Punt like a Pro, without the know!
South Australia · Saturday 7 February 2026
Our top pick won 7 of 10 races at Morphettville. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Rebel Tuesday brings the strongest form credentials with a second placing at this track and distance last start. Jacob Opperman has a strong 21% strike rate for the Stokes stable, and despite being first-up, her form suggests she can fire fresh.
Tommy's Lass represents the powerful Hayes stable who excel with juveniles. While unraced, she draws perfectly in barrier 2 which should give her every chance in a race where inside barriers are advantaged. Jockey Celine Gaudray is in excellent recent form with 4 wins from her last 20 rides, suggesting confidence in this filly's ability.
The inside barrier (4) is advantageous at Morphettville for sprints, and jockey Jake Toeroek knows the track well with a 15% strike rate.
The addition of a tongue control bit suggests improvement is expected, and the inside barrier advantage at Morphettville for sprints gives her a tactical edge. First-up improvement is likely after showing ability in her only start.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Rebel Tuesday | 6 | Jacob Opperman | P Stokes | 57.5kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 5 | Tommy's Lass | 2 | Celine Gaudray | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 57kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Tully Hart | 3 | Teagan Voorham | Ms Jessica Tzaferis | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Farnace | 5 | Jason Holder | A J Gluyas | 57kg | $16.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Meadows Flyer | 1 | Rochelle Milnes | Simon Bates | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 6th | 1 | A Party In Penang | 4 | Jake Toeroek | S P Gower | 59kg | $8.00 |
She's dropping in class from BM64 company and has an excellent overall record with 3 wins from 6 starts. The inside draw suits perfectly with the current track bias favoring inside barriers, and her tactical speed should put her in an ideal position.
The Jacob Opperman/Phillip Stokes combination has an impressive 21% strike rate, and she's drawn perfectly to take advantage of the inside barrier bias. The likely fast tempo should suit her running style, and the first-time ear muffs pre-race could help her settle better.
Intellectual brings a perfect record at Morphettville with a win and a second from two starts. Jake Toeroek knows the track well with a 15% strike rate, and the barrier draw is favorable. The main concerns are the lengthy spell, top weight, and limited race experience, but his talent is undeniable.
He's dropping significantly in class from BM70 to BM62 and has a strong first-up record. While there are concerns about the spell length and unproven distance record, the class drop and proven fresh ability make him an attractive value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Violet Lovebug | 1 | Alysha Warren | Travis Doudle | 58.5kg | $3.60 |
| 2nd | 2 | Intellectual | 5 | Jake Toeroek | R & C Jolly | 60.5kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Sir Myka | 6 | Ben Price | Travis Doudle | 59.5kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Sassy For Sure | 3 | Jacob Opperman | P Stokes | 58.5kg | $2.45 |
| 5th | 5 | More Than Hope | 2 | Jason Holder | Cody Reardon | 58.5kg | $16.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Migliorare | 4 | Celine Gaudray | Ben, Will & Jd Hayes | 60.5kg |
Has been knocking on the door with 4 placings from 7 starts and gets the services of Jacob Opperman who has a strong 21% strike rate for the Stokes stable. The quick backup suggests connections are confident.
Shows a clear pattern of improvement across his three starts and gets the services of in-form jockey Todd Pannell who's riding at 20% recently. The barrier is slightly awkward but he should get a good midfield position.
Gets the services of in-form jockey Jason Holder (25% recent strike rate) and draws perfectly in barrier 2. The Holder/Gluyas combination has been successful with a 12% strike rate.
The addition of winkers for the first time could sharpen him up, and he's already shown ability at this track with a previous placing.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Gazz | 7 | Alana Livesey | Dylan Caboche | 55.5kg | $21.00 |
| 2nd | 7 | Rathlin Express | 5 | Jacob Opperman | P Stokes | 57kg | $2.10 |
| 3rd | 2 | Kikkuli | 3 | Caitlin Jones | Will Clarken | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Maysoonfly | 2 | Jason Holder | A J Gluyas | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 3 | Merchant Of Greece | 9 | Brooke King | Danny Penna | 55kg | $201.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Broke The Seal | 4 | Lauren Stojakovic | Heath Montgomerie | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Magna Torino | 6 | Kayla Crowther | S G Padman | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Summertime Madness | 8 | Todd Pannell | W F Francis & G Kent | 58kg | $7.00 |
| Scr | 1 | City Pro | 1 | Campbell Rawiller | Stephanie Lacy | 58kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Fear The Zou | 3 | John Hyam | 55kg |
Progressive mare with an exceptional record of 4 wins from 5 starts showing significant upside. While stepping up to 1600m for the first time, her racing pattern suggests the distance will suit, and she appears to have more upside than her more exposed rivals.
