Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New Zealand · Wednesday 11 February 2026
Our top pick won 1 of 8 races at Te Aroha. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Dujardin represents the standout class runner dropping significantly from Listed and Open company to maiden level. Her third placing last start at 1600m on soft going demonstrates current form, while the engagement of Opie Bosson signals stable confidence.
Wee Nessy showed significant improvement with her strong second at Ellerslie last start, suggesting she's ready to break through. Her good barrier position suits Te Aroha's leader-friendly nature, and as a 3-year-old filly, she has natural improvement scope. The soft track conditions align with her previous form patterns.
Integrity showed marked improvement with her third placing last start after a modest debut. As a lightly-raced 3-year-old filly, she has natural scope for further improvement. Her good barrier position and proven soft track ability make her a genuine chance in this maiden field.
Moonbeams represents solid value with the strong Forsman/Grylls combination and consistent recent form. While she hasn't won yet, her consistent placings suggest she's close to breaking through.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Apex | 2 | Corentin Berge | Ms C Cameron | 57.5kg | $51.40 |
| 2nd | 9 | So Be It | 1 | Hayley Hassman | S N Rees | 55.5kg | $18.00 |
| 3rd | 14 | Tulsa Turnaround | 4 | Rory Hutchings | P S Richards | 57kg | $19.20 |
| 4th | 10 | Wee Nessy | 7 | Courtney Barnes | Barbara Kennedy | 57kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Dujardin | 6 | Opie Bosson | Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson | 57kg | $3.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Madame Kiwi | 8 | Samantha Collett | Debbie Sweeney | 57.5kg | $15.20 |
| 7th | 12 | Integrity | 3 | Lynsey Satherley | Hollie Wynyard | 57kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 7 | Van Pelt | 15 | Ryan Elliot | T W Mitchell | 57.5kg | $21.10 |
| 9th | 1 | Cheerful Smile | 16 | Rihaan Goyaram | Ms J K Mahoney | 55.5kg | $20.80 |
| 10th | 6 | Emmy Award | 5 | S Ritchie & C Murray | 57.5kg | $11.90 | |
| 11th | 2 | Misissipi Gambler | 13 | Vinnie Colgan | Ben & Ryan Foote | 57.5kg | $4.70 |
| 12th | 5 | Join The Dance | 14 | Elen Nicholas | Team Rogerson | 56.5kg | $47.50 |
| 13th | 4 | Seduire | 9 | Matthew Cameron | Hanna Orting & Sophia Nolan | 57.5kg | $49.50 |
| Scr | 13 | Moonbeams | 12 | Craig Grylls | Andrew Forsman | 57kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Scorned | 11 | Debbie Sweeney | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Vibes And Tides | 12 | Ms D Waddell | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Diva Kingdom | 10 | Ms D Andersen | 57.5kg |
Vendabelle's recent maiden victory at 2100m on soft ground positions her perfectly for this assignment. The 4-year-old mare has shown consistent improvement and her soft track record (1 win from 8 starts) gives confidence in today's conditions. Barrier 3 is ideal for Te Aroha's pace-favoring layout, and the step up in class appears manageable given her progressive profile.
Intoxicated showed excellent form when a close third at Matamata over 2000m last start, suggesting the step up to 2200m will suit. The gelding has a reasonable soft track record and benefits from the strong Doyle/Marsh combination. However, barrier 9 presents challenges at this tight track where early position is crucial.
Vistown's narrow second at Matamata last start represents excellent form for this grade. The 7-year-old mare has an outstanding soft track record with multiple wins and placings, and barrier 1 provides the perfect platform at Te Aroha. The booking of Matthew Cameron suggests stable confidence in her chances.
