Pakenham tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.20 · Zac Spain

Invincible Lover showed significant promise on debut when finishing a close second at Cranbourne. The well-bred filly by I Am Invincible should derive natural improvement from that experience. Drawn to get a good run from barrier 6 and the Kennewell/Spain combination has a solid strike rate. The tongue tie going on suggests potential improvement.

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.50 · Jackson Radley

Hurry Curry drops significantly in class after competing in Group races. Her third in the Group 1 Flemington 2500m race last preparation shows her quality, and she has a good second-up record. While her recent form has been moderate, the class drop combined with her staying ability makes her a genuine contender. The moderate tempo should suit her racing pattern.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Luke Nolen

While stepping up in distance and class, her racing pattern suggests she'll appreciate the 2000m. Luke Nolen is a significant booking with a 28% win rate at this track.

Our price $16.00 · SP $31.00 · Lachlan Neindorf

He has previous experience at this track and distance (0-0-1 from 1 start) and drops in class from his last start. Lachlan Neindorf is in good form with a 20% strike rate from his last 20 rides. The very fast tempo should suit his racing pattern.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.50 · Jye McNeil

Gets the services of quality jockey Jye McNeil who has a 19% strike rate with the stable. Drops significantly in class but carries top weight of 59kg. Overall record of 4:1-1-0 shows promise.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.00 · Ethan Brown

Kiwi Raider represents excellent value despite the class rise. Unbeaten with Ethan Brown aboard who is in red-hot form with 8 wins from his last 20 rides. Significant gear changes with cross-over nose band off and norton bit on for the first time. Perfect barrier 2 draw and has a strong overall record of 2:1-0-1. Improving profile suggests more to come.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.80 · Jamie Mott

Jamie Mott's booking is a positive with his 19% strike rate at Pakenham.

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.00 · Jackson Radley

The step up to 2000m looks suitable based on his finishing efforts, and he's well-weighted with just 55kg. Jackson Radley is a promising young rider with a 15% recent strike rate.

Our price $2.10 · SP $1.55 · Jye McNeil

Progressive 4YO gelding showing excellent form with back-to-back wins. Jockey Jye McNeil has a perfect record on this horse with 2 wins from 2 rides. Drawn ideally in barrier 2 to utilize early speed in a race with likely fast tempo. First attempt at 1400m is the query, but his strong finishing efforts suggest the distance should suit. Class rise is offset by natural improvement.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.00 · Michael Dee

Consistent 5YO gelding coming off an excellent second at this track just 7 days ago. Barrier 7 is the only slight concern.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Lachlan Neindorf

Lightly-raced 4YO mare with a progressive profile showing strong recent form including a good second last start over 1600m. The application of blinkers for the first time could provide the necessary improvement. Wide barrier is the main concern, but the likely fast tempo should allow her to find cover and finish strongly. Handles good tracks well.

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.50 · Ethan Brown

He draws well in barrier 4 and has the services of in-form jockey Ethan Brown who's striking at 40% from his last 20 rides. While rising in class is a concern, his recent performances suggest he can be competitive at this level.

Our price $2.80 · SP $4.20 · Ethan Brown

Second-up here after a solid 3rd when fresh at Caulfield. The Mick Kent/Ethan Brown combination boasts an impressive 38% strike rate. Should get a perfect midfield position from barrier 6 and will be strong late with the expected fast tempo. Represents the best winning chance.

Our price $12.00 · SP $41.00 · Koby Jennings

Experienced mare coming off a win at this track just 14 days ago in BM62 grade.