Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Hong Kong · Wednesday 28 January 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 9 races at Happy Valley. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
The gelding has been knocking on the door with consistent performances and gets the benefit of Zac Purton in the saddle. Well-drawn in barrier 4 which is crucial at Happy Valley's tight 1000m course, and should get an ideal trailing position behind the likely fast tempo. Ready to break through.
The gelding has a win at this track and distance and gets the perfect draw in barrier 3 to utilize early speed. Derek Leung knows the horse well and should position him perfectly in the run.
Sky Song has a solid record at Happy Valley with a win and two placings. Hugh Bowman is riding in excellent form (20% strike rate) and has a strong combination with trainer Fownes (23% strike rate). Barrier 7 isn't ideal but Bowman should be able to find a position with cover.
The perfect barrier 1 draw is crucial at Happy Valley's tight 1000m course and should allow him to secure an ideal position. Luke Ferraris stays aboard after their last start 2nd place finish. The 43-day freshen-up should have him ready to fire.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Savvy Twinkle | 4 | Zac Purton | F C Lor | 60.5kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 11 | Modest Gentleman | 10 | Matthew L Chadwick | C H Yip | 53kg | $24.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Island Breezes | 1 | Luke Ferraris | P C Ng | 61kg | $7.80 |
| 4th | 2 | Spicy Spangle | 3 | Derek Leung | W K Mo | 61kg | $3.30 |
| 5th | 12 | Glorious Expert | 8 | Harry Bentley | K H Ting | 52kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Oriental Surprise | 12 | Brenton Avdulla | D A Hayes | 56.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Concorde Star | 9 | James Orman | Y S Tsui | 60kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Sky Song | 7 | Hugh Bowman | C Fownes | 58.5kg | $9.40 |
| 9th | 3 | Happy Boys | 6 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | Mark Newnham | 60.5kg | $15.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Smart Engineer | 11 | David Probert | K W Lui | 56kg | $75.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Turf Phoenix | 5 | Dylan Mo | W Y So | 58kg | $66.00 |
| 12th | 6 | Multidutch | 2 | Angus Chung | A S Cruz | 58.5kg | $52.00 |
| 13 | Racingrace | 13 | D J Hall | 60.5kg | |||
| 14 | Taihang Scenery | 14 | C S Shum | 56kg |
Has a solid record at Happy Valley (2-3-3) and drops 3kg from last start. Well drawn in barrier 4 to secure a good position midfield and should be finishing strongly. The Hewitson/Crawford combination has been effective (25% strike rate).
Tsuen Wan Glory brings strong jockey factors with Chadwick having a perfect 2-from-2 record on this horse. The Chadwick/Man combination boasts an impressive 63% strike rate. Drawn perfectly in barrier 1 to secure a good position. Recent form is solid with a 2nd two starts back. The 50-day freshen-up is the main query.
Harry's Hero brings improving form into this race, finishing a close 2nd last start. Gets in with just 52.5kg and is well drawn in barrier 5. Badel has a solid record at Happy Valley (10%) and the horse appears to be hitting form at the right time. Main concern is his poor overall record at this track (0-1-0 from 15 starts).
Finished a close 3rd last start over this course and distance and has a solid record here (0-1-1 from 4 starts). Yeung has ridden the horse before and knows its pattern. The 50-day freshen is a query, but the horse has shown consistency in recent runs and should be finishing strongly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Thunder Blink | 6 | Zac Purton | C S Shum | 60kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Harry's Hero | 5 | Alexis Badel | P F Yiu | 52.5kg | $8.30 |
| 3rd | 2 | Telecom Power | 2 | Maxime Guyon | Y S Tsui | 60.5kg | $18.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Wah May Wai Wai | 8 | Brenton Avdulla | A S Cruz | 56kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Family Fortune | 7 | Luke Ferraris | C Fownes | 58.5kg | $6.90 |
| 6th | 12 | Strongest Boy | 10 | Harry Bentley | J W Richards | 52kg | $7.70 |
| 7th | 1 | Lucky Blessing | 3 | Matthew Poon | W K Mo | 61kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Perfecto Moments | 9 | Keith Yeung | K H Ting | 54.5kg | $17.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Tsuen Wan Glory | 1 | Matthew L Chadwick | K L Man | 60.5kg | $11.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Soaring Bronco | 12 | Vincent Ho | P C Ng | 58.5kg | $35.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Something Jonah | 11 | James Orman | D J Hall | 57.5kg | $47.00 |
| 12th | 8 | Double Show | 4 | Lyle Hewitson | Brett Crawford | 57kg | $7.50 |
| 13 | Ever Smart | 13 | Dylan Mo | F C Lor | 52kg | ||
| 14 | Carryon Smiling | 14 | W Y So | 60.5kg |
Ace Power brings solid credentials with consecutive placings and a strong record at the track and distance (3-0-2 from 16 starts). The Zac Purton booking is significant, and from barrier 5, he should secure an ideal midfield position in what projects as a very fast tempo race. His tactical adaptability will be crucial as the leaders burn off, and he's shown the ability to finish strongly when the pace collapses.