The 6-year-old mare has proven soft track ability and importantly has a placing from her only previous Te Aroha start. The quick backup of 6 days is a concern, but her current form and track/distance suitability make her a strong value proposition.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Jack Crabb | 5 | Sam McNab | S & E Clotworthy | 57kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 2 | Intoxicated | 9 | Joe Doyle | S B Marsh | 59.5kg | $8.80 |
| 3rd | 6 | Rosina | 7 | Elen Nicholas | Ben & Ryan Foote | 57kg | $11.70 |
| 4th | 8 | Vistown | 1 | Matthew Cameron | J W Bell | 58kg | $16.20 |
| 5th | 5 | Pointer | 4 | Jack Taplin | D B Hollinshead | 55kg | $20.30 |
| 6th | 4 | Clew Bay | 10 | Matthew Cartwright | S B Marsh | 58kg | $4.90 |
| 7th | 7 | Vendabelle | 3 | Masahiro Hashizume | K & B Kelso | 58kg | $5.80 |
| 8th | 10 | Tarzador | 11 | Ryan Elliot | Team Rogerson | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 3 | Hot Line Bling | 12 | S Ritchie & C Murray | 58.5kg | $59.30 | |
| 10th | 9 | Zacabasso | 6 | Craig Grylls | G Richardson & R Norvall | 58kg | $12.40 |
| 11th | 12 | Beau Ondago | 8 | Courtney Barnes | J Williams | 54kg | $82.90 |
| 12th | 11 | Orange River | 2 | Rory Hutchings | Team Rogerson | 56kg | $25.10 |
Navy Ensign stands out with a perfect placing record from four starts, including strong performances on soft tracks. The 3-year-old gelding has shown consistent improvement and the Matthew Cameron booking adds confidence. His barrier 8 position suits Te Aroha's leader bias, and his proven soft track ability makes him the standout selection despite being first up from a spell.
Sister Cynane brings strong recent form with multiple placings and excellent soft track credentials. The mare has shown consistency with 5 top-3 finishes from her last 7 starts and drops significantly in class. Her soft track record of 3 placings from 5 starts on the surface gives confidence, though the inside barrier may compromise early positioning at this leader-biased track.
Merini represents the classic lightly-raced improver angle with just one start for a solid fourth at Avondale. The 3-year-old filly gets weight relief and draws well for Te Aroha's characteristics. While the form sample is limited, the debut effort showed promise and Rory Hutchings' strong recent form adds appeal for this maiden assignment.
Iceland Poppy offers significant value having finished a strong second at this exact track and distance in November. The mare has shown ability on soft tracks and her recent third suggests form is returning.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Sister Cynane | 4 | Joe Doyle | L O'sullivan & A Scott | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 13 | Merini | 3 | Rory Hutchings | C K Ormsby | 56kg | $13.30 |
| 3rd | 4 | Rolling Stone | 17 | Ms L Brennan | 58.5kg | $49.50 | |
| 4th | 12 | Dink | 1 | Vinnie Colgan | Ben & Ryan Foote | 56.5kg | $40.70 |
| 5th | 7 | Navy Ensign | 8 | Matthew Cameron | M N Thompson | 58kg | $2.20 |
| 6th | 11 | Hit 'n' Run | 9 | Corentin Berge | Kelly Van Dyk | 56.5kg | $37.60 |
| 7th | 14 | Madam Rocs | 15 | Debbie Sweeney | 56kg | $25.30 | |
| 8th | 1 | Altiplano | 5 | Jack Taplin | J W Bell | 55.5kg | $35.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Iceland Poppy | 16 | C W Cole | 56.5kg | $9.20 | |
| 10th | 10 | Nasha Mala | 11 | Hayley Hassman | Darryn & Briar Weatherley | 54.5kg | $24.90 |
| 11th | 2 | Force Of Law | 2 | Opie Bosson | Ms P Gerard | 58.5kg | $11.70 |
| 12th | 5 | Hey Burg | 14 | Munna Alam | B K Pinny | 58.5kg | $126.80 |
| 13th | 17 | Icon | 10 | Tim & Margaret Carter | 58.5kg | $105.40 | |
| 14th | 3 | My Faith | 6 | Lynsey Satherley | S Ralph | 58.5kg | $33.10 |
| Scr | 6 | Smooth Warrior | 14 | D R Wiles | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Marie Antoinette | 12 | Craig Grylls | L O'sullivan & A Scott | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Magic Dreams | 13 | Barbara Kennedy | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Que Syrah Syrah | 7 | M G Forbes | 58.5kg |
Night Wolf presents the strongest winning chance based on proven suitability to today's conditions. His second placing at this track over 1400m in November, combined with his ability to handle soft tracks and Matthew Cartwright's strong Te Aroha record (20% strike rate), makes him the logical choice. The barrier draw suits Te Aroha's leader bias, and the class drop suggests connections are targeting a breakthrough win.
