Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Tasmania · Sunday 25 January 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Hobart. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Her 33% win strike rate and 50% place rate demonstrate consistent quality, while her record at the distance (4: 2-1-1) is excellent. The 54kg impost gives her a significant weight advantage, and she's proven on soft tracks. Despite no prior experience at Hobart, her tactical versatility and class edge make her the standout.
Mastretta brings an impressive record to this race with 4 wins from 14 starts (29%) and particularly excels at this distance with 4 wins from 8 attempts. Her recent form has been consistent with placings in her last three starts. While she hasn't raced at Hobart before, she's proven adaptable to different tracks and has performed well on soft tracks (2 wins from 7 starts). The slight class rise is offset by her progressive profile.
While rising in class and with limited experience at the distance, his local track knowledge and consistent recent form are significant positives. His lightweight of 55kg is advantageous, though his soft track record (5:0-0-2) suggests he's more place chance than win hope on this surface.
While carrying top weight is a concern, his course experience and proven ability to handle these conditions offset this disadvantage.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Lady Galadriel | 3 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 54kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Gee Gees Me Boy | 6 | Chloe Wells | S Gandy | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Rare Oro | 4 | Troy Baker | J F Luttrell | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Mastretta | 5 | Jabez Johnstone | Monica Ryan | 57kg | $2.60 |
| 5th | 2 | Hurricane Ketut | 1 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 59kg | $5.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Navarre River | 2 | Sam Kennedy | Imogen Miller | 55kg |
Despite stepping up in class, her light weight (51.5kg), strong finishing ability and tactical versatility should be advantageous in the projected fast tempo. Her recent form (2-2-1) shows she's in peak condition, and the removal of winkers suggests connections are confident in her focus.
Alpine Thunder brings strong credentials with an excellent record at this track (4-3-2) and distance (2-1-1). His recent form has been consistent with placings in his last two starts. The likely fast tempo could test his stamina, but he's shown resilience under pressure previously.
Her ability on soft tracks (2-1-1) is a positive given recent track conditions, and she appears to be hitting peak form at the right time. While her overall track record is modest, her current form cycle suggests she's ready to improve on those statistics.
The inside draw is ideal for her tactical style, and she's shown ability in similar company previously.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Alpine Thunder | 4 | Sam Kennedy | S Gandy | 55kg | $2.30 |
| 2nd | 4 | Eastcoast Miss | 3 | Lauryn Bingley | Jessie Bazan | 54.5kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 7 | Araya Sunshine | 6 | Lauren Burke | J K Blacker | 51kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Fluffy's Girl | 5 | Jabez Johnstone | Christie Burt | 51.5kg | $3.30 |
| 5th | 5 | Golden Meadow | 1 | Erica Byrne Burke | S Gandy | 55.5kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Quicken Up | 2 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Rowan Hamer | 58kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Make A Decision | 2 | Sarah Cotton | 59.5kg |
Verhoeven brings strong consistent form with three consecutive second placings, all at this track. Proven performer on soft tracks with all three career placings coming on soft going. Jabez Johnstone has ridden this horse multiple times and knows its racing pattern. The wide barrier is a slight concern, but the horse has placed from wide gates previously.
Draws perfectly in barrier 4 and comes off a 7-day backup, suggesting fitness won't be an issue. Has been racing in stronger company and drops in class here. Has shown ability on rain-affected tracks with a placing in heavy conditions. Codi Jordan (14% at track) takes the ride for trainer S Gandy.
First-up from a spell but has been competitive in stronger company with multiple placings. Drops significantly in class here after racing in stronger maidens. Proven performer on soft tracks with 4 placings from 6 starts on rain-affected going. Erica Byrne Burke (17% at track) partners for leading trainer Adam Trinder.
Draws perfectly in barrier 3 with just 52kg and returns first-up from a spell for trainer J K Blacker. Only had one career start where the time was respectable despite finishing unplaced.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Verhoeven | 12 | Jabez Johnstone | Sigrid Carr | 55.5kg | $3.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Tribal Council | 8 | Lauryn Bingley | Sarah Cotton | 56.5kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Geegees Mercedes | 4 | Codi Jordan | S Gandy | 55kg | $3.10 |
| 4th | 6 | Joejoe | 9 | Bulent Muhcu | Jessie Bazan | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 5th | 14 | Up To Tori | 2 | Lizzie Annells | Sigrid Carr | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Out Of The Sphere | 11 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Adam Trinder | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Noble | 5 | Troy Baker | Sigrid Carr | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Strato Ken | 13 | David Pires | Ms L Gaffney | 57kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Highland Crystal | 1 | Kirra-Lee Lane | Ms R Hall | 52kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 15 | Zuvela | 6 | G J McCulloch | 57kg | $151.00 | |
| 11th | 10 | Wheelewe | 10 | Sam Kennedy | J L Keys | 53.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Alpine Whiskey | 14 | Bradley Franklin | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Cardiosphere | 9 | Sigrid Carr | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 9 | Dubai Affair | 7 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Light Work | 3 | Lauren Burke | J K Blacker | 52kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Vansittart | 14 | Barry Baker | 56.5kg |
Her consistent form (18:3-5-2) and proven ability at the distance (4:1-0-1) are significant positives. The fast tempo should suit her running style, and the slight class drop is advantageous. Lauryn Bingley is in excellent form with 5 wins from her last 20 rides.