Straight To Glory comes off an impressive win at this track and distance and has been remarkably consistent with 1-2-2 from his last 5 starts. From barrier 6, he should get a good position in midfield and has the finishing burst to be right in the finish.
Hugh Bowman's engagement is significant, and while barrier 9 presents some challenges, his racing pattern should suit the projected fast tempo. The 43-day freshen-up is the main query, but his overall consistency and finishing power make him a genuine contender.
Second-up from a spell, he should show marked improvement, and the Andrea Atzeni/John Size combination (13% win rate) is noteworthy. While inexperienced, the dramatic class relief makes him a genuine improver.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Straight To Glory | 6 | Derek Leung | C W Chang | 60kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 2 | Superb King | 8 | James Orman | K W Lui | 60.5kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Hayday | 10 | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 58.5kg | $5.90 |
| 4th | 12 | Gor Gor | 4 | Lyle Hewitson | Brett Crawford | 53kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Ace Power | 5 | Zac Purton | D Whyte | 57.5kg | $5.60 |
| 6th | 11 | Yeux De Lifeline | 2 | Andrea Atzeni | J J Size | 55kg | $35.00 |
| 7th | 5 | The Perfect Match | 9 | Hugh Bowman | C S Shum | 59.5kg | $7.40 |
| 8th | 6 | Sweet Briar | 3 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | K H Ting | 58kg | $39.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Tactical Command | 12 | Alexis Badel | Mark Newnham | 59.5kg | $44.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Whowrotethatsong | 11 | Angus Chung | C H Yip | 56.5kg | $148.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Celestial Strider | 7 | Keith Yeung | W Y So | 57.5kg | $157.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Regrowth Winner | 1 | Matthew Poon | J W Richards | 57.5kg | $58.00 |
| 13 | Ka Ying Resilience | 13 | D A Hayes | 56kg | |||
| 14 | Cirrus Speed | 14 | D J Hall | 53.5kg |
Bunta Baby brings the strongest recent form, winning last start at this track and distance with a similar racing pattern expected. Has shown progressive improvement with a 3-2-1 pattern in his last 6 starts. The inside draw is perfect for Happy Valley's tight turns, and his tactical speed should put him in an ideal position. Vincent Ho is riding in good form (15% strike rate) and the horse has a strong record at this track.
Super Sixty draws the perfect inside gate which is crucial at Happy Valley. His record at this track and distance (12:1-2-1) demonstrates his suitability, and his tactical speed should ensure a good position. The Wong/Fownes combination has a solid 7% strike rate.
Beauty Thunder brings strong recent form including a close 2nd at this track and distance two starts back. Zac Purton's booking is a major positive despite their limited success together. The barrier is slightly awkward but his tactical speed should allow him to find a position. His recent form line of 26 suggests he's ready to peak.