Has a solid record at Morphettville (2 wins from 9 starts) and is well-drawn in barrier 2. His consistent recent form suggests he's ready to fire again, though he'll need to improve slightly on his mile record (1 win from 6 starts) to overcome the top selection.
Gets in with just 52.5kg and has drawn perfectly in barrier 1. Her overall record of 3 wins and 12 placings from 19 starts highlights her consistency, though she's yet to win at Morphettville from 5 attempts. The lightweight and good draw give her strong claims for a placing.
Seasoned campaigner who won last start and is dropping in class. Has a solid record at Morphettville (3 wins from 19 starts) and at the track/distance (1 win from 5 starts). While carrying top weight is a concern, he's proven capable under big weights before.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | World's My Oyster | 4 | Jacob Opperman | Henry Dwyer | 56.5kg | $1.75 |
| 2nd | 1 | Bamyan Buddha | 6 | Brooke King | Grant Young | 61.5kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Surprise Coming | 2 | Connor Murtagh | R W Huxtable | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 4th | 6 | I'm A Dexstar | 8 | Alana Livesey | Byron J Cozamanis | 53.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Willybeafactor | 7 | Stacey Metcalfe | G Dimitropoulos | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Excelman | 9 | Ben Price | Kylie McKerlie | 57kg | $31.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Wild Winner | 1 | Taylor Johnstone | A J Gluyas | 52.5kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Ichibansan | 5 | Dylan Caboche | Kylie McKerlie | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 9 | France's Boy | 3 | Matthew Chadwick | J Hickmott & C Riggs | 51kg | $61.00 |
Kikorangi presents as the standout selection with excellent recent form including a win two starts back and a strong closing third last start over 2000m. The Fawke/Lehmann combination has been successful (29% win rate), and barrier 6 is ideal for his running style. The step up in class is offset by his progressive profile.
The mare has been racing consistently with a 4th placing last start over 1600m, suggesting the step to 1800m will suit. Celine Gaudray is in excellent form (20% strike rate from last 20 rides), and the mare's overall record (4-7-5 from 41 starts) shows consistency.
The inside barrier (3) is advantageous at Morphettville, and he's proven he can carry weight.
He has experience at this track (2: 0-0-1) and has shown ability at similar distances. The addition of bandages may help improve performance, and jockey Campbell Rawiller is in good form (15% strike rate).
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Longer Route | 3 | Rochelle Milnes | R W Huxtable | 60kg | $2.90 |
| 2nd | 5 | Thermodynamic | 2 | Connor Murtagh | Ms N Irwin | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Toorak Blaze | 10 | Kayla Crowther | Brent Hull | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 6 | King Of Wessex | 1 | Alana Livesey | Gary & Dean Alexander | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Morthan Efficient | 9 | Todd Pannell | Robert Hickmott | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Dane On Tour | 5 | Celine Gaudray | David & Coral Feek | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 3 | Top Of The Ridge | 11 | Campbell Rawiller | S & J Jaensch | 60kg | $9.50 |
| 8th | 10 | Chance Taken | 7 | Will Price | Chris Bieg | 56.5kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Kikorangi | 6 | Sairyn Fawke | Ms H Lehmann | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 10th | 2 | Mellifluent | 4 | Jake Toeroek | W F Francis & G Kent | 60kg | $11.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Bona Fide Star | 8 | Taylor Johnstone | G Richards & D Moyle | 52.5kg | $41.00 |
Jason Holder (25% recent strike rate) maintains the ride after their last-start success.
Has been racing consistently with 2 wins and 3 placings from 13 starts. Well-drawn in barrier 2 and the addition of winkers for the first time could provide further improvement. Celine Gaudray (20% recent strike rate) takes the ride and should give her every chance from a good draw.
Has a solid record at the distance with 1 win, 1 second and 2 thirds from 6 starts. Also has experience at Morphettville over this distance with 4 previous attempts. While his win strike rate is poor (just 1 from 20), he consistently runs well with 2 seconds and 6 thirds overall. The main concern is the jockey change to Lauren Stojakovic who is currently out of form.