Rich Clan brings excellent course credentials (27:4-5-3) and track/distance form (16:3-5-1) to this race. His last start 3rd was encouraging and the significant class drop is a major positive. While his second-up record (4:0-0-0) is a concern, his overall consistency (47:6-8-5) and proven ability at this track make him a genuine contender. Sam Kennedy is riding well with 3 wins from his last 20 rides.
His consistency (30:3-4-5) is a positive, but his moderate track record (15:1-1-3) raises some concerns.
The significant class drop is a major positive, as is his proven track/distance record (5:1-0-1). Kirra-Lee Lane is in good form with 4 wins from her last 20 rides.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Sandual | 4 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 2nd | 2 | Berserker | 3 | Jabez Johnstone | Stephen Shaw | 56kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Rich Clan | 7 | Sam Kennedy | J L Keys | 55kg | $2.60 |
| 4th | 3 | Bloomtime | 5 | Lauryn Bingley | Bradley Franklin | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Ethical Dilemma | 9 | Kirra-Lee Lane | P H Luttrell | 55kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 9 | I'm Keefe | 6 | Chloe Wells | Brendan McShane | 52kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Gingerson | 2 | Catherine Van Munster | J F Luttrell | 55.5kg | $4.40 |
| 8th | 6 | I'm Chev | 8 | Codi Jordan | G J Stevenson | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 1 | High Tail Eagle | 1 | Lauren Burke | J K Blacker | 57kg | $41.00 |
Aristopolos brings the strongest form credentials with an unblemished record from two starts. The combination with jockey Erica Byrne Burke (who's 1 from 1 on him) is a significant positive. While barrier 9 isn't ideal, his class should overcome this minor disadvantage.
Momentslikethese has shown progressive form, finishing a creditable second to Aristopolos last start. She draws perfectly in barrier 2 and gets a 2kg weight advantage over the top selection. The improving trend suggests she's ready to peak third-up, and the inside draw should allow her to secure an economical run in transit.
Too Poetic has shown improvement with each run, finishing third last start behind Aristopolos. With a 2kg weight advantage over the top selection and continued improvement expected, she represents solid each-way value. Jockey Codi Jordan knows the horse and has a reasonable record at this track.
Copper Reign represents the value selection as an unraced filly from the S Gandy stable, which has multiple runners in this race suggesting confidence in their juveniles. The stable wouldn't enter a first-starter in a Listed race without ability. Jockey Kasi Boxall has combined successfully with this trainer before.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Aristopolos | 9 | Erica Byrne Burke | J K Blacker | 57kg | $1.45 |
| 2nd | 6 | Momentslikethese | 2 | Harry Grace | S Gandy | 55kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 4 | Sovereign Dash | 6 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Adam Trinder | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Olindah | 1 | David Pires | Logan McGill | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 2 | King Candy | 7 | Lauryn Bingley | G J McCulloch | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Copper Reign | 8 | Kasi Boxall | S Gandy | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Precious Illusion | 5 | Troy Baker | S Gandy | 55kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Too Poetic | 4 | Codi Jordan | S Gandy | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 5 | Tsuyoi Kitsune | 3 | Jabez Johnstone | Sarah Cotton | 57kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Brutal Empire | 5 | Bulent Muhcu | J K Blacker | 57kg |
Southern Auroras brings excellent credentials with a strong Hobart record (7: 1-1-4) and consistent recent form, finishing in the placings in all three recent runs. The mare has a proven second-up record (2: 1-0-1), handles soft tracks well (5: 1-0-3), and draws perfectly in barrier 4. While facing a class rise, her consistency and track suitability make her the standout selection.
Bella Chinkara comes off an impressive maiden win and boasts a strong record at Hobart (8: 1-2-2) including at this distance (3: 1-1-1). The filly handles soft tracks well (8: 1-1-2) and draws favorably in barrier 6. While stepping up from maiden grade, she's previously been competitive in stronger company and gets the services of in-form jockey David Pires who's riding at 15% winners recently.
The mare handles soft tracks well (6: 1-0-3) and gets in light with just 53kg. While drawn wide in barrier 13, she has a strong second-up record (3: 1-0-1) and gets the services of in-form jockey Jabez Johnstone who's riding at 15% winners recently. The class rise is offset by her weight advantage.