His inside barrier is ideal for this track, and his record at this track and distance (19:2-3-2) is impressive. While his recent form has been inconsistent, he's shown he can perform fresh and the Chung/Richards combination has a solid 10% strike rate.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Copartner Fleet | 6 | Hugh Bowman | K W Lui | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 2nd | 6 | Beauty Thunder | 7 | Zac Purton | W K Mo | 57.5kg | $4.30 |
| 3rd | 5 | Bunta Baby | 3 | Vincent Ho | K L Man | 58kg | $5.80 |
| 4th | 11 | Star Performer | 8 | Alexis Badel | Mark Newnham | 56kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Fun Elite | 2 | Derek Leung | C W Chang | 59.5kg | $5.70 |
| 6th | 8 | Happy United | 5 | Angus Chung | J W Richards | 55kg | $24.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Zouper Fellow | 4 | Matthew Poon | D J Hall | 56kg | $54.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Super Sixty | 1 | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 56.5kg | $4.00 |
| 9th | 12 | Golden Friendship | 12 | Harry Bentley | K H Ting | 54.5kg | $9.70 |
| 10th | 7 | Great State | 10 | Keith Yeung | W Y So | 57.5kg | $102.00 |
| 11th | 2 | Sir Charge | 9 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | D Eustace | 59kg | $57.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Lucky Plus | 11 | Lyle Hewitson | P C Ng | 56kg | $136.00 |
| 13 | Harmony Fire | 13 | D Whyte | 58kg | |||
| 14 | My Triumph | 14 | D A Hayes | 57kg |
ACE WAR brings the strongest recent form with three runner-up finishes from his last four starts. The perfect barrier 1 draw is ideal for Happy Valley's tight circuit, and the significant weight relief (54.5kg) gives him a tactical advantage. While yet to win at Happy Valley, his consistent placings at the track and distance (6: 0-3-1) suggest he's ready to break through with champion jockey Zac Purton aboard.
The veteran 8-year-old is well-drawn in barrier 4 and has proven consistency at Happy Valley (28: 2-2-6) and specifically at this track and distance (26: 2-2-5). While rising in class is a concern, his recent performances suggest he's in career-best form.
His record at Happy Valley over this distance is solid (13: 2-0-3) and he should be suited by the likely fast tempo. While Brenton Avdulla's recent form is concerning, he knows the horse well and from barrier 6 should be able to position him to finish strongly.
His record at Happy Valley is impressive (7: 2-0-1) and he gets the services of Vincent Ho who has won on him before. While the wide barrier (11) and top weight (58.5kg) are concerns, he's proven he can overcome challenges and his current form is trending upward.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Ragga Bomb | 3 | Hugh Bowman | D Eustace | 57kg | $5.30 |
| 2nd | 10 | Take Action | 6 | Brenton Avdulla | J J Size | 55.5kg | $15.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Ace War | 1 | Zac Purton | D Whyte | 54.5kg | $1.80 |
| 4th | 4 | California Bay | 9 | Matthew L Chadwick | A S Cruz | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Ka Ying Glory | 8 | Luke Ferraris | D A Hayes | 56kg | $24.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Matsu Victor | 2 | Keith Yeung | K W Lui | 55.5kg | $38.00 |
| 7th | 2 | The Azure | 10 | Maxime Guyon | F C Lor | 58kg | $20.00 |
| 8th | 6 | General Redwood | 5 | Angus Chung | C S Shum | 55.5kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Celtic Times | 11 | Vincent Ho | K L Man | 58.5kg | $23.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Setanta | 4 | Andrea Atzeni | Mark Newnham | 54.5kg | $8.10 |
| 11th | 8 | Luck Smiles | 7 | James Orman | W Y So | 56kg | $139.00 |
| 12th | 3 | To Infinity | 12 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | J W Richards | 58kg | $46.00 |
| 13 | Justify Yourself | 13 | W K Mo | 56kg | |||
| 14 | Happy Boss | 14 | D Eustace | 60.5kg |
Amazing Kid brings the strongest recent form into this race with consecutive wins, including a victory over this course and distance just three weeks ago. Has drawn perfectly in barrier 2 and maintains the successful partnership with Andrea Atzeni who has won twice from four rides on this gelding. The 4YO has shown tactical versatility and should get an ideal run just behind the likely fast tempo.
Honest Witness has been knocking on the door with a strong second last start at this track and distance. The 4YO gelding has been remarkably consistent with 2 seconds and 1 third from 8 career starts. Should get a good midfield position from barrier 6 and will be suited by the predicted fast tempo. Luke Ferraris takes the ride and while his combination with trainer Hayes isn't strong, the horse is ready to break through.
The 5YO gelding has a strong record at Happy Valley with 2 seconds and 1 third from 9 starts. Draws perfectly in barrier 3 and retains the services of Hugh Bowman who is in excellent form with 4 wins from his last 20 rides. The main concern is his inability to win despite numerous chances.