Mare who won last start over this distance at Murray Bridge, showing good staying ability. Has an excellent record at the mile with 1 win, 1 second and 1 third from 3 attempts. The wide barrier is a concern, but she's shown tactical versatility in previous races.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Dirty Old Town | 10 | Jason Holder | A J Gluyas | 58kg | $4.60 |
| 2nd | 5 | Flaming Eyes | 12 | Alysha Warren | A J Clarken | 56kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | All Too Mysti | 11 | Jake Toeroek | R & C Jolly | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 13 | Chillcuz | 2 | Celine Gaudray | Justin Pickering | 57kg | $4.60 |
| 5th | 1 | Royal Scripture | 7 | Alana Livesey | G Richards & D Moyle | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Midlife Crisis | 3 | Emily Finnegan | Kirsten Mooney | 59kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Bargain Boy | 8 | Connor Murtagh | P Stokes | 58kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Testing One Two | 5 | Todd Pannell | Michael Hickmott | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Rousing Refrain | 14 | Jacob Opperman | Jon O'Connor | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Gin Rummy | 9 | Lauren Stojakovic | Alexander Justice | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| 11th | 15 | Oriedos | 4 | Brooke King | Byron J Cozamanis | 52.5kg | $91.00 |
| 12th | 3 | Saint Boom | 1 | Campbell Rawiller | Stephen Theodore | 59.5kg | $18.00 |
| 13th | 12 | Normie No Show | 6 | Margaret Collett | Garret Lynch | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| 14th | 14 | She's The Rumour | 13 | Rochelle Milnes | M W Lewis | 57kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Canny Defense | 15 | Raharna McDonald | 58kg |
His record at Morphettville (3 wins from 12 starts) demonstrates his affinity for the track. With Jason Holder aboard (2 wins from 5 rides on this horse), he's well-positioned to challenge despite the wide barrier. His tactical versatility and proven ability at the distance make him a genuine threat.
Her record at the distance (2 wins from 7 starts) shows her staying prowess, and the light weight (54kg) is a significant advantage.
Despite being first-up from a spell, his perfect last-start record and strong track performance (2 wins from 4 starts) make him the standout. His tactical versatility from midfield and proven ability to accelerate strongly position him perfectly for this race setup.
Kirkliston Blu represents excellent value coming off a last-start win at Strathalbyn over a similar distance. His strong record at the distance (2 wins from 4 starts) and consistent recent form (1-4-2-1) demonstrate his staying credentials.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Komachi | 8 | Rochelle Milnes | Will Clarken | 57.5kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 7 | Crimson Vine | 3 | Kayla Crowther | Sarah Rutten | 54kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 8 | Isuspectjeu | 1 | Brooke King | Grant Kluske | 54kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Arugamama | 5 | Taylor Johnstone | A J Gluyas | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 9 | Conni Island | 6 | Alysha Warren | Ms H Lehmann | 54kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Full Of Courage | 2 | Will Price | Chris Bieg | 54kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Darknconfidential | 10 | Jason Holder | S P Gower | 57.5kg | $4.20 |
| 8th | 4 | Kirkliston Blu | 11 | Ben Price | Ms R Day | 56.5kg | $8.50 |
| 9th | 10 | Sentimental Flame | 9 | Jackson Murphy | Travis Doudle | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Eventually | 4 | Teagan Voorham | Sarah Rutten | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Guru Warrior | 7 | Jacob Opperman | A J Gluyas | 55.5kg |
Her perfect record at Morphettville (2 from 2) and strong win strike rate (57%) suggest she's still improving. The inside barrier draw, weight advantage, and Kayla Crowther's booking all enhance her prospects.
Salsa Fellow brings strong credentials with a consistent record and excellent second-up statistics. While he's yet to race at Morphettville, his adaptability to different tracks and strong record at this distance suggest he'll handle the challenge. The barrier draw is slightly awkward but manageable.
His record at Morphettville is solid (1-1-1 from 5 starts) and he's drawn perfectly in barrier 4. While he's rising significantly in class, his current form suggests he's racing at his peak. The quick back-up is a query but could maintain his momentum.