Her perfect soft track record and inside barrier draw align perfectly with Te Aroha's characteristics. The unnamed jockey is concerning, but her form progression and suitability to conditions make her a strong place chance.
Shoebill represents the strongest stable/jockey combination in the race with Andrew Forsman and Craig Grylls combining at 20% strike rate. The wide barrier is a concern at Te Aroha, but the quality connections and improving trend make her a place chance.
His soft track experience and Corentin Berge's recent form provide additional confidence.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Shining Pearl | 3 | Jack Taplin | T J Miller | 53.5kg | $7.80 |
| 2nd | 2 | Show Your Ace | 9 | Corentin Berge | Conor & Sarah Fahy | 58.5kg | $5.80 |
| 3rd | 6 | Night Wolf | 7 | Matthew Cartwright | Ms K A Hoskin | 58kg | $2.30 |
| 4th | 8 | Rezinate | 1 | Masahiro Hashizume | R James & R Wellwood | 58kg | $7.70 |
| 5th | 4 | Loose Change | 11 | Elen Nicholas | M & K Murdoch | 57.5kg | $13.10 |
| 6th | 5 | Up With Ace | 5 | Amber Riddell | B H King | 57.5kg | $9.60 |
| 7th | 12 | Dare You | 10 | Hayley Hassman | S N Rees | 54.5kg | $54.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Allaces | 8 | Lynsey Satherley | L R Gussey | 56.5kg | $36.40 |
| 9th | 10 | Letswishuponastar | 15 | Vinnie Colgan | P W Lock | 56.5kg | $9.10 |
| Scr | 1 | Presuming | 12 | Ryan Elliot | Ms P Gerard | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Balls Of Fire | 4 | Ms D Waddell | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Central Avenue | 16 | S & E Clotworthy | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Shoebill | 14 | Craig Grylls | Andrew Forsman | 56kg | |
| Scr | 14 | G'day Goldie | 13 | Samantha Collett | Andrew Forsman | 56kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Last Wish | 2 | Ms L Brennan | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Voguish | 6 | R James & R Wellwood | 56kg |
Kind Of Blue represents excellent value dropping from Listed company to maiden grade. Her recent close second at Pukekohe over 1300m on soft ground demonstrates current form, and her record shows she handles soft conditions well with multiple placings. The barrier 5 draw is ideal for Te Aroha's pace-favoring layout, and the significant class drop should see her competitive.
His 1400m experience and tactical speed make him suited to Te Aroha's layout. However, his poor soft track record is concerning, and the top weight of 58.5kg adds difficulty in these conditions.
Scutalong is a lightly raced 3-year-old who has only raced on soft tracks, making him suited to today's conditions. Craig Grylls' excellent 20% strike rate at Te Aroha is a significant positive, and the horse's limited exposure suggests there could be improvement to come despite the recent form decline.
He's Divine offers speculative value dropping significantly in class from open company. While his overall record is poor with no wins or placings, his recent fourth at Tauranga suggests some current form.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Rock Ice | 12 | Masahiro Hashizume | S & E Clotworthy | 58kg | $27.20 |
| 2nd | 9 | Kind Of Blue | 5 | Hayley Hassman | Ms P Gerard | 54.5kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 6 | Scutalong | 9 | Craig Grylls | Peter & Shaun Mckay | 58kg | $7.90 |
| 4th | 14 | Wanganella | 1 | Amber Riddell | Andrew Forsman | 55kg | $15.60 |
| 5th | 1 | Saltburn | 6 | Vinnie Colgan | Josh King & Maija Vance | 58.5kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 16 | Voguish | 4 | R James & R Wellwood | 56kg | $7.10 | |
| 7th | 11 | Reikova | 15 | Elen Nicholas | M & K Murdoch | 55.5kg | $23.40 |
| 8th | 2 | He's Divine | 13 | Matthew Cameron | Tarissa Macdonald | 58.5kg | $10.60 |
| 9th | 4 | Zavador | 2 | Lynsey Satherley | Debbie Sweeney | 58.5kg | $22.50 |
| 10th | 8 | Tall Timber | 3 | Corentin Berge | Conor & Sarah Fahy | 58kg | $28.80 |
| 11th | 13 | Madammanzor | 11 | Andrew Forsman | 56kg | $17.10 | |
| 12th | 10 | Adlerian | 8 | Rory Hutchings | Ms S P Mynott | 56.5kg | $34.30 |
| Scr | 3 | Willie Stay | 16 | Joe Doyle | D S Wilson | 58.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Shookmeallnightlon | 14 | D J Miller | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Aspicio | 10 | Samantha Collett | C W Cole | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Last Wish | 7 | Ms L Brennan | 56kg |
Incredible Patch showed genuine ability when a narrow second on debut at 1400m on soft going. The Almanzor colt has the perfect profile for Te Aroha's tight circuit with barrier 6 and proven soft track form. Craig Grylls' strong record at this venue adds confidence to this lightly-raced improver.