The 4YO gelding is dropping back to a more suitable distance after racing over 1000m last start and gets significant weight relief. While his recent form has been inconsistent, he's a previous Class 4 winner who should be suited by the fast tempo.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Amazing Kid | 2 | Andrea Atzeni | J J Size | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Meowth | 1 | Derek Leung | W K Mo | 61kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 10 | Thunder Prince | 3 | Hugh Bowman | J W Richards | 57kg | $6.90 |
| 4th | 2 | Flying Wrote | 9 | Angus Chung | A S Cruz | 60kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Honest Witness | 6 | Luke Ferraris | D A Hayes | 58kg | $5.60 |
| 6th | 11 | Same To You | 8 | Alexis Badel | Mark Newnham | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Duke Of Orange | 7 | Lyle Hewitson | C H Yip | 57kg | $37.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Get Friendly | 10 | Zac Purton | D Whyte | 57.5kg | $8.90 |
| 9th | 3 | Justifying | 5 | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 58kg | $9.50 |
| 10th | 4 | Superb Boy | 11 | Maxime Guyon | Y S Tsui | 60.5kg | $13.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Win Method | 12 | Harry Bentley | C S Shum | 56kg | $28.00 |
| 12th | 8 | Mega Bonus | 4 | Brenton Avdulla | P F Yiu | 57.5kg | $34.00 |
| 13 | Gimme Five | 13 | F C Lor | 54.5kg | |||
| 14 | Power Summit | 14 | D Eustace | 53kg |
Perfect General brings the strongest recent form, winning last start over this track and distance. Vincent Ho knows this track well (12% strike rate) and the likely fast tempo should set up perfectly for his midfield running style. Clear top selection.
Spirit Of Peace is building nicely with a solid 4th last start at this track and distance, beaten less than a length. He's dropping in class and should appreciate the fast tempo, allowing him to unleash his finishing burst. Andrea Atzeni has a good relationship with trainer Size (13% strike rate) and the horse is showing an improving form trend.
Romantic Son draws the perfect barrier 1 which is crucial at Happy Valley. While his recent form has been declining and he faces a class rise, the ideal draw and fast tempo should allow him to secure a good position and finish strongly.
Harry Bentley knows this track well (9% strike rate) and the horse has shown ability at this level before.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Romantic Son | 1 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | D A Hayes | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 5 | Lucky Planet | 10 | Matthew Poon | W K Mo | 56kg | $9.20 |
| 3rd | 6 | Perfect General | 6 | Vincent Ho | C Fownes | 56kg | $5.20 |
| 4th | 4 | Symbol Of Strength | 4 | Luke Ferraris | F C Lor | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 12 | Spirit Of Peace | 7 | Andrea Atzeni | J J Size | 53.5kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 8 | Prestige Always | 2 | Harry Bentley | P C Ng | 55.5kg | $4.80 |
| 7th | 2 | Wings Of War | 5 | Brenton Avdulla | D Whyte | 58kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 9 | Beauty Glory | 12 | Angus Chung | A S Cruz | 52.5kg | $67.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Gracious Express | 11 | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 58.5kg | $13.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Gazeley | 3 | Lyle Hewitson | K W Lui | 53.5kg | $64.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Goldentronicmighty | 8 | Keith Yeung | J W Richards | 53.5kg | $23.00 |
| 12th | 7 | Double Money | 9 | Dylan Mo | C S Shum | 56kg | $62.00 |
| 13 | Another Zonda | 13 | Y S Tsui | 54.5kg | |||
| 14 | Tourbillon Prince | 14 | C W Chang | 58kg |
Liveandletlive brings strong form credentials dropping significantly in class after a close second in a Class 2 2200m event. The inside draw at barrier 3 is ideal for Happy Valley's tight circuit, and he's proven at the track and distance with a second and third from three attempts.
China Win is a progressive four-year-old who won impressively last start over this distance at Sha Tin. He drops in class here and gets in with just 52kg, a significant weight advantage. The good draw in barrier 4 should allow him to secure a positive position.