Vexatious Dancer offers excellent value with a proven record at Morphettville (3-1-1 from 14 starts) including a win at this track and distance. The gear change (ear muffs off) could spark improvement, and her consistent recent form suggests she's ready to peak.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Mic Drop | 3 | Kayla Crowther | Will Clarken | 54.5kg | $2.40 |
| 2nd | 4 | Dancing Storm | 5 | Jake Toeroek | R & C Jolly | 58.5kg | $17.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Clarence | 2 | Ben Price | Will Clarken | 55kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Vexatious Dancer | 8 | Connor Murtagh | Ms N Irwin | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Cinque Torri | 6 | Alysha Warren | Justin Pickering | 61kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Salsa Fellow | 7 | Rochelle Milnes | Henry Dwyer | 58kg | $3.40 |
| 7th | 5 | The Stalker | 4 | Alana Livesey | G Richards & D Moyle | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 3 | Power Beau | 10 | Teagan Voorham | Wayne Brown | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Karacasu | 9 | Taylor Johnstone | Cody Reardon | 60.5kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Santastico | 1 | Todd Pannell | M J Seyers | 56kg |
Her midfield running style is perfectly suited to the predicted very fast tempo, and she has a strong record at this track and distance (3: 0-0-2). Margaret Collett has a solid 22% win rate on this mare, and the horse is in peak fitness with consistent performances.
Bristler brings strong credentials as a class dropper with an excellent record at this track (9: 0-2-4) and distance (5: 0-2-1). The wide barrier and top weight are concerns, but his class edge and consistent form make him a genuine contender. His forward running style may be challenged by the fast tempo.
With 54.5kg, he's well-weighted and has a solid record at this distance (15: 2-2-1). While barrier 12 is a concern, the predicted fast tempo should allow him to find cover and finish strongly.
Shadowfax represents excellent value with his recent form of 2-2-1 in his last three starts. The gelding has a perfect barrier draw (3), carries just 51.5kg, and has a solid record at this track and distance (6: 1-1-1). Matthew Chadwick's 22% strike rate at Morphettville is another positive.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Daisydoo | 6 | Margaret Collett | Justin Pickering | 58kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 1 | Bristler | 10 | Alana Livesey | G Richards & D Moyle | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Hooked On Wealth | 12 | Jake Toeroek | W F Francis & G Kent | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Round Two | 1 | Rochelle Milnes | Byron Cozamanis | 57kg | $12.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Shadowfax | 3 | Matthew Chadwick | Chris Bieg | 51.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Pantoja | 5 | Todd Pannell | Michael Hickmott | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 10 | Invertational | 2 | Caitlin Jones | Will Clarken | 55.5kg | $16.00 |
| 8th | 4 | She's Xtravagant | 4 | Jackson Murphy | Peter Nolan | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Prancethrulife | 9 | Andrew Stead | Jon O'Connor | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Nostryia | 7 | Jason Holder | Kate Halliday | 59kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Babayka | 11 | Caitlin Tootell | Ms P Trenwith | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Path To Profit | 8 | Kayla Crowther | Will Clarken | 54kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Bellentia | 6 | Teagan Voorham | Kristi Evans | 54kg |
The mare has shown consistent improvement with 3 wins from her last 6 starts and has a perfect record at this track and distance. Despite the wide barrier, her tactical versatility and finishing power should overcome this disadvantage in a race with genuine tempo.
Out Of Square drops significantly in class from a BM78 last start and has strong credentials at this track with 2 wins from 5 starts. While carrying top weight is a concern, the class drop compensates and she should be right in the finish.
Her last start 5th was solid and she gets the services of in-form jockey Jason Holder who has a 25% strike rate from his last 20 rides.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Thunder Shoc | 14 | Todd Pannell | Will Clarken | 59.5kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 5 | Ronny Bee | 6 | Campbell Rawiller | Wayne Brown | 58.5kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Major Rumble | 10 | Kayla Crowther | W F Francis & G Kent | 57.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Howl | 5 | Jade Doyle | Tracy Cox | 56.5kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 14 | Percidian | 2 | Rochelle Milnes | M W Lewis | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Freedom Flame | 4 | Taylor Johnstone | A J Gluyas | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Global Turn | 11 | Jacob Opperman | P Stokes | 54.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Placo | 7 | Jake Toeroek | Luke O'Connor | 60.5kg | $19.00 |
| 9th | 11 | The Wirrulla Boy | 12 | Alana Livesey | Byron J Cozamanis | 54kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Out Of Square | 1 | Caitlin Tootell | R & C Jolly | 59kg | $6.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Sir Leapalot | 3 | Alysha Warren | Ryan Hannemann | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 12th | 9 | Truly Elsa | 9 | Jason Holder | Darren & Aimee Magro | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 13th | 12 | Pricilla's Choice | 8 | Ben Price | Ms R Day | 55kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 10 | Purfect Line | 13 | Caitlin Jones | R & C Jolly | 56.5kg |
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