Last Wish showed marked improvement last start with a solid third at 1340m, suggesting the step up to 1400m suits. The Super Seth filly has soft track form and benefits from the lighter weight. However, barrier 1 is a concern at this leader-biased venue.
Wind Seeker has been consistently placing including a second at Te Aroha last start. The U S Navy Flag colt shows soft track ability and distance progression.
Voguish represents the classic debut runner value play. The barrier draw suits Te Aroha's patterns perfectly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Wind Seeker | 9 | Sam McNab | B Wallace & G Cooksley | 54.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 8 | Last Wish | 1 | Matthew Cartwright | Ms L Brennan | 55.5kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 3 | Incredible Patch | 6 | Craig Grylls | S L Crawford | 57.5kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 13 | Pretty As Sin | 8 | Rihaan Goyaram | G Richardson & R Norvall | 53.5kg | $55.70 |
| 5th | 4 | Jeeves | 11 | Ryan Elliot | Ms P Gerard | 57.5kg | $13.40 |
| 6th | 5 | The Mailman | 12 | Joe Doyle | S B Marsh | 57.5kg | $10.50 |
| 7th | 17 | Capitulate | 4 | Corentin Berge | S & E Clotworthy | 57.5kg | $28.70 |
| 8th | 9 | Ciao Bellissima | 10 | Vinnie Colgan | L R Noble | 55.5kg | $9.10 |
| 9th | 7 | King Shamus | 5 | Elen Nicholas | Nick Kneebone | 56.5kg | $24.90 |
| 10th | 10 | Sigma | 2 | Amber Riddell | J W Bell | 54.5kg | $34.00 |
| 11th | 18 | Central Avenue | 14 | S & E Clotworthy | 57.5kg | $31.80 | |
| Scr | 1 | Night Wolf | 20 | Ms K A Hoskin | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Theonewekept | 13 | Samantha Collett | Ben & Ryan Foote | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Ethereal Beauty | 3 | Debbie Sweeney | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Lovegrove | 17 | Ms P Gerard | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Voguish | 7 | Masahiro Hashizume | R James & R Wellwood | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Shoebill | 16 | Andrew Forsman | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Rock Ice | 19 | S & E Clotworthy | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Madammanzor | 15 | Andrew Forsman | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Wanganella | 18 | Andrew Forsman | 55.5kg |
The mare has proven soft track ability and her best distance record comes at 1600m. The barrier draw allows tactical positioning on this tight track, and Joe Doyle's local knowledge at Te Aroha is valuable. The recent form spike suggests she's ready to break through.
His soft track record is solid with 2 placings from 5 attempts, and the 1600m distance suits. The barrier allows him to settle in a forward position on this leader-biased track, crucial for his chances.
Wolf God showed promise when third at Te Aroha in December, proving track suitability. The significant class drop from Open company to maiden level is a major positive, and Opie Bosson's booking suggests stable confidence. Despite the poor last start, the class drop and track experience make him a strong chance.
She's shown her best form on soft tracks and the 1600m distance suits perfectly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Rob's Mistake | 11 | Joe Doyle | Hanna Orting & Sophia Nolan | 56.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 8 | Wolf God | 10 | Opie Bosson | Ms P Gerard | 58kg | $5.60 |
| 3rd | 2 | Kudos | 7 | Hayley Hassman | M & K Murdoch | 56.5kg | $5.60 |
| 4th | 1 | Camacho | 1 | Elen Nicholas | Ms D C Kennedy | 57.5kg | $10.30 |
| 5th | 4 | Prince Valiant | 5 | Jack Taplin | T J Miller | 55.5kg | $13.70 |
| 6th | 7 | Granger | 15 | Samantha Collett | Danny Walker & Arron Tata | 58kg | $13.50 |
| 7th | 14 | Rekindle | 20 | Matthew Cartwright | S B Marsh | 56.5kg | $8.30 |
| 8th | 5 | Guipago | 16 | Matthew Cameron | M H Brosnan | 58.5kg | $28.60 |
| 9th | 3 | Manifestation | 4 | Sam McNab | J W Bell | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 13 | Diva Kingdom | 9 | Corentin Berge | Ms D Andersen | 56.5kg | $27.20 |
| 11th | 12 | Artamos | 8 | Craig Grylls | G Richardson & R Norvall | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 6 | Curzon Park | 19 | Rihaan Goyaram | G Richardson & R Norvall | 56kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Capitulate | 6 | S & E Clotworthy | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 10 | The Spaniard | 14 | Masahiro Hashizume | R James & R Wellwood | 58kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Scorned | 2 | Debbie Sweeney | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Vibes And Tides | 17 | Lynsey Satherley | Ms D Waddell | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Show Your Ace | 13 | Conor & Sarah Fahy | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Moonbeams | 3 | Andrew Forsman | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Tulsa Turnaround | 18 | P S Richards | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | King Shamus | 12 | Nick Kneebone | 58kg |
Progressive 3YO colt who won impressively last start at 1600m and shows strong soft track form. The Opie Bosson booking is a major positive, and his upward trajectory suggests he can handle the class rise.
Consistent mare with two recent thirds at similar level who has proven 1600m ability. The good barrier draw and consistent form make her a strong place chance, though the missing jockey booking is concerning.
Experienced mare dropping in class after recent third at higher level. Strong 1600m record and wet track form make her competitive, with the Cartwright/Marsh combination a positive.
Last start maiden winner at 1600m who gets a good barrier draw and familiar jockey.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Greenwich | 6 | Vinnie Colgan | Ben & Ryan Foote | 58.5kg | $9.90 |
| 2nd | 14 | Victorious Warrior | 2 | Matthew Cameron | D R Wiles | 56kg | $6.20 |
| 3rd | 6 | Ever Charm | 5 | Craig Grylls | L O'sullivan & A Scott | 58.5kg | $7.20 |
| 4th | 15 | Midori Burly | 4 | T W Mitchell | 58kg | $11.00 | |
| 5th | 16 | Listening | 8 | R James & R Wellwood | 55.5kg | $9.60 | |
| 6th | 12 | Reinstatement | 11 | Corentin Berge | Ms K A Hoskin | 56.5kg | $22.20 |
| 7th | 2 | Lerado | 10 | Sam Weatherley | S B Marsh | 59.5kg | $12.70 |
| 8th | 13 | Sibella | 7 | Joe Doyle | M & K Murdoch | 56.5kg | $14.80 |
| 9th | 3 | Cease And Desist | 3 | Opie Bosson | Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson | 58.5kg | $5.70 |
| 10th | 1 | Liquid Fire | 16 | Rihaan Goyaram | R R Manning | 58kg | $23.80 |
| 11th | 10 | Cheap Sav | 14 | Hayley Hassman | Tarissa Macdonald | 55kg | $32.80 |
| 12th | 5 | Carisbrooke Castle | 13 | Masahiro Hashizume | R James & R Wellwood | 58.5kg | $8.50 |
| 13th | 8 | Penurious | 9 | Sam McNab | S B Marsh | 55kg | $26.30 |
| Scr | 4 | Tomahawk | 17 | Jack Taplin | Andrew Forsman | 55.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Bassoroc | 12 | Matthew Cartwright | S B Marsh | 57kg | |
| Scr | 11 | Flamenco | 15 | M H Brooks | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Spring Queen | 18 | S B Marsh | 54kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Koro's Princess | 1 | G K Opie | 54kg |
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