His record at Happy Valley over 1800m is solid with a win, a second and a third from seven attempts. While barrier 10 isn't ideal, he's shown versatility in his running style and has the experience to navigate Happy Valley's tight turns. His recent form suggests he's reaching peak fitness.
Charity Gain represents excellent value given his outstanding record at Happy Valley over 1800m (7: 2-1-1). He's dropping in class and gets an ideal barrier 2 draw which is crucial at this track. While his last start was disappointing, his previous form included a third placing over this course and distance. The lightweight of 53.5kg and proven Happy Valley experience make him a genuine value chance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | China Win | 4 | Keith Yeung | D A Hayes | 52kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 4 | Liveandletlive | 3 | Matthew L Chadwick | A S Cruz | 58kg | $4.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Money Catcher | 10 | Derek Leung | F C Lor | 56.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Enthralled | 12 | Alexis Badel | J J Size | 54kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Charity Gain | 2 | Matthew Poon | D Eustace | 53.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Romantic Thor | 11 | Luke Ferraris | C S Shum | 56.5kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Solid Win | 9 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | P F Yiu | 56kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Romantic Laos | 8 | Harry Bentley | W K Mo | 53.5kg | $88.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Highland Rahy | 6 | Maxime Guyon | K W Lui | 59.5kg | $16.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Jumbo Legend | 5 | Hugh Bowman | C Fownes | 61kg | $12.00 |
| 11th | 2 | I Can | 1 | Andrea Atzeni | P C Ng | 60kg | $20.00 |
| 12th | 5 | Morgan Success | 7 | Lyle Hewitson | D Whyte | 57kg | $34.00 |
| 13 | Samarkand | 13 | D A Hayes | 55.5kg | |||
| 14 | Perfect Team | 14 | C Fownes | 57kg |
Mighty Commander brings the strongest recent form, winning over this track and distance just 15 days ago. His record at Happy Valley (3-0-3 from 16 starts) shows his affinity for this circuit, and he gets in with a light weight. The very fast tempo should suit his racing pattern, allowing him to settle midfield and finish strongly.
Tourbillon Golfer brings a strong record of 1-3-1 from just 7 starts and drops in class here. His Happy Valley record (1-1-1 from 3) is excellent, and he's proven adaptable to different race tempos. The booking of Alexis Badel is significant, and despite a slightly awkward draw, he should get a nice trail midfield with cover.
My Day My Way is a Happy Valley specialist with all 9 career starts at this track and distance (1-4-0). He's dropping in class after a strong second place finish last start over this course. From barrier 2, he should secure an ideal position, though he'll need to avoid getting boxed in on the rail with the predicted fast tempo.
Refusetobeenglish represents excellent value dropping significantly in class after a strong third place finish at this track last start. With just 6 career runs (1-0-1), he has plenty of upside and should appreciate the fast tempo. Andrea Atzeni retains the ride, and while barrier 10 isn't ideal, he should get a nice trail and finish strongly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Greater Bae | 7 | Zac Purton | D Eustace | 54kg | $4.90 |
| 2nd | 7 | Refusetobeenglish | 10 | Andrea Atzeni | P C Ng | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 3rd | 11 | Tourbillon Golfer | 9 | Alexis Badel | P F Yiu | 54kg | $5.20 |
| 4th | 3 | Mighty Commander | 8 | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 54.5kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Storming Dragon | 12 | Brenton Avdulla | J W Richards | 56kg | $35.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Everstar | 4 | Angus Chung | Y S Tsui | 53kg | $45.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Triumphant More | 11 | Hugh Bowman | F C Lor | 61kg | $30.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Spicy Gold | 1 | Dylan Browne McMonagle | Mark Newnham | 58kg | $20.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Bundle Of Charm | 3 | Harry Bentley | J J Size | 54.5kg | $8.20 |
| 10th | 12 | My Day My Way | 2 | Matthew Poon | C S Shum | 53.5kg | $3.00 |
| 11th | 4 | Super Joy N Fun | 6 | Matthew L Chadwick | C W Chang | 57kg | $29.00 |
| 12th | 6 | Young Arrow | 5 | Maxime Guyon | D Whyte | 55.5kg | $24.00 |
| 13 | Starry Show | 13 | D A Hayes | 52.5kg | |||
| 14 | Red Elegance | 14 | D Whyte | 61kg |
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