.00
3rd19Zougotme6R & L Price57.5kg$41.00
4th5Go Glenn9Andrew AdkinsG McFarlane57.5kg$3.90
5th9Fierce Critic13Jason CollettMatthew Smith55.5kg$8.50
6th2My Star2Chad LeverCraig Carmody59kg$51.00
7th12Mythology3Keagan LathamMichael Freedman55.5kg$2.70
8th18Sir William1G Portelli57.5kg$61.00
Scr3Velaris19C J Waller59kg
Scr4Amalfi Coast16Regan BaylissG Waterhouse & A Bott57.5kg
Scr6Prince Charge14C J Waller57.5kg
Scr7Saint Aldwyn5Zac LloydC J Waller57.5kg
Scr8Almaaz13C J Waller55.5kg
Scr10Hermione Prancer13Siena GrimaC J Waller52.5kg
Scr13Overshadow11Tyler SchillerM, W & J Hawkes55.5kg
Scr14Creator Of World4Ross McConville57.5kg
Scr15Bright Promise10Rebecca Bronett PragMs A Turner52.5kg
Scr16Eynesbury8C J Waller57.5kg
Scr17Bomb Perignon18C J Waller55.5kg
R6

Express Smash Repairs Midway Conditional (Bm68)

16:45 local1300mBenchmark 68$45,000
Winner7. Close EncounterSP $11.00
★ Top pick2nd
5Tartana

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.80 · Jess Taylor

Tartana tops form assessment on Heavy 8 at fair Kembla Grange 1300m. Inside barrier 3 perfect for heavy conditions prioritising 1-5 draws. Second up from spell (5:1-0-2), dropping class, track 8:1-2-1. Moderate-fast tempo suits midfield map.

2nd pick3rd
3Equilibrist

Our price $8.50 · SP $10.00 · Chad Lever

Equilibrist strong form contender with best heavy record (4:2-0-0) including Kembla Heavy8 win. Kembla specialist 13:3-1-0, likely leader from speed map suits moderate-fast tempo where leaders 25% win rate. Recent Kembla runs in BM68 despite poor finishes show suitability. Barrier 9 manageable at fair 1300m Kembla. Jockey Lever excels on horse (50%).

3rd pick4th
8Kirkuk

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.40 · Deon Le Roux

Heavy record 4:1-0-0, light 52.5kg ideal for heavy. Kembla 5:1-1-0. Wide draw 12 concern at Kembla but long straight fair. Solid place chance despite no 1300m wins.

Value pick5th
10Smart Serenade

Our price $9.00 · SP $7.00

Distance strong 8:2-0-2, recent Hawkesbury/Muswellbrook placings. High track suitability but wide 11 as backmarker risky on heavy where front/inside preferred. Fitness query at 48 days, no Kembla exp. Overlay vs form rivals, suits each-way.

  1. 1st7Close EncounterRebecca Bronett Prag$11.00
  2. 2nd5TartanaJess Taylor$4.80
  3. 3rd3EquilibristChad Lever$10.00
  4. 4th8KirkukDeon Le Roux$3.40
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Close Encounter8Rebecca Bronett PragK J Parker53.5kg$11.00
2nd5Tartana3Jess TaylorMs T Bateup57.5kg$4.80
3rd3Equilibrist9Chad LeverK J Parker58.5kg$10.00
4th8Kirkuk12Deon Le RouxJ & G Lee52.5kg$3.40
5th10Smart Serenade11Nick Mitchell56kg$7.00
6th11Your Not The Boss6Alysha CollettMitchell Beer & George Carpenter55.5kg$4.00
7th1Los Padres7Tyler SchillerMitchell Beer & George Carpenter60.5kg$8.50
Scr2Denial10Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter59kg
Scr4C'mon Mate1Keagan LathamRoss McConville58kg
Scr6Butterfly Style4Grant BuckleyMitchell Beer & George Carpenter56.5kg
Scr9Sizzler9Jason CollettCraig Carmody56.5kg
Scr12Lethal Love2Lee MagorrianRichard & Will Freedman55kg
Scr13Pretty Sassy5Mollie FitzgeraldJoseph Ible53.5kg
R7

Altus Traffic Hcp (C1)

17:20 local1400mClass 1$42,000
Winner6. Fast TrackSP $1.95
★ Top pickWon
6Fast Track

Our price $3.20 · SP $1.95 · Zac Lloyd

Fast Track tops form assessment with consistent recent placings including strong 3rd here 20 days ago over 1400m in higher grade BM64. Midfield map ideal for predicted fast tempo on fair 1400m track. O'Shea stable & Lloyd booking elite.

2nd pick3rd
9Elivina

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Chad Lever

Elivina ideal heavy track profile with barrier 1, light 55.5kg suiting inside/forward bias (leaders 25% win rate). Solid Kembla T/D record (2:0-1-1), recent Class 1 2nd here shows suitability. Consistent placer (38% rate), slight class drop. Fast tempo favors forward speed from inside.

3rd pick4th
8Valiant Bomb

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Molly Bourke

Valiant Bomb solid each-way with barrier 4 suiting heavy track inside preference, Kembla record (2:0-1-0). Consistent in Class 1 (recent 3rd at 1400m), weight ok at 56.5kg. Forward settling likely helps in fast tempo. Recent BM64 8th forgivable off wide run.

Value pick6th
1Dufresne

Our price $15.00 · SP $21.00 · Deon Le Roux

Significant class drop from BM72, recent runs show fitness. Wide draw/map issue but fast tempo + long straight suits late closer.

  1. 1st6Fast TrackZac Lloyd$1.95
  2. 2nd12AlamaganJess Taylor$61.00
  3. 3rd9ElivinaChad Lever$7.00
  4. 4th8Valiant BombMolly Bourke$7.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Fast Track10Zac LloydJohn O'Shea & Tom Charlton57kg$1.95
2nd12Alamagan7Jess TaylorJoseph Ible55kg$61.00
3rd9Elivina1Chad LeverK J Parker55.5kg$7.00
4th8Valiant Bomb4Molly BourkeJ & G Lee56.5kg$7.00
5th16Playful Puzzle11Joseph Ible55kg$26.00
6th1Dufresne14Deon Le RouxJ & G Lee57kg$21.00
7th5Aristocrat2Mitchell BellMatthew Kelley57kg$26.00
8th11Fairhead3Alysha CollettMatthew Smith55kg$21.00
9th18More Voltage9M & D Kearney55kg$151.00
10th7Michelangelo8Sam ClippertonC J Waller57kg$4.40
Scr2In And Out5Jason CollettC J Waller59kg
Scr3Afloat13Brad Widdup58kg
Scr4Jagerbomb3Dylan GibbonsJohn O'Shea & Tom Charlton57.5kg
Scr10Oui Flourish6Mollie FitzgeraldAnnabel & Rob Archibald54kg
Scr13Flying Chevrolet4Mary Bray55kg
Scr14Isla Negra15Tyler SchillerM, W & J Hawkes55kg
Scr15Jamarni12R & L Price55kg
Scr17Oakfield Echidna15D Lane55kg

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