The mare gets in with just 52kg, has a proven record at this track (11: 0-2-1), and handles soft tracks well (14: 0-2-1). While her win record is modest, she's drawn well in barrier 7 and gets the services of in-form jockey Kirra-Lee Lane who's riding at 20% winners recently.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Antheia | 13 | Jabez Johnstone | Sarah Cotton | 53kg | $7.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Bella Chinkara | 6 | David Pires | J K Blacker | 55.5kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Argyll Diamond | 5 | Harry Grace | Ms R Hall | 56.5kg | $20.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Southern Auroras | 4 | Codi Jordan | S Gandy | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 5th | 1 | Ilovethistown | 9 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Adam Trinder | 56kg | $3.50 |
| 6th | 4 | Olive Girl | 11 | Bulent Muhcu | Stephen Shaw | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Zulu Fields | 7 | Kirra-Lee Lane | Patrick Dargan | 52kg | $91.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Redair | 3 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Our Pepmenartie | 8 | Lauren Burke | J K Blacker | 56kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Mel's Street Above | 1 | Sam Kennedy | J L Keys | 53.5kg | $13.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Ice Crystal | 10 | Troy Baker | Sigrid Carr | 54.5kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 3 | Geegees Downpour | 12 | Mehmet Ulucinar | S Gandy | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 13th | 5 | Piping Willow | 2 | Lizzie Annells | Sarah Cotton | 57kg | $151.00 |
Daytona Diva brings the strongest credentials with a perfect record at Hobart and excellent soft track form. Despite the class rise, her consistent form and track suitability make her the clear standout in this field.
Jenni The Cat brings strong recent form with consecutive wins and a perfect inside draw. While untested at the distance, her racing pattern suggests she'll handle the step up. Her soft track credentials (2 wins from 5 starts) are solid, and she should get the perfect run from barrier 1.
Fierce 'n Fabulous brings consistency with placings in 4 of 5 starts and a favorable barrier draw. While untested at the distance, her racing pattern suggests she'll handle it, and her soft track credentials add further appeal.
She has experience at this distance and track, with strong soft track credentials (1-1-1 from 4 starts).
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Little El | 6 | David Pires | Ms L Gaffney | 56kg | $61.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Fierce 'n Fabulous | 3 | Codi Jordan | S Gandy | 56kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 5 | Sky Of Gold | 4 | Lauryn Bingley | Sarah Cotton | 56kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Daytona Diva | 10 | Jabez Johnstone | J K Blacker | 56kg | $2.10 |
| 5th | 2 | Bright Night | 7 | Chloe Wells | Barry Campbell | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 7 | The Pirate Queen | 2 | Troy Baker | T W Evans | 56kg | $71.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Jenni The Cat | 1 | Sam Kennedy | Drew Tyson | 56kg | $3.40 |
| 8th | 4 | Miss Lyra | 8 | Erica Byrne Burke | Adam Trinder | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 9th | 10 | Miss Ess | 9 | Lizzie Annells | J L Keys | 56kg | $201.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Nandi Clan | 5 | Shayleigh Ingelse | J L Keys | 56kg | $91.00 |
Her recent win two starts back was impressive, and she drops 1kg here while stepping up to a suitable distance progression. Her Hobart record (1-1-4 from 8) is excellent, and she maps to get a perfect midfield position with options from barrier 6.
She's well-weighted with just 51.5kg and has been remarkably consistent with 7 placings from her last 10 starts. While yet to win at the mile, she's placed twice from two attempts and should get a suitable tempo to finish strongly from midfield.
Tassie Power comes off a strong last-start win over this course and distance, showing his affinity for the Hobart mile. His overall distance record (1-1-3 from 5) is excellent, and he's been remarkably consistent with 8 placings from 12 starts. The wide barrier is a concern, but he has tactical speed to overcome it and should be right in the finish despite the weight.
His overall C&D record (1-0-1 from 3) is strong, and he gets in with just 52kg. While his win strike rate is modest, he's shown ability at this track and has Chloe Wells aboard who has won on him before. Expecting significant improvement third-up from a spell.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Queen Of Malwa | 6 | Sam Kennedy | J L Keys | 53kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 8 | Speed Rock | 3 | Bulent Muhcu | Amanda Jones | 54kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Stratojack | 4 | Codi Jordan | Ms T Mollross | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Manhattan Nights | 1 | Lauren Burke | J K Blacker | 53.5kg | $61.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Sky Eagle | 8 | Jabez Johnstone | J K Blacker | 51.5kg | $7.50 |
| 6th | 1 | Bayside | 7 | Lauryn Bingley | Barry Campbell | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 2 | Tassie Power | 9 | Erica Byrne Burke | S Gandy | 58kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Valiant Khan | 5 | Chloe Wells | P H Luttrell | 52kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 3 | French Soul | 2 | David Pires | Gaetan Delon | 56.5kg | $3.80 |
| Scr | 10 | Gazza's Spirit | 10 | J F Luttrell | 54kg